Friday, February28, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
East Moriches, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:25AMSunset 5:42PM Friday February 28, 2020 1:42 PM EST (18:42 UTC) Moonrise 10:01AMMoonset 11:30PM Illumination 27% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ345 South Shore Bays From Jones Inlet Through Shinnecock Bay- 936 Am Est Fri Feb 28 2020
.small craft advisory in effect until 7 pm est this evening...
Today..W winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt late. Waves around 2 ft.
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sat..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sat night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sun night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Mon night..SW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Chance of showers.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
ANZ300 936 Am Est Fri Feb 28 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds across the region through the weekend, then slides offshore on Monday. An unsettled weather pattern takes shape Monday night through the middle of the week as a slow moving frontal system impacts the area.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near East Moriches, NY
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location: 40.79, -72.75     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 281734 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1234 PM EST Fri Feb 28 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure builds across the region through the weekend before sliding offshore into Monday. A weak frontal disturbance approaches the area from the west into Tuesday with a stronger low pressure system likely developing behind it by Wednesday. High pressure may return by Thursday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. The fcst is on track with minor changes to marine. Blustery westerly flow will continue through tonight as the pressure gradient remains tight across the area. However peak gusts will be about 10 to 15 kt less than yesterday. Wind speeds should decrease significantly by this evening and into tonight.

High temperatures today will be in the 30s to low 40s with lows in the 20s.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY/. Dry and chilly conditions continue into Saturday as high pressure builds across the area and winds shift around to the northwest. Temperatures will remain below average for this time of year with highs on Saturday in the 30s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. As the trough shifts offshore, surface ridging slides into the region as the center of high pressure stays mainly to the south on Sunday and through Monday. Seasonable temperatures in the low 40s on Sunday gradually increase as surface winds shift to a more southerly flow by Monday with highs in the upper 40s and low 50s.

The unsettled week begins with a weak shortwave that approaches the CWA from the west by Tuesday. Increased moisture from southerly flow may result in a few showers as the shortwave passes through the day. Global models then diverge on a solution mid-week as a longwave trough enters the upper Midwest. The GFS has its typical progressive bias and phases a cutoff low in the Southern Plains with the shortwave rounding the base of the trough by Wednesday. This forces surface low pressure development over the mid- Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. The ECMWF keeps these two disturbances separate as the shortwave rounding the base of the trough stays a bit more to the north. Though the interactions between these systems vary between models, low pressure development to our west is likely by late Tuesday into Wednesday with a warm front moving in from the south through Tuesday night and a cold front pushing through by late Wednesday and into Thursday. This will result in the chance of rain showers through most of the middle of the week. High pressure then looks to build back into the area by Thursday.

Temperatures over the week look to be generally well above average. With a dominating southerly flow ahead of the low pressure system, an increase in moisture accompanies warming temperatures. High temperatures will likely be in the middle to upper 50s through mid- week with temperatures possibly cresting 60 degrees in the city by Wednesday. Temperatures gradually cool with the passage of the cold front by late week.

AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. High pressure will gradually build in from the west through Saturday.

VFR through the TAF period.

West winds will gust 25-30 kts today with sustained winds 15-20 kts. Gusts will gradually come down this evening, but could still gust up to 20 kts overnight.

NY Metro Enhanced Aviation Weather Support .

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

KJFK TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

KLGA TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

KEWR TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

KTEB TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

KHPN TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

KISP TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. Saturday. VFR. W/NW winds G20-25kt. Sunday. VFR. NW/W winds G15-20kt. Monday. VFR expected. Tuesday and Wednesday. MVFR or below with a chance of rain.

MARINE. The gale has been replaced with a SCA on the ern ocean, and all ocean zones were extended thru Sat. No changes otherwise. Winds will decrease further tonight, with conditions marginal where a SCA is not in effect.

High pressure moves over the waters Sunday night into Monday with winds and seas below SCA levels on all waters. Winds and seas look to approach SCA on Tuesday ahead of an approaching cold front.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic impacts are expected thru the middle of next week.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is still operating at reduced power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for ANZ330- 335-338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST Saturday for ANZ350-353- 355.

SYNOPSIS . Fig/MW NEAR TERM . SHORT TERM . Fig LONG TERM . MW AVIATION . CB MARINE . HYDROLOGY . Fig/MW EQUIPMENT .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 35 mi55 min WSW 14 G 25 37°F 41°F1008 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 35 mi55 min W 17 G 23 40°F1007.8 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 43 mi53 min 19 G 23 39°F 43°F6 ft1009.9 hPa (-1.8)
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 45 mi43 min WSW 21 G 29 37°F 3 ft17°F
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 46 mi55 min 35°F 41°F1008.8 hPa

Wind History for New Haven, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY6 mi4.8 hrsW 14 G 2310.00 miFair33°F10°F38%1011.7 hPa
The Gabreski Airport, NY7 mi4.8 hrsWSW 21 G 2710.00 miFair and Breezy32°F10°F40%1011.8 hPa
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY19 mi4.8 hrsW 19 G 2710.00 miPartly Cloudy and Breezy33°F10°F38%1011.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHWV

Wind History from HWV (wind in knots)
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1 day agoCalm644SE56E454565E7
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2 days ago------S6S3S4CalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm43CalmCalm3

Tide / Current Tables for Moriches Coast Guard Station, Long Island, New York
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Shinnecock Canal, Railroad Bridge, New York Current
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Shinnecock Canal
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:11 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 03:18 AM EST     -1.40 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 06:26 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:58 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 08:59 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 09:22 AM EST     1.14 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 12:25 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 03:32 PM EST     -1.35 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 05:39 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:10 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 09:46 PM EST     1.25 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 10:29 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.2-0.6-1.1-1.4-1.3-0.9-0.500.71.11.10.80.3-0.4-1-1.3-1.3-1-0.5-0.10.51.11.21

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.