Friday, December6, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Noyack, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:59AMSunset 4:22PM Friday December 6, 2019 5:05 AM EST (10:05 UTC) Moonrise 2:40PMMoonset 2:07AM Illumination 70% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ340 Peconic And Gardiners Bays- 327 Am Est Fri Dec 6 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from 1 pm est this afternoon through late tonight...
Today..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft this afternoon. Chance of showers late.
Tonight..W winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Gusts up to 30 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming N around 5 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun..SE winds around 5 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun night..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers after midnight.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft. Showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Showers likely.
Tue night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Showers likely.
ANZ300 327 Am Est Fri Dec 6 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A surface ridge axis quickly exits to the east this morning, while a cold front approaches from the great lakes. The cold front passes through the waters this evening. High pressure will build in through Saturday and then offshore on Sunday. A complex frontal system will impact the area early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Noyack, NY
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location: 41, -72.33     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 060910 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 410 AM EST Fri Dec 6 2019

SYNOPSIS. A surface ridge quickly exits to the east this morning, while a cold front approaches from the Great Lakes. The cold front passes through the area this evening. High pressure will follow for Saturday and then build offshore on Sunday. A frontal system will impact the area for the beginning of next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. A northern stream shortwave trough will send low pressure over the Great Lakes this morning quickly east, passing to the north late this afternoon into early this evening and dragging a cold front through the region. Ahead of the front, a tightening pressure gradient behind departing high pressure will result in a gusty SW flow by afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph will be possible along the immediate coast, especially across eastern LI.

Limited moisture and upper dynamics will result in a mainly dry frontal passage, but a shower can not be ruled out, especially across eastern LI and SE CT as the boundary interacts with more moisture. Any showers will be brief with less than a tenth of an inch of rainfall.

For the most part, the day will be cloudy with temperatures in the upper 30s to the mid 40s, which is right around normal.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/. Cold front passes through early this evening along the coast with a brief shower possible, otherwise conditions will be dry with a gusty NW flow the first half of the night.

The gusty winds will keep temperatures from dropping too much below normal, with lows by daybreak Saturday ranging from the mid 20s across the interior, to the around 30 at the coast.

High pressure builds in from the west on Saturday with diminishing NW winds and cold conditions. Highs will be about ten degrees below normal in the 30s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. The center of high pressure will move over the area Saturday night. This will mean light winds and mainly clear skies, leading to a pretty good radiational cooling night, especially in the outlying areas as usual. Went a couple of degrees below guidance for Saturday night, and several degrees below for Pine Barrens of Long Island. Lows will be in the 10s and 20s.

Thereafter, the forecast area will be on a warming trend as the center of high pressure moves offshore Sunday morning. Veering winds in forecast soundings as a warm front lifts well north of the area will mean warm advection for Sunday and highs warmer than Saturday, but still below normal for this time of year, ranging from the middle 30s inland, to the middle 40s along the coast.

A complex frontal system will impact the area at the beginning of the new work week as an upper level shortwave over the Northern Rockies dives south into the mid-West Sunday into Monday, which phases with a southern stream system Monday night into Tuesday, inducing a surface low that tracks over the Great Lakes and then into southeastern Canada into Tuesday. This will allow a cold front to approach through Tuesday. That will mean a continued southerly flow and progressively warmer temperatures Sunday through Tuesday. By Tuesday, highs will be well above normal, in the 50s region-wide. There is a slight chance that some precipitation moves in early Sunday night for western sections of the forecast area. If it does, it may be cold enough for a wintry mix, including some freezing rain across the Lower Hudson Valley. However, it is too far out at this time for any certainty in precipitation types, and if it does occur, it is expected to be brief. From late Sunday night through Tuesday, it should be warm enough for plain rain for the entire forecast area.

There is the potential for moderate to heavy rain from Monday through Monday night as there looks to be a sub-tropical connection south of the high that comes up northward on its west side. From Sunday night through Tuesday night, both the ECMWF and the GFS have over 2 inches of rainfall across portions of the area, with a widespread 1 to 2 inch rainfall for the entire forecast area. PWATs of over an inch are also noted in the GFS (as well as NAM coming up the east coast Sunday night). There is still a great deal of uncertainty with where the heaviest rain would actually set up and with the timing. The one good thing is that this will be a long duration event.

The cold front pushes offshore Tuesday night, ushering in a colder air mass for Wednesday, with highs in the 30s to around 40.

AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. High pressure settles south early this morning. A cold front passes this afternoon and evening.

WNW winds will continue to diminish early this morning. Any gusts initially will be occasional. Winds should be below 10 kt after 09z. Winds back to the SW in the morning and then increase through the day with gusts 20-25 kt possible in the afternoon. Winds shift to the NW with the cold front passage in the evening, and gusts will likely continue.

VFR through the TAF period. There is a chance for a mix of light snow and light rain across the interior Lower Hudson Valley terminals and across most of Connecticut terminals, mainly late Friday morning into Friday afternoon. For now have gone with a PROB30 at KSWF and KGON to account for this potential.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. Friday night. VFR with NW winds G20kt possible. Saturday-Sunday. VFR. Sunday night and Monday. Rain showers likely with MVFR or lower conditions. Tuesday. MVFR or IFR in rain, with conditions improving at night.

MARINE. A gale warning has been issued for the ocean waters with SCA conditions elsewhere. Gusts of 25 to 35 kt are expected this afternoon into tonight, diminishing to below SCA toward daybreak Saturday.

There will be a brief respite in winds early this morning before ramping back up quickly late this morning into this afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front. The cold front passes through the waters this evening.

Wind and seas diminish late tonight into Saturday as high pressure builds in from the west.

Winds may briefly reach 25 kt Sunday night on the ocean waters. An approaching frontal system will allow southerly flow to increase late Monday morning into the afternoon, with gusts 25-35 kt into Monday night for all coastal waters except the western sound and harbor. Winds diminish late Monday night, with 25 kt gusts still possible over the waters through the day Tuesday.

Waves will remain below 5 ft through Sunday night, but build to 5 ft on the ocean waters by late Monday morning/early Monday afternoon. Waves continue to build on the ocean to 5 to 12 ft by Tuesday afternoon. Waves of 5 to 8 ft are possible across the extreme eastern portion of the eastern sound, with 5 ft waves more likely across this area Tuesday. Waves diminish Tuesday night.


HYDROLOGY. No significant liquid equivalent is forecast through Sunday. A significant long duration rainfall event is possible beginning Monday through Tuesday night.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is still operating at reduced power.

The KOKX WSR-88D radar will be out of service until approximately 12/7 due to the refurbishment of the transmitter. This work is part of the NEXRAD Service Life Extension Program.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 3 AM EST Saturday for ANZ330-335-338-340-345. Gale Warning from 3 PM this afternoon to midnight EST tonight for ANZ350-353-355.



SYNOPSIS . JP/DW NEAR TERM . DW SHORT TERM . DW LONG TERM . JP AVIATION . Goodman MARINE . JP/DW HYDROLOGY . JP/DW EQUIPMENT . //


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 20 mi48 min 37°F 44°F1019.2 hPa
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 25 mi36 min Calm G 1 34°F 1015.3 hPa22°F
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 28 mi48 min WSW 1 G 1.9 29°F 49°F1019 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 36 mi48 min WNW 6 G 8 33°F 41°F1019 hPa
44069 45 mi51 min W 7.8 G 9.7 36°F 38°F24°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 47 mi60 min W 2.9 G 6 34°F 45°F1019.1 hPa

Wind History for New London, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
The Gabreski Airport, NY19 mi73 minWNW 710.00 miFair33°F19°F56%1020.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFOK

Wind History from FOK (wind in knots)
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1 day agoCalmNW3CalmW4W6W7W7W8W6W4W5W5W5W4W4--W4CalmW5--W4----Calm
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Tide / Current Tables for Noyack Bay, Long Island Sound, New York
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Noyack Bay
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:35 AM EST     0.33 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:07 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 06:59 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:09 AM EST     2.25 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:12 PM EST     0.44 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:40 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:20 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:23 PM EST     1.96 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.40.611.51.82.12.32.21.91.61.20.70.50.50.81.21.51.821.91.71.41.1

Tide / Current Tables for Shinnecock Canal, Railroad Bridge, New York Current
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Shinnecock Canal
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:08 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 01:31 AM EST     1.10 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 04:40 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:59 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:53 AM EST     -1.22 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 11:26 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 01:40 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:46 PM EST     0.98 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 04:21 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 04:50 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 08:09 PM EST     -1.35 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 11:43 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.71.11.10.90.4-0.2-0.7-1.1-1.2-1-0.8-0.30.40.910.90.5-0.1-0.7-1.1-1.3-1.2-0.9-0.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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