Flat Rock, OH Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Flat Rock, OH

June 14, 2024 8:16 AM EDT (12:16 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:55 AM   Sunset 9:06 PM
Moonrise 12:56 PM   Moonset 12:53 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LEZ144 Expires:202406140815;;975886 Fzus51 Kcle 140201 Nshcle
nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 1001 pm edt Thu jun 13 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez142>144-140815- maumee bay to reno beach oh-reno beach to the islands oh- the islands to vermilion oh- 1001 pm edt Thu jun 13 2024

Rest of tonight - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. Showers with isolated Thunderstorms late this evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight. Waves 2 feet or less.

Friday - West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning. Waves 1 foot or less.

Friday night - Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Mostly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.

Saturday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Sunday through Tuesday.
the water temperature off toledo is 70 degrees, off cleveland 66 degrees, and off erie 65 degrees.

LEZ100
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Flat Rock, OH
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Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 141037 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 637 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

SYNOPSIS
A cold front will move south across the area Friday morning, followed by a strong upper level ridge that will persist through the weekend into next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
630 AM...A cold front is pushing south across the area this morning, evident on radar and characterized by winds shifting towards the north. The forecast continues to trend drier across our southeast, as the remnants of the overnight MCV exits OH.
This feature will likely become the focus for initiation later today further east with only isolated activity anticipated along the front.

Unfortunately, this means that much of the region will likely remain dry once again as the front continues to push south across the area through today. Depending on the front's southward progression throughout today, there could be some additional thunderstorm development later this afternoon, mainly along the US-30 corridor, though given recent trends, confidence appears to be decreasing in this potential and anticipate PoPs may need to be lowered in the next update as residual outflow boundaries appear to be much further south and east. However, if any storms are able to develop later this afternoon along the front, they will have a narrow and brief window to become strong to severe with favorable mid- level shear of 40 to 50 knots in addition to modest MLCAPE of ~1000 J/kg. These storms would primarily pose a wind/hail threat given straight and long hodographs.

Quiet and more seasonable weather will arrive on Saturday with highs generally upper 70s to lower 80s. This will likely be the last "nice" weather day for a while as a prolonged heat wave begins to develop on Sunday and is expected to persist through much of next week. More details on that below.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
Upper level high over the southern plains region will migrate eastward and build over the eastern third of the CONUS for the end of the week and into early next week. The main story is a building heat wave over the region that has been in the forecast for a few days now with temperatures well into the 90s by Monday. Only far NW PA will potentially remain in the upper 80s, but conversely, on the western end of the CWA upper 90s should be expected. The ground/surface continues to dry out overall despite a little rain yesterday in NW OH which will contribute to the ability of the temperatures to climb. Will need to see if there will be any cloud cover, but likely just some cumulus fields for the CWA The operational long terms differ a little bit with one having lower 500mb heights and 850mb temperatures, and also suggesting convection possible with enough layer moisture while the other has a stronger dome of high pressure aloft and less convective coverage in the return flow setup. Leaning towards the hotter and drier solution for this forecast into Monday. Immediate lakeshore areas may be a couple degrees cooler Monday, but the southerly wind component will likely eliminate much of that advantage. Dewpoints mainly in the mid 60s to lower 70s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Heat wave will continue into the long term portion of the forecast towards the end of next week. No real changes to the pattern overall. The upper level high will likely shift towards the northeastern US, but this will not change the sensible weather much for our CWA Expect 90s to be the norm through the week and very little in the way of rain chances with no organized systems moving into the region with the largely blocked upper level pattern. Will be needing rain by the end of the long term forecast as it stands with this issuance. Dewpoints persist in the mid 60s to lower 70s through the period.

AVIATION /12Z Friday THROUGH Tuesday/
VFR across the TAF sites this morning with primarily VFR to persist through the TAF period. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms may develop along the US-30 corridor this afternoon, primarily impacting CAK, though confidence remains low. Will maintain a brief window of vcts at this time. There could be a narrow corridor of MVFR ceilings ahead of an approaching cold front this morning, but confidence on coverage remains low.

Winds are variable this morning, favoring a northerly direction behind the cold front and remaining out of the southwest ahead of the front. Eventually, all winds will be out of the north by later this afternoon behind the cold front, around 10 knots.

Outlook...Primarily VFR expected through Tuesday.

MARINE
With a cold front coming through, onshore winds prevail today through tonight 15-20kts for the central and western basins of Lake Erie with 1-3ft wave heights, becoming 10-15kts Saturday with a more easterly component to the winds and waves gradually subsiding to the 1-2ft range. From Sunday on, expect offshore winds to prevail with high pressure situated to the east of the region and nearshore wave heights generally a foot or less through the rest of the forecast period.

CLIMATE
A prolonged stretch of hot weather is expected next week.
Temperatures are forecast to approach record highs on several days. The records for Monday, June 17 to Friday June 21 are listed below for our official climate sites.

Date Toledo Mansfield Cleveland Akron Youngstown Erie 06-17 97(1994) 94(1936) 94(2018) 94(2018) 95(1994) 90(2018)
06-18 98(1994) 93(1994) 96(1944) 96(1944) 95(1994) 92(2018)
06-19 98(1995) 94(1994) 92(1995) 94(1994) 94(1994) 92(1931)
06-20 98(1953) 94(1988) 96(1988) 95(1933) 95(1933) 92(2016)
06-21 100(2022) 96(1988) 95(2022) 97(1933) 98(1933) 95(1933)

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
NY...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
45202 23 mi37 min1.9G5.8 71°F 70°F0 ft29.9064°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 23 mi77 minNNE 1.9G2.9 70°F 29.85
OWMO1 23 mi77 minNW 1.9 70°F 60°F
45203 24 mi37 minW 3.9G3.9 70°F 69°F0 ft65°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 24 mi92 min0 65°F 29.9262°F
CMPO1 25 mi107 minWNW 4.1G5.1 67°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 25 mi59 minWNW 2.9G2.9 69°F 69°F29.8862°F
45201 28 mi37 min7.8G12 70°F 70°F1 ft29.9566°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 30 mi77 minNW 1.9G2.9 69°F 29.89
45165 40 mi47 minWNW 1.9G3.9 70°F 70°F0 ft
TWCO1 40 mi38 min4.1G7 70°F 70°F67°F
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 42 mi37 minENE 7.8G9.7 68°F 67°F29.9261°F
LORO1 42 mi47 minNE 2.9G5.1 69°F
45200 44 mi47 min5.8G5.8 71°F 71°F0 ft29.9067°F
45204 46 mi37 minNNE 5.8G9.7 69°F1 ft
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 46 mi77 minNE 8G8.9 69°F 29.8965°F
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 46 mi59 minNW 1.9G2.9 68°F 29.8865°F


Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KPCW ERIEOTTAWA INTL,OH 22 sm21 minNW 049 smMostly Cloudy72°F66°F83%29.90
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Wind History graph: MFD
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Cleveland, OH,




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