Saturday, January23, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Noyack, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:07AMSunset 4:57PM Saturday January 23, 2021 2:14 AM EST (07:14 UTC) Moonrise 1:37PMMoonset 3:38AM Illumination 74% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ340 Peconic And Gardiners Bays- 1242 Am Est Sat Jan 23 2021
.small craft advisory in effect until 6 am est early this morning...
.gale warning in effect from 6 am est this morning through late tonight...
Overnight..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sat..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 35 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sat night..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sun night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Mon night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of snow after midnight.
Tue..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Snow likely. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue night..N winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..N winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 1242 Am Est Sat Jan 23 2021
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A cold front passes further east for the remainder of the night, followed by high pressure building slowly east from the mid section of the country for the weekend. High pressure weakens Sunday night and Monday as low pressure approaches. The low passes south of the area Monday night into Tuesday night. High pressure returns Wednesday through Friday. Another low may move south of the region d for the middle of next week. Another low may move south of the region Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Noyack, NY
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location: 41, -72.33     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 230546 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1246 AM EST Sat Jan 23 2021

SYNOPSIS. A cold front passes further east overnight, followed by high pressure building slowly east from the mid section of the country for the weekend. High pressure weakens Sunday night and Monday as low pressure approaches. The low passes south of the area Monday night into Tuesday night. High pressure returns Wednesday through Friday. Another low may move south of the region Thursday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. Cloud cover via latest GOES-16 nighttime microphysics hanging in across the interior and southern CT this hour. Cloud cover and temperature forecasts through the early morning have been adjusted accordingly. Snow shower activity remains widely scattered and any leftover activity across the Lower Hudson Valley should diminish in the next few hours.

Gusty NW winds (20 to 25 mph) overnight will combine with temperatures to produce wind chills falling into the lower teens by daybreak. Lows will generally be in the 20s, close to seasonable. Mixing overnight from the winds will limit radiational cooling, especially for the second half of the night.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/. A broad area of low pressure across the Canadian Maritimes and into the north Atlantic will combine with strong high pressure over the mid section of the country to produce gusty NW winds through the weekend. The strongest winds will come Saturday afternoon with gusts up to 35 mph. This will be accompanied by temperatures likely to not get much higher than the freezing mark at the coast and the upper 20s inland. This will result in wind chill values remaining in the teens. It will generally be mostly sunny with some instability stratocu dropping down from the NW.

Thereafter, high pressure will continue to work in slowly from the west with gusty NW winds to continue into Sunday, but an order of magnitude less than on Saturday. Lows Saturday night will be in the teens with the exception of the lower 20s for the NYC metro. Highs on Sunday will slightly moderate into the lower and middle 30s.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. Progressive flow will dominate across the country with near zonal flow. Weak upper ridging will be across the area Sunday night as surface high pressure gradually builds east. A shortwave moves into the ridge through Monday, reaching the Ohio Valley by 00Z Tuesday. This shortwave passes through the area during Tuesday. Guidance has come into better consensus with the track of the upper ridge and the track and depth of the surface low. There still is some uncertainty with the track and how the system will interact with the northern stream broad longwave trough. The trend has been for a more northern track. At this time the column will remain cold enough for an all light snow event. However, if the northern stream is weaker the storm may track farther north and mixing will be possible along the coast. And if the blocking remains in place with a stronger northern stream, the low will track farther to the south. At this time the precipitation begins Monday evening and continues into early Tuesday evening, with a prolonged period of light snow. Another low does begin to develop off the mid Atlantic coast early Tuesday, and with the progressive flow moves quickly east into the Atlantic. Again, on the current track the potential for higher impacts will be across areas north and west, with lower impacts to areas east of New York City, and portions of southeastern Connecticut, as high pressure remains to the north.

High pressure and a building upper ridge return for Wednesday. Then another southern system quickly moves into the ridge Wednesday night into Thursday, with the potential for another surface low tracking south of the area. Then high pressure returns for Friday.

AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. A trough moves through overnight, followed by high pressure gradually building through the remainder of the TAF period.

VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period.

Winds take on a more NW component for the overnight with sustained wind speeds of 10-15 kt with gusts at times to near 20 kt. Gusty NW flow remains through the rest of the TAF period. Sustained winds of mainly 20 kts beginning late in the morning, followed by peak gusts at city terminals getting as high as 30 to 35 kts during the day. Otherwise prevailing gusts will be in the 25 to 30 kt range for most terminals.

NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty .

A few terminals briefly lose gusts at times overnight, however gusts are expected to remain prevailing through the TAF period.

OUTLOOK FOR 6Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. Late Saturday night. VFR. Winds NW 10-17g20-25kts. Sunday. VFR. WNW gusts 20-25 kt during the day, near 20kt for Sunday evening, gradually diminishing late evening into overnight. Monday. Mainly VFR, but MVFR/IFR developing by Monday evening into Monday night with increasing chances of snow. NW-N under 10 kt. Tuesday. IFR, at times possibly lower, in snow, mainly during the day, with NE winds 10-12 kt with gusts up to near 20 kt. Improving conditions at night with gusts diminishing. Wednesday. VFR. N winds 5-10 kt.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE. No changes to winds and seas at this time.

A period of strong NW flow will persist across the waters overnight into Sunday with gales likely on the ocean, eastern Sound, and Peconic and Gardiners Bays for Saturday. Elsewhere, SCA are forecast. Winds will begin to gradually fall off Saturday night as high pressure works slowly east from the mid section of the country.

Small craft conditions will be ongoing Sunday evening across the ocean waters and the eastern Long Island Sound, and eastern. Winds and ocean seas will be gradually diminishing below SCA levels by Monday morning as high pressure builds in from the west and the pressure gradient weakens.

Sub SCA conditions are expected Monday through Tuesday. Ocean seas 5 to 6 feet will be possible Tuesday night into Wednesday, with marginal wind gusts, as northerly winds increase behind departing low pressure.

Small craft conditions will once again be possible on the ocean waters Thursday as winds and seas increase with a low that is expected to pass south of the waters.

HYDROLOGY. Mainly dry conditions are expected through the weekend. No hydrologic concerns are anticipated through next week.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EST Sunday for ANZ335-338-345. Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EST early this morning for ANZ330-340-350-353-355. Gale Warning from 6 AM this morning to 1 AM EST Sunday for ANZ330-340-350-353-355.

SYNOPSIS . MET/DW NEAR TERM . JE/DW/DBR SHORT TERM . DW LONG TERM . MET AVIATION . JE MARINE . MET/DW HYDROLOGY . MET/DW


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 20 mi56 min 36°F 40°F1010.6 hPa
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 25 mi49 min NW 14 G 20 35°F 1008.6 hPa9°F
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 26 mi44 min NW 18 G 21 38°F 46°F1011.2 hPa24°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 36 mi56 min NW 12 G 18 35°F 39°F1012 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 47 mi56 min NNW 5.1 G 8 34°F 41°F1011.4 hPa

Wind History for New London, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
The Gabreski Airport, NY19 mi21 minW 810.00 miMostly Cloudy31°F19°F61%1012.2 hPa
Montauk, Montauk Airport, NY22 mi20 minNW 10 G 18 mi36°F22°F57%1011.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFOK

Wind History from FOK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmW5W6W7W3W4W10NW15
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmCalmSW8
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmN3NW11NW6NW5CalmW8NW12
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Tide / Current Tables for Noyack Bay, Long Island Sound, New York
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Noyack Bay
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:51 AM EST     0.33 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:37 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 07:07 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:23 AM EST     2.20 feet High Tide
Sat -- 12:36 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 01:43 PM EST     0.21 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:55 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 07:53 PM EST     1.60 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.30.50.91.31.722.22.21.91.61.20.70.30.20.40.71.11.31.51.61.51.31

Tide / Current Tables for Shinnecock Canal, Railroad Bridge, New York Current
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Shinnecock Canal
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:45 AM EST     1.17 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 02:38 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:08 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:07 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:21 AM EST     -1.26 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 12:05 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 12:37 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:22 PM EST     0.80 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 04:56 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:12 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:28 PM EST     -1.21 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 11:58 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.61.11.21.10.70.1-0.5-1-1.2-1.2-1-0.6-0.10.60.80.80.60.1-0.5-0.9-1.2-1.2-0.9-0.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station




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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.