Monday, November18, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Trinidad, CA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 4:58PM Sunday November 17, 2019 11:23 PM PST (07:23 UTC) Moonrise 9:39PMMoonset 11:58AM Illumination 65% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ450 Pt St George To Cape Mendocino Out 10 Nm- 822 Pm Pst Sun Nov 17 2019
Tonight..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves W 7 ft at 11 seconds. Patchy dense fog.
Mon..SE winds 5 kt. Waves W 7 ft at 13 seconds. Patchy fog. Slight chance of rain.
Mon night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves W 6 ft at 12 seconds. Rain likely.
Tue..N winds 15 to 25 kt. Waves nw 8 ft at 9 seconds.
Tue night..N winds 20 to 30 kt. Waves N 13 ft at 10 seconds.
Wed..N winds 10 to 20 kt. Waves nw 9 ft at 11 seconds.
Thu..NE winds 5 kt. Waves N 2 ft at 4 seconds...and nw 6 ft at 16 seconds.
Fri..NE winds 5 kt. Waves nw 7 ft at 17 seconds.
PZZ400 822 Pm Pst Sun Nov 17 2019
Synopsis for northern california waters..Northerly winds will be locally strong south of cape mendocino through tonight. These winds and associated steep wind waves will ease up on Monday. Winds are expected to ramp up to gale in the outer waters late on Tuesday, with steep seas building to 15 to 20 ft Tuesday night. Winds and steep seas will remain elevated and hazardous on Wednesday before settling down on Thursday and Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Trinidad city, CA
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location: 41.06, -124.14     debug


Area Discussion for - Eureka, CA
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Fxus66 keka 172331
afdeka
area forecast discussion
national weather service eureka ca
331 pm pst Sun nov 17 2019

Synopsis Some light rain will be possible in humboldt and del
norte counties late Monday and early Tuesday, and will be followed
by gusty north and northeast winds Tuesday through early
Thursday. A period of elevated to critical fire weather conditions
will be possible early Wednesday through early Thursday.

Discussion
Short term High pressure remains in place over northern
california this afternoon. This is keeping the marine layer thin,
but is brought dense fog to the humboldt and del norte coast this
morning. Most of this has diminished, but some remains about
humboldt bay. This dense fog is expected to return this evening.

Monday morning a shortwave moving into the pacific northwest and
the trailing cold frontal boundary start to approach the area.

This should help to lift the fog and deepen the marine layer.

Current models show the rain starting late Monday afternoon in
del norte county and quickly moving south into humboldt county.

These areas are expected to see a tenth to a quarter of an inch.

It looks like mendocino and trinity counties will only a trace to
a few hundredths. Models are now showing a second shortwave early
Tuesday morning bring additional clouds and there could be a few
sprinkles with it.

Tuesday afternoon the winds will rapidly increase along the coast
and spread inland over the ridges. The airmass will dry out
fairly quickly as well as the wind becomes more northeast Tuesday
night. This should also help clear skies at the coast. This dry
and chilly airmass will allow temperatures to fall quickly
Tuesday night in the valleys that manage to remain calm. Frost is
possible at the coast, but confidence is low on how widespread it
will be due to the winds.

Wednesday is expected to see winds of 15 to 25 mph across the
area with some gusts to 40 mph over the ridges. Wednesday night the
winds will diminish in the valleys, but confidence is low on the
ridges. There is still quite a bit of disagreement in the details
of these strong winds. Wednesday night the winds remain strong
aloft, but it is unclear how much of this, if any, will mix to the
surface. For more details see the fire weather discussion.

Confidence is higher that winds will diminish Thursday afternoon
and Friday as high pressure moves over the area. Friday night and
Saturday an upper level low starts to approach the area, but at
this point models have it just undercutting the ridge and not
impacting the area. Mkk

Aviation Conditions were slightly better today at kacv with
less persistent visibility down to 1 4sm in fog. Visible satellite
imagery showed a mass of stratus and fog still just offshore kacv
this afternoon. Therefore, expect ifr lifr conditions to fill back
in this evening and for any improvement this afternoon to be short
lived. The primary forecast problem continues to be how quickly
vsby's drop to 1 4sm. Also, the duration of these low vsby's remains
problematic. For now the forecast for the coastal terminals has been
largely based on persistence and current satellite trends. The other
forecast terminals have beenVFR today except for kcec which briefly
dropped to lifr early this mornings. Once again it is probable that
fog and low cloud will redevelop at kcec overnight under light
northerly flow. Lifr conditions at kcec should be less persistent
due to weak offshore there. Kuki will remainVFR through the
forecast period, though patches of fog and low cloud will form in
the valleys to the north overnight.

Marine A localized region of northerly winds from 20 to 25 knots
with elevated wind waves is expected to continue downwind of cape
mendocino through tonight. An advisory for this remains in effect.

This localized region of stronger winds and higher seas should die
off on Monday as a trough approaches from the NW and gradients relax.

The primary issue going into Tuesday and Wednesday of next week will
be the potential for gale force northerlies and large steep seas on
top of an incoming wnw swell group. The models were all over the
place with how quickly winds will ramp up during the day on Tuesday.

The NAM was the fastest while the global models have a slower rate
of increase. There is high confidence winds will eventually reach a
full blown gale in outer waters Tuesday night. Tuesday evening is
still just outside the window for a gale watch at this point.

Steep seas are expected to build Tuesday night and reach 18 to 20
feet by early wed, in the outer waters. That is where northerly
winds are expected to reach 35 to 40kt. The primary hazard for the
inner waters will most likely be large steep seas. Current
indications are for steep seas to hit 13 ft or so. How strong the
winds become inside 10nm and right at the coastline is still a big
unknown. Northerly winds may briefly reach gale force inside 10nm,
especially around the wind prone headlands such as pt st george and
cape mendocino Tuesday evening and overnight. Winds may need to be
beefed up when the high resolution models come in hot and heavy.

On Wednesday, conditions will remain elevated and hazardous, though
guidance continues to indicates winds falling off nearshore. Steep
seas are expected to be close to 20 ft in the western fringes of our
outer waters through at least mid day Wednesday.

Conditions are forecast to settle down Thu and fri, though the nwps
indicates lingering short period wind waves around 6 feet which may
warrant an advisory for small craft on thu. Also, enp has a long
period westerly swell building to around 10 ft at 17 seconds on
Friday which will also warrant an advisory for small craft and a
hazardous beaches statement.

Fire weather Confidence is growing that we will see a period of
strong winds starting Tuesday afternoon and potentially lasting
through Thursday morning. The strongest winds will be on the
ridges of eastern mendocino county and southeastern trinity county
with sustained winds of 35 mph and gusts to 45 mph. Most of the
other ridges will see winds to 25 mph with gusts of 30 to 35 mph.

The valleys are only expected to see of 10 to 15 mph. There is
still some fairly significant model differences on the timing the
strongest winds and how long they will last. Also, Wednesday
evening and overnight the models are suggesting winds at 850mb
will remain quite strong, but are not indicating a lot of that
mixing down. So it might mainly impact the very highest peaks.

The dry air is expected to move into the area on Wednesday and
afternoon rh may drop as low as 15 to 25 percent in the valleys of
mendocino county, but will remain higher farther north. Wednesday
night into Thursday rh recoveries are expected to be over 70
percent in the valleys, but may remain around 40 percent on the
ridges of mendocino county.

Eka watches warnings advisories
Ca... None.

Northwest california coastal waters...

small craft advisory until 9 am pst Monday for pzz475.

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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46244 - Humboldt Bay, North Spit, CA 16 mi23 min 53°F6 ft
HBYC1 - 9418767 - North Spit, CA 21 mi47 min 53°F1019.4 hPa
46022 - EEL RIVER - 17NM West-Southwest of Eureka, CA 32 mi33 min N 7.8 G 9.7 54°F 54°F5 ft1019.3 hPa54°F
CECC1 - 9419750 - Crescent City, CA 47 mi59 min ESE 2.9 G 2.9 49°F 52°F1018.9 hPa

Wind History for North Spit, Humboldt Bay, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Arcata / Eureka, Arcata Airport, CA5 mi30 minN 05.00 miFog/Mist46°F44°F93%1019.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KACV

Wind History from ACV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmSE3CalmCalmNE3S3CalmCalmCalmSW3S3N3CalmSW5Calm4S7SE4S6S3CalmCalmE3Calm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmE3E4CalmCalmCalmCalmNW5NW4NW4W3W4SW3SW4S4S3CalmS3CalmCalmCalmE3
2 days agoCalmE4CalmS3CalmCalmE3E6CalmCalmNE4NE3N4NW10NW13NW12NW14N10N6CalmCalmNW4NW3N4

Tide / Current Tables for Trinidad Harbor, California
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Trinidad Harbor
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Mon -- 04:25 AM PST     5.57 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:07 AM PST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:24 AM PST     3.74 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:43 PM PST     Moonset
Mon -- 02:58 PM PST     6.22 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:55 PM PST     Sunset
Mon -- 10:16 PM PST     0.07 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:47 PM PST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.834.25.15.55.55.14.64.13.83.84.24.85.566.265.24.12.81.50.50.10.2

Tide / Current Tables for Mad River Slough, Arcata Bay, Humboldt Bay, California
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of CentralWestCoast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Eureka, CA (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Eureka, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.