Monday, June1, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Mystic, CT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:15AMSunset 8:17PM Monday June 1, 2020 10:49 PM EDT (02:49 UTC) Moonrise 3:25PMMoonset 2:53AM Illumination 84% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ237 Block Island Sound- 1016 Pm Edt Mon Jun 1 2020
Overnight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..SW winds around 5 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Showers likely. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Thu night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Fri night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.
Sat..SW winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Showers likely.
Sat night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms. Seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 1016 Pm Edt Mon Jun 1 2020
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. High pres will build across the waters through Tuesday. The high pres will be passing well S of the waters Tue. A cold front should move over the waters by Thursday morning. For information on possible hazardous weather beyond the 24-36 hour forecast period, please visit www.weather.gov/boston and follow the current hazards link above the map on the left.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mystic, CT
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location: 41.34, -71.97     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 020005 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 805 PM EDT Mon Jun 1 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure settles along the Southeast coast through Tuesday morning. A warm front approaches late Tuesday and moves across Tuesday night. A surface trough will then linger into Wednesday. A cold front will move through late Wednesday night into early Thursday. Another cold front will move through Saturday, followed by high pressure for the remainder of the weekend into the beginning of next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/. Radar shows some sprinkles moving across the forks of Long Island and SE CT early this evening in association with a mid level vorticity max moving across. Otherwise, the region will be sandwiched between an upper trough trough offshore and a building ridge across the center of the CONUS. Stratocu may dissipate this evening some with loss of daytime heating, then weak warm advection and increasing middle level moisture will lead to mostly cloudy skies overnight.

Lows will range from the upper 40s inland, to the lower and mid 50s elsewhere.

There is a moderate risk for the development of rip currents at the ocean beaches into this evening due to a south to southeast long period swell.

SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. Warm advection continues in the low and middle levels on Tuesday. The main warm front will be setting up well to our west during the day. Model forecast soundings indicate dry air in the lowest 5 to 10 kft that will prevent anything more than isolated sprinkles in the morning. In fact, the daytime hours may end up completely dry as forcing is very weak. The dry air will also be a negating factor to any precipitation. Middle and upper level moisture increases in the afternoon ahead of a shortwave that will begin diving southeast out of Canada. This feature will be responsible for driving the warm front towards the area Tuesday night. High temperatures on Tuesday will continue a few degrees below normal in the lower 70s.

There are still some discrepancies on coverage of showers Tuesday night as the warm front nears. Models agree that a wave of low pressure will traverse across northern New England towards early Wednesday which should help move the warm front into the area. It is possible the warm front does not fully move across until later Wednesday morning. Probability of showers increases Tuesday night with the warm front and positive vorticity advection ahead of the 500 mb shortwave diving within the NW flow. Lows will be in the 50s.

There is a moderate risk for the development of rip currents at the ocean beaches Tuesday due to a continuing southeast long period swell.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. A weak upper level trough will move across the Northeast on Wednesday as a cold front approaches from the west. Ahead of the cold front, a pre-frontal surface trough will affect the forecast area during the day. This will provide some focus for lift for some showers. However, better forcing will occur later in the day, as stronger lift and more in the way of instability is expected. The air mass will also become more humid as dew points rise into the 60s. Some strong storms are possible, particularly north and west of New York City, with lifted indices of 0 to -6 noted across northeast New Jersey and the Lower Hudson Valley during the afternoon. Surface CAPE values are not too impressive, but would support at least some thunderstorms for those areas, with values around 1000 J/kg. A few hundreds J/kg of elevated CAPE noted as well in model soundings. SPC has placed a portion of the area in a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms on Wednesday.

The cold front pushes off shore late Wednesday night into Thursday morning, with dry conditions expected through the day Thursday.

Another frontal system approaches from the west Thursday night, with a warm front lifting north of the region Thursday night. Unsettled conditions are then expected from Thursday night through Saturday as the cold front moves through. The area dries out late Saturday night, with Canadian high pressure returning through the beginning of next week. A noticeably cooler, less humid air mass will move in for Sunday into Monday.

AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. VFR as high pressure passes to the south. NW-N winds 5 to around 10 kt early from NYC metros north/west will shift W and diminish overnight. Coastal sea breezes expected late morning and afternoon on Tue.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. Tuesday night. VFR to start, then chance of showers with MVFR cigs likely. Wednesday. MVFR conds possible in showers. Chance of afternoon/evening thunderstorms. Thursday. VFR. Friday and Saturday. MVFR possible in showers.

MARINE. High pressure settles to the south of the waters tonight into Tuesday. A warm front approaches late Tuesday and begins to move across the waters Tuesday night. SCA conditions are forecast on the waters through Tuesday night. Winds could approach 20 kt on Tuesday, but ocean seas will be around 3 ft through this period.

Lack of a strong pressure gradient will keep winds below 25 kt from Wednesday onward across all coastal waters.

Ahead of a cold front late Wednesday into Wednesday night seas on the eastern ocean waters will approach marginal small craft criteria. Seas will remain 4 to 5 feet for the eastern 2/3 of the ocean waters through the first half of Thursday night, before subsiding slightly into Friday morning. Otherwise, the remainder of the forecast waters remain below SCA levels Wednesday night through Friday.

Waves build to 4 to 5 ft for the eastern 2/3 of the ocean waters once again Friday night as another frontal system approaches from the west, setting up a southerly flow over the ocean waters.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic impacts expected through next Tuesday.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. A southerly swell and rising astronomical tides could aid in some coastal locations approaching minor coastal flood benchmarks for the Wednesday evening high tide cycle.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is undergoing its final stages of testing, and is operating at full power.

KOKX WSR-88D radar will be down for approximately two weeks for the pedestal refurbishment.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . JP/DS NEAR TERM . JP/DS SHORT TERM . DS LONG TERM . JP AVIATION . Goodman MARINE . JP/DS HYDROLOGY . JP/DS TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . EQUIPMENT .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 6 mi174 min NW 9.9 G 12 61°F 1018.1 hPa38°F
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 7 mi55 min WSW 1.9 G 5.1 58°F 56°F1019 hPa
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 20 mi55 min 56°F 59°F1019.5 hPa
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 34 mi55 min WNW 5.1 G 7 58°F 61°F1019.2 hPa
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 36 mi55 min WNW 2.9 G 6 59°F 53°F1019 hPa
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 39 mi64 min NW 2.9 55°F 1019 hPa40°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 39 mi55 min NW 2.9 G 6 56°F 1019.6 hPa
PRUR1 40 mi55 min 56°F 44°F
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 42 mi55 min 58°F 61°F
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 44 mi55 min NW 4.1 G 7 59°F 55°F1019.1 hPa
PVDR1 44 mi55 min NW 5.1 G 7 57°F 1019.2 hPa38°F
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 45 mi39 min SW 7.8 G 9.7 56°F 55°F1020.3 hPa49°F
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 49 mi55 min WNW 7 G 11 60°F 1018.9 hPa
FRXM3 49 mi55 min 60°F 43°F

Wind History for New London, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Groton / New London, Groton / New London Airport, CT4 mi53 minWSW 610.00 miA Few Clouds53°F42°F66%1019.2 hPa
Westerly, Westerly State Airport, RI9 mi56 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds55°F41°F59%1019.3 hPa
Montauk, Montauk Airport, NY18 mi55 minWSW 5 mi57°F48°F72%1019.8 hPa
Block Island State Airport, RI23 mi53 minWSW 610.00 miMostly Cloudy53°F46°F77%1019.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KGON

Wind History from GON (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN10N8N5N5NW5CalmN3NE3N4NW6NW10N8
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1 day agoW10NW15
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2 days agoSW6SW5S7SW4S3SW6S3CalmSW5W4SW5SW5SW9SW86SW10SW13W12SW11W12
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Tide / Current Tables for Noank, Mystic River entrance, Connecticut
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Noank
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:11 AM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:53 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 05:43 AM EDT     2.43 feet High Tide
Mon -- 12:24 PM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:25 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:14 PM EDT     2.93 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.40.91.522.42.42.21.81.40.90.50.20.30.81.52.22.72.92.82.521.40.8

Tide / Current Tables for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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The Race
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:11 AM EDT     0.01 knots Slack
Mon -- 02:53 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:58 AM EDT     2.72 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 05:17 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:14 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:16 AM EDT     -3.11 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 02:25 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 03:26 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:23 PM EDT     3.12 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:43 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:50 PM EDT     -3.54 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-2.7-1.6-0.31.22.32.72.41.50.3-1.1-2.4-3.1-2.9-2-0.60.92.33.132.31.1-0.5-2.1-3.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Boston, MA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.