Sunday, August25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Madison Center, CT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:08AMSunset 7:36PM Sunday August 25, 2019 1:41 AM EDT (05:41 UTC) Moonrise 12:41AMMoonset 3:54PM Illumination 28% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ330 Long Island Sound East Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 110 Am Edt Sun Aug 25 2019
Overnight..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Tue..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..SE winds around 5 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers after midnight.
Thu..N winds around 5 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..W winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 110 Am Edt Sun Aug 25 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure across the eastern canada region will continue to drift east through early next week. A cold front approaches Wednesday and moves through the forecast waters Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Madison Center, CT
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location: 41.27, -72.6     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 250523
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
123 am edt Sun aug 25 2019

Synopsis
High pressure builds to the north through Sunday then drifts
east early next week. A cold front approaches Wednesday and
passes through the region Thursday. Another cold front passes
through late Friday into Saturday. High pressure returns late
Saturday.

Near term until 6 am this morning
A couple showers have developed across southern connecticut and
the lower hudson valley. This is captured well by some of the
high resolution guidance, and these showers will continue to
track to the west-southwest across northeast new jersey as they
dissipate. Any additional showers through the overnight hours
will remain isolated. Updated temperatures to better reflect the
latest observations, as cloud cover has helped keep parts of
the area a few degrees warmer so far tonight than initially
anticipated.

Otherwise, the forecast remains on track with generally dry and
pleasant conditions expected tonight as a large dome of high
pressure continues to build across the northeast.

Low temperatures tonight will be in the low to mid 50s inland
and upper 50s to lower 60s along the coast, except across the
long island pine barrens, where temperatures may fall into the
mid and upper 50s.

Short term 6 am this morning through 6 pm Monday
As high pressure drift to the east on Sunday, clouds will begin
to increase across the area. Light rain and drizzle is possible
Sunday and through Sunday afternoon primarily across coastal
areas. Otherwise, Sunday should remain generally dry.

High temperatures on Sunday will be in the low to mid 70s with
overnight lows in the 50s to around 60.

There is a moderate risk of rip current development at atlantic
ocean beaches Sunday morning. An increasing easterly swell
during Sunday will result in a high risk of rip current
development Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening.

Long term Monday night through Saturday
Ridging along the east coast of the united states will
gradually weaken and drift into the western atlantic Monday
through Tuesday as a longwave trough from near alaska digs into
the northern plains and upper midwest. This longwave trough
will send a couple of cold fronts through the region Thursday
and Friday. The strongest front will be late Wednesday night
into Thursday. The upper trough weakens Thursday with the flow
becoming more zonal during Friday when another, and weaker, cold
front crosses the region.

Have now kept the region dry Monday and Tuesday as the lowest
levels are no longer saturated. However clouds are likely in
the moist easterly flow under the subsidence inversion.

With the front Wednesday into Thursday both CAPE and
instability will be limited, so will have showers with only
isolated thunder possible. There are some timing differences in
the timing of the frontal passage, but sided with the faster
guidance. Another weak cold front passes through Friday into
early Saturday with just a slight chance of showers as there
will be little moisture or forcing with the front. With the
upper trough weakening have slowed the timing of this second
front.

Aviation 06z Sunday through Thursday
High pressure builds over northern new england through tonight.

MainlyVFR through the TAF period. There could be some pockets
of MVFR ceilings, mainly at the coast. There is also a chance of
some sprinkles or pockets of light rain through early evening.

Ne winds 5-10 kt early this morning, will increase to 10-15 kt
after sunrise. Gusts up to 20 kt are likely with the highest
chance occurring for all terminals except kswf.

Outlook for 06z Monday through Thursday
Sunday night MVFR, mainly near the coast.

Mon MVFR possible early, thenVFR. NE gusts 15-20 kt along
the coast.

Tue Vfr.

Wed MVFR possible. Showers possible with isolated
thunderstorms.

Thu Vfr.

Marine
Made adjustments to the wind gusts which were minimal across the
forecast waters. Otherwise, no changes were made at this time.

Small craft advisory conditions expected Sunday morning and
through Sunday night as wind gusts increase to 25 to 30 kt on
the ocean waters and seas build to 4 to 6 ft.

With a prolonged period of a strong and gusty easterly flow
continuing into Monday, SCA conditions are likely on the ocean
waters Monday and Monday night. The flow weakens Monday night
into midweek as high pressure retreats off the new england
coast and a cold front approaches. With the approach of the
front winds also gradually shift to the southeast and south. Sub
sca conditions are expected by Tuesday and continuing into
Thursday.

Hydrology
No hydrologic impacts are anticipated through the middle of next
week.

Tides coastal flooding
A prolonged period of easterly flow will gradually increase tide
levels into mid week. Localized minor coastal flooding will become
possible with the evening high tides along the south shore back bays
of queens and nassau counties by Monday, with the threat of minor
coastal flooding during the evening high tide cycles continuing
through the mid week period.

Equipment
Nyc NOAA weather radio station kwo35 (162.55 mhz) remains off
the air.

Okx watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... High rip current risk from this afternoon through this evening
for nyz075-080-081-178-179.

Nj... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 6 am this morning to 6 pm edt Monday
for anz350-353-355.

Synopsis... Fig met
near term... Feb fig jm met
short term... Fig
long term... Met
aviation... Ds
marine... Fig met
hydrology... Fig met
tides coastal flooding...

equipment...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 16 mi60 min ENE 5.1 G 7 65°F 74°F1024.9 hPa
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 28 mi42 min N 12 G 14 62°F 1021.1 hPa56°F
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 28 mi54 min NE 2.9 G 7 63°F 70°F1025.2 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 31 mi60 min ENE 8.9 G 16 66°F 74°F1024.6 hPa
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 37 mi54 min 65°F 71°F1024.8 hPa
44069 47 mi72 min ENE 18 G 19 69°F 77°F59°F

Wind History for New Haven, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Chester, Chester Airport, CT9 mi87 minNE 310.00 miFair61°F57°F88%1025.7 hPa
New Haven, Tweed-New Haven Airport, CT15 mi3.8 hrsVar 310.00 miOvercast70°F59°F68%1024.2 hPa
Meriden, Meriden Markham Municipal Airport, CT21 mi3.8 hrsN 010.00 miOvercast66°F55°F68%1024.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSNC

Wind History from SNC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN7N5N4N5N5N966
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N663
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3N5CalmCalmS4CalmCalmCalmNE4E4NE3NE3
1 day ago3NW5
G11
N103N5N5N3CalmCalmNW44NW3NW4CalmCalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmNW4NW4NW4N3
2 days agoSW5S5S4Calm5434S5645
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W6S7SW4
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N8N5CalmCalmW4SW4CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Madison, Connecticut
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Madison
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:25 AM EDT     0.67 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:40 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:09 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:38 AM EDT     4.54 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:37 PM EDT     0.87 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:54 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:02 PM EDT     5.26 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.81.32.23.244.44.543.22.21.410.91.42.33.34.355.354.131.9

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Island, Connecticut
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Duck Island
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:20 AM EDT     0.64 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:40 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:09 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:33 AM EDT     4.17 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:32 PM EDT     0.82 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:53 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:57 PM EDT     4.83 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.71.32.133.74.14.13.62.821.30.90.91.32.23.144.64.84.53.72.71.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.