Sunday, August25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Essex Village, CT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:08AMSunset 7:36PM Sunday August 25, 2019 8:21 PM EDT (00:21 UTC) Moonrise 12:39AMMoonset 3:53PM Illumination 21% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ330 Long Island Sound East Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 735 Pm Edt Sun Aug 25 2019
Tonight..NE winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Tue..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..SE winds around 5 kt, becoming W around 5 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Thu..N winds around 5 kt, becoming sw around 5 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Thu night..W winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 735 Pm Edt Sun Aug 25 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure remains north of the region through Tuesday. A cold front approaches Wednesday and passes through the waters Wednesday night into early Thursday. High pressure returns briefly Friday before another cold front passes through late Friday into Saturday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Essex Village CDP, CT
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location: 41.35, -72.37     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 260001
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
801 pm edt Sun aug 25 2019

Synopsis
High pressure across northern new england and extending along
the coast, east of the appalachians, remains across the region
through Monday night before it begins to drift east Tuesday, as
a cold front approaches from the west. The cold front passes
through the region Wednesday night into early Thursday. High
pressure returns briefly Friday before another cold front passes
through late Friday into Saturday. High pressure builds over
the northeast Saturday and Sunday.

Near term until 6 am Monday morning
A strengthening inversion was allowing for clouds to expand
across our coastal areas on an onshore flow. With the inversion
in place through tonight expect clouds to continue to increase
through tonight. Dry conditions expected tonight with light
rain drizzle remaining just south of the area. With the
increased clouds and mixing tonight, temperatures along the
coast may not fall as low as current forecast lows.

Low temperatures tonight will be in the lower 50s inland and in
the mid 50s to around 60 along the coast.

Short term 6 am Monday morning through Monday night
Low level moisture will linger into Monday morning as an
easterly flow continues with high pressure remaining north of
the region. This will result in mostly cloudy conditions along
the coast Monday morning with conditions improving by Monday
afternoon.

Temperatures on Monday will be in the mid 70s.

There is a high risk of rip current development at the atlantic
ocean beaches through Monday evening.

Long term Tuesday through Sunday
The extended period Tuesday through Saturday is fairly consistent
with the previous forecast. Ridging from northern new england and
along the mid atlantic seaboard will drift into the western atlantic
early Tuesday as a longwave trough from near alaska digs into the
northern plains and upper midwest. This longwave trough will send a
couple of cold fronts through the region late Wednesday night into
early Thursday and then Friday into Saturday. The strongest front
will be the first one.

The changes with this front, is a quicker passage, and less forcing
along the front as the upper trough is now lifting farther to the
north and retrograding slowly. So, will still have chance
probabilities. With the longwave upper trough weakening Thursday and
Friday and the flow more zonal the next front will be even weaker
than earlier expected, with little moisture. As a result, this front
is now forecast to come through dry.

With the front Wednesday into early Thursday both CAPE and
instability will be limited, so will have showers with only slight
chances of thunder, and mainly across the inland, until later across
the marine areas, right with the frontal passage.

Higher pressure then builds in for the upcoming labor day weekend.

Aviation 00z Monday through Friday
High pressure will remain over new england through Monday night
before departing to the east on Tuesday.

Forecast challenge is to how far west MVFR ceilings over SE new
england work overnight. For the time, have confined it to some
of the coastal terminals for a period after 06z. The best chance
would be at kgon. Winds do become more northerly overnight
which may keep the lower ceilings to the east of the terminals.

This pattern will keep the area under a ne-e flow during the
time period with backing to the NE tonight and then veering more
to the E as the day progresses on Monday. Outside of a few
gusts into the teens this evening winds will be 10-15 kt at the
coastal terminals and 5-10 kt at the inland terminals.

Outlook for 00z Tuesday through Friday
Mon night-tue Vfr.

Wed MVFR or lower possible in showers and thunderstorms.

Thu MainlyVFR. Morning showers possible.

Fri Vfr.

Marine
Strong and gusty northeast to east winds remain across the
ocean waters, and were a couple of knots higher than forecast.

As a result, ocean seas have increased up to 8 feet across the
outer portions of the forecast zones. Winds and gusts will only
subside a couple of knots overnight, so increased winds, gusts,
and seas through the overnight. Also, updated the SCA that
remains in effect on the ocean waters through Monday night.

Winds should gradually diminish on Monday, but seas will remain
above small craft advisory conditions through Monday night.

Hydrology
No hydrologic impacts are anticipated through the end of the
week.

Tides coastal flooding
A prolonged period of easterly flow will gradually increase tide
levels into mid week. Localized minor coastal flooding is possible
with Monday evening high tides along the south shore back bays of
queens and nassau counties, with the threat of at least isolated
minor coastal flooding continuing during the evening high tide
cycles through the mid week period.

Equipment
Nyc NOAA weather radio station kwo35 (162.55 mhz) remains off
the air.

Okx watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... High rip current risk through Monday evening for nyz075-080-
081-178-179.

Nj... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 am edt Tuesday for anz350-353-355.

Synopsis... Fig met
near term... Fig met
short term... Fig
long term... Fig met
aviation... Dw
marine... Fig met
hydrology... Fig met
tides coastal flooding...

equipment...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 15 mi52 min NE 2.9 G 7 66°F 69°F1024.2 hPa
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 16 mi37 min NE 9.9 G 16 65°F 1008.3 hPa54°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 29 mi52 min ESE 5.1 G 8 69°F 73°F1023.6 hPa
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 30 mi52 min 65°F 70°F1024 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 45 mi58 min E 8.9 G 13 70°F 74°F1023.3 hPa

Wind History for New London, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Chester, Chester Airport, CT8 mi27 minNE 610.00 miFair63°F55°F77%1024.7 hPa
Groton / New London, Groton / New London Airport, CT17 mi86 minNE 1210.00 miOvercast69°F54°F59%1024 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSNC

Wind History from SNC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalm----NE3----N5N7--N6N76
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1 day agoCalmCalm--NW4----6N5N5NW5N5N96N94
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2 days agoCalmCalmW4--Calm--3N8N10N4N4N5N3CalmCalmNW44NW3NW4CalmCalmNW3CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Essex, Connecticut River, Connecticut
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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The Race
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:38 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 01:29 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:12 AM EDT     2.03 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 06:07 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:30 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 10:33 AM EDT     -2.24 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 01:32 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 03:51 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:33 PM EDT     2.38 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 07:32 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 07:51 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:07 PM EDT     -2.85 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1.5-0.50.61.521.81.20.5-0.5-1.5-2.1-2.2-1.6-0.60.51.52.32.31.70.9-0.2-1.4-2.4-2.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.