Thursday, April2, 2020
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L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
West New York, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:35AMSunset 7:23PM Thursday April 2, 2020 3:19 AM EDT (07:19 UTC) Moonrise 12:54PMMoonset 3:21AM Illumination 68% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 1236 Am Edt Thu Apr 2 2020
.small craft advisory in effect from 8 am edt this morning through this evening...
Overnight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Thu night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt in the evening. Waves around 2 ft. Chance of rain after midnight.
Fri..N winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Chance of rain in the morning.
Fri night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft.
Sat night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft.
Sun..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Sun night..S winds around 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 1236 Am Edt Thu Apr 2 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Deep low pressure well southeast of eastern long island will move slowly northeast overnight. The low then meanders well south and east of long island Thursday through Friday night. High pressure will build across the area this weekend before a weak cold front crosses the area Sunday night. High pressure then briefly returns on Monday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near West New York, NJ
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location: 40.78, -74     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 020442 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1242 AM EDT Thu Apr 2 2020

SYNOPSIS. Deep low pressure well southeast of eastern Long Island will move northeast overnight. The low then meanders well south and east of Long Island Thursday through Friday night. High pressure will build across the area this weekend before a weak cold front crosses the area Sunday night. High pressure then briefly returns on Monday, followed by an approaching frontal system for the middle of next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. Only minor changes with this update to better account for the latest observational trends, otherwise the forecast remains on track.

A strong and well organized low pressure southeast of Long Island has been captured by a large upper low/trough that is situated over the Eastern Seaboard.

The region will lie in subsidence tonight with dry conditions. Skies will be partly cloudy for much of the area. Moisture will continue to get pulled down the New England coast and move over Eastern Long Island and Southeastern Connecticut. This is where the highest sky cover is forecast.

Lows will be in the lower and middle 30s for most locations except for around 40 degrees in the NYC metro.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/. The deep low offshore will lift north Thursday morning and then begin to retrograde westward as it becomes vertically stacked. A blocking regime across the North Atlantic and Southeast Canada will also help retrograde the whole system westward through Thursday night. On Friday, the system gradually shifts southward and then away from the coast once again.

Thursday will begin dry for the entire area. Clouds will gradually increase from east to west through the day as moisture from the offshore low begins to advect towards the region. Some rain bands are likely to be located to our east early in the morning. These rain bands will retrograde westward, especially in the afternoon and evening. It may take some time for the rain to make it across Eastern Long Island and Eastern Connecticut as they will encounter subsidence on the backside of the system. Middle level thermal forcing increase in the evening and this is when the highest probability for rain exists mainly east of the Hudson River. The rain bands should gradually weaken overnight Thursday into Friday morning as the forcing wanes. However, low and middle level moisture is going to hang around through Friday so some areas of light rain cannot be ruled out. Areas west of the NYC metro may largely stay dry as the retrograding rain bands encounter stronger subsidence to the west. Probabilities for rain decrease from west to east on Friday.

The pressure gradient between the offshore low and high pressure to the west will bring breezy conditions both Thursday and Friday. Wind gusts 25-30 mph are likely Thursday with potential for a few gusts up to 35 mph near the coast. Winds may weaken a bit Thursday night, but increase again Friday, especially across Eastern Long Island and Southeast Connecticut.

Temperatures will be near to slightly above normal for the end of the week.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. The surface and upper lows finally begin to pull away to the east Friday night. After a lingering chance of showers early across portions of Long Island and southeastern Connecticut, dry weather will return overnight along with gradually decreasing clouds. High pressure then builds across the region for the weekend, resulting in dry and at least partly sunny conditions.

Clouds will gradually increase Sunday afternoon as a weakening cold front approaches from the west. With the front weakening as it reaches the area, rain chances look fairly limited at this time, but think a few showers are possible Sunday evening into Sunday night. High pressure then briefly builds back across the area on Monday before the weather turns unsettled for the middle of the week as a frontal system approaches the area Tuesday into Wednesday. Numerous model differences remain in the timing and evolution of this system. For now have rain chances gradually increasing through the day on Tuesday with better chances on Wednesday, but it is likely that at least a portion of this period will remain dry.

After near normal highs on Saturday, temperatures through the remainder of the long term period will generally be above normal. Daytime highs will range from the low to mid 50s along the immediate south facing coasts to the low to mid 60s for NYC and areas north and west. Overnight lows will generally remain in the 40s.

AVIATION /03Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Low pressure well offshore will begin to exert its influence in terms of wind beginning late tonight. Expect N winds to back NW by late tonight and increase to 10-15G20kt before daybreak in the metros and along the coast, then increase throughout to 20-25G30kt by afternoon. Some light rain with MVFR cigs may back westward to KGON mid to late afternoon.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY. Thursday night. MVFR cigs developing with chance rain N/E of the NYC metros. NW winds G30kt. Friday. MVFR cigs with chance rain. NW winds G25kt. Saturday through Monday. VFR.

MARINE. Strong low pressure well southeast of Long Island will track northeast overnight and into Thursday. The low then meanders south and east of Long Island into Friday. SCA conditions, mainly in seas, will continue on the ocean waters tonight. Winds increase on all waters to SCA levels Thursday into Thursday night. Winds on the non-ocean waters likely fall below SCA levels Thursday night. SCA conditions are then likely on the ocean waters and possibly Eastern LI Sound, and Eastern LI Bays on Friday. Gales are also possible on the waters east of Moriches Inlet Friday.

While winds will gradually decrease through the night, gale conditions may linger into Friday night on the ocean east of Moriches Inlet, with SCA gusts possible for portions of the eastern Long Island Sound, Peconic and Gardiners Bays, and the ocean waters west to Fire Island Inlet. Winds should then fall below SCA criteria on all waters Saturday morning, although seas will remain elevated on the ocean through the day on Sunday. Conditions are then expected to remain below SCA levels on Monday.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic impacts are expected through the middle of next week.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. Minor coastal flooding benchmarks may be reached for Friday morning and Friday evening high tide cycles. The greatest potential for this to occur is for the South Shore Back Bays, with a lower risk across the Western Long Island Sound. More widespread minor coastal flooding is possible for Saturday mornings high tide.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is undergoing its final stages of testing, and is operating at full power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 10 PM EDT this evening for ANZ330-335-338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Friday for ANZ350-353-355. Gale Watch from Friday morning through late Friday night for ANZ350.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 6 mi50 min 44°F 47°F1007.8 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 9 mi50 min NNW 15 G 20 44°F 1007.8 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 12 mi50 min 44°F 48°F1008.2 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 13 mi50 min NNE 19 G 21 44°F 52°F1008.1 hPa
MHRN6 13 mi50 min NW 15 G 18
44022 - Execution Rocks 16 mi50 min N 14 G 23 43°F 32°F31°F
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 22 mi50 min N 15 G 21 44°F 47°F1008 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 25 mi80 min N 18 G 25 44°F 1 ft30°F
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 32 mi30 min NNW 19 G 23 45°F 1006.7 hPa33°F

Wind History for Robbins Reef, NJ
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New York City, Central Park, NY2 mi29 minVar 510.00 miFair43°F25°F49%1007.6 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ6 mi29 minNNW 510.00 miFair40°F26°F58%1007.7 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY6 mi29 minN 13 G 2010.00 miA Few Clouds44°F27°F51%1007.5 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ10 mi29 minNW 1310.00 miFair42°F25°F51%1008 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY14 mi29 minNNW 16 G 2310.00 miFair43°F28°F58%1007.5 hPa
Caldwell, Essex County Airport, NJ16 mi27 minNNW 610.00 miFair42°F25°F51%1009.1 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ22 mi45 minNW 710.00 miFair41°F26°F57%1008.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNYC

Wind History from NYC (wind in knots)
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--N7344Calm5555
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NE8NE8E74NW3NE6NE35SE6S4S5S4--66E8NE56
2 days ago--5NE5NE5NE4NE4Calm4444CalmE5E6NE655NW45NE6Calm3SE3E6

Tide / Current Tables for Union Stock Yards, Hudson River, New York
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Union Stock Yards
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:21 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:29 AM EDT     4.15 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:04 AM EDT     0.66 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 12:54 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:41 PM EDT     3.55 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:06 PM EDT     0.75 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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233.84.14.13.83.32.51.71.20.90.70.91.72.63.23.53.53.32.71.91.30.90.8

Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:36 AM EDT     0.82 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 03:20 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:58 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:43 AM EDT     -0.56 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 10:13 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 12:53 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:02 PM EDT     0.83 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 04:25 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:10 PM EDT     -0.59 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 10:43 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.70.80.4-0-0.2-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.4-0.10.10.20.60.80.60.1-0.1-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.5-0.20.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.