Friday, October18, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Middle, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:11AMSunset 6:14PM Friday October 18, 2019 7:25 PM EDT (23:25 UTC) Moonrise 9:25PMMoonset 11:46AM Illumination 73% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 338 Pm Edt Fri Oct 18 2019
Tonight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt late. Seas around 2 ft this evening, then 1 ft or less.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming se around 5 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue..E winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Tue night..E winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. Showers likely.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less, then 2 to 3 ft in the afternoon. Chance of showers in the morning.
Wed night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
ANZ300 338 Pm Edt Fri Oct 18 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds across the area tonight into Saturday, then to the east Saturday night. Tropical storm nestor is then forecast to track well south of the region Sunday into Sunday night. Weak high pressure follows for Monday before a frontal system moves across the area Tuesday into Tuesday night. High pressure will then close out the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Middletown city, NY
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location: 41.45, -74.44     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 181947
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
347 pm edt Fri oct 18 2019

Synopsis
High pressure builds across the area tonight into Saturday,
then offshore Saturday night. Tropical storm nestor is then
forecast to track well south of the region Sunday into Sunday
night. Weak high pressure follows for Monday before a frontal
system moves across the area Tuesday into Tuesday night. High
pressure will then close out the week.

Near term through tonight
A progressive upper air pattern will feature a departing trough
along the east coast and a building ridge from the west.

Surface high pressure approaches tonight with diminishing
northerly winds. This combined with clear skies and dry air
will allow for good radiational cooling. A frost advisory
remains up for most of the lower hudson valley, interior
southern ct, and portions of interior NE nj. The western half of
orange county ny will be close to freezing, but there is less
confidence for a freeze warning versus a frost advisory at this
time. Frost will be more patchy across the pine barrens region
of eastern long island.

Lows will be in the 30s to around 40 outside of the nyc metro,
which will get down into the lower and mid 40s. These readings
are a few degrees below normal.

Short term Saturday through Sunday night
Both the upper ridge and surface high build across the area on
Saturday with light winds, clear skies, and highs around 60.

The latter of which is just a shade below normal.

Saturday night will feature another night of light winds. There
will an increase in high clouds late ahead of an upper trough
lifting NE across the mississippi valley. The latter of which
will steer tropical storm nestor off the carolina coast on
Sunday. Before then though, there could be another night of
frost across the interior and pine barrens region of eastern
long island.

For Sunday, nestor tracks well south and east of the region with
the forecast area on the northern fringe of the rain shield.

Rain chances are only 20 to 30 percent at this time, highest
across long island and the nyc metro. The cloud shield is
expected to encompass the entire area with temperatures a shade
cooler than on Saturday. Any rain should exit to the south and
east early Sunday evening.

Models are generally in good agreement with the track of the
low to the south. The 12z NAM though remains a northern outlier
at this time. For the latest official track and intensity
forecast, refer to the latest advisories from nhc.

Long term Monday through Thursday
Weak high pressure at the surface will build in from southeastern
canada during this time frame, keeping the forecast area dry
Monday. With ridging aloft and increasing heights, temperatures
will be slightly warmer on Monday than Sunday, just a couple of
degrees above normal, in the lower to middle 60s.

A weakening low pressure over the great lakes will send a warm
front north of the region Tuesday into early Tuesday night. The
associated cold front will quickly follow move Tuesday night
into Wednesday morning. A weak area of low pressure may develop
along the front, which could help to enhance the precipitation
as the system becomes negatively tilted. However there are
timing differences in when this system becomes negatively
tilted, and thus uncertainty in where and when any heavier
precipitation falls.

High pressure builds in and dominates the weather pattern with dry
weather to close the week. Temperatures will be a slightly above
normal for Thursday and Friday as well.

Aviation 21z Friday through Wednesday
High pressure will build in from the west.

Vfr conditions through the TAF period. NW winds 15-20 kt with
gusts 25-30 kt will diminish this evening. Winds may occasionally
brief gust higher than forecast through 22z.

Saturday... Winds become SW mainly less than 10kt after 18z.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component fcsts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPXN6 37 mi55 min NW 11 53°F 1014 hPa41°F
TKPN6 47 mi61 min N 6 G 8.9 50°F 58°F1014.1 hPa37°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 48 mi55 min SSW 2.9 50°F 1014 hPa39°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 54 mi55 min WNW 14 G 19 53°F 32°F42°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 56 mi55 min 53°F 63°F1013.2 hPa

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Montgomery, Orange County Airport, NY10 mi31 minNNW 710.00 miFair46°F36°F68%1014.2 hPa
Newburgh / Stewart, NY18 mi40 minNW 1210.00 miMostly Cloudy48°F37°F66%1013.9 hPa
Sussex, Sussex Airport, NJ19 mi32 minN 710.00 miOvercast49°F35°F59%1015 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMGJ

Wind History from MGJ (wind in knots)
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1 day agoNE10N11N15NW8
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN5CalmSE6SE8SE54E6S8
G15
E8E5NE9

Tide / Current Tables for Newburgh, Hudson River, New York
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Newburgh
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:10 AM EDT     2.65 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:29 AM EDT     0.38 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:44 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:06 PM EDT     3.14 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:22 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 10:23 PM EDT     0.46 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.42.12.52.72.62.41.91.20.70.40.40.81.62.433.13.12.82.41.71.10.60.50.5

Tide / Current Tables for West Point, Hudson River, New York
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West Point
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:44 AM EDT     2.14 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:10 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:06 AM EDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:43 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:40 PM EDT     2.53 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:22 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 10:00 PM EDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.92.12.121.81.30.80.50.40.50.91.62.22.52.52.42.21.71.20.70.50.40.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.