Tuesday, March2, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Shinnecock Hills, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:21AMSunset 5:45PM Tuesday March 2, 2021 5:59 PM EST (22:59 UTC) Moonrise 10:50PMMoonset 9:26AM Illumination 82% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ340 Peconic And Gardiners Bays- 410 Pm Est Tue Mar 2 2021
.gale warning in effect until 7 pm est this evening...
Tonight..W winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt late this evening. Gusts up to 35 kt early kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Wed..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Occasional gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Wed night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Thu night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Fri..NW winds around 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Fri night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun..N winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
ANZ300 410 Pm Est Tue Mar 2 2021
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Strong high pressure to the west will weaken and slide to the south tonight into Wednesday as a warm front passes well to the north. A cold front will approach from the north Wednesday night and pass through early Thursday. The region will then be situated between strong low pressure over the canadian maritimes and high pressure across southern canada Thursday into Saturday. The high pressure will build over the region early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Shinnecock Hills, NY
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location: 40.91, -72.45     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 022100 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 400 PM EST Tue Mar 2 2021

SYNOPSIS. Strong high pressure to the west will weaken and slide to the south tonight into Wednesday as a warm front passes well to the north. A cold front will approach from the north Wednesday night and pass through early Thursday. The region will then be situated between strong low pressure over the Canadian Maritimes and high pressure across southern Canada Thursday into Saturday. The high pressure will build over the region early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/. Cancelled the wind advy as winds continue to diminish for the most part, with only a couple of sites across SE CT still showing gusts up to 35 kt.

As high pressure to the west slides off the Mid Atlantic coast this evening, winds should turn W to WSW and continue to diminish. After evening low temps in the teens inland/Long Island Pine Barrens and in the 20s elsewhere, temps should become steady or slowly rise overnight. Skies should also become ptcldy to mostly cloudy over southern CT as the warm front passes to the north.

SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. Wed should be a mostly sunny day, and with mixing to mixing to 875mb or so and downslope W winds 10-15 mph it should be a noticeably milder day, with highs around 50 for NYC metro and most of Long Island, and in the mid/upper 40s to the north. Was tempted to go even warmer, but temps in first day of return flow often stay on the medium to low side of the guidance envelope.

A dry cold fropa expected toward morning Thu, with winds shifting NW and low temps from 30-35 NYC metro to 25-30 elsewhere.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. A deep closed low aloft over the Canadian Maritimes will slowly retrograde a bit westward on Thursday. This upper low is then likely to meander over the Canadian Maritimes Friday into the weekend carving out mean troughing over the northeastern seaboard through the weekend. Upper ridging will persist across the Rockies into Central Canada late this week before gradually shifting eastward this weekend and early next week. The mean trough axis on the ensembles is too far east for any system to impact the region and the overall synoptic pattern favors dry conditions in the long term. Temperatures will generally average below normal into the weekend. Temperatures then trend towards above normal levels early next week as the mean trough shifts offshore and the upper ridge builds over the eastern states.

A cold front moves further offshore Thursday morning with cold advection taking shape through the day. A breezy NW flow will also occur due to the increasing pressure gradient over the area between building high pressure to our west and the aforementioned low pressure across southeast Canada. The breezy NW flow will continue Thursday night into Friday before gradually diminishing this weekend as the high pressure slowly nears and the pressure gradient relaxes. The high should then build to our south early next week.

The models continue to indicate a southern stream shortwave traversing across the Gulf Coast Friday into the weekend, then interacting with a northern stream shortwave within the mean upper trough. Due to the aforementioned positioning of the mean trough, the low pressure associated with these systems is expected to pass well south and east of the northeast coast. Have removed the slight chance PoPs from the forecast on Sunday.

Temperatures on Thursday will be close to normal in the lower to middle 40s, then middle to upper 30s on Friday. Some slight moderation is possible this weekend with highs in the upper 30s to near 40 degrees. Temps should then warm back into the 40s Monday and possibly into the lower 50s by next Tuesday. Nighttime temperatures will generally be in the 20s through the weekend.

AVIATION /21Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. VFR as strong low pressure remains in the Canadian Maritimes through tonight, a warm front passes well north, and high pressure to the west shifts to the south tonight, then weakens on Wednesday.

W-NW gusty winds gradually diminish late this afternoon, and then end early this evening, 00Z-01Z, as winds become more westerly 10-14 kt. Winds shift to SW late tonight, generally under 10 kt, and become W-NW 10-15 kt Wednesday morning. There may be occasional gusts to near 20 kt by late Wednesday morning.

. NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty .

Timing of the end of gusts may be off +/- an hour or two.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. Wednesday afternoon through Sunday. VFR. NW winds G20-25 on Thu, and G25-30kt on Friday.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE. Low water advy continues for tonight for all but ern CT/Long Island, as water levels around times of low tide likely bottom out at a little over 2 ft below MLLW.

With buoy obs missing and near shore obs still showing some gusts up to 35 kt across SE CT, opted to keep the gale warning for the eastern waters til 7 PM. Replaced the warning with SCA elsewhere, into this evening for the sheltered waters, but going into daytime Wed for the ocean W of Moriches Inlet as WSW flow gusts up to 25 kt and seas remain aoa 5 ft. The remaining waters could see a brief pd of gusts up to 25 kt mid to late Wed morning, decided not to extent SCA there however due to the relatively brief duration. Some 5-ft seas could linger into Wed night on the outer ocean waters E of Moriches.

SCA conditions are likely on the waters from late day Thursday through Friday night due a tight pressure gradient. The pressure gradient begins to relax by Saturday morning with winds likely to fall below SCA levels on all waters for the upcoming weekend. The strongest winds are likely to occur Thursday night into Friday and ocean wind gusts may reach around 30 kt. Ocean seas will build to around 5 ft Thursday and remain there through Friday before subsiding Friday night.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic impacts through the weekend.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Low Water Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for ANZ335-338- 345-353-355. Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for ANZ335- 338. Gale Warning until 7 PM EST this evening for ANZ330-340-350. Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Wednesday for ANZ353. Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Wednesday for ANZ355. Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for ANZ345.



SYNOPSIS . BG/DS NEAR TERM . BG SHORT TERM . BG LONG TERM . DS AVIATION . MET MARINE . BG/DS HYDROLOGY . BG/DS


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 19 mi180 min W 23 G 31 31°F 37°F5 ft
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 26 mi130 min WNW 25 G 31 31°F 41°F7 ft1017.9 hPa13°F
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 28 mi132 min 30°F 1016.7 hPa
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 34 mi125 min WNW 27 G 38 29°F 1013.5 hPa-6°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 35 mi132 min NW 23 G 28 31°F 36°F1018.4 hPa
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 37 mi132 min 29°F 1016.8 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 43 mi132 min WNW 8 G 14 31°F 37°F1018.3 hPa

Wind History for New Haven, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
The Gabreski Airport, NY11 mi67 minWNW 19 G 2910.00 miFair and Breezy31°F3°F30%1019.6 hPa
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY23 mi64 minWNW 18 G 2910.00 miFair and Breezy32°F2°F27%1019.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFOK

Wind History from FOK (wind in knots)
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1 day ago6E8SE8SE7E4E45E6E8
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2 days agoW11W9NW12W5W4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE7NE5NE7NE7NE4E5SE56

Tide / Current Tables for Shinnecock Canal, Long Island Sound, New York
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Shinnecock Canal
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Tue -- 01:40 AM EST     2.88 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:22 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:15 AM EST     -0.33 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:25 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 02:04 PM EST     2.60 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:42 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:30 PM EST     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:50 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.42.82.92.51.91.20.5-0-0.3-0.20.41.21.92.42.62.41.91.30.70.2-0.2-0.20.31.1

Tide / Current Tables for Shinnecock Canal, Railroad Bridge, New York Current
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Shinnecock Canal
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:24 AM EST     -1.89 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 05:49 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:22 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:25 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 08:25 AM EST     1.61 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 11:32 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 02:42 PM EST     -1.86 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 05:42 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:05 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 08:52 PM EST     1.73 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 09:50 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.8-1.5-1.8-1.8-1.3-0.60.111.61.51.20.5-0.5-1.3-1.7-1.8-1.4-0.8-0.10.81.51.71.51

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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