Wednesday, August21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
North Manchester, IN

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:56AMSunset 8:33PM Wednesday August 21, 2019 9:26 PM EDT (01:26 UTC) Moonrise 10:48PMMoonset 11:37AM Illumination 61% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ046 Michigan City In To New Buffalo Mi- 231 Pm Edt Wed Aug 21 2019
Tonight..Northeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers through the night. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Thursday..Northeast wind 5 to 15 knots backing north 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday night..Northeast wind 10 to 20 knots. Mostly clear. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Friday..Northeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet. The water temperature off michigan city is 57 degrees...and 74 degrees off st. Joseph.
LMZ046 Expires:201908220415;;993764 FZUS53 KIWX 211831 NSHIWX Nearshore Marine Forecast for Indiana National Weather Service Northern Indiana 231 PM EDT Wed Aug 21 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ046-220415-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Manchester, IN
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location: 41, -85.78     debug


Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
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Fxus63 kiwx 212342
afdiwx
area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
742 pm edt Wed aug 21 2019

Synopsis
Issued at 212 pm edt Wed aug 21 2019
a cold front will drop south through the region tonight with
chances for showers and thunderstorms along it. The best chance
for rain will be near and south of route 30. It will be cooler
and less humid Thursday through Saturday with mostly clear skies
and very comfortable conditions for late august.

Short term (this evening through Thursday)
issued at 256 pm edt Wed aug 21 2019
monitoring two features in the short term. The first is a cold
front that is slowly dropping south out of southern wisconsin and
central michigan. The second feature is a complex of showers and
thunderstorms associated with an mesoscale convective vortex
centered over western illinois. Model guidance leaves something
to be desired at this time, but hint at widely scattered storms
along the cold front, and much of the leftover MCV activity
tracking through the southern half of the county warning area
tonight. Thursday will be less humid for locations toward the in-
mi state line, before spreading south. Until the cold front fully
pushes through the area, will carry some pops in the vicinity of
the front.

Long term (Thursday night through Wednesday)
issued at 212 pm edt Wed aug 21 2019
high pressure will finally suppress any precip chances, with the next
chance for rain now arriving until late Monday into Monday night as
series of upper level waves carve out the ridging aloft. Few changes
to model blends at this stage with variations in highest pops likely
given likely timing differences.

With regards to temps, cooler and less humid conditions will prevail
with highs in the 70s through Sunday before warmer temps and higher
humidity begin to creep back in with the expected increase in rain
chances.

Aviation (for the 00z tafs through 00z Thursday evening)
issued at 736 pm edt Wed aug 21 2019
cold front to slowly sag south overnight. MCV seen nicely on
satellite but only generating some light showers on radar at this
time. Models rather aggressive in developing showers and a few
tsra along this boundary overnight as several weak short waves
propagate east and theta E moisture pools along boundary. Have
stayed with previous forecast for consistency with pcpn mainly
south of ksbn but likely getting into kfwa. Did not introduce
thunder at this time given low probs for any single point. Winds
turn north to northeast. Winds become light overnight but expect
clouds to linger and hold fog development in check. However, any
clearing could lead to patchy fog once again toward daybreak.

Iwx watches warnings advisories
In... None.

Mi... None.

Oh... None.

Lm... None.

Synopsis... Fisher
short term... Brown
long term... Fisher
aviation... Lashley
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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN 78 mi36 min N 16 G 18 76°F 72°F
BHRI3 - Burns Harbor, IN 85 mi46 min NNW 4.1 G 7 76°F 1013.2 hPa
SJOM4 - St. Joseph, MI 85 mi86 min WNW 8.9 G 13 76°F 1012.9 hPa (-2.0)

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Warsaw, Warsaw Municipal Airport, IN19 mi71 minN 010.00 miFair77°F68°F74%1012.5 hPa
Rochester Fulton County Airport, IN22 mi71 minSSE 510.00 miFair79°F71°F79%1012.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KASW

Wind History from ASW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW4CalmCalmCalmCalmW4SW4W5W4W8W6W8W10SW7W10W4CalmNW5
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmSW6S4SW5SW6SW4W7W5N3CalmCalmCalmW4
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE5CalmSE5SW3CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Northern Indiana, IN (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northern Indiana, IN
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.