Monday, September16, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
East Haven, CT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:31AMSunset 7:01PM Monday September 16, 2019 3:55 AM EDT (07:55 UTC) Moonrise 8:31PMMoonset 8:37AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ330 Long Island Sound East Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 317 Am Edt Mon Sep 16 2019
Today..N winds around 5 kt, becoming W around 5 kt this afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Slight chance of showers this afternoon.
Tonight..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Wed night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Thu..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 317 Am Edt Mon Sep 16 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A weak cold front will push through the region today followed by high pressure through the remainder of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near East Haven, CT
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location: 41.24, -72.89     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 160717
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
317 am edt Mon sep 16 2019

Synopsis
A weak cold front will push through the region today followed by
high pressure through the remainder of the week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
A weakening front will pass south and east of the region this
morning. Isolated to scattered showers will be possible, mainly in
the afternoon. Any rain amounts will remain light as the system is
lacking in moisture and forcing.

High temperatures will be a few degrees cooler than Sunday with the
increase in clouds. Light winds will also limit mixing so
temperatures will stay in the mid 70s to near 80.

There is a moderate risk of rip current development at the ocean
beaches today.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Tuesday night
High pressure will follow behind the front and despite a mostly
clear sky, areas around nyc will have slightly more wind and
radiational cooling will be more limited. Where winds will go light,
expect temperatures to drop into the lower to mid 50s, mainly for
the pine barrens of long island and the interior. Locations closer
to the cost will stay in the upper 50s to around 60, which is below
normal.

Tuesday will feel like fall as a northeasterly flow sets up
around high pressure and lower dewpoints move into the region.

Highs will remain in the 70s during the day under a mostly sunny
sky.

There is a moderate risk of rip current development at the ocean
beaches on Tuesday.

Long term Wednesday through Sunday
Deterministic models and ensemble means indicate the synoptic
pattern in the long term will be dominated by ridging aloft and at
the surface. This will lead to dry conditions into the upcoming
weekend.

A longwave trough over the canadian maritimes extending down across
the western atlantic will be slow to progress eastward through
Wednesday. The trough gradually moves further into the atlantic the
end of the week into the weekend. At the same time, an anomalous
ridge will dominate over much of the eastern conus. The axis of this
ridge should lie over the northeast Friday into the weekend. Surface
high pressure ridges down from new england Tuesday night through
Thursday. The core of the high shifts to our southwest on Friday and
then should remain in a similar location through the weekend. This
pattern will help to take humberto well out to sea through the week.

The only indirect impact we could see here are strong rip currents
at atlantic ocean beaches and rough surf due to an increasing
easterly swell late in the week. Refer to the national hurricane
center for official forecast information on humberto.

The strong ridging should prevent any significant cloud cover.

However, ne-e onshore flow on Wednesday and a strong inversion
around 5-6 kft could trap moisture and bring mostly cloudy skies.

Have bumped up sky cover to indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies,
with highest amount of clouds near the coast. Forecast soundings
indicate the inversion weakens Wednesday night and mostly clear
conditions should then prevail into the weekend.

Temperatures are likely be a few degrees below normal in the upper
60s and low 70s on Wednesday due to the increased cloud cover. Below
normal temperatures in the low 70s continue into Thursday, then
return to seasonable levels on Friday in the middle and upper 70s.

The warming trend continues into the weekend as highs will be in the
upper 70s to near 80 for most locations except low to middle 80s
possible in the nyc nj metro.Area Friday through Sunday with high
temperatures warmer than normal.

Aviation 07z Monday through Friday
A weak cold front crosses the area today, then high pressure
builds into the region.

Mid and high clouds moving into the region during the overnight
will lower and thicken after daybreak. In general,VFR
conditions are expected through much of the TAF period, although
a period of MVFR ceilings is possible this afternoon at kswf. In
addition, a few sprinkles are possible during the day across
most terminals, although the best chances will be across
kswf kteb kewr.

Timing of changes in wind direction remains a challenge with
light flow overall. In general, winds shift to the N NE at most
terminals between 11z-14z. While winds will maintain a
northerly component through much of the day at most terminals,
e SE winds are possible for a period late this morning into the
afternoon at coastal terminals. Winds then back to the NE again
tonight.

Outlook for 06z Tuesday through Friday
Monday night Vfr with clearing skies.

Tuesday and Wednesday Vfr with high pressure in control.

Thursday and Friday Vfr. Can't rule out late night early
morning radiation fog at the inland terminals.

Marine
Winds and seas will remain below SCA levels through Monday night.

Occasional gusts near 20 kt are expected late Monday night, mainly
for the ocean. Winds diminish through the day on Tuesday.

Winds Tuesday night through Friday will remain below 25 kt.

Ocean seas will build Wednesday into Friday and an SCA will likely
be needed. Long period swells from humberto are forecast to increase
during this time, helping to build ocean seas above 5 ft.

Hydrology
No significant hydrologic impacts through the end of the week.

Equipment
Nyc NOAA weather radio station kwo35 (162.55 mhz) remains off
the air.

Okx watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Nj... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Cb
near term... Cb
short term... Cb
long term... Ds
aviation... Feb
marine... CB ds
hydrology... CB ds
equipment...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 3 mi56 min NE 4.1 G 6 64°F 71°F1017.1 hPa (+0.4)
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 16 mi68 min W 4.1 G 5.1 67°F 71°F1016.7 hPa
44069 39 mi116 min W 5.8 G 7.8 71°F 72°F69°F
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 43 mi26 min NW 4.1 G 5.1 66°F 1016.5 hPa60°F
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 43 mi62 min N 2.9 G 4.1 64°F 70°F1017.2 hPa

Wind History for New Haven, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Haven, Tweed-New Haven Airport, CT3 mi63 minN 05.00 miFog/Mist65°F61°F87%1017.7 hPa
Bridgeport, Sikorsky Memorial Airport, CT13 mi64 minW 410.00 miFair68°F59°F73%1017.3 hPa
Meriden, Meriden Markham Municipal Airport, CT19 mi63 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy58°F57°F97%1017.9 hPa
Oxford, Waterbury-Oxford Airport, CT21 mi65 minN 610.00 miFair60°F55°F86%1019.2 hPa
Chester, Chester Airport, CT23 mi61 minNW 310.00 miMostly Cloudy63°F59°F88%1017.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHVN

Wind History from HVN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr----N4CalmCalm----CalmCalmS8S10S9SW7SW6SW5CalmCalmCalm--4----CalmCalm
1 day ago----SE10SE7SE7S10S10S10S11
G17
S9S10SW8S9SW8S9S8S6SW4------------
2 days ago----N11N10N9N10NE9SE11E13
G17
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SE9SE6SE8SE6------------

Tide / Current Tables for New Haven Harbor entrance, Connecticut
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New Haven Harbor entrance
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Mon -- 12:51 AM EDT     6.60 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:58 AM EDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:38 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 01:08 PM EDT     6.77 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:19 PM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:31 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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6.36.664.73.21.80.70.30.823.65.16.26.86.45.33.72.210.30.51.52.94.4

Tide / Current Tables for Money Island, Connecticut
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Money Island
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:48 AM EDT     5.95 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:49 AM EDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:37 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 01:05 PM EDT     6.11 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:10 PM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:30 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.75.95.44.22.71.50.60.30.823.44.75.76.15.74.73.21.90.80.30.51.52.84.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.