Wednesday, January22, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Lake Arthur Estates, PA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:38AMSunset 5:26PM Wednesday January 22, 2020 5:36 PM EST (22:36 UTC) Moonrise 5:56AMMoonset 3:22PM Illumination 5% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ148 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the-lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 954 Am Est Wed Jan 22 2020
This afternoon..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..South winds 5 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday..South winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. Cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 10 knots or less. Cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Friday through Sunday. The water temperature off toledo is 33 degrees, off cleveland 36 degrees, and off erie 35 degrees.
LEZ148 Expires:202001222115;;343390 FZUS51 KCLE 221454 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 954 AM EST Wed Jan 22 2020 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ148-149-222115-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lake Arthur Estates, PA
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location: 40.95, -80.15     debug


Area Discussion for - Pittsburgh, PA
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FXUS61 KPBZ 221906 AFDPBZ

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 206 PM EST Wed Jan 22 2020

SYNOPSIS. Dry weather is expected until precipitation returns for the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. High pressure will maintain quiet weather the remainder of the day and overnight. Overnight lows will be closer to normal with increasing upper level cloud coverage.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. Above normal temperatures return Thursday and Friday as warm air advection increases ahead of a central CONUS trough. Despite high cloudiness marring insolation, highs were projected about 10 degrees above the averages.

By Thursday night, cutoff upper low pressure is forecast just west of the MO/MS-junction with a broad swath of warm, moist advection on its van blanketing the OH Valley and Great Lakes. For the Upr OH Region, the resulting precip. is not slated to begin until after daybreak on Friday as a layer of reinforced dry air under 700 mb is progged to delay saturation for a few hours, and possibly support wet-bulb cooling and a precip. initiation of snow, or a rain/snow mix.

Deterioration can be expected thereafter with model-world agreeing on rapid saturation over the area as the systems "trowal" is shoved over the region with the advance of the low. Given that warmth aloft, and the split-flow nature of the pattern, a rain event is expected for most areas although with an initiation of a wintry mix. The exception looks to be in the higher elevations of course where dynamic cooling from the upslope and the terrain altered temperature profile may support prolonged snow, and/or freezing rain. At moment, widespread flooding does not look to be an issue given forecasts of progressive convergence/frontogenesis areas in conjunction with a relatively weak, overall wind field and a precipital water prognosis on the order of 3/4 inch.

Nevertheless, colder air will wrap quickly into the maturing and well-stacked system by Saturday morning and change rain to snow. Fortunately, a precip.-alleviating mid level dry slot is also forecast and heavier precip. potential will thrust forward to the coast with a rapidly deepening surface low while snow showers plague the Upper Ohio. Relatively warm boundary layer temperature should inhibit problems, but upslope into the ridges is expected to generate additional accumulation, and headlines for snow accumulation there may be needed for Saturday night and Sunday.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. A progressive pattern is forecast to begin the new week with colder and showery Monday troughing giving way to moderation and drying on Tuesday via shortwave ridging.

AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period under high pressure.

Outlook. Widespread restrictions are expected Fri thru Sun with crossing low pressure.

PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. OH . None. PA . None. WV . None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 77 mi67 min S 5.1 G 13 41°F
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 82 mi49 min S 9.9 G 11 34°F 33°F1026 hPa15°F

Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Castle, New Castle Municipal Airport, PA15 mi41 minSSE 310.00 miFair33°F16°F49%1030.7 hPa
Beaver County Airport, PA16 mi42 minN 010.00 miFair33°F16°F51%1026.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KUCP

Wind History from UCP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW3SW3SW3SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS5S43SW4CalmS5SE3
1 day agoN4N5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW4W4W3SW3SW4SW5NW4W4W6W5W4S3
2 days agoW11
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6W8W11W12W8W8W5W4SW4W4CalmCalmCalmCalmSW3CalmN7N76
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Pittsburgh, PA (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Pittsburgh, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.