Sunday, January19, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
New Suffolk, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:10AMSunset 4:51PM Sunday January 19, 2020 12:30 AM EST (05:30 UTC) Moonrise 3:08AMMoonset 1:39PM Illumination 35% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ340 Peconic And Gardiners Bays- 1103 Pm Est Sat Jan 18 2020
.small craft advisory in effect from 7 am est Sunday through Sunday afternoon...
Overnight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Occasional gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 to 3 ft. Rain likely late this evening. Chance of rain late. Vsby 1 to 3 nm late this evening.
Sun..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sun night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Mon..NW winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Mon night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
Tue..NW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..NW winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..W winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 1103 Pm Est Sat Jan 18 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A warm front and developing secondary low pressure slides east of the region overnight and east of new england on Sunday. High pressure will then slowly build from the west.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near New Suffolk, NY
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location: 40.99, -72.47     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 190221 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 921 PM EST Sat Jan 18 2020

SYNOPSIS. As low pressure moves across the upper Great Lakes region, secondary low pressure will begin to develop along an approaching warm front entering the waters late this evening. This secondary low will pass east of New England on Sunday. High pressure will then slowly build from the west.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/. Winter wx advisories cancelled where steady wintry precip had completely ended within the past hour, leaving Putnam, Westchester, and southern CT. Temps across Long Island and parts of coastal CT are warming thru the 30s, with precip changing to rain, and precip there should end by midnight.

Temps overnight should rise to 40-45 along the coast as the warm front enters the area, and into the mid/upper 30s most elsewhere except in some sheltered inland valleys. Scattered snow/rain showers are possible late as a trailing cold front moves across.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/. Deep cyclonic flow will remain as the center of the low pulls east, and a weak trough remains back across the Hudson Valley into southern New England. Models do indicate enough moisture with the trough and have some precipitation as energy continues to rotate through the longwave upper trough. Think that a few flurries will be possible inland but will leave out the mention at this time. Temps may not change very much through the day, with highs a GFS/NAM MOS/2m temp blend, upper 30s inland and lower 40s along the coast and across much of southern CT.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. Canadian high pressure will build slowly, reaching the area by mid to late week. The area sits between the departing low and front, and high pressure across the mid west, resulting in a cold and gusty N/NW wind through Monday/Monday night. These chilly winds begin to abate Tuesday as the pressure gradient relaxes.

Upper northern stream trough over the northeast, with digging shortwave that rounds the base of the trough and passes well to the south by mid week. Ridge builds thereafter ahead of next trough that approaches by next weekend.

As for sensible weather, dry and cold conditions (below normal) are anticipated early in the week, with slow moderation back to above normal, with continued dry weather, by late in the week.

Temps aloft too warm for anything but rain by next Saturday. If temps are initially too cold, dependent on when precip arrives, some freezing rain is possible.

AVIATION /02Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Low pressure and its associated frontal system moves across the northeast through tonight.

IFR conditions this evening, locally LIFR. Snow has transitioned to mix of ra/pl/sn at NYC/NJ and LI terminals, with expectation of complete transition to rain by around 1z. The change to rain should also occur for coastal CT terminal by 1z to 2z, while HPN may see a change to FZRAPL, before a change to rain 02-03z. KSWF should stay mainly snow, perhaps mixing with sleet before ending. Precip should taper off from w to e btwn 2-4z. A band of scattered rain showers possible late tonight, rain/snow mix at KSWF.

Conditions gradually improve to MVFR late tonight and VFR during morning push.

S/SE winds 10-15kt at the coast and light winds interior, shift to the SW overnight and increase to 10-15kt with gusts to 20 kt for morning push. W/WNW winds 10-20G25kt developing Saturday morning and continuing through evening push. Winds expected to be left of 300 true for morning push, but could waver to the right of that for evening push.

Additional snow of up to 1 inch for northern terminals.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. Sunday Night. VFR. W-WNW gusts near 20-25kt. Gusts diminish late Sunday night. Monday-Thursday. VFR.

MARINE. SCA conds in increasing S flow expected on the ocean waters tonight. Elsewhere, mainly sub SCA conds tonight, though the far eastern sound/bays might gust up to 25 kt at times.

On Sunday, expect SCA conds daytime on all waters as W-NW winds increase behind departing low pressure. Thereafter, cold gusty NW winds will persist through Monday, then abate Tuesday, with light winds expected mid week.

Initially rough seas will subside through the week.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic impacts are expected through Friday of next week.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is still operating at reduced power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . Winter Weather Advisory until 1 AM EST Sunday for CTZ005>012. NY . Winter Weather Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for NYZ068-070-071. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM to 6 PM EST Sunday for ANZ330- 335-338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Monday for ANZ350-353-355.

SYNOPSIS . Goodman/PW NEAR TERM . Goodman SHORT TERM . Goodman LONG TERM . PW AVIATION . NV MARINE . Goodman/PW HYDROLOGY . Goodman/PW EQUIPMENT .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 27 mi48 min 42°F 40°F1007.8 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 31 mi42 min 36°F 38°F1007.4 hPa
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 33 mi48 min 35°F 41°F1007.3 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 40 mi42 min 36°F 40°F1007 hPa

Wind History for New Haven, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
The Gabreski Airport, NY13 mi37 minWSW 18 G 2510.00 miOvercast and Breezy40°F37°F93%1008.4 hPa
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY24 mi94 minSW 13 G 2110.00 miOvercast42°F39°F89%1009.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFOK

Wind History from FOK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW5NW3NW6N4N5N4NW4N5N4Calm444CalmS5NE5N3S8S9
G17
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1 day agoNW24
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2 days agoS33SE4SW5S6SW6SW6W9W12
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Tide / Current Tables for New Suffolk, Long Island Sound, New York
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New Suffolk
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:32 AM EST     0.01 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:08 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:03 AM EST     2.93 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:39 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 01:27 PM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:50 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:37 PM EST     2.07 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.10.51.11.82.32.82.92.82.31.81.10.4-0.1-0.10.30.81.31.722.11.81.51

Tide / Current Tables for Shinnecock Canal, Railroad Bridge, New York Current
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Shinnecock Canal
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:06 AM EST     1.53 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 02:08 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:27 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:41 AM EST     -1.54 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 11:17 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 12:39 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 01:40 PM EST     1.09 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 04:34 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:50 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:54 PM EST     -1.53 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 11:20 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.51.41.10.4-0.4-1-1.4-1.5-1.3-0.9-0.20.611.10.90.4-0.3-0.9-1.4-1.5-1.3-0.9-0.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.