Thursday, February27, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Milford, CT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:28AMSunset 5:41PM Thursday February 27, 2020 8:37 AM EST (13:37 UTC) Moonrise 9:38AMMoonset 10:33PM Illumination 16% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 705 Am Est Thu Feb 27 2020
.gale warning in effect through late tonight...
Today..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Tonight..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Fri..W winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Fri night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt in the evening. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sat night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 705 Am Est Thu Feb 27 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A deepening low pressure system shifts northeast into southeastern canada, pushing a strong cold front through the area this morning. The low stalls and pivots well north of the waters through Friday. High pressure builds across the region through the weekend, then slides east on Monday. A slow frontal system will then impact the area Monday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Milford city (balance), CT
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location: 41.19, -73.05     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 271216 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 716 AM EST Thu Feb 27 2020

SYNOPSIS. A deepening low pressure system moves into southeastern Canada later this morning. The low stalls and pivots well north of the CWA through Friday. High pressure builds across the region through the weekend, then slides east on Monday. A slow frontal system will then impact the area Monday Night and into the mid- week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Minor updates to current observations as the last area of rainfall pushes through eastern CT. Conditions will dry out from west to east as dry air moves in behind the surface front. The pressure gradient strengthens as the deepening low moves into southeastern Canada and a high pressure develops to the south. This will result in strong westerly winds through much of the day sustained at 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph possible.

With strong CAA in the CWA, temperatures will gradually drop through the day and into this evening. Clearing skies from the encompassing dry airmass will promote mixing of stronger winds aloft down to the surface during the day.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/. The longwave trough over the Great Lakes and Northeast will remain in place as the low pressure well to our north occludes and stalls. Strong gusty winds will gradually decrease through the night and into Friday morning. Conditions will continue to remain dry as CAA brings high temperatures back to average to a few degrees below average generally in the middle to upper 30s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Quiet and colder weather through Sunday as high pressure builds across the region. A gusty northwesterly flow combined with temperatures in 30s to near 40 during the day and upper teens to low 20s at night will make conditions feel even colder over the weekend. Temperatures will moderate by Sunday night as high pressure slides east and winds go around to the southwest.

High pressure slides east on Monday, with a slow moving frontal system approaching the region Monday Night and affecting the region into Midweek. This will bring an increasingly moist and mild airmass to the region, but also unsettled weather in the form of periods of rain as waves of low pressure track along the slow moving "cold" front. Potential for a wintry mix across the interior, Monday into Monday Night, otherwise thermal profiles suggest rain for the remainder of the event. Temperatures will moderate from a few degrees above seasonable Monday to potentially well above seasonable by mid week.

AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. A cold front will push east of the area this morning as deep low pressure tracks north of the region.

Any lingering IFR/MVFR conditions will rapidly improve as rain continues to move east. Lower conditions could hold on through 13-14Z at KGON, otherwise VFR conditions are expected for the remainder of the TAF period with ceilings lifting to 4-5 kft before scattering.

Winds will rapidly shift to the W behind the front and increase in speed. Where this shift has yet to occur east of the city terminals, a brief period of LLWS is possible through about 13Z. Winds will continue to increase through the morning, with sustained winds 20-25 kt and gusts 30-35 kt by afternoon. A few higher gusts are possible this afternoon, especially at the city and coastal terminals.

NY Metro Enhanced Aviation Weather Support .

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

KJFK TAF Comments: A few gusts to 40 kt are possible late this morning through this afternoon.

The afternoon KJFK haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KLGA TAF Comments: A few gusts above 35 kt are possible late this morning through this afternoon.

The afternoon KLGA haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KEWR TAF Comments: A few gusts to 40 kt are possible late this morning through this afternoon.

The afternoon KEWR haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KTEB TAF Comments: A few gusts to 35 kt are possible late this morning through this afternoon.

KHPN TAF Comments: A few gusts to 35 kt are possible late this morning through this afternoon.

KISP TAF Comments: A few gusts to 40 kt are possible late this morning through this afternoon.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY. Friday. VFR. W winds G25-30kt. Saturday. VFR. W/NW winds G20-25kt. Sunday. VFR. NW winds G15-20kt. Monday. VFR expected.

MARINE. A Gale Warning is in effect for all waters today and through early Friday morning as strengthening westerly winds increase to up to 40 kts and waves increase to 7 to 9 feet south of Long Island. Gale conditions may persist into Friday afternoon, particularly on the ocean, as the low continues to pull away from the region.

Winds and seas slowly diminish to below SCA conditions by Friday night and into Saturday for all waters, but marginal SCA ocean seas may linger into Sunday for the ocean waters.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic issues are anticipated for entire forecast period.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is still operating at reduced power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Gale Warning until 6 AM EST Friday for ANZ330-335-338-340-345- 350-353-355.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 7 mi49 min W 12 G 21 44°F 41°F991.7 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 10 mi49 min WSW 15 G 22 44°F 41°F990.9 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 32 mi67 min W 23 G 35 42°F 2 ft37°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 42 mi37 min WSW 23 G 37 42°F 32°F36°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 46 mi49 min WNW 21 G 35 41°F 42°F996 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bridgeport, Sikorsky Memorial Airport, CT4 mi45 minWSW 16 G 2610.00 miOvercast45°F39°F80%992.4 hPa
New Haven, Tweed-New Haven Airport, CT11 mi44 minSW 13 G 2310.00 miOvercast45°F42°F90%991.6 hPa
Oxford, Waterbury-Oxford Airport, CT20 mi46 minWSW 10 G 241.50 miLight Rain Fog/Mist42°F42°F100%992.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBDR

Wind History from BDR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE7NE7E7E9E9E8E7SE7E9NE8E10E9E10E16E17E13E17NE16
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1 day agoNE3E3E4E4E5E6E4E7E6E4NE4E5NE5NE8E5E7E3SE4NE5CalmNE6E5NE7NE6
2 days agoCalmSW4SW6SW4SW4S6SE5E4E3S8SW7S4CalmE5S3CalmE3CalmSW3SW4CalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Milford Harbor, Connecticut
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Milford Harbor
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:06 AM EST     6.58 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:30 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:19 AM EST     0.16 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:37 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 01:24 PM EST     6.34 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:40 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:34 PM EST     0.32 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 09:33 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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6.16.66.25.13.520.90.20.41.32.84.35.66.36.25.33.92.41.20.40.41.22.54.1

Tide / Current Tables for Long Hill, Housatonic River, Connecticut
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.