Saturday, December7, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bayville, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:03AMSunset 4:28PM Saturday December 7, 2019 4:35 AM EST (09:35 UTC) Moonrise 3:10PMMoonset 3:11AM Illumination 79% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 957 Pm Est Fri Dec 6 2019
.small craft advisory in effect until 3 am est Saturday...
Tonight..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..SE winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon night..SW winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Periods of rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Occasional showers.
Tue night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Showers likely.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain and snow showers in the morning. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
ANZ300 957 Pm Est Fri Dec 6 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A cold front passes through the area this evening. High pressure will follow for Saturday and then build offshore on Sunday. A slow moving frontal system will affect the area through mid week, followed by high pressure late in the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bayville, NY
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location: 40.9, -73.55     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 070610 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 110 AM EST Sat Dec 7 2019

SYNOPSIS. On the heels of a cold frontal passage, high pressure will follow for Saturday and then build offshore on Sunday. A slow moving frontal system will affect the area through mid week, followed by arctic high pressure late in the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. Cold front has moved south and east of the area with cold advection and NW winds. Winds will gradually diminish through the night with a few gusts up 25 mph possible the next couple of hours.

Lows will be slightly below seasonable, ranging from the mid 20s interior to the upper 20s and lower 30s city/coast.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/. Northern stream trough amplifies over the region Saturday, sliding east Saturday Night, with weak upper ridging building in for Sunday.

Mostly sunny, dry and unseasonably cool conditions Saturday as Canadian high pressure builds overhead. High generally in the lower 30s Interior, and mid to upper 30s city/coast. Occasional NW gusts to 15 to 20 mph possible.

Potential for strong radiational cooling conds Saturday Night with high pressure overhead. Lows well down into the lower teens across Interior, particularly where snowpack lingers, as well as pine barrens of LI. Otherwise, lows generally in the upper teens to lower 20s coast, mid 20's city.

High pressure slides offshore Sunday, with developing return flow and temperatures moderating a bit. Another dry day, with increasing high clouds filtering in with PAC flow. Highs generally upper 30s to lower 40s, but still a few degrees below seasonable.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. Large upper trough moves out of the west and across the middle of the country early next week, with good model consensus. The trough axis passes Thursday as it lifts northeastward, with rising heights by late in the week.

At the surface, high pressure continues to move well to the east as waves of low pressure ride along a front over the mid west to the northeast. As these waves of low pressure ride along the front toward the Great Lakes region, a warm front lifts north of the area Monday. Rain chances increase Sunday night into Monday ahead of this warm front, and in strong WAA and increasing lift, along with plenty of sub tropical moisture. The cold front will approach the area Tuesday, and model consensus tracks the front across the area Tuesday night. The front moves slowly east Wednesday, with a lingering sfc trough possibly passing through Wednesday late in the day or at night. High pressure then builds behind, ushering in the coldest air of the season.

As for sensible weather, showers on Tuesday and Tuesday night taper off early Wednesday, with some difference in the models with amount of post frontal precip lingering ahead of slow moving trough Wednesday. Depending on amount of precip behind the front, enough cold air could result in a period of wintry weather Wednesday morning.

Gusty southerly winds will result in mild temperatures Sunday night (rising) and Monday. This mild air remains in placed ahead of the cold front Monday night and Tuesday, before temperatures fall back Tuesday night and Wednesday. Very cold air will settle in Wednesday night and Thursday, with temps likely remain below freezing. A slight warmup is expected by Friday as the high passes east.

Total QPF amounts of 1-3 inches is expected with this long duration event, Sunday night-Wednesday morning. 6Z GEFS plumes show this spread, with mean right around 1 1/2 inches.

AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Predominately VFR conditions expected through the forecast period. 5kft ceilings will give way to mostly clear skies behind a cold front pushing south through the region during the overnight hours.

NW winds 10-15 G20-25kt will gradually diminish overnight to 5-10 kts.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. Sunday. VFR. Sunday night and Monday. Rain showers likely with MVFR or lower conditions. Tuesday. MVFR or IFR in rain, with conditions improving late at night. Wednesday. VFR. NW G30kt possible.

MARINE. SCA for all waters overnight, ending on the sound, bays, and harbor at 3am, and the ocean 7 am.

High pressure builds in from the west through Saturday with sub-sca conditions.

The high builds offshore on Sunday with southerly winds gradually increasing into Monday as the pressure gradient tightens between the departing high to the east and cold front to the west. As the front draws closer, the southerly flow will increase late Monday into Monday night, with gusts 25-35 kt or near gale force for eastern waters. Winds diminish somewhat as the front nears and passes Tuesday, Tuesday night and possibly into Wednesday. Winds should increase as they turn to the west/northwest late Wednesday.

Seas will builds Sunday night and Monday in strengthening southerly flow. Seas will subside slowly Tuesday-Wednesday as the cold front passes and winds diminish somewhat.

HYDROLOGY. No significant liquid equivalent is forecast through Sunday.

A significant long duration rainfall event is expected later Sunday night, continuing through Tuesday night. There will be some lulls in the precipitation, but the rain could be heavy at times Monday and Monday night, and again later Tuesday. The long duration of the event should preclude widespread flooding. Nuisance/poor drainage flooding is the most likely outcome.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is still operating at reduced power.

The KOKX WSR-88D radar will be out of service until approximately 12/7 due to the refurbishment of the transmitter. This work is part of the NEXRAD Service Life Extension Program.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM EST early this morning for ANZ330-335-338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for ANZ350- 353-355.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44022 - Execution Rocks 10 mi50 min NW 9.7 G 16 36°F 32°F23°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 13 mi47 min NNE 9.9 G 13 36°F 43°F1024.5 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 27 mi59 min N 4.1 G 6 32°F 45°F1022.8 hPa
44069 28 mi50 min NNW 14 G 18 36°F 38°F22°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 28 mi47 min 35°F 46°F1024.2 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 32 mi47 min NNW 16 G 20 36°F 1023.8 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 36 mi47 min 36°F 45°F1024.5 hPa
MHRN6 37 mi47 min NW 11 G 14
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 38 mi25 min NNW 18 G 23 38°F 49°F1024.1 hPa26°F
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 39 mi47 min NNW 14 G 20 36°F 41°F1024.4 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 43 mi47 min N 8 G 15 33°F 40°F1022.5 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 49 mi45 min NNW 21 G 27 40°F 51°F5 ft1022.7 hPa (+2.8)

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY14 mi42 minNNW 910.00 miFair35°F19°F52%1023.5 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY15 mi1.7 hrsNW 1410.00 miFair33°F17°F52%1022.6 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY19 mi44 minNW 1210.00 miA Few Clouds36°F21°F57%1023.8 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY21 mi44 minNNW 1110.00 miA Few Clouds34°F24°F67%1024.1 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY24 mi44 minVar 410.00 miFair34°F21°F59%1023.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFRG

Wind History from FRG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW6W4CalmS4SW6SW11SW14SW14SW16
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1 day agoW7W10W8NW10
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmW6W7W8W7W8W9W6W7W11W6W6W5W5W8W6W8W6W6W4W6W6

Tide / Current Tables for Bayville Bridge, Oyster Bay, New York
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:41 AM EST     0.83 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 02:12 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 04:45 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:05 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:00 AM EST     -0.62 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 11:12 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:07 PM EST     0.92 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 02:10 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:27 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:31 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:28 PM EST     -0.62 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 11:54 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.70.80.40.1-0-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.5-0.2-00.10.60.90.70.30.1-0.1-0.4-0.6-0.6-0.3-0.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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