Parma Heights, OH Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Parma Heights, OH

June 19, 2024 2:12 PM EDT (18:12 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:51 AM   Sunset 9:05 PM
Moonrise 6:12 PM   Moonset 2:37 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LEZ146 Expires:202406190815;;266113 Fzus51 Kcle 190156 Nshcle
nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 956 pm edt Tue jun 18 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez145-146-190815- vermilion to avon point oh-avon point to willowick oh- 956 pm edt Tue jun 18 2024

Rest of tonight - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.

Wednesday - South winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.

Wednesday night - East winds less than 10 knots becoming south. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.

Thursday - Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming north. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Friday through Sunday.
the water temperature off toledo is 72 degrees, off cleveland 67 degrees, and off erie 69 degrees.

LEZ100
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Parma Heights, OH
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Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 191756 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 156 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

SYNOPSIS
Upper level ridge providing heat for the area remains in place through the end of the week with isolated to scattered shower and storms each day. A weak cold front drops southward into northern Ohio and northwestern Pennsylvania Thursday lifting back northward as a warm front Friday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/
2:00 PM Update...
Forecast remains on track with this update. The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded the western third of our forecast to a Slight Risk (Level 2/5) for severe weather this afternoon and evening. Strong to severe wind gusts are the primary threat, though there is more shear present than the last few days so can't rule out a tornado this afternoon.

9:40 AM Update...
Made some minor adjustments to temperatures and PoPs to reflect current observations and hi-res guidance. Warm and moist environment characterized by temperatures in the lower 90s and higher dew points in the low to mid 70s by this afternoon.
Latest hi-res soundings indicate MLCAPE values rising to 2500+ J/kg with slightly more 0-6 km shear (~15-20 kts) compared to yesterday. PWATs remain well above the 90th percentile (when compared to PIT sounding climatology), though higher Cloud Layer wind speeds (20 kts) should allow for faster storm motion this afternoon. Already beginning to see some pop up thunderstorms developing along the Indiana/Ohio border this morning. As with yesterday's storms, anticipating strong to severe wind gusts to be the primary severe concern but can't rule out instances of flash flooding despite the faster Cloud Layer wind speeds.

635 AM Update...
Minor temperature edits. No other significant changes. Not as hot for most today, but dewpoints climb higher.

Previous Discussion...
Dome of high pressure aloft remains anchored over the mid Atlantic coast, so no major changes to the overall airmass in place. Two changes to some of the specifics going into today, however. First is the plume of high level moisture streaming up from the Gulf of Mexico into the southern Great Lakes. This will result in a decrease in the insolation factor today, and will knock a couple degrees off the forecast high temperatures compared to the first two days of the work week. This could also lead to a slight inhibition of convective development with a slightly less diurnal heating factor. That said, with the instability remaining in place, still expecting isolated to scattered convection today, and will peak during the prime heating hours of the day despite the cloud cover. The second part of the forecast that is a bit of a change is that the dewpoints today will increase and have lower 70s dominating the CWA as opposed to upper 60s dominating. So even though the temperatures may not be quite as high, heat indices in the upper 90s to 100 will continue with the higher dewpoints. Will leave the Heat Advisory in place although it is probably a bit of a more marginal call today. For Thursday, a weak cold front drops into the area, with perhaps yet a little more relief to the heat for the far northern zones and could become a focus for convective initiation.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
The heat wave and headlines will continue through at least Friday with extensions into Saturday possibly needed in future updates. Daily afternoon heat indices in the mid to upper 90s to near 100 will remain likely. Not much relief is expected during the overnight periods either with low temperatures in the 70s.

Isolated strong thunderstorms are possible in the afternoon and early evening on Friday as moderate to strong instability persists across the southern Great Lakes, aided by a stream of steep mid-level lapse rates and moist low-levels. A very weak cold front may stall in the vicinity of northern OH which could also be the basis for convective initiation. Weak shear less than 20 knots is expected, so anticipate any thunderstorms that do develop will be poorly organized and generally short-lived. These storms will primarily carry a damaging wind risk given steep low-level lapse rates and large theta-e differences. Locally heavy rain is also possible.

Storm chances appear to be trending downwards for Saturday afternoon as deeper mixing into mid-level dry air is possible, evident by dew points dropping into the 60s. However, this would also favor less cloud cover and thus higher temperatures reaching into the mid to upper 90s. Future shifts may need to evaluate the Heat Advisory extension into Saturday.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
The better potential for more organized strong thunderstorms will arrive on Sunday as a well-defined upper-level low moves east across the Upper Great Lakes, extending a surface cold front through the area. Moderate instability appears to remain in place combined with 30 to 35 knots of southwesterly mid-level flow. This system will bring an end to the extreme heat wave as behind the front, cooler and more seasonable weather will arrive, with temperatures in the low to mid-80s on Monday. Anticipate dry weather conditions as a surface high briefly builds in across the Great Lakes.

However, the respite from the heat appears brief as another upper- level ridge begins to build across the Central CONUS by Tuesday.
Above-normal temperatures will return on Tuesday with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s, albeit without the oppressive humidity.

AVIATION /18Z Wednesday THROUGH Monday/
Similar to yesterday, pop up thunderstorms will impact terminals this afternoon into the early evening. Thunderstorms are already beginning to develop across Northwest Ohio early this afternoon with the expectation that they will build eastward through early this evening. Strong to severe wind gusts up to 30+ knots are possible in strong thunderstorms. Less confidence in thunderstorm development across southeastern and far east terminals so opted to remove the TEMPO TSRA group for CAK/YNG/ERI.

Southerly flow under 10 knots turns light and variable overnight tonight. Given moist low levels and weak flow, can't rule out patchy fog dropping eastern terminals to MVFR overnight tonight.

Outlook...Isolated to scattered thunderstorms and non-VFR conditions are possible again Thursday and Friday afternoons.

MARINE
A generally quiet marine forecast is in store for Lake Erie as a large upper-level ridge remains across the Eastern CONUS, resulting in limited surface flow. Only concern will be in the afternoon and early evening hours this week as daily isolated to scattered thunderstorms could produce strong wind gusts.

Will need to monitor wind and wave trends towards the end of the weekend and into early next week as a cold front moves east across the area on Sunday. Ahead of the front, southwest winds of 15 to 20 knots are possible, shifting towards the northwest behind the front on Monday, 10 to 15 knots.

CLIMATE
A prolonged stretch of hot weather is expected this week.
Temperatures are forecast to approach or exceed record highs on several days. The records for Tuesday, June 18 to Friday, June 21 are listed below for our official climate sites.

Date Toledo Mansfield Cleveland Akron Youngstown Erie 06-19 98(1995) 94(1994) 92(1995) 94(1994) 94(1994) 92(1931)
06-20 98(1953) 94(1988) 96(1988) 95(1933) 95(1933) 92(2016)
06-21 100(2022) 96(1988) 95(2022) 97(1933) 98(1933) 95(1933)

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for OHZ003-006>014-017>023- 027>033-036>038-047-089.
PA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for PAZ001>003.
NY...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
45205 9 mi32 min1.9G5.8 85°F 72°F1 ft30.1972°F
45196 11 mi52 minN 1.9G3.9 82°F 73°F0 ft30.2278°F
45176 12 mi42 minNE 3.9G3.9 83°F 72°F0 ft30.2276°F
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 14 mi54 min0G1.9 89°F 69°F30.21
45206 18 mi32 minWNW 3.9G3.9 81°F 73°F0 ft30.1975°F
45204 20 mi32 minNNE 3.9G3.9 72°F0 ft
LORO1 23 mi42 minNNE 4.1G4.1 83°F
45164 26 mi72 min1.9G3.9 78°F 73°F
45207 32 mi32 minNNE 1.9G1.9 80°F 71°F0 ft30.2275°F
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 37 mi54 minNW 6G7 83°F 70°F30.2276°F
OWMO1 37 mi72 minS 5.1 91°F 73°F
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 39 mi42 minNE 3.9G3.9 80°F 72°F30.2476°F
45203 39 mi32 minENE 3.9G5.8 82°F 74°F0 ft78°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 39 mi87 min0 91°F 30.2476°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 41 mi72 minSSW 1.9G4.1 92°F 30.21


Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KCLE CLEVELANDHOPKINS INTL,OH 4 sm21 mincalm10 smMostly Cloudy90°F73°F59%30.25
KBKL BURKE LAKEFRONT,OH 11 sm19 minNNW 056 smClear Haze 90°F73°F59%30.25
KCGF CUYAHOGA COUNTY,OH 20 sm27 minS 0510 smPartly Cloudy90°F75°F63%30.27
KLPR LORAIN COUNTY RGNL,OH 21 sm19 minSSE 0910 smA Few Clouds90°F73°F59%30.27
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Cleveland, OH,




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