Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Vernon Center, NJ

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
Warm front is through most of the area, with just some scattered light showers moving across the region. Most areas won't get much, less than a tenth of precipitation, if any. Watching a broken line of heavier downpours along the cold front push east through Pennsylvania, but not expecting much as it gets into our area. Perhaps it will allow for some areas to get up to a quarter of an inch of rain, but PoPs generally remain around 20-40% across the entire area through the rest of the night.

For Tuesday, clouds will clear out after sunrise and winds will become gusty through the day with gusts reaching 20-25 mph.
Even though a cold front moves through the area, temperatures will warm well above normal across the area.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
Mild and dry weather prevails for the short term. High pressure begins the period across the Ohio Valley and upper Great Lakes areas. The high slowly builds across the Middle Atlantic area, cresting on Thursday.
Meanwhile, upper heights subtly increase over the area. Overall, these factors will lead to temperatures on the plus side of normal with highs reaching the low/mid 70s most areas with 60s at the shore and across the Pocono plateau. Lows will favor the 50s most spots.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
After a benign weather day Friday, the long term period will feature an increasing chance for showers Friday night. These showers will persist into Saturday (when pops become likely) and then taper off Saturday night. A low pressure area will move north of the area during these periods and the attached fronts will affect our area.
Once a cold front crosses the area Sat night, pops will drop and dry weather is expected for Sunday and Monday.

Temperatures for Friday and Saturday will be above normal for many areas with highs in the upper 60s (N/W) and low 70s most other areas. Cooler temps, as usual, along the shore, with mostly 60s.
Lows will generally be around 50 for Fri. morning and mid/upper 50s for Sat morning. Following the cold front, temps will drop back to near normal for Sunday and Monday.

AVIATION /05Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Through 12z..Challenging forecast as guidance has been way too pessimistic with low ceilings. Thinking MVFR conditions prevail basically from KPNE on north, but the gradient in lower clouds will be quite small and right up to the area around KPHL, which was kept prevailing VFR. Winds generally light and variable, though a southerly direction favored. Not expecting any visibility restrictions through the night. Off and on light showers possible (20-30% chance). Moderate confidence.

Today...Conditions quickly lift to VFR after 12z with the cold front coming through. Just some passing high clouds expected from the late morning onward. Northwesterly winds around 10 kt with gusts in some spots nearing 20 kt. Moderate to high confidence.

Tonight...VFR. North/Northwest winds 5 kt or less. High confidence.

Outlook...

Wednesday thru Thu night... VFR expected.

Friday...VFR with increasing clouds a few showers possible by evening for KRDG/KABE.

Friday night/Saturday...sub-VFR conditions possible with scattered showers. Showers more likely Saturday.

MARINE
Rest of today-Tuesday...Conditions expected to remain below advisory levels, although winds will gust around 20 knots and seas increase to 4 feet. There will be a chance of showers tonight (20-30% chance).

Outlook...

Tuesday night thru Friday...sub-SCA thru the period with fair weather.

Friday night/Saturday...low-end SCA possible. Showers, especially Saturday.

FIRE WEATHER
After coordinating with four state partners, no statements will be issued for Tuesday. For Tuesday, minimum RHs will be down near 30 percent and winds will be gusting up 20 to 25 mph.
However, the risk may be limited since the fuel moisture is above critical levels. We'll continue to monitor.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.