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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 918 Pm Est Wed Nov 29 2023
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Thu..SW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Rain likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Rain likely, mainly in the evening.
Sat..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..NE winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain.
Sun night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Chance of rain.
Mon..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain.
Mon night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain.

ANZ300 918 Pm Est Wed Nov 29 2023
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters.. High pressure remains centered over the southeastern states tonight and moves slowly offshore Thursday and Thursday night. A weak cold front then approaches on Friday and passes through during the night, weakening further nearby on Saturday. A series of lows will then impact the area from Sunday into Tuesday.

FXUS61 KOKX 300223 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 923 PM EST Wed Nov 29 2023

SYNOPSIS
High pressure remains centered over the southeastern states tonight and moves slowly offshore Thursday and Thursday night. A weak cold front then approaches on Friday and passes through during the night, weakening further nearby on Saturday. A series of lows will then impact the area from Sunday into Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/
A solid ovc was moving across the cwa this eve. The fcst has been updated accordingly. Clearing still expected in the early mrng hours, so made no adjustments to low temps attm.

A weak upper shortwave was moving quickly through the cyclonic flow, accompanied by mid and high cloudiness. This wave moves offshore this evening and skies will be clearing. There was very weak warm air advection setting up, however, with clearing skies and relatively light winds late tonight, temperatures will be falling to near what overnight lows were this morning. Lows will be between 5 and 10 degrees below normal.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
Return flow will be strengthening during Thursday as the surface high moves off the southeastern coast, and low level warm advection strengthens. There will be an increase in upper level moisture, so after a start with mostly clear skies, high thin clouds will be moving in, especially late in the day, well ahead of the next system approaching in the southern stream from the southwestern states. Temperatures will be rebounding to near normal levels.

Thursday night the area remains in a deep southwest flow with increasing warm advection and a strengthening flow as a southern stream shortwave moves int the southern Great Lakes region by 12Z Friday. Overnight lows Thursday night will be near to just above seasonal normals for the beginning of meteorological winter December 1.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
A rather unsettled long term period with multiple chances for precipitation. Stuck fairly close to the NBM through this period.

The long term starts off Friday with a weak surface cold front approaching the region. The morning will start off dry, however by POPs quickly increase becoming likely during the afternoon and evening, continuing into the overnight as the front moves across the area. Rain amounts will remain on the light with QPF values remaining below a quarter of an inch across the entire area.

A series of shortwaves will pass near the region this weekend into next week. Right now, it looks like the best chances for rain will take place Sunday afternoon/night as low pressure developing near the Carolina coast passes well offshore, and then again Mon afternoon/night as another shortwave passes near the region with a surface low developing and passing offshore.

Temperatures will remain at or slightly above normal through much of the long term, It wont be until next Wednesday when temperatures fall below normal as the last of the series of lows pulls in colder air from the NW.

AVIATION /03Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
VFR through the TAF period as high pressure slowly builds to the south.

SW winds around 10 kt overnight. Flow may veer a little more to the WSW at times late as speeds decrease slightly. SW flow around 10 kt again on Thu, decreasing aft 00z Fri.

...NY Metro(KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

No unscheduled amendments expected.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

Thursday night: VFR.

Friday: MVFR or lower in rain in the late afternoon and evening.

Saturday: Mainly VFR. Localized MVFR possible.

Sunday and Monday: MVFR or lower possible, with chance of rain.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE
Winds and seas remain below advisory levels across the forecast waters tonight through Thursday as high pressure remains to the south of waters. A southwest flow will be strengthening during Thursday as low pressure and an associated cold front approach from the northwest. Wind gusts may reach minimal SCA levels on the ocean waters Thursday evening, and ocean seas likely build to 5 feet by late Thursday evening into the overnight. With conditions developing later in the 3rd period will hold off on issuing a SCA at this time.

SCA conditions will be possible on Friday as the gradient tightens.
Seas will be to around 4ft, and its possible 5ft seas will be reached.

Generally quiet conditions this weekend. A better chance of SCA conditions come on Monday into Tuesday as low pressure develops and passes near the region.

HYDROLOGY
There are no hydrologic concerns through next Wednesday.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.

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Newburgh
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Wed -- 12:45 AM EST     2.73 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:00 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:05 AM EST     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 09:34 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 12:52 PM EST     3.31 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:27 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:08 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:54 PM EST     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Newburgh, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet

West Point
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Wed -- 12:18 AM EST     2.20 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:42 AM EST     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:00 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:33 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 12:26 PM EST     2.67 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:27 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:09 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:31 PM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

West Point, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet

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