Saturday, June12, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Elyria, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 5:52AMSunset 9:03PM Saturday June 12, 2021 10:17 AM EDT (14:17 UTC) Moonrise 6:28AMMoonset 10:16PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ145 Expires:202106121430;;133127 Fzus51 Kcle 120738 Nshcle Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 338 Am Edt Sat Jun 12 2021 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez144>146-121430- The Islands To Vermilion Oh-vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Avon Point To Willowick Oh- 338 Am Edt Sat Jun 12 2021
Today..Northeast winds 10 knots or less. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming light and variable. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Partly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday night..North winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Mostly clear. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Monday through Wednesday. The water temperature off toledo is 65 degrees, off cleveland 55 degrees, and off erie 60 degrees.
LEZ145


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Elyria, OH
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location: 41.37, -82.11     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 121354 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 954 AM EDT Sat Jun 12 2021

SYNOPSIS. A stationary boundary will wobble across Ohio today as a cold front moves into the central Great Lakes. This cold front will move across the region tonight into early Sunday. High pressure briefly ridges over the area Sunday night before another cold front sweeps across the region Monday afternoon into the evening.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/. No changes to the forecast with the morning update. Still monitoring the environment through the morning to gauge convective timing/potential this afternoon. Some low clouds/patchy fog still reside over portions of the eastern half of the area, but should generally continue to improve through the morning. Original discussion . Weakening stationary boundary will wobble across the region today as we watch for better convergence along a cold front that will move into the central Great Lakes during the afternoon. Lake breeze will be an area to watch for some scattered convection across NE OH into NW PA this afternoon. Also will need to monitor outflow boundaries that move away from convection over Indiana and Michigan. Overall not all that much upper level support to get anything very organized. However there will be enough low level instability with a little bit of drier air moving in aloft. This could lead to a few stronger wind gusts, likely sub-severe, with any of the stronger thunderstorms that develop. Highs from the upper 70's across NW PA to maybe touching 90 across NW OH.

Convection this evening will be difficult to keep going across the east after sunset. Across the west Outflow boundaries and the approaching cold front should keep showers and thunderstorms going until around midnight before tapering off. Will have to carry a slight chance of showers/thunderstorms for locations ahead of the front through Saturday night but do not have much confidence in it occurring with no significant forcing. Cloud cover will dictate lows tonight as the front drifts eastward through sunrise. Lows generally in the 60's.

Cold front looks to be over central areas of northern OH by mid morning Sunday. Think it will take into the afternoon to get any development along the front. However we will have to carry slight chances of showers/thunderstorms across central areas and chance across the very east. Best instability should move east with the front on SUnday so do not think we will be dealing with any gusty winds in the afternoon. Dry all locations by late afternoon. The airmass will dry through the afternoon so it wont feel as humid. Highs will range from the mid 70's to mid 80's.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. Deep digging upper level trough will dominate the eastern United States by Sunday night and Monday. A vigorous area of positive vorticity maxima will dive southeast into the base of the trough to the local area by Monday afternoon. Meanwhile, potent upper level low pressure system will move south into Quebec and eastern Ontario, Canada by Tuesday afternoon and then move little through Tuesday night. All of this is in response to amplification of an upper level ridge across the Plains States from a large area of high pressure over the Four Corners region. The upper level cyclonic flow will set the stage for a bit of cold air advection that will move into the local area during this forecast period. This trend will knock surface temperatures back about 8 to 10 degrees by Tuesday. Surface low pressure will move southeast into the eastern Great lakes and force a cold front southeast across the area Monday. The forecast area will see a few shots of moisture move southeast across the area Sunday through Monday and then much drier air is expected for Tuesday and Tuesday night behind the cold front. Minimal threat for showers and thunderstorms expected Sunday and Sunday night across the southeast and then a better chance Monday with cold frontal passage. Front will take shower threat out of the area fairly quickly Monday night and fair weather expected for Tuesday.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Upper level pattern starts to become a bit more progressive as the Central Plains upper level ridge begins to shift east during this forecast period. This is in response to a series of alternating shortwaves and ridges pushing into the West Coast during this period. The upper level ridge pushes to the East Coast by Friday and this will cutoff the cold air advection as a result of cyclonic flow across the region. Temperatures across the local area will remain on the cooler side through Thursday and then rebound back into the 80s by Friday. Fair weather will result under the influence of surface high pressure that will shift southeast through the Great Lakes to the East Coast by Friday resulting in warm air advection returning. A cold front is progged to move southeast across the area Friday night with limited moisture associated with the front. However, with instability and increasing moisture, will see an increase in the threat for showers and thunderstorms Friday afternoon.

AVIATION /12Z Saturday THROUGH Wednesday/. Areas of fog were observed across the Mid Ohio region with IFR or lower conditions. Also IFR conditions have advected into eastern OH from PA. These IFR clouds may reach a KCLE to KBJJ line before beginning to lift and dissipate. This fog and lower ceilings should dissipate mid to late morning.

Otherwise expect to see VFR conditions until convection develops during the afternoon. There will be a couple areas of low level focus: the first near a lake breeze that will be located from south of KCLE eastward into NW PA. The other will likely be associated with outflow boundaries that move into the NW OH off of a cold front that will move into the central Great Lakes. These will likely be late afternoon into the evening. Beyond midnight it is very uncertain how much convection will hold together along the front since there is no upper level support to generate lift. For the most part will place a vicinity thunderstorm mention in the TAF's with uncertainty on timing and location.

Winds will be light through the day. However locations closer to the lake will have a northerly flow late morning into the afternoon as the lake breeze moves inland. Winds with the lake breeze may reach 10 to 14 knots.

Outlook . Non-VFR possible in thunderstorms Sunday morning into mid afternoon. No-VFR also possible Monday afternoon/evening in showers/thunderstorms.

MARINE. Light onshore flow from the northeast will develop this afternoon as lake breeze develops at 8 to 10 knots. The flow will transition to a northwest direction Sunday as a weak cold front moves through the area. Otherwise, a stronger cold front is expected to move southeast across the area Monday. After cold frontal passage, a persistent northwest flow will continue through Wednesday. Winds should be 10 knots or less through this forecast period and not expecting any small craft advisory headlines at this time.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MM NEAR TERM . Greenawalt/MM SHORT TERM . Lombardy LONG TERM . Lombardy AVIATION . MM MARINE . Lombardy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LORO1 9 mi47 min NE 7 G 8.9 67°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 23 mi17 min NE 8 G 9.9 68°F 1011.2 hPa (+1.7)
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 28 mi47 min E 1.9 G 2.9 70°F 65°F1011.8 hPa64°F
45164 33 mi77 min 14 G 18 65°F 2 ft
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 35 mi47 min NE 8 G 8.9 68°F 71°F1011.1 hPa59°F
CMPO1 49 mi107 min NE 8 G 9.9 71°F

Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lorain / Elyria, Lorain County Regional Airport, OH4 mi24 minN 610.00 miOvercast72°F65°F79%1011.9 hPa
Cleveland Hopkins International Airport, OH13 mi26 minNW 510.00 miMostly Cloudy75°F65°F71%1012.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLPR

Wind History from LPR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmNE6NE74NE9NE12NE11NE7NE11NE7NE4N3CalmCalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmNW4CalmCalmN5N6
1 day agoE4CalmN8NE7NE9NE10E11NE9E11NE7E5E4E6E3E3E4E4CalmCalmCalmCalmSE5SE6Calm
2 days agoW5SW3S44SW4S7SE5E4W5CalmE4S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3E5E4

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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