Monday, October21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Huron, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:48AMSunset 6:42PM Monday October 21, 2019 4:20 AM EDT (08:20 UTC) Moonrise 11:53PMMoonset 2:08PM Illumination 48% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ144 Expires:201910210215;;009463 Fzus51 Kcle 201943 Nshcle Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 343 Pm Edt Sun Oct 20 2019 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez142>144-210215- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- 343 Pm Edt Sun Oct 20 2019
Tonight..Light and variable winds becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Showers likely in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Monday night..South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots. Showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers in the morning. Waves 1 to 3 feet. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Wednesday through Friday. The water temperature off toledo is 56 degrees, off cleveland 61 degrees, and off erie 59 degrees.
LEZ144


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Huron, OH
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location: 41.4, -82.56     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 210544
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
144 am edt Mon oct 21 2019

Synopsis
A surface low will track northeastward across the upper midwest
to near lake superior through Monday evening then to northern
ontario by Tuesday night. A warm front associated with this low
lifts northward across ohio and northwest pennsylvania on
Monday. The first surge of cold air will arrive in the wake of
a cold front Monday night. The region will then experience a
series of upper level troughs that will reinforce the cooler air
through the middle of the week and may produce some lake effect
showers across northeast ohio into northwest pennsylvania.

Near term through today
Moisture levels between 5000-7000 feet have remained high enough
to allow for the development of cloud cover across the western
2 3rds of the cwa. So have increased the cloud cover across much
of the area for the overnight hours. Still think we will see
enough breaks to allow lows to dip to previously forecasted
levels that range from the mid 40s across NW pa to around 50
degrees.

A strong cold front will approach the region on Monday with
gusty southerly winds expected. Wind gusts through the
afternoon may be in the 30 to 40 mph range, especially west.

The rain spreads from west to east across the area through the
afternoon. It appears it will reach NW oh by late morning then
gradually spreads eastward. Southeasterly downsloping winds
typically slow the eastward progression of the rain so we have
slowed its arrival to NE oh NW pa until the evening. There
appears to be just enough instability to warrant a slight chance
mention of thunder. It will be a warm day on Monday with highs
in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

The south to southeasterly winds will likely be strongest for
the east half of the region into NW pa during the evening hours.

The strongest winds will occur across NW pa in the vicinity of
erie. If the rain can hold off until 9 pm the southeasterly
winds may approach wind advisory levels in an area near and
north of a line from fairview to wattsburg. Have nudged winds up
to around 40 mph in this region and let later shifts take a
close look at the potential of a 3 to 5 hour long wind
advisory. The showers, moderate at times, will spread across
the region through the night. Expect it to end across NW oh by
late evening then gradually end from west to east through the
overnight. Lows Monday night should range from the upper 40s
west to the lower to mid 50s east.

Short term tonight through Wednesday night
A closed upper low over the northern plains will support an
occluding surface low over the northern great lakes on Tuesday.

This low will extend a cold front across the forecast area on
Tuesday, clearing east of the area on Tuesday afternoon. Will
keep categorical pops ahead of the front in NE oh and NW pa for
Tuesday and quickly dry out much of the area with the frontal
passage. Temperatures crash behind the front into the upper 50s
to lower 60s. Cold air surging over the lake along with
lingering synoptic moisture and persistent southwest flow will
allow for lake effect rain to set up over the extreme northern
portions of the ohio and pa snow belts through Wednesday. High
pressure builds into the region on Wednesday and lingers
southeast of the region on Thursday and will keep the area dry
for the middle of the week. Temperatures recover by Thursday
with southerly flow into the low to mid 60s.

Long term Thursday through Sunday
The long term forecast period appears to become unsettled again as
an upper trough enters the central CONUS on Thursday night into
Friday. This will support a baroclinic zone over the forecast area
as a low pressure system attempts to develop over the northern gulf
states. Will maintain a slight chance to chance pop with this area
of lift on Thursday night into Friday. This boundary becomes a cold
front and slides southeast of the area for Saturday. Cool, dry
canadian air will enter the great lakes region for the weekend and
bring temperatures back down towards normals with the potential for
widespread frost Saturday and Sunday mornings.

Aviation 06z Monday through Friday
Low-level moisture will increase tonight as southeasterly
breezes develop. Skies will range from mainly clear to mostly
cloudy due to variable low-level cloud cover. However,VFR are
expected.

Southeasterly surface winds should become gusty by late Monday
morning. A warm front should sweep northeastward over the area
Monday evening through early Tuesday morning, while an
eastward-moving cold front should reach a ktol to kfdy line
around 03z Tue and a kcle to kmfd line around 06z tue.

Southeasterly surface winds shift to southerly with the passage
of the warm front. These southerly surface winds then shift to
southwesterly with the passage of the cold front and remain
gusty. Wind gusts should average 20 to 30 knots, but could
occasionally reach 40 knots at near keri between about 23z mon
and 06z tue.

Rain showers are expected to begin overspreading the region from
the west after 18z Mon and should make it no farther east than
about kcle and kmfd by the end of the TAF period. Ceilings
should trend MVFR with this rain, with the potential for pockets
of ifr ceilings and MVFR visibility accompanying heavier
showers. Confidence in thunderstorms remains very low. Farther
east,VFR should persist ahead of the rain showers.

Outlook Non-vfr possible in showers Monday night into Tuesday
morning. Non-vfr possible in lake effect rain showers at near
keri Tuesday evening into Wednesday.

Marine
Winds will be relatively light through this evening and overnight
ahead of a stronger low pressure system set to arrive early this
week. Southeast winds on lake erie will begin to increase 15 to 20
knots throughout the day Monday as a warm front will lift across
northern ohio. Winds will continue to increase closer to 20 knots
and veer to the south and southwest as a cold front associated with
a low pressure system arrives Monday night into Tuesday morning. A
brief small craft advisory may be needed for the eastern basin as
offshore flow approaches 20 to 25 knots. The pressure gradient over
the lake will increase Tuesday into Wednesday allowing winds to
reach 20-25 kts and waves will respond to over 4 ft and a SCA will
likely be needed. Winds will begin to decrease Thursday as high
pressure builds across the tennessee valley, extending towards the
ohio valley.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Griffin
near term... Mm
short term... Sefcovic
long term... Sefcovic
aviation... Jaszka mm
marine... Kahn


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 1 mi30 min SE 4.1 G 4.1 57°F 1012.9 hPa
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 3 mi95 min E 1.9 52°F 1014 hPa47°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 13 mi50 min ESE 4.1 G 5.1 57°F 57°F1014.4 hPa52°F
LORO1 20 mi50 min ESE 5.1 G 6 56°F
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 21 mi30 min E 5.8 G 7.8 60°F 1015 hPa55°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 22 mi20 min E 5.1 G 7 58°F 1014 hPa (-0.7)
CMPO1 26 mi110 min SE 4.1 G 4.1 54°F
45169 42 mi20 min NE 7.8 G 9.7 61°F 61°F
TWCO1 42 mi20 min E 8 G 9.9
45176 43 mi20 min ESE 5.8 G 5.8 59°F 61°F
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 45 mi80 min ENE 5.1 G 5.1 56°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lorain / Elyria, Lorain County Regional Airport, OH21 mi27 minN 09.00 miMostly Cloudy50°F44°F80%1014.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLPR

Wind History from LPR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS6S6S5S6S4S4W5CalmW3CalmN5N8N7N5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3CalmCalm
1 day ago----------------SE9S6S6S5S4E3E6SE5S6S4CalmS5CalmS3S4S5
2 days agoNW5NW6NW4W3N4N5NW65Calm--CalmN3N6----------------------

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.