Tuesday, May26, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Milford, CT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:22AMSunset 8:15PM Tuesday May 26, 2020 3:57 PM EDT (19:57 UTC) Moonrise 8:32AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 22% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 323 Pm Edt Tue May 26 2020
Tonight..S winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Patchy fog after midnight. Vsby less than 1 nm after midnight.
Wed..S winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Patchy fog in the morning. Vsby less than 1 nm in the morning.
Wed night..S winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Patchy fog after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Patchy fog in the morning. Chance of showers in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Thu night..S winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers. Patchy fog after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Fri..S winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Patchy fog in the morning. Chance of showers and tstms. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Fri night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of tstms in the evening. Chance of showers.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Sat night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 323 Pm Edt Tue May 26 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Offshore high pressure will slowly drift east through the middle of the week. A cold frontal passage is expected Saturday. High pressure returns for the end of the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Milford city (balance), CT
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location: 41.19, -73.05     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 261743 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 143 PM EDT Tue May 26 2020

SYNOPSIS. Offshore high pressure will continue ridging across the area through Thursday. A slow moving cold front approaches Friday and moves through Saturday. High pressure returns Sunday into early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. The fog and stratus continues to dissipate, burning off, with much of Connecticut and Long Island still overcast with stratus at 14Z, and inland areas with a thinning stratus deck or nearly clear. With the variations in the cloud cover temperatures have been responding differently across the region. Updated both temperatures and dew points for the current conditions and trends into this afternoon. Also, a southerly flow, sea breeze will keep Long Island, especially the south shore cooler.

Stratus was thinning over the ocean waters and may remain through the afternoon.

There is a moderate rip current risk today.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. More fog is expected tngt. There appears to be more dry air aloft which could tip the scales towards more widespread dense. Patchy dense has been included in the fcst for now. A similar burnoff challenge is expected for Wed, and to account for the uncertainty a model blend was used. For temps, went closer to a MAV/MET blend which brought the n shore of Long Island up and the sern CT coast down. Elsewhere it was very similar to the NBM. The NBM was used for the overnight temps with some manual adjustments.

There is a moderate rip current risk for Wed.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. The core of the upper ridge will begin to break down on Thursday and shift over the Western Atlantic. However, the surface ridge looks to remain in tact, which will likely keep much of the region dry through Thursday. Patchy fog and low stratus are also likely Thu morning with a continued onshore flow and warm air moving over ocean temperatures in the lower 50s. Any stratus and fog likely diminish with daytime heating, but it could linger near the coast. The ridging will boost temperatures away from the immediate coast into the upper 70s to near 80 Thursday. Temperatures closer to the coast will be held down in the lower to middle 70s and some places more exposed to the onshore flow could stay in the 60s. Temperatures could also be held down if stratus and/or fog hang on longer. There could be a few showers that traverse around the periphery of the ridge as it breaks down Thursday, mainly N and W of NYC.

The upper ridge continues to break down Thursday night into Friday with a more significant upper short wave trough digging into the Great Lakes and southeast. There may be some vort energy traversing around the ridge from the southeast Thursday night into Friday morning which could bring some higher probability of showers. Otherwise, the main area of forcing will be with the shortwave and its associated cold front, which models have been slowing down over the last several runs. There may be a prefrontal trough developing to our NW Friday with some enhanced convection, but the highest probabilities for showers and possible thunderstorms may occur Friday night into the first half of Saturday with the actual cold front. Forecaster confidence is low regarding the timing of the front, so have continued to go with chance probabilities. Have increased them on Saturday due to the trend for a slower frontal passage.

Conditions should improve late Saturday into Saturday night as the upper trough moves over the Eastern States. High pressure builds down out of Southern Canada for Sunday into early next week with dry conditions expected.

Conditions will become increasingly more humid into the end of the week. The timing of the cold front will ultimately determine how warm temperatures reach Friday into Saturday. Highs should remain cooler near the immediate coast, in the lower to middle 70s, with temperatures in the upper 70s and lower 80s away from the coast. Temperatures trend cooler and possibly below normal Sunday into early next week.

AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Offshore high pressure will continue to ridge across the area the next several days. This will keep the terminals under a weak, mainly moist onshore flow.

Improvement to VFR has taken place at almost all the terminals. Any leftover low spots will improve within the hour or so. We are expecting a repeat performance tonight with not much change in the airmass. So expect many terminals to fall to IFR or less by 02-04z.

Southerly winds 10kt or less will become light and variable overnight.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. Wednesday afternoon-Thursday. VFR. Chance of IFR with areas of fog Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Thursday night-Saturday. MVFR possible. A Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunday. Mainly VFR.

MARINE. Stratus was thinning over the waters, and visibilities were improving as seen on buoy cams and nearshore cams. Have allowed the dense fog advisory to expire at 14Z. However, some stratus and fog may remain over the ocean waters through the afternoon.

Additional fog development is likely tngt into Wed. Winds and seas however will remain blw sca lvls thru Wed.

High pressure over the Western Atlantic will keep winds and seas below SCA levels Thursday. More fog is possible Wed ngt and Thursday morning. Winds increase ahead of a cold front on Friday and could come close to 25 kt on the ocean. Ocean seas may also build to around 5 ft. Winds should gradually weaken Friday night into Saturday, but 5 ft ocean seas may persist into the first half of the weekend.

HYDROLOGY. No significant hydrologic impacts are expected through Thursday. Showers and thunderstorms are are possible Friday into Saturday with a chance for minor urban and poor drainage flooding.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is undergoing its final stages of testing, and is operating at full power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . NEAR TERM . SHORT TERM . LONG TERM . AVIATION . MARINE . HYDROLOGY . EQUIPMENT .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 7 mi63 min SSE 4.1 G 6 67°F 59°F1022.5 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 10 mi63 min S 2.9 G 4.1 64°F 58°F1022.5 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 32 mi57 min E 5.8 G 7.8 63°F 1 ft60°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 42 mi57 min ENE 5.8 G 7.8 65°F 32°F63°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 46 mi63 min SSW 7 G 8 71°F 1023.3 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bridgeport, Sikorsky Memorial Airport, CT4 mi65 minSW 610.00 miFair71°F61°F71%1022.9 hPa
New Haven, Tweed-New Haven Airport, CT11 mi64 minS 610.00 miA Few Clouds71°F64°F79%1022.8 hPa
Oxford, Waterbury-Oxford Airport, CT20 mi66 minSSE 610.00 miFair76°F64°F69%1023.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBDR

Wind History from BDR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE9E8E9NE9NE8E6E6E6E6E7NE3NE5E3CalmE3E3N3SW4CalmS6S6SW6SW6SW6
1 day agoE8E9E11NE10NE9NE8NE8E12E9E7NE4N5NE6NE6N6NE6NE6E7E7E8E73E5E6
2 days agoNE15
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NE11NE12NE8NE9NE11NE9NE10NE12NE13E10NE6SE9SE9SE11E8

Tide / Current Tables for Milford Harbor, Connecticut
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Milford Harbor
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:57 AM EDT     7.33 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:24 AM EDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:32 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:34 PM EDT     6.58 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:34 PM EDT     0.97 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.977.36.85.53.82.20.90.20.31.32.84.45.76.46.55.74.42.91.81.111.83.1

Tide / Current Tables for Long Hill, Housatonic River, Connecticut
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.