Poquonock Bridge, CT Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Poquonock Bridge, CT

June 13, 2024 3:21 PM EDT (19:21 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:12 AM   Sunset 8:24 PM
Moonrise 12:10 PM   Moonset 12:50 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ237 Block Island Sound- 104 Pm Edt Thu Jun 13 2024

This afternoon - SW winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 3 seconds and S 2 ft at 8 seconds.

Tonight - SW winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 8 seconds and sw 2 ft at 3 seconds.

Fri - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 7 seconds and sw 2 ft at 4 seconds.

Fri night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 2 ft at 7 seconds. Showers likely, mainly in the evening with vsby 1 to 3 nm.

Sat - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 8 seconds and nw 1 foot at 5 seconds. A chance of showers in the afternoon.

Sat night - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 8 seconds and nw 1 foot at 3 seconds.

Sun through Mon night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.

ANZ200 104 Pm Edt Thu Jun 13 2024

Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters - High pressure will remain over the waters through Thu. Winds become gusty out of the sw Thursday, before a cold front over the great lakes is expected to cross the region Fri. Showers and Thunderstorms will accompany the cold front. A tropical low may track well southeast of new england Saturday, across georges bank and then south of nova scotia. High pressure then builds across the waters Sunday and Monday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Poquonock Bridge, CT
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Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 131814 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 214 PM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure moves farther out into the Atlantic through tonight. A cold front approaches Friday and moves across Friday night. High pressure returns for the weekend before sliding offshore early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 AM FRIDAY MORNING/
Forecast remains on track. Temperatures and dewpoints still have good agreement last few hours comparing forecast with observed values. Some cumulus development has occurred with scattered to broken cirrus moving across the region.

Still have some sea breeze enhancement expected for the afternoon into early this evening. Gusty southerly flow can be expected along the coast but will be partially limited as warmer air moves in aloft.

High pressure will further weaken tonight and move farther out east into the Atlantic. After the decrease of the cumulus and overall mostly clear conditions to start tonight, expecting an increase in clouds from west to east overnight.

With some low to mid level Q vector convergence noted more so by the GFS with this not indicated as much with the NAM, have a slight to low end chance of showers late overnight into early Friday morning for parts of the southern coastlines covering the area from coastal CT through coastal NE NJ, NYC and Long Island.
In the mid levels, the models do convey weak positive vorticity advection on the backside of the mid level ridge traversing the local region between 2AM and 8AM Friday.

With the southerly flow continuing along the coast and increasing clouds late, went with more mild low temperatures.
Lows used a combination of NBM and consensus of all guidance, with values mainly in the mid 60s to near 70.

SHORT TERM /8 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
Even warmer with a subtle climb in humidity as a S to SW flow increases overall as a cold front approaches from the west.
Expect lots of sunshine through the early afternoon, with clouds increasing from west to east with the approach of a cold front.
Temperatures are expected to reach the upper 80s to 90 for the NE NJ metro, with mainly 80s elsewhere, and middle and upper 70s across far eastern coastal sections. Convection ahead of the cold front is expected to initiate towards 18 to 20z for the northwestern portions of the CWA, with the activity moving ESE through the late afternoon and evening. SPC has placed the area in a marginal to slight risk of severe thunderstorms, with the slight risk roughly for the western half of the CWA The main threat with any storms at this time appears to be gusty to damaging wind gusts in any stronger storms. Storm mode appears to be multi-cell clusters with perhaps the storms becoming more of a broken organized line as it gets closer to the metro during the evening. MLCAPE values are expected to exceed 1000 J/kg for far western areas, with bulk shear values in the 35 kt vicinity as this has the chance to be the first widespread thunderstorm activity of the season for a good portion of the CWA A general weakening trend in any storms is expected as the storms encounter more of a marine environment as they move across the eastern third of the CWA

The showers and storms should slide to the east by midnight for far eastern sections. A Drier NW flow moves in quickly in the wake of the FROPA, with noticeably lower humidity into Sat AM with clearing skies.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Surface high pressure builds in from the NW behind the exiting cold front on Saturday, centering itself over the area on Sunday as an upper-level ridge begins to build into the area. This ridge remains over the Northeast on Monday before amplifying Tuesday into Wednesday, remaining highly amplified into Thursday.

HEAT! That pretty much sums up the concerns for the long-term forecast. Our first heat wave of the season could be a possibility with multiple days expected to reach the mid-90s with upper-90s possible. The hottest days are expected to be Tuesday through Thursday. Heat index values are projected to be between 95 and 100 at their peak due to higher dewpoints being advected in from onshore flow. This onshore flow, however, could lead to subtle relief for Long Island and parts of coastal Connecticut where winds blowing in from cooler ocean waters may allow their temperatures to be slightly cooler than the rest of the CWA Heat Advisories may need to be issued as the event nears, if the forecast does not change too much.

850mb warm air advection starts aloft on Monday, but doesn't really become anomalously strong until Tuesday. Its important to note that there is uncertainty with regards to the maximum temperatures. All global model guidance agrees on a highly-amplified ridge over the northeast with warm air advection aloft, but they still differ in magnitude. Expect the forecasted temperatures to change somewhat until the model guidance comes into better agreement. For now, went with a blend of NBM deterministic and NBM 50th percentile. Even the NBM 25th percentile was warmer than the deterministic NBM, so by blending the two together, it has increased forecasted temperatures next week.

A few weak shortwaves embedded within the longwave ridge on Sunday and Monday will help forestall strong heat until Tuesday. The shortwaves will increase cloud coverage somewhat and prevent the ridge from amplifying until Tuesday. This will leave temperatures near normal for the weekend and only slightly above average on Monday.

AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
VFR through most of the TAF period.

A cold front approaches from the NW late Friday bringing unsettled weather late Friday into early Saturday morning. Best chance of TSRA 18-22z Friday KSWF and 20-00z Sat across city terminals. Heavy rain and gusty winds possible in any TSTM Friday.

S-SW Winds 10-15kt with gusts to 25kt at the coast continue into early evening. Tonight, gusts diminish but winds are expected to remain around 10 kt overnight into Friday morning.
Stronger winds possible in vicinity of stronger TSTMs Friday afternoon and evening.

...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

No unscheduled amendments likely through 18z Friday.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

18z Friday: MVFR or lower possible in showers/tstms late afternoon or evening.

Saturday through Monday: VFR.

Tuesday: VFR expected. CHC of MVFR in afternoon SHRA/TSTM mainly NW of city terminals

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE
More southerly flow this afternoon with gusts expected to 20-25 kt. The gusts will be occasional as warmer air moving in aloft will limit mixing. So, do not have SCA for any of the forecast waters as the 25 kt gusts are just expected to be occasional.
Seas on the ocean expected to remain below SCA thresholds and well below SCA thresholds for non-ocean waters. Wind subside tonight with wind gusts on Friday to near 20 kt. Winds subside again Friday night with wind direction eventually becoming more NW.

Sub small craft conditions then prevail through early next week.

HYDROLOGY
Showers and thunderstorms are expected to bring a round of brief, but locally heavy rain late Friday and Friday evening. Rainfall amounts are expected to average from around a half inch to one inch.
Instantaneous rainfall rates will be rather high, but the storms are expected to progress along. Therefore impacts will most likely be limited to minor urban and poor drainage flooding due to the quick movement of this system, with flash flooding appearing unlikely at this time.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
There remains a moderate rip current risk this afternoon for the ocean beaches, and a high risk for most ocean beaches Friday.
Eastern Suffolk beaches are expected to have a moderate rip current risk on Friday.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
NLHC3 5 mi51 min 73°F29.99
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 20 mi51 min 66°F29.96
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 37 mi51 minS 15G18 29.99
PDVR1 38 mi51 minSSE 16G19 29.97
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 39 mi51 minSSW 16G18 67°F30.01
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 42 mi96 minW 6 74°F 30.0164°F
PRUR1 42 mi63 min 68°F 64°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 42 mi51 minSW 8G13 30.01
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 45 mi51 minSSE 19G21 70°F29.98
PVDR1 46 mi51 minSSE 14G17 29.98
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 47 mi51 minSSE 14G18 64°F29.98
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 47 mi51 minS 8.9G9.9 67°F29.99


Wind History for No Ports station near this location
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KGON GROTONNEW LONDON,CT 2 sm25 minS 0610 smClear75°F64°F69%29.99
KWST WESTERLY STATE,RI 12 sm28 minSSW 0910 smClear75°F63°F65%30.00
KMTP MONTAUK,NY 18 sm27 minSSW 09G16--75°F64°F69%30.02
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Wind History graph: GON
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Tide / Current for Noank, Mystic River entrance, Connecticut
   
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Noank
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Thu -- 12:50 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 02:49 AM EDT     2.19 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:42 AM EDT     0.49 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 12:09 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:38 PM EDT     2.26 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:17 PM EDT     0.75 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Noank, Mystic River entrance, Connecticut, Tide feet
12
am
1.6
1
am
1.9
2
am
2.1
3
am
2.2
4
am
2.1
5
am
1.8
6
am
1.5
7
am
1.2
8
am
0.9
9
am
0.6
10
am
0.5
11
am
0.8
12
pm
1.2
1
pm
1.6
2
pm
2
3
pm
2.2
4
pm
2.3
5
pm
2.1
6
pm
1.9
7
pm
1.6
8
pm
1.3
9
pm
1
10
pm
0.8
11
pm
0.8


Tide / Current for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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The Race
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Thu -- 12:50 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 01:54 AM EDT     1.87 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:11 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:17 AM EDT     -2.35 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 11:35 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 12:09 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:25 PM EDT     2.05 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:52 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:50 PM EDT     -2.21 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current, knots
12
am
0.8
1
am
1.6
2
am
1.9
3
am
1.6
4
am
1
5
am
0.2
6
am
-0.9
7
am
-1.8
8
am
-2.3
9
am
-2.2
10
am
-1.5
11
am
-0.6
12
pm
0.4
1
pm
1.4
2
pm
2
3
pm
2
4
pm
1.5
5
pm
0.8
6
pm
-0.1
7
pm
-1.2
8
pm
-2
9
pm
-2.2
10
pm
-1.8
11
pm
-1.1


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