Mansfield, OH Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Mansfield, OH

June 18, 2024 4:26 AM EDT (08:26 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:56 AM   Sunset 9:05 PM
Moonrise 5:05 PM   Moonset 2:13 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LEZ144 Expires:202406180815;;205946 Fzus51 Kcle 180132 Nshcle
nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 932 pm edt Mon jun 17 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez142>144-180815- maumee bay to reno beach oh-reno beach to the islands oh- the islands to vermilion oh- 932 pm edt Mon jun 17 2024

Rest of tonight - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Partly cloudy late this evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.

Tuesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.

Tuesday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.

Wednesday - South winds less than 10 knots becoming southeast. Partly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Thursday through Saturday.
the water temperature off toledo is 72 degrees, off cleveland 67 degrees, and off erie 68 degrees.

LEZ100
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mansfield, OH
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Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 180803 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 403 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

SYNOPSIS
An upper level ridge will persist over the region through this week, resulting in widespread near-record temperatures across the area with isolated to scattered thunderstorms possible each day. The next system won't arrive until the end of the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Going to use some degree of a persistence forecast here on the periphery of the dominant upper level ridge that has provided the first day of heat in what will be a week of above normal temperatures. The more recent forecasts have seen either an increase in the low/mid level moisture supporting convective cloud growth, or that the models are finally resolving what was always going to be there much better. Satellite imagery is showing a solid connection to a tropical moisture feed from the Gulf of Mexico/Bay of Campeche providing the moisture for the convection. Plenty of SBCAPE from high dewpoints and air temperatures in this environment to get scattered thunderstorm activity for the entire region, again, in a south to north type flow. With relatively freely rising parcels in surface to 700mb lapse rates eclipsing 8C/km, some drier air aloft and inverted V soundings will lend to another day with wind gust threats despite a relative lack of shear. Pockets of low level f-gen help with initiation as will a couple of weak waves aloft.
Temperatures on the high side again and will leave the Heat Advisory in place, but precipitation cooling and cloud cover will keep some locations in check in terms of temperatures. Some locations not affected by this could still get into the mid to upper 90s once again.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
The heat wave and headlines will continue through the short term period with daily afternoon heat indices in the upper 90s to lower 100s. Not much relief is expected at night either with low temperatures in the 70s.

Only real change to the forecast is an increased risk for afternoon isolated strong thunderstorms on Thursday and Friday as moderate to strong instability will pool across the southern and eastern Great Lakes. Weak shear less than 20 knots is expected, so anticipate any thunderstorms that do develop will be poorly organized and generally short-lived. These storms will primarily carry a damaging wind risk given steep low-level lapse rates and large theta-e differences.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
One last surge of extreme heat may arrive on Saturday ahead of an approaching upper-level low across the Upper Great Lakes. The current headlines may need to be extended a day further through Saturday as heat indices reach the upper 90s to lower 100s in the afternoon. Moderate to strong instability across the Lower Great Lakes may result in isolated strong thunderstorms on Saturday, though anticipate any storms that develop to be poorly organized and generally short-lived given the weak shear in place.

The better potential for more organized strong thunderstorms will arrive on Sunday as a well-defined upper-level low moves east across the Upper Great Lakes, extending a surface cold front through the area. Moderate to strong instability appears to remain in place combined with 30 to 35 knots of southwesterly mid-level flow.

Behind the front, more cooler and more seasonable weather will arrive, with temperatures in the low to mid-80s on Monday.
Anticipate dry weather conditions as a surface high briefly builds in across the Great Lakes.

AVIATION /06Z Tuesday THROUGH Saturday/
Went with a lesser used route of PROB30 groups in the TAFs for expected isolated to scattered thunderstorm activity that will peak with heating Tuesday. Some of this is a persistence forecast, based on the amount of storms that occurred Monday, but still, terminals themselves not guaranteed to get affected directly. This may be switched to TEMPOs or VCTS/CB in upcoming issuances, but feel the this setup is ideal for the PROB30 usage. Otherwise, mainly southerly wind components 5-10kts away from storms and cumulus clouds developing with heating after 15Z.

Outlook...Primarily VFR expected through Friday. Isolated thunderstorms are possible Wednesday afternoon.

MARINE
A generally quiet marine forecast is in store for Lake Erie as a large upper-level ridge remains across the Eastern CONUS, resulting in limited surface flow. Only concern will be in the afternoon and early evening hours this week as daily isolated to scattered thunderstorms could bring strong wind gusts and small hail.

CLIMATE
A prolonged stretch of hot weather is expected this week.
Temperatures are forecast to approach or exceed record highs on several days. The records for Tuesday, June 18 to Friday, June 21 are listed below for our official climate sites.

Date Toledo Mansfield Cleveland Akron Youngstown Erie 06-18 98(1994) 93(1994) 96(1944) 96(1944) 95(1994) 92(2018)
06-19 98(1995) 94(1994) 92(1995) 94(1994) 94(1994) 92(1931)
06-20 98(1953) 94(1988) 96(1988) 95(1933) 95(1933) 92(2016)
06-21 100(2022) 96(1988) 95(2022) 97(1933) 98(1933) 95(1933)

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for OHZ003-006>014-017>023- 027>033-036>038-047-089.
PA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for PAZ001>003.
NY...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
OWMO1 34 mi86 minS 6 76°F 66°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 42 mi101 minSSE 1 78°F 30.0668°F
45203 43 mi26 minSW 9.7G14 78°F 71°F0 ft69°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 44 mi26 minSSW 8G13 79°F 30.03


Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KMFD MANSFIELD LAHM RGNL,OH 4 sm34 minS 0510 smClear72°F64°F78%30.13
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Wind History graph: MFD
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Cleveland, OH,




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