Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Quogue, NY
March 28, 2024 4:54 AM EDT (08:54 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:38 AM Sunset 7:13 PM Moonrise 10:52 PM Moonset 7:59 AM |
ANZ350 Moriches Inlet Ny To Montauk Point Ny Out 20 Nm- 307 Am Edt Thu Mar 28 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through this afternoon - .
.gale watch in effect from this evening through late tonight - .
Today - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Periods of rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tonight - N winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming nw 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Periods of rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Fri - NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft. Slight chance of rain.
Fri night - NW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Sat - W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Sat night - W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Sun - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Sun night - NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Mon - NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon night - SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Chance of rain.
ANZ300 307 Am Edt Thu Mar 28 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - Low pres develops along the carolina coast today, then tracks over the atlc and E of the waters on Fri. The low reaches the canadian maritimes Sat. A clipper type system passes to the south and east late Saturday and Saturday night. High pressure briefly returns Sunday before another low pressure system impacts the region Monday.
Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 280804 AFDOKX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 404 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
SYNOPSIS
Low pressure develops along the Carolina coast today, then tracks up the Atlantic and east of the region on Friday. The low reaches the Canadian Maritimes on Saturday. High pressure briefly returns Sunday before another low pressure system impacts the region Monday through Wednesday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Rain has overspread the area with periods of rain expected thru the day. Deep lift with the jet in a favorable position. Heaviest rain cntrl and ern portions of the cwa based on the trajectory of the moisture plume on water vapor and the modeling which was in good agreement.
A 1011mb low was analyzed near KMYR at 7Z. The low is modeled to gradually deepen thru the day, dropping about 10-15 mb by 6Z Fri. The low will begin to get better organized by 12Z Fri as the nrn stream trof fuels development, but at this point the low should be E of the benchmark.
Used NBM pops for the timing of the back edge of the rain Fri ngt. If the track and timing holds, W of the Hudson would be dry by midnight. The rain hangs on a little longer ern zones, particularly the Twin Forks, but there is little evidence in the 00Z runs of significant wraparound pcpn with the low, at least for this cwa.
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
The low deepens significantly on Fri as it tracks towards the Maritimes. Deep mixing on nwly flow will produce a windy day.
Although not extreme, there could be some gusts to around 35-40 mph with winds in the 25-35kt range thru h85. Some high based cu is modeled in both the NAM and GFS due to steep low and mid lvl lapse rates.
Breezy near the coasts Fri ngt as the flow aloft strengthens, but the cooling bl will be a limiting factor. Temps in the 30s per the NBM which was used.
Dry to start on Sat then there is a chance for some light rain by late aftn and Sat ngt. There is still some uncertainty as the clipper type low is too far S in the GFS to produce pcpn. The ECMWF and NAM are the wetter solns. Pops about 20 percent for this event attm. The NBM was followed for temps.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
No significant changes in the long term period. Zonal flow become reestablished Sunday night and yet another upper trough and surface frontal system will be quickly approaching for Monday. Initially, a warm front will move toward the area Monday, and then the associated low will move slowly eastward into the region Tuesday and Wednesday. With near seasonal temperatures through much of the extended period, except slightly above for Saturday and Sunday, all liquid precipitation is expected. And NBM temperatures looked reasonable through the extended and were used.
AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
A cold front slowly approaches tonight from the west. A wave of low pressure then advances along it from the south into Thursday.
Ceilings and vsbys continue to gradually lower in areas of rain and/or drizzle. VFR/MVFR conditions are expected to continue to diminish to IFR during this time, likely persisting thru much of today. LIFR conditions will be possible at times as well, though coastal and outlying terminals (KISP, KGON, KBDR, KHPN)
may have a higher chance of seeing LIFR cigs into this morning.
Improvement to MVFR is possible Thursday afternoon for the NYC terminals, becoming more likely toward 00Z Fri. A return to VFR is expected shortly thereafter.
Winds will remain fairly light and a bit variable in direction at around 5 kt overnight and into the Thursday morning push.
Winds then shift to the NNW and increase to 10-15 kt Thursday early afternoon. Gusts develop toward 00Z Fri, upwards of 20 to 25 kt Thu night.
NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
Timing of category changes may be off by several hours.
LIFR cigs possible overnight but timing and coverage uncertain.
OUTLOOK FOR 06Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
Thursday night: MVFR or lower to start, gradually improving to VFR overnight as rain comes to an end. Increasing N flow, gusts 20 to 25 kt.
Friday: MVFR early, becoming VFR in the afternoon. Slight chance of rain early for KISP and KGON. NW wind gusts 20-25 kt.
Saturday: Mainly VFR during the day. Chance of showers and MVFR at night, possibly mixed with snow for KSWF. W-NW wind gusts 20-25 kt day. Gusts diminish at night.
Sunday: Mainly VFR. NW wind gusts 15-20 kt afternoon into evening.
Monday: MVFR possible with a chance of showers.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
A sca remains in effect for the cntrl and ern ocean today for 5 ft seas. Wind will otherwise be lgt, but pick up tngt on all waters as low pres develops. A sca for the protected waters and a gale watch for the ocean remain in effect for tngt. Winds were too mrgnl to convert the watch to a warning attm.
For Fri into Sat, solid sca cond expected. There is a chc for gales Fri and Fri ngt, but it is too mrgnl attm to go with a watch.
A light flow is expected Sunday through Monday as high pressure moves through the forecast waters and conditions remain below advisory levels across the forecast waters.
HYDROLOGY
Up to 2 inches of additional rain is expected through tonight across the ern half of the region. Around an inch or less is expected elsewhere. No significant hydrologic impacts are expected, unless the 2 inch axis of heavy rain shifts significantly W into the more flood prone areas of the HSA.
Otherwise, no hydrologic impacts are anticipated into the middle of next week.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM EDT Friday for ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ350- 353.
Gale Watch from this evening through late tonight for ANZ350- 353-355.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 404 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
SYNOPSIS
Low pressure develops along the Carolina coast today, then tracks up the Atlantic and east of the region on Friday. The low reaches the Canadian Maritimes on Saturday. High pressure briefly returns Sunday before another low pressure system impacts the region Monday through Wednesday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Rain has overspread the area with periods of rain expected thru the day. Deep lift with the jet in a favorable position. Heaviest rain cntrl and ern portions of the cwa based on the trajectory of the moisture plume on water vapor and the modeling which was in good agreement.
A 1011mb low was analyzed near KMYR at 7Z. The low is modeled to gradually deepen thru the day, dropping about 10-15 mb by 6Z Fri. The low will begin to get better organized by 12Z Fri as the nrn stream trof fuels development, but at this point the low should be E of the benchmark.
Used NBM pops for the timing of the back edge of the rain Fri ngt. If the track and timing holds, W of the Hudson would be dry by midnight. The rain hangs on a little longer ern zones, particularly the Twin Forks, but there is little evidence in the 00Z runs of significant wraparound pcpn with the low, at least for this cwa.
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
The low deepens significantly on Fri as it tracks towards the Maritimes. Deep mixing on nwly flow will produce a windy day.
Although not extreme, there could be some gusts to around 35-40 mph with winds in the 25-35kt range thru h85. Some high based cu is modeled in both the NAM and GFS due to steep low and mid lvl lapse rates.
Breezy near the coasts Fri ngt as the flow aloft strengthens, but the cooling bl will be a limiting factor. Temps in the 30s per the NBM which was used.
Dry to start on Sat then there is a chance for some light rain by late aftn and Sat ngt. There is still some uncertainty as the clipper type low is too far S in the GFS to produce pcpn. The ECMWF and NAM are the wetter solns. Pops about 20 percent for this event attm. The NBM was followed for temps.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
No significant changes in the long term period. Zonal flow become reestablished Sunday night and yet another upper trough and surface frontal system will be quickly approaching for Monday. Initially, a warm front will move toward the area Monday, and then the associated low will move slowly eastward into the region Tuesday and Wednesday. With near seasonal temperatures through much of the extended period, except slightly above for Saturday and Sunday, all liquid precipitation is expected. And NBM temperatures looked reasonable through the extended and were used.
AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
A cold front slowly approaches tonight from the west. A wave of low pressure then advances along it from the south into Thursday.
Ceilings and vsbys continue to gradually lower in areas of rain and/or drizzle. VFR/MVFR conditions are expected to continue to diminish to IFR during this time, likely persisting thru much of today. LIFR conditions will be possible at times as well, though coastal and outlying terminals (KISP, KGON, KBDR, KHPN)
may have a higher chance of seeing LIFR cigs into this morning.
Improvement to MVFR is possible Thursday afternoon for the NYC terminals, becoming more likely toward 00Z Fri. A return to VFR is expected shortly thereafter.
Winds will remain fairly light and a bit variable in direction at around 5 kt overnight and into the Thursday morning push.
Winds then shift to the NNW and increase to 10-15 kt Thursday early afternoon. Gusts develop toward 00Z Fri, upwards of 20 to 25 kt Thu night.
NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
Timing of category changes may be off by several hours.
LIFR cigs possible overnight but timing and coverage uncertain.
OUTLOOK FOR 06Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
Thursday night: MVFR or lower to start, gradually improving to VFR overnight as rain comes to an end. Increasing N flow, gusts 20 to 25 kt.
Friday: MVFR early, becoming VFR in the afternoon. Slight chance of rain early for KISP and KGON. NW wind gusts 20-25 kt.
Saturday: Mainly VFR during the day. Chance of showers and MVFR at night, possibly mixed with snow for KSWF. W-NW wind gusts 20-25 kt day. Gusts diminish at night.
Sunday: Mainly VFR. NW wind gusts 15-20 kt afternoon into evening.
Monday: MVFR possible with a chance of showers.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
A sca remains in effect for the cntrl and ern ocean today for 5 ft seas. Wind will otherwise be lgt, but pick up tngt on all waters as low pres develops. A sca for the protected waters and a gale watch for the ocean remain in effect for tngt. Winds were too mrgnl to convert the watch to a warning attm.
For Fri into Sat, solid sca cond expected. There is a chc for gales Fri and Fri ngt, but it is too mrgnl attm to go with a watch.
A light flow is expected Sunday through Monday as high pressure moves through the forecast waters and conditions remain below advisory levels across the forecast waters.
HYDROLOGY
Up to 2 inches of additional rain is expected through tonight across the ern half of the region. Around an inch or less is expected elsewhere. No significant hydrologic impacts are expected, unless the 2 inch axis of heavy rain shifts significantly W into the more flood prone areas of the HSA.
Otherwise, no hydrologic impacts are anticipated into the middle of next week.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM EDT Friday for ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ350- 353.
Gale Watch from this evening through late tonight for ANZ350- 353-355.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY | 36 mi | 55 min | 44°F | 44°F | 29.98 | |||
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT | 37 mi | 55 min | SE 4.1G | 45°F | 42°F | 30.03 | ||
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT | 41 mi | 55 min | 0G | 46°F | 45°F | 29.98 | ||
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather | 42 mi | 40 min | NNW 5.1G | 45°F | ||||
NLHC3 | 45 mi | 55 min | 47°F | 47°F | 30.03 |
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Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KFOK FRANCIS S GABRESKI,NY | 4 sm | 24 min | WNW 04 | 3 sm | Overcast | Rain Mist | 46°F | 45°F | 93% | 30.01 |
KHWV BROOKHAVEN,NY | 16 sm | 36 min | N 04 | 4 sm | Overcast | Rain Mist | 46°F | 43°F | 87% | 30.00 |
Tide / Current for Shinnecock Bay entrance, Shinnecock Bay, New York
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Shinnecock Bay entrance, Shinnecock Bay, New York, Tide feet
Shinnecock Canal
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:00 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 03:13 AM EDT -1.56 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:39 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 06:49 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:58 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 09:11 AM EDT 1.13 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 12:14 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 03:20 PM EDT -1.38 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:38 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:11 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 09:29 PM EDT 1.38 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 10:52 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:00 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 03:13 AM EDT -1.56 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:39 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 06:49 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:58 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 09:11 AM EDT 1.13 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 12:14 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 03:20 PM EDT -1.38 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:38 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:11 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 09:29 PM EDT 1.38 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 10:52 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Shinnecock Canal, Railroad Bridge, New York Current, knots
12 am |
0 |
1 am |
-0.8 |
2 am |
-1.3 |
3 am |
-1.6 |
4 am |
-1.4 |
5 am |
-1 |
6 am |
-0.5 |
7 am |
0.1 |
8 am |
0.8 |
9 am |
1.1 |
10 am |
1 |
11 am |
0.7 |
12 pm |
0.2 |
1 pm |
-0.6 |
2 pm |
-1.1 |
3 pm |
-1.4 |
4 pm |
-1.3 |
5 pm |
-0.9 |
6 pm |
-0.3 |
7 pm |
0.2 |
8 pm |
0.8 |
9 pm |
1.3 |
10 pm |
1.3 |
11 pm |
1 |
Upton, NY,
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