Tuesday, March2, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Lake Arthur Estates, PA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:51AMSunset 6:15PM Tuesday March 2, 2021 8:52 PM EST (01:52 UTC) Moonrise 10:23PMMoonset 8:57AM Illumination 81% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ148 Expires:202103022115;;360778 Fzus51 Kcle 021401 Nshcle Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 901 Am Est Tue Mar 2 2021 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez145>149-022115- Vermilion To Avon Point Oh-avon Point To Willowick Oh- Willowick To Geneva-on-the Lake Oh-geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh-conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 901 Am Est Tue Mar 2 2021
This afternoon..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tonight..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots. Mostly clear. Waves 2 feet or less building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 5 to 15 knots. Partly Sunny. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of snow and rain showers in the evening. Waves 2 feet or less. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Thursday through Saturday. The water temperature off toledo is 33 degrees, off cleveland 35 degrees, and off erie 34 degrees.
LEZ148


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lake Arthur Estates, PA
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location: 40.95, -80.15     debug


Area Discussion for - Pittsburgh, PA
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FXUS61 KPBZ 022357 AAA AFDPBZ

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 657 PM EST Tue Mar 2 2021

SYNOPSIS. The week will feature mostly dry weather as high pressure remains largely in control. The only exception will be a few scattered snow showers Wednesday night into Thursday with a cold front. Temperatures will be below normal more often than above through the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. No major changes for the evening update. Temperatures were refreshed with a blend of hires model guidance.

Previous discussion . High pressure will continue to drift southward out of the region tonight, with a continuation of a mostly clear sky. The southward drift of the high will reintroduce a low- level pressure gradient, which will help to keep the boundary layer mixed and keep ideal radiational cooling conditions from developing. The southwest flow will also provide warm advection, which will help morning minimum temperatures remain closer to climatology as compared to this morning.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/. Continued warm advection and plenty of sunshine will help temperatures rise above normal Wednesday afternoon, with the majority of the region getting to or above 50 degrees. The models still bring a cold front southward across the region Wednesday night. Moisture will remain very shallow near and behind the boundary, although Lake Erie may provide a modest contribution in the post-frontal northwest flow. Still, cloud tops will likely struggle to cool to -10C. This will bring ice nucleation into question, and for now only scattered snow showers are expected at most, with very limited accumulation potential mainly north and east of Pittsburgh. Some of the precipitation may actually be realized as sprinkles or very light freezing rain, but will leave that detail out for now. Precipitation will end Thursday afternoon, with a clearing sky for Thursday night as high pressure returns from the Great Lakes. Temperatures will drop back a bit below normal behind the front for Thursday and Thursday night.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. High pressure will largely remain in control at the surface right on through Tuesday, with a continued dry forecast into early next week. Upper troughing will remain in place through the weekend, pointing to continued below normal temperature. However, by early next week, we return to more of an upper ridging pattern in response to deepening low pressure over the western CONUS. This will thus lead to warming temperatures, with readings well into the 50s projected for Monday and Tuesday. The next decent chance of precipitation may hold off until a day or two past the end of the forecast period, depending on when the western low can approach.

AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. High pressure will continue to provide a mostly clear sky through the TAF period, although a few clouds will begin to show up north of Pittsburgh by midday tomorrow ahead of a cold front. A low level jet ahead of that same front will create low level wind shear conditions overnight at FKL and DUJ. Light and variable wind will settle more towards a southwesterly direction overnight and Wednesday.

Surface winds will increase Wednesday morning with gusts to 20kts possible during the afternoon.

Outlook. Ceiling restrictions are possible with a Wednesday night/Thursday cold front.

PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. OH . None. WV . None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 82 mi154 min WSW 8.9 G 9.9 30°F 36°F1019.2 hPa24°F

Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Castle, New Castle Municipal Airport, PA15 mi56 minSSW 3 miFair30°F15°F54%0 hPa
Beaver County Airport, PA16 mi57 minSSW 310.00 miFair33°F13°F43%1019.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KUCP

Wind History from UCP (wind in knots)
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NW10NW5N4CalmCalmNW4N6CalmCalmCalm36SW85SW5SW4CalmSW3
1 day agoW5SW3SW4SW7SW4SW7NW14
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE5SE5E3E4E6SE6Calm3CalmCalmCalm36SE7SE7SE63--Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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