Wednesday, May27, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
North Manchester, IN

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:13AMSunset 9:05PM Wednesday May 27, 2020 9:36 AM EDT (13:36 UTC) Moonrise 9:29AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 29% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ046 Michigan City In To New Buffalo Mi- 337 Am Edt Wed May 27 2020
Today..South wind 10 knots backing east in the afternoon. Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..Southeast wind 5 to 10 knots veering south after midnight. Slight chance of Thunderstorms through midnight. Chance of showers through the night. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday..South wind 5 to 10 knots. Chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers likely and a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves around 1 foot.
Thursday night..Southwest wind 5 to 10 knots veering northwest after midnight. Showers and a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves around 1 foot. The water temperature off michigan city is 47 and 49 degrees at st. Joseph.
LMZ046 Expires:202005271615;;818920 FZUS53 KIWX 270737 NSHIWX Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Northern Indiana 337 AM EDT Wed May 27 2020 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ046-271615-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Manchester, IN
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location: 41, -85.78     debug


Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
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FXUS63 KIWX 271046 AFDIWX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 646 AM EDT Wed May 27 2020

SYNOPSIS. Issued at 355 AM EDT Wed May 27 2020

Warm and humid conditions will persist again today. Highs today will be in the lower to middle 80s. Chances for showers and some embedded thunderstorms are possible again, especially late this afternoon into the evening hours. More showers and embedded thunderstorms will overspread the entire region late Thursday into early Friday, associated with a cold frontal system moving east through the area. Much cooler and dry conditions will then follow this weekend with highs only in the upper 60s and lower 70s.

SHORT TERM. (Today and Tonight) Issued at 357 AM EDT Wed May 27 2020

Southern Plains cutoff low to maintain through the short term period. Expect another day of isolated late afternoon/evening storms possible in moderate instability and low shear environment. Slightly richer moisture expected with pwat values into 1.5-1.75 inch range this afternoon/evening. Shortwave lifting north from eastern Kentucky may be impetus for convective development later today/afternoon. While overall severe risk is quite low, similar to yesterday a few stronger pulse storms could develop and briefly producing isolated thunderstorm wind gusts during collapse phase.

LONG TERM. (Thursday through Tuesday) Issued at 357 AM EDT Wed May 27 2020

Better chance and coverage of showers/storms Thursday, especially Thursday afternoon into early night period. Northern stream/southern Canada draws southern Plains system northeast. Light mid level flow within col again supports minimal deep layer shear. Showers/storms should still fire in prefrontal trough and along northern stream's attendant frontal zone. Cold front bifurcates CWA northeast/southwest fashion at 12 UTC Friday. Additional showers/storms expected to be ongoing or activity regrow upscale through early Friday afternoon. Thereafter surface ridge provides quite cool/dry weekend. Gradual moderation into next week. Have renounced blended pops for Mon-Wed next week given strength of upper level blocking ridge.

AVIATION. (For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday Morning) Issued at 646 AM EDT Wed May 27 2020

Convective cluster over central IN still expected to dissipate as it moves north and encounters more stable environment but would not entirely rule out a stray shower at the terminals during the morning hours. Better chances for convection still expected to be during and just after peak afternoon heating but morning cloud cover and early shortwave arrival still lead to low confidence in exact timing and coverage. Will hold with VCTS mention during the late afternoon. Otherwise VFR continues with light southerly winds.

IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. IN . NONE. MI . NONE. OH . NONE. LM . NONE.

SYNOPSIS . Murphy SHORT TERM . Murphy LONG TERM . Murphy AVIATION . AGD

Visit us at www.weather.gov/iwx

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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN 78 mi46 min SSE 2.9 G 4.1 74°F 65°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Warsaw, Warsaw Municipal Airport, IN19 mi41 minN 010.00 miFair73°F66°F78%1016.3 hPa
Rochester Fulton County Airport, IN22 mi41 minS 510.00 miPartly Cloudy75°F68°F78%1016.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KASW

Wind History from ASW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE3S5S5S6SW4S4S6S8S6SE5SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmSE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoSW4S6SW8SW5SW4W8W6SW4W8S6
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2 days agoSW5SW4SW7SW4W7W5SW3W3S4SW3S4CalmCalmS3S4CalmCalmCalmCalmSE4CalmCalmS5Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Northern Indiana, IN (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northern Indiana, IN
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.