Tuesday, July14, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Eatons Neck, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:33AMSunset 8:26PM Tuesday July 14, 2020 1:18 PM EDT (17:18 UTC) Moonrise 1:11AMMoonset 2:48PM Illumination 32% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 1038 Am Edt Tue Jul 14 2020
Today..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Slight chance of showers and tstms this afternoon.
Tonight..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers after midnight.
Fri..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers. Chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms.
Sat..SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 1038 Am Edt Tue Jul 14 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A back door cold front will pass through from the north Tuesday, with high pressure building in for Tuesday night and Wednesday before shifting east on Thursday. The next frontal system will affect the region Thursday night into Friday evening. High pressure will build in on Saturday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Eatons Neck, NY
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location: 40.93, -73.39     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 141517 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1117 AM EDT Tue Jul 14 2020

SYNOPSIS. A back door cold front will approach from the north today and pass through this afternoon into early this evening. High pressure builds in for Tuesday night into Thursday morning. The next frontal system will affect the region Thursday night into Friday night. High pressure will build in for the upcoming weekend. Another frontal system is possible for next Monday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. Forecast remains on track, just updated to account for latest observations and trends.

A mid level trough moves through during the day with a weak sfc low pressure system heading into the Gulf of Maine. A backdoor cold front pushes through the eastern portions of the area later this afternoon, providing sufficient lift for the development of showers and thunderstorms. Depending on the amount of destabilization ahead of the front, a few of the thunderstorms may be severe, given modest low and mid level lapse rates. Any storms should be scattered and confined to coastal/SE CT per latest HREF. SPC has placed this area a marginal risk. Precipitable water values are a bit lower than in previous days, 1-1.5", but storm motions appear somewhat slow given weak mid and upper flow, so any thunderstorms that do develop may pose a localized flash flood threat. Any shower and thunderstorm activity comes to an end quickly as the front pushes offshore.

Temperatures should be around normal, in the mid to upper 80s under northerly flow becoming easterly by evening.

There is a moderate risk of rip current development at the ocean beaches as long period southerly swell continues.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY/. The upper trough axis moves offshore by late Tuesday with ridging building in from the west. Any lingering precipitation comes to an end. High pressure builds back in for Wednesday with dry conditions under subsidence expected.

Temperatures should be a few degrees cooler than on Tuesday, though dewpoints will creep up a bit as easterly flow becomes southerly by Wednesday night.

There is a moderate risk of rip current development at the ocean beaches again on Wednesday.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. A sub tropical ridge will be building into the eastern states Wednesday as the flow across the remainder of the country remains nearly zonal and progressive. The eastern ridge moves offshore Thursday as a warm front approaches and moves north early Friday. A weakening cold front crosses the region Friday into Friday night before sliding offshore Saturday morning. This will bring a chance of showers and thunderstorms to the region Friday into Friday night.

The sub tropical ridge becomes reestablished Saturday and Sunday, and extends into eastern Canada. With the strong ridge in place a weak shortwave moving through the flow Sunday will dampen and have little impact. Above normal temperatures are expected for the upcoming weekend, along with increased humidity levels. Any storms that do develop Sunday will likely be well north of the region, along the northern edge of the high. With the progressive and nearly zonal flow, yet another shortwave moves into the region Monday. Once again with the subtropical ridge dominating the chances for precipitation will be mainly north of the area.

AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. A backdoor cold front will cross the area this evening, followed by high pressure building in for Wednesday.

VFR through the TAF period. A few showers and thunderstorms are possible this afternoon well east of the NYC terminals. Can't completely rule out a shower or storm getting as far west as KISP and KBDR, but the best chances will be confined to KGON between approximately 18-22Z. There is a chance of MVFR ceilings tonight, but think if these occur they are likely to be confined to far eastern terminals.

NW winds 5-10 kt this morning. By afternoon, the flow will turn more westerly right along the coast as seabreezes try to develop. Winds then shift to the NE after the frontal passage with speeds less than 10 kt tonight.

. NY Metro Enhanced Aviation Weather Support .

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

KJFK TAF Comments: Low chance of a sea breeze after 18Z this afternoon.

The afternoon KJFK haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KLGA TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

The afternoon KLGA haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KEWR TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

The afternoon KEWR haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KTEB TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

KHPN TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

KISP TAF Comments: Low chance of a shower or thunderstorm after 18Z.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. Wednesday. MVFR cigs possible in the morning, otherwise VFR. Thursday. VFR. Thursday night-Friday night. Chance of SHRA/TSRA with MVFR or lower conditions. Saturday. VFR.

MARINE. Buoys continue to show wave heights of 4-5 ft across the southeast ocean this morning although slowly diminishing. As such, the SCA continues E of Moriches Inlet til 2 PM, as 5-ft seas expected to continue.

With high pressure across the forecast waters Wednesday into Thursday winds and seas will remain below SCA levels.

A frontal system impacts the waters Thursday night into Friday evening with the chance of thunderstorms. High pressure returns Saturday. Winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels across the forecast waters Thursday night through the upcoming weekend.

HYDROLOGY. No significant widespread rainfall expected through Sunday.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is undergoing its final stages of testing, and is operating at full power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ350.



SYNOPSIS . FEB/DBR/MET NEAR TERM . DBR/DW SHORT TERM . DBR LONG TERM . FEB/MET AVIATION . FEB MARINE . FEB/DBR/MET HYDROLOGY . FEB/DBR/MET EQUIPMENT . //


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 10 mi78 min NW 5.8 G 7.8 79°F 64°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 18 mi48 min NNW 5.8 G 9.7 79°F 64°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 20 mi84 min 71°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 35 mi84 min 73°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 37 mi84 min 77°F
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 42 mi38 min W 5.8 G 7.8 76°F1013.9 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 45 mi84 min 78°F
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 46 mi84 min 79°F
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 48 mi38 min W 7.8 G 9.7 74°F1013.9 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY14 mi25 minN 10 G 1510.00 miFair85°F59°F42%1013.8 hPa
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY18 mi22 minNNW 1110.00 miPartly Cloudy83°F61°F48%1013.6 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY20 mi22 minNW 610.00 miPartly Cloudy80°F60°F51%1013.8 hPa
Bridgeport, Sikorsky Memorial Airport, CT22 mi26 minNNW 6 G 1510.00 miPartly Cloudy84°F62°F48%1013.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFRG

Wind History from FRG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--S12SW11S14SW13NW9NW4NW3NW3W4NW4NW53N4CalmNW5N4NW7NW5N9N9N8N6N10
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1 day agoW11
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SW18SW12SW13SW12SW7SW10SW9W4W3W4CalmCalmN3NW3CalmCalmCalmW7--S9SW10
2 days agoS15S12S15S13S17S12S13S9W5CalmS6SW6SW6W9W8W8SW6SW8W10W12W8W10W8W12
G17

Tide / Current Tables for Eatons Neck Point, Long Island, New York
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:11 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:24 AM EDT     0.85 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 04:31 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:42 AM EDT     -0.54 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 10:41 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 01:49 PM EDT     0.79 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 02:49 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 04:29 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 08:03 PM EDT     -0.57 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:53 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.80.80.30.1-0.1-0.3-0.5-0.5-0.3-0.100.20.60.80.50.1-0.1-0.2-0.5-0.6-0.5-0.20

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.