Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Emerald Lakes, PA
December 1, 2023 9:17 PM EST (02:17 UTC)
Sunrise 7:07AM Sunset 4:35PM Moonrise 8:22PM Moonset 11:10AM
ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 613 Pm Est Fri Dec 1 2023
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Rain, mainly this evening. Patchy fog late this evening and early morning. Patchy fog late with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat..SW winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less, then 1 to 2 ft in the afternoon. Patchy fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat night..W winds around 5 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Chance of rain in the evening, then rain likely after midnight.
Sun..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Rain.
Sun night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less, then 2 to 3 ft after midnight. Rain likely, mainly in the evening.
Mon..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Mon night..W winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Tue night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..N winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..NW winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Rain, mainly this evening. Patchy fog late this evening and early morning. Patchy fog late with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat..SW winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less, then 1 to 2 ft in the afternoon. Patchy fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat night..W winds around 5 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Chance of rain in the evening, then rain likely after midnight.
Sun..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Rain.
Sun night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less, then 2 to 3 ft after midnight. Rain likely, mainly in the evening.
Mon..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Mon night..W winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Tue night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..N winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..NW winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
ANZ300 613 Pm Est Fri Dec 1 2023
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters.. A weak wave of low pressure will impact the region through tonight. Another low moving toward the great lakes on Sunday will weaken, with a secondary low forming south of long island on Sunday. The low pressure lifts northeast of the area Sunday night. A trough of low pressure lingers on Monday with high pressure returning for Tuesday. Another low develops off the middle atlantic coast on Wednesday.
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters.. A weak wave of low pressure will impact the region through tonight. Another low moving toward the great lakes on Sunday will weaken, with a secondary low forming south of long island on Sunday. The low pressure lifts northeast of the area Sunday night. A trough of low pressure lingers on Monday with high pressure returning for Tuesday. Another low develops off the middle atlantic coast on Wednesday.
Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 012328 AFDPHI
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 628 PM EST Fri Dec 1 2023
SYNOPSIS
Low pressure will move to the lower Ohio Valley tonight, but then weaken as it moves north of our area through Saturday. Another low and front will affect our weather late this weekend into Monday.
A series of high and low pressure systems will then move through the region next week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 615 PM, the shield of rain, some of which was moderate in intensity, continues to quickly shift northeastward. Radar imagery shows much less rain just to our southwest. While some additional rain should develop from the southwest, the heavier rain looks to be quickly leaving the region. Therefore, adjusting the PoPs to show a quicker ending of the steadiest rain. Some of the high-resolution guidance show a possible transition to some showers overnight mainly across southern New Jersey into Delmarva. Made some tweaks to the hourly temperature, dew point and wind grids to keep them current based on observations/trends.
Otherwise, low pressure will track to the lower Great Lakes by Saturday morning. That will attempt to lift a surface warm front northward up the Atlantic coastal plain, however it will struggle to reach our area through tonight. A shortwave trough with vorticity advection and strong low to mid-level warm air advection is responsible for the round of rain this evening. Strong southwesterly flow above the surface it resulting in this rain moving quickly, with the more concentrated forcing for ascent shifting to our northeast by later this evening. As a result, the bulk of the rain is expected to end into the overnight. However, the model forecast sounding show some drying in the mid levels and with less forcing this could result in some drizzle. Otherwise, plenty of low cloud cover are expected as all the low-level moisture is gathered below an inversion.
Once the main rain ends, some fog is expected to develop and this could be locally dense. The extent of the fog however is of lower confidence given the widespread low cloud cover that is expected to be in place through the night. For now, expanded the patchy fog mention.
As we go through Saturday, our area is between systems and the low-level flow is forecast to be light. The day will start with low clouds and at least some fog and it should be a dry day.
There should be enough drying to result in the clouds lifting by midday with some breaks of sunshine. This time of year though with the low sun angle and lack of mixing tends to keep the lower clouds locked in, however the model forecast soundings do show the potential for some improvement in the afternoon under a light southwest wind. Despite the clouds, temperatures will be mild with afternoon highs reaching the 50s to low 60s.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
The period starts with the region sandwiched in between a front to our north and one to our south and a southwest flow in the mid- levels. Weak low pressure may ride along the southern front and it inches closer to the forecast area. A shortwave aloft and an associated surface low will move across the Great Lake and into New York state on Sunday. Another weakening shortwave will approach the region on Monday.
Rain will spread across the region Saturday night, persist into Sunday, at least the first half, before moving out from the south to north late in the day or Sunday evening. Rainfall will mainly be on the lighter side totaling 0.25" to 0.50". Monday is trending dry.
Temperatures will run above normal through this period. Overnight lows Saturday night will range from the lower 40s to lower 50s across the forecast area. Highs on Sunday will range from the mid 40s to lower 60s. Lows Sunday night will range from the upper 30s to middle 40s. Sunday's highs will range from the lower 40s to upper 50s.
Winds will be fairly benign Saturday night and Sunday. They'll pick up from the west Sunday night and Monday and top out in the 10 to 20 mph range.
LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
A series of high and low pressure systems move through the region next week though most of the week looks to be dry.
The period begins with high pressure building to the south of the region Monday night into Tuesday as the upper-level trough from the weekend deamplifies. This will result in a dry day with near normal temperatures.
For Tuesday night into Wednesday, guidance has remained consistent with the consensus that another wave of upper-level energy develops and re-amplifies the upper-level trough and begins to dig it out of the midwest and move it eastward towards the Eastern Seaboard. Associated with this re-deepening trough is a surface clipper system that quickly progresses out of the Great Lakes region and into the Mid-Atlantic during this timeframe. The passage of this system looks to provide a quick hit of precipitation for Tuesday night into Wednesday, the vast majority of which will be rain. Some mixed precip/snow looks to be possible at the highest elevations in the Poconos and northwest New Jersey Tuesday night with cooler temperatures.
The surface low then passes offshore and model guidance suggests that it will rapidly strengthen once it does so.
However, guidance continues to suggest that it will be far enough offshore to result in a minimal effect on the weather in our region. At this time, the main impacts look to be slightly below normal temperatures and breezy conditions, particularly closer to the shore.
Strong high pressure and near normal temperatures look to build back in for Thursday and into Friday. Some guidance is suggesting another upper-level trough/surface low may pass through at the end of next week but this remains highly uncertain at this time.
AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.
Tonight...Some locally lingering VFR ceilings lower to widespread MVFR to IFR ceilings. Periods of rain end by about 06z, however some drizzle may occur for a time thereafter. The rain/drizzle and also some fog will result in visibility restrictions. Light and variable to locally calm winds overall. Moderate confidence overall.
Saturday...IFR ceilings improve to MVFR early, then should improve to VFR by about 18z. Some fog in the morning will result in visibility restrictions. Light and variable winds, becoming southwesterly around 5 knots. Low confidence regarding the timing of improving conditions.
Outlook...
Saturday night...VFR to start. Becoming MVFR as rain spreads across the terminals. Patchy fog possible after midnight. Light northeast winds. Moderate confidence.
Sunday...MVFR/IFR conditions expected, likely persisting throughout the day. Northeast winds around 10 kts. Moderate confidence.
Sunday night...Returning to VFR as the precipitation comes to an end.
Winds becoming westerly around 15 kts. Some stronger gusts possible. Moderate confidence.
Monday...Monday is trending drier. Showers have been removed. VFR conditions expected. Breezy with west winds around 15 kts and gusts up to 25 kts. Moderate confidence.
Monday night and Tuesday...VFR. Westerly winds around 10 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Moderate confidence.
Tuesday night and Wednesday...Sub-VFR conditions possible with light rain. Winds 5-10 knots Tuesday night increasing to around 10 knots with gusts up to 20 knots on Wednesday. Low confidence.
MARINE
The conditions are expected to remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria through Saturday. Some rain tonight into early Saturday.
Outlook...
Saturday night and Sunday...Sub-SCA conditions expected.
Sunday night and Monday...SCA conditions developing and continuing Monday.
Tuesday...SCA conditions not expected.
Wednesday...SCA conditions possible due to northwest to north wind gusts around 25 knots and seas up to 5 feet.
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 628 PM EST Fri Dec 1 2023
SYNOPSIS
Low pressure will move to the lower Ohio Valley tonight, but then weaken as it moves north of our area through Saturday. Another low and front will affect our weather late this weekend into Monday.
A series of high and low pressure systems will then move through the region next week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 615 PM, the shield of rain, some of which was moderate in intensity, continues to quickly shift northeastward. Radar imagery shows much less rain just to our southwest. While some additional rain should develop from the southwest, the heavier rain looks to be quickly leaving the region. Therefore, adjusting the PoPs to show a quicker ending of the steadiest rain. Some of the high-resolution guidance show a possible transition to some showers overnight mainly across southern New Jersey into Delmarva. Made some tweaks to the hourly temperature, dew point and wind grids to keep them current based on observations/trends.
Otherwise, low pressure will track to the lower Great Lakes by Saturday morning. That will attempt to lift a surface warm front northward up the Atlantic coastal plain, however it will struggle to reach our area through tonight. A shortwave trough with vorticity advection and strong low to mid-level warm air advection is responsible for the round of rain this evening. Strong southwesterly flow above the surface it resulting in this rain moving quickly, with the more concentrated forcing for ascent shifting to our northeast by later this evening. As a result, the bulk of the rain is expected to end into the overnight. However, the model forecast sounding show some drying in the mid levels and with less forcing this could result in some drizzle. Otherwise, plenty of low cloud cover are expected as all the low-level moisture is gathered below an inversion.
Once the main rain ends, some fog is expected to develop and this could be locally dense. The extent of the fog however is of lower confidence given the widespread low cloud cover that is expected to be in place through the night. For now, expanded the patchy fog mention.
As we go through Saturday, our area is between systems and the low-level flow is forecast to be light. The day will start with low clouds and at least some fog and it should be a dry day.
There should be enough drying to result in the clouds lifting by midday with some breaks of sunshine. This time of year though with the low sun angle and lack of mixing tends to keep the lower clouds locked in, however the model forecast soundings do show the potential for some improvement in the afternoon under a light southwest wind. Despite the clouds, temperatures will be mild with afternoon highs reaching the 50s to low 60s.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
The period starts with the region sandwiched in between a front to our north and one to our south and a southwest flow in the mid- levels. Weak low pressure may ride along the southern front and it inches closer to the forecast area. A shortwave aloft and an associated surface low will move across the Great Lake and into New York state on Sunday. Another weakening shortwave will approach the region on Monday.
Rain will spread across the region Saturday night, persist into Sunday, at least the first half, before moving out from the south to north late in the day or Sunday evening. Rainfall will mainly be on the lighter side totaling 0.25" to 0.50". Monday is trending dry.
Temperatures will run above normal through this period. Overnight lows Saturday night will range from the lower 40s to lower 50s across the forecast area. Highs on Sunday will range from the mid 40s to lower 60s. Lows Sunday night will range from the upper 30s to middle 40s. Sunday's highs will range from the lower 40s to upper 50s.
Winds will be fairly benign Saturday night and Sunday. They'll pick up from the west Sunday night and Monday and top out in the 10 to 20 mph range.
LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
A series of high and low pressure systems move through the region next week though most of the week looks to be dry.
The period begins with high pressure building to the south of the region Monday night into Tuesday as the upper-level trough from the weekend deamplifies. This will result in a dry day with near normal temperatures.
For Tuesday night into Wednesday, guidance has remained consistent with the consensus that another wave of upper-level energy develops and re-amplifies the upper-level trough and begins to dig it out of the midwest and move it eastward towards the Eastern Seaboard. Associated with this re-deepening trough is a surface clipper system that quickly progresses out of the Great Lakes region and into the Mid-Atlantic during this timeframe. The passage of this system looks to provide a quick hit of precipitation for Tuesday night into Wednesday, the vast majority of which will be rain. Some mixed precip/snow looks to be possible at the highest elevations in the Poconos and northwest New Jersey Tuesday night with cooler temperatures.
The surface low then passes offshore and model guidance suggests that it will rapidly strengthen once it does so.
However, guidance continues to suggest that it will be far enough offshore to result in a minimal effect on the weather in our region. At this time, the main impacts look to be slightly below normal temperatures and breezy conditions, particularly closer to the shore.
Strong high pressure and near normal temperatures look to build back in for Thursday and into Friday. Some guidance is suggesting another upper-level trough/surface low may pass through at the end of next week but this remains highly uncertain at this time.
AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.
Tonight...Some locally lingering VFR ceilings lower to widespread MVFR to IFR ceilings. Periods of rain end by about 06z, however some drizzle may occur for a time thereafter. The rain/drizzle and also some fog will result in visibility restrictions. Light and variable to locally calm winds overall. Moderate confidence overall.
Saturday...IFR ceilings improve to MVFR early, then should improve to VFR by about 18z. Some fog in the morning will result in visibility restrictions. Light and variable winds, becoming southwesterly around 5 knots. Low confidence regarding the timing of improving conditions.
Outlook...
Saturday night...VFR to start. Becoming MVFR as rain spreads across the terminals. Patchy fog possible after midnight. Light northeast winds. Moderate confidence.
Sunday...MVFR/IFR conditions expected, likely persisting throughout the day. Northeast winds around 10 kts. Moderate confidence.
Sunday night...Returning to VFR as the precipitation comes to an end.
Winds becoming westerly around 15 kts. Some stronger gusts possible. Moderate confidence.
Monday...Monday is trending drier. Showers have been removed. VFR conditions expected. Breezy with west winds around 15 kts and gusts up to 25 kts. Moderate confidence.
Monday night and Tuesday...VFR. Westerly winds around 10 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Moderate confidence.
Tuesday night and Wednesday...Sub-VFR conditions possible with light rain. Winds 5-10 knots Tuesday night increasing to around 10 knots with gusts up to 20 knots on Wednesday. Low confidence.
MARINE
The conditions are expected to remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria through Saturday. Some rain tonight into early Saturday.
Outlook...
Saturday night and Sunday...Sub-SCA conditions expected.
Sunday night and Monday...SCA conditions developing and continuing Monday.
Tuesday...SCA conditions not expected.
Wednesday...SCA conditions possible due to northwest to north wind gusts around 25 knots and seas up to 5 feet.
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KMPO POCONO MOUNTAINS MUNI,PA | 5 sm | 9 min | SSW 07 | 3/4 sm | Overcast | Mist | 37°F | 37°F | 100% | 29.98 |
| KAVP WILKESBARRE/SCRANTON INTL,PA | 24 sm | 23 min | NNW 03 | 6 sm | Overcast | Mist | 41°F | 37°F | 87% | 30.00 |
Wind History from MPO
(wind in knots)New Brunswick
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:45 AM EST 0.51 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:01 AM EST Sunrise
Fri -- 10:47 AM EST 5.94 feet High Tide
Fri -- 11:04 AM EST Moonset
Fri -- 04:31 PM EST Sunset
Fri -- 05:38 PM EST 0.28 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:20 PM EST Moonrise
Fri -- 11:33 PM EST 4.75 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:45 AM EST 0.51 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:01 AM EST Sunrise
Fri -- 10:47 AM EST 5.94 feet High Tide
Fri -- 11:04 AM EST Moonset
Fri -- 04:31 PM EST Sunset
Fri -- 05:38 PM EST 0.28 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:20 PM EST Moonrise
Fri -- 11:33 PM EST 4.75 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
New Brunswick, New Jersey, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 4.4 |
| 1 am |
| 3.5 |
| 2 am |
| 2.3 |
| 3 am |
| 1.4 |
| 4 am |
| 0.7 |
| 5 am |
| 0.5 |
| 6 am |
| 1.2 |
| 7 am |
| 2.5 |
| 8 am |
| 4 |
| 9 am |
| 5.1 |
| 10 am |
| 5.8 |
| 11 am |
| 5.9 |
| 12 pm |
| 5.5 |
| 1 pm |
| 4.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 3.3 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 7 pm |
| 1 |
| 8 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.2 |
| 10 pm |
| 4.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 4.7 |
Sayreville
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:22 AM EST 0.48 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:01 AM EST Sunrise
Fri -- 10:26 AM EST 5.64 feet High Tide
Fri -- 11:03 AM EST Moonset
Fri -- 04:31 PM EST Sunset
Fri -- 05:15 PM EST 0.27 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:19 PM EST Moonrise
Fri -- 11:12 PM EST 4.52 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:22 AM EST 0.48 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:01 AM EST Sunrise
Fri -- 10:26 AM EST 5.64 feet High Tide
Fri -- 11:03 AM EST Moonset
Fri -- 04:31 PM EST Sunset
Fri -- 05:15 PM EST 0.27 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:19 PM EST Moonrise
Fri -- 11:12 PM EST 4.52 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sayreville, New Jersey, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3.9 |
| 1 am |
| 2.9 |
| 2 am |
| 1.9 |
| 3 am |
| 1 |
| 4 am |
| 0.5 |
| 5 am |
| 0.6 |
| 6 am |
| 1.5 |
| 7 am |
| 2.9 |
| 8 am |
| 4.2 |
| 9 am |
| 5.1 |
| 10 am |
| 5.6 |
| 11 am |
| 5.6 |
| 12 pm |
| 4.9 |
| 1 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 2 pm |
| 2.7 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 8 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.4 |
| 10 pm |
| 4.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 4.5 |
Binghamton, NY,
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