Friday, January24, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Noank, CT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:05AMSunset 4:55PM Friday January 24, 2020 1:26 PM EST (18:26 UTC) Moonrise 8:07AMMoonset 5:41PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ237 Block Island Sound- 116 Pm Est Fri Jan 24 2020
.small craft advisory in effect from Saturday morning through Sunday morning...
This afternoon..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sat..E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft. Patchy fog. Showers likely. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat night..SE winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Patchy fog. Showers. Vsby 1 nm or less.
Sun and Sun night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
Mon..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Mon night through Tue night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 116 Pm Est Fri Jan 24 2020
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. High pres builds over the maritimes through tonight. Low pres will move ne from the mid atlc region Sat, tracking across southern new eng Sat night then into maine on Sun. The low pres will move into the maritimes Mon into Tue. For information on possible hazardous weather beyond the 24-36 hour forecast period, please visit www.weather.gov/boston and follow the current hazards link above the map on the left.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Noank, CT
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location: 41.32, -71.98     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 241816 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 116 PM EST Fri Jan 24 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure retreats to the northeast this afternoon as developing low pressure approaches from the southwest tonight. Low pressure will then track across the region Saturday, through Maine on Sunday, and into the Maritimes on Monday. A broad area of high pressure should then bring fair weather to the region through the middle of the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Adjusted high temperatures up a few degrees. Limited cloud cover has allowed temperatures to rise well above guidance and previous forecasts. Highs have likely been reached or will be reached within the next hour or so, in the upper 40s and lower 50s. Middle and upper ridge axis overhead is helping in limiting cloud cover. Surface high pressure over New England will also gradually retreat to the northeast through the day. Partly cloudy skies are anticipated for the rest of the day.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. A closed upper low slowly lifts towards the Great Lakes tonight and then gradually slides to the east through Saturday. A vertically stacked low will meander near the Great Lakes region. As the upper low nears and upper level ridge axis slides east, a secondary low pressure will develop across the Mid- Atlantic tonight. The secondary low will move across the region through Saturday.

The first concern for tonight will revolve around whether there will be any frozen precipitation across the NW interior. Much of the model guidance holds off precipitation until after 12z Saturday, but if any light precip does develop, it could be in the form of light freezing rain or sleet. Based on forecast soundings, saturation is initially shallow with plenty of dry air to overcome. At this time, not expecting any snow to develop. Once lift and moisture increase Saturday morning, mid level warming will prevent any snow as well. The secondary low and corridor of strong lift and deep moisture will move across the region from west to east from late morning through the afternoon. Models have continued to come into good agreement on this scenario. There could be a brief period of freezing rain at the onset in the morning across the far NW interior as surface temperatures look to be near 32 degrees initially, but this is expected to be brief and a predominately a plain rain event area wide. The NAM/NAM3-km continues to be the coldest at the onset, but any lingering temperatures at or below freezing will be quick to rise due to increase E-SE flow.

The other concern will be the quick hitting moderate to heavy rain, mainly in the afternoon due to a subtropical feed of moisture and PWATs around an inch. The axis of moisture and lift will move quickly across the region and a dry slot in the mid levels will move overhead ending the rain in the evening. The quick nature of the system should prevent any flooding concerns, but minor nuisance flooding is possible.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Upper low will meander across New England on Sunday and then slowly towards the Canadian Maritimes Monday. The upper low should move over the North Atlantic Tuesday into Wednesday. An upper ridge may develop late next week. The forecast remains dry other than a few rain/snow showers across Orange county on Sunday. Temperatures will be above normal Monday and Tuesday and then should trend towards normal for the rest of the week.

AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. VFR with high pressure over the terminals today which slides east tonight. VFR conditions give way to MVFR very late tonight for most terminals (mainly after 06Z) as an area of low pressure approaches from the southwest.

Conditions then fall to IFR during the morning and remain IFR for a good part of the afternoon/early afternoon. Expect plain rain for most terminals, with the exception of KSWF, where a brief period freezing rain may occur if any light precipitation develops out ahead of the main batch of rain and temperatures haven't had a chance to rise above freezing. Any light freezing rain will be short lived and over by about 15z as temperatures are expected to warm. There should be a period of moderate to heavy rainfall between 17-22z.

Light winds continue today, but gradually become E, slowly increasing to around 10 kt for the city and coastal terminals after 06Z Saturday. Winds continue to increase through the morning Saturday, with sustained winds of 20 kt and gusts to 25 kt by late Saturday morning into the early afternoon. Winds will be increasing aloft as well, with SE wind shear of 50 kt at 2000 ft around the same time

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. Saturday. MVFR/IFR in rain. E winds 10-20G20-25 kt during the afternoon with LLWS possible. Winds diminish at night. Sunday. MVFR/IFR possible in lingering showers. Rain or snow showers possible across the interior. Monday-Wednesday. VFR.

MARINE. Strengthening easterly flow will bring ocean waters to SCA levels by early Saturday. Therefore, an SCA will go into effect for the ocean waters. There could be a brief period in the early afternoon where gale force gusts could occur, mainly on the ocean. Wind gusts fall below 25 kt by Saturday night as the system pulls away, however seas will be to slow to subside.

It is likely that 5 ft or greater seas on the ocean will continue through the day on Sunday and probably into a good portion of Monday. Sub-sca conds on all waters are then anticipated for Monday night and Tuesday.

HYDROLOGY. An inch to an inch and a half of rainfall is expected Saturday through Saturday night. No significant hydrologic impacts are anticipated however nuisance flooding is possible during the afternoon when a period of moderate rain is possible.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. There remains some uncertainty regarding the magnitude of any coastal flooding on Saturday.

For the morning and very early afternoon high tide cycle: The most vulnerable areas along the South Shore Bays may see high tide too early to match up with the strongest winds ahead of the low. This window before peak winds is too narrow to bank on at this point however, so the forecast leans towards more of a worst case scenario, and a watch has been issued for srn Nassau. For the remaining areas, a statement has been issued for those areas that are expected to exceed or come close to minor flood thresholds. Some of these areas may be upgraded to an advisory depending on the evolution of the system.

For the evening high tide cycle: Some minor flooding is possible, again the South Shore Bays are most susceptible, due to lingering water levels and the impact of the rain. If the low slows at all, the risk will increase due to the locked in east flow.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is still operating at reduced power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . Coastal Flood Watch Saturday morning for NYZ179. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM to 6 PM EST Saturday for ANZ330- 335-338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Saturday to 6 AM EST Sunday for ANZ350-353-355.

SYNOPSIS . CB NEAR TERM . CB/DS SHORT TERM . CB LONG TERM . AVIATION . BC MARINE . CB HYDROLOGY . CB TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . EQUIPMENT .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 5 mi46 min ESE 1 G 2.9 43°F 1025.6 hPa
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 6 mi56 min NNW 4.1 G 6 47°F 42°F1028.1 hPa
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 19 mi56 min 44°F 38°F1028.3 hPa
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 35 mi62 min NNE 8 G 8.9 42°F 39°F1029.3 hPa
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 37 mi56 min N 8 G 9.9 42°F 37°F1028.8 hPa
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 40 mi101 min NE 5.1 44°F 1030 hPa28°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 40 mi56 min NE 5.1 G 7 44°F 1029.6 hPa
PRUR1 41 mi56 min 44°F 24°F
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 43 mi56 min NW 11 G 12 42°F 39°F1029.1 hPa
PVDR1 45 mi56 min N 6 G 8 47°F 1029.5 hPa24°F
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 46 mi56 min NE 4.1 G 8 46°F 37°F1029.4 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 49 mi56 min N 1 G 4.1 47°F 37°F1027.6 hPa

Wind History for New London, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Groton / New London, Groton / New London Airport, CT4 mi30 minSE 610.00 miFair47°F25°F42%1027.6 hPa
Westerly, Westerly State Airport, RI10 mi33 minSSE 510.00 miFair50°F24°F36%1028.2 hPa
Montauk, Montauk Airport, NY17 mi32 minENE 7 mi45°F28°F52%1028.3 hPa
Block Island State Airport, RI23 mi30 minENE 810.00 miFair41°F26°F55%1028.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KGON

Wind History from GON (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW12W7SW5SW4CalmW4CalmCalmN3CalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmN4NE3CalmN6N6N4CalmS5SE6
1 day agoSW6SW8SW7W6NW5W3CalmCalmCalmN3N3CalmNW3CalmCalmN3CalmN5N3CalmCalmSW5SW8SW9
2 days agoN6N4NW9N5NW3NW4CalmN3N5NW7N4CalmN3NW6CalmN3N3N4N4N3N4NW4S8S6

Tide / Current Tables for Noank, Mystic River entrance, Connecticut
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Noank
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:33 AM EST     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:06 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:06 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 08:28 AM EST     2.62 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:18 PM EST     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:41 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 04:44 PM EST     New Moon
Fri -- 04:53 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 08:59 PM EST     1.96 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.40.100.51.11.72.32.62.62.31.91.30.70.1-0.2-0.10.30.91.41.821.81.5

Tide / Current Tables for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current (2) (expired 1993-12-31)
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The Race
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:05 AM EST     -3.38 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 05:15 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 07:06 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:06 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 08:08 AM EST     3.14 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 11:02 AM EST     -0.01 knots Slack
Fri -- 02:27 PM EST     -3.98 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 04:41 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 04:44 PM EST     New Moon
Fri -- 04:54 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 05:51 PM EST     0.01 knots Slack
Fri -- 08:43 PM EST     3.09 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 11:38 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1.6-2.8-3.4-3-1.9-0.41.32.73.12.91.80.1-1.6-2.9-3.9-3.8-2.9-1.50.322.93.12.51.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Boston, MA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.