NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/
A few post-frontal showers moving across CT and LI will continue to dissipate, otherwise clearing skies from west to east. NW winds will bring in much drier and cooler air overnight.
Occasional gusts up to 20 mph expected, especially at the coastal terminals after midnight.

Lows are forecast to fall into the 40s and 50s across the region by daybreak, with some sites possibly just above record daily lows.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/
High pressure builds in at the surface, but an upper level trough remains over the northeast through Sunday night. A cooler and drier airmass moves into the region, and high temperatures will peak at 5 to nearly 10 degrees below seasonal normals.
Sunday night with clear skies and light winds, temperatures will be nearly 10 degrees below seasonal normals.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
Key Points:

* Predominantly dry conditions set up through late in the week.

* Warming trend with high temperatures running 5 to 10 degrees above normal by Thursday.

A rather tranquil and warm long term period with conditions appearing almost entirely dry. Trough axis overhead on Monday shifts offshore by Monday night, with heights climbing thereafter thru late week as ridging builds in. At the surface, high pressure centered over the Midwest gradually translates east into the Mid Atlantic by midweek, offshore by late week, then lingering nearby into next weekend.

Shortwave rounding the departing trough may try and instigate a few showers late Monday or Monday night, but even this looks minimal in coverage locally with limited moisture and better forcing to the north. Perhaps most noticeable will be an increase in cloud cover later Monday. Thereafter, mostly clear skies prevail through late in the week with nearby high pressure. Highs each day will just above seasonable, in the low to mid 80s for most.
The urban corridor may be a few degrees warmer on Thursday and Friday, in the upper 80s, under weak WSW flow. Overnight lows are generally progged in the 60s.

AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
High pressure builds over the northeast today.

VFR.

NW wind with gusts around 20 kt become frequent at all terminals around or shortly after 13Z Sun. Winds will the gradually back to the WNW by 18Z. Gusts diminish during the evening hours near or after 00Z.

...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

No unscheduled amendments are expected.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

Sun Night-Mon...Mainly VFR. Chance of isold-sct aft/eve shwrs.

Tue-Thu...VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE
A SCA remains on the ocean waters until early Sunday afternoon, mainly for seas, but occasional 25 kt gusts possible this evening with a cold frontal passage. As high pressure builds into the waters behind it, lowering swells will allow for ocean seas to fall below 5 feet by early Sunday afternoon. Afterward, winds and seas will remain below advisory through Sunday night.

Winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA criteria from Monday through at least midweek, as the pressure gradient remains weak across the region.

HYDROLOGY
No significant hydrologic issues are expected through the end of next week.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
High risk of rip current development continues into this evening for all local Atlantic facing beaches with an easterly swell of 5 to 6 ft at 10 sec combines with increased southerly flow.

The risk drops to moderate on Sunday, and remains moderate on Monday. While the flow will be offshore from the NW, a short period wind wave will combine with a decreasing easterly swell (3 ft at 9s) to allow for at least a moderate risk of rip current development.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ350- 353-355.