Saturday, May30, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Elyria, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:56AMSunset 8:55PM Saturday May 30, 2020 4:09 AM EDT (08:09 UTC) Moonrise 12:42PMMoonset 1:36AM Illumination 57% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ145 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh- 402 Pm Edt Fri May 29 2020
Tonight..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Scattered showers with isolated Thunderstorms early. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday..North winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Monday through Wednesday. The water temperature off toledo is 58 degrees, off cleveland 54 degrees, and off erie 55 degrees.
LEZ145 Expires:202005300230;;950963 FZUS51 KCLE 292002 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 402 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ145>147-300230-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Elyria, OH
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location: 41.37, -82.11     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 300558 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 158 AM EDT Sat May 30 2020

SYNOPSIS. Notable change in the airmass in store for the region tonight into the weekend. A deep upper level trough sink south over the lower lakes tonight into Saturday. Meanwhile, upper level ridging will increase from the Rockies into the Plains as it advances east over the weekend. At the surface high pressure will move in from the west on Saturday and strengthen as it becomes more centered over the region by Monday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. We have added the potential for patchy to areas of fog for late this evening into the early morning hours of Saturday. The high res models show a decent setup for fog potential along and east of I-71 for tonight. Any fog will quickly disperse shortly after sunrise Saturday morning.

Previous discussion . Cold front advancing eastward across the forecast area with back edge of rain moving into western Ohio. Thunderstorms and showers with moderate to heavy rain were out ahead of the front where Td and PWATs were still high. Threat remains for some isolated severe storms with damaging winds and small hail. Expect instability and shear to remain favorable for the afternoon and early evening, however instability will wane after dark. Lingering light showers will follow immediately behind the front and as cold advection moves in and a potent shortwave digs south. Airmass dries out rapidly behind the leading edge of the wave, however much colder temps aloft will slide over the southern lakes. 500mb temps lower to around 14C this evening, steepening mid-level lapse rates. There may be just enough instability to develop additional scattered showers across the area through about 03Z with a weaker secondary cold front passes. The pres gradient increases briefly behind the front but ridging will quickly build in and lead to light winds by morning.

Temperatures will drop overnight and into Saturday with a notably drier airmass working in. Most of the area will clear out with drying as the upper trough departs east and ridging builds in from the west. Despite less favorable dynamics, there may be some embedded vort maxes swinging around the base of the trough. That potential along with concerned that there may be enough lingering moisture and/or lake enhancement with afternoon heating to develop some cu/showers in the afternoon. The ridge and dry air may dominate, but given the uncertainty have included just isolated showers in the primary snowbelt region.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. Amplified upper-level ridging will move over the plains into the Ohio Valley this weekend. With high pressure building to the west and the departing trough to the east the area will advect seasonably cool and drier into Sunday. Surface high pressure will strengthen into Monday as a cool and dry airmass lingers over the area. Dew points will drop into the upper 30s by Sunday Night, so can't rule out temperatures dropping to around 40 or lower by Monday morning. Temperatures will be much warmer around 50 or more along the immediate lakeshore. Daytime highs will be in the 60s for most of the area for Sunday. Temperatures will warm on Monday as we begin to see some return flow. By Monday night moisture will return to the area and temperatures will return to more seasonable levels in the mid 50s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Another head spinning change in the weather by midweek as temperatures boomerang back into the 80s with dew points in the 60s. The upper level ridge will raise thicknesses over the Great Lakes while surface high pressure slides off the east coast, providing a nice conveyor of warm/moist air from the Gulf. Precip will return with the warm front Monday. Looking towards a shortwave over the upper lakes that could support some convection (MCS?) development Tuesday that will need to be monitored given low confidence. Overall the airmass will become hot and humid once again supporting pockets of afternoon convection.

AVIATION /06Z Saturday THROUGH Wednesday/. Patchy fog has developed, mainly east of I-71, where much of the rain fell earlier today. CAK/YNG may experience occasional fog through 08Z before visibilities start to improve with VFR cloud cover increasing from west to east. Winds will also shift to the west with drier air gradually overspreading the area into Saturday morning. VFR clouds of 3500-5000 feet are expected to increase with diurnal heating on Saturday with periods of mostly cloudy conditions, especially across NE Ohio and Northwest Pennsylvania. Winds will shift to the northwest and be breezy at times with gusts to 20 knots in the 16-22Z window.

Outlook . Non-VFR possible in scattered rain showers Monday night . mainly NE Ohio and NW Pennsylvania. Scattered thunderstorms possible on Tuesday with higher coverage of thunderstorms by Wednesday.

MARINE. First cold front pushing east across the lake at the time of this issuance. A second cold front with more cold air advection and tighter gradient will move in this evening. Could see winds out of the NW gust around 15 to 20 knots briefly, lingering around 15kt into Saturday. The gradient will quickly relax as strong surface high pressure dominates the weather for the weekend into early next week.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . Jamison NEAR TERM . Griffin/Jamison SHORT TERM . Jamison LONG TERM . Jamison AVIATION . KEC MARINE . Jamison


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LORO1 9 mi40 min W 13 G 15 62°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 21 mi85 min SSW 1.9 59°F 1016 hPa58°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 23 mi70 min W 6 G 8 62°F 1014.6 hPa (+0.4)
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 28 mi52 min S 2.9 G 6 58°F1015.6 hPa
45164 33 mi70 min 59°F1 ft
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 35 mi52 min W 8.9 G 12 60°F1015.8 hPa
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 43 mi70 min WNW 15 G 16 62°F 1015.8 hPa (+0.6)
CMPO1 49 mi100 min W 5.1 60°F

Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lorain / Elyria, Lorain County Regional Airport, OH4 mi77 minWSW 710.00 miOvercast59°F53°F81%1016.2 hPa
Cleveland Hopkins International Airport, OH13 mi79 minSSW 610.00 miOvercast56°F54°F93%1016.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLPR

Wind History from LPR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS6S8S6S7SW10SW12
G20
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N7N4NW5NW9NW5SW3SW3S4SW4S4SW5W7W4
1 day agoS10S6S6S6S5SW5S4SE4S5SW8SW14SW13
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S10SW15SW15W15W8SW4S3CalmS4S7S3SW6
2 days agoS6S9S9S9S10S9S10S11S8
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SW6S11S8S9S7S4S6SE3S6S6S7S8S13

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.