Monday, July26, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Middle, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 5:45AMSunset 8:22PM Monday July 26, 2021 8:40 PM EDT (00:40 UTC) Moonrise 10:24PMMoonset 8:22AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 549 Pm Edt Mon Jul 26 2021
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue..W winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the morning.
Wed night..SE winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..S winds around 5 kt, increasing to around 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 549 Pm Edt Mon Jul 26 2021
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds in from the west across the waters through tonight. High pressure will weaken on Tuesday and then a cold front will approach from the north. This cold front moves across the waters Tuesday night. Weak high pressure builds in Wednesday. A cold front approaches on Thursday and passes through Thursday night into Friday. High pressure then builds in through Saturday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Middletown city, NY
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location: 41.45, -74.44     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 270011 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 811 PM EDT Mon Jul 26 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure builds in from the west through tonight. High pressure will weaken Tuesday with a cold front from the north then approaching the region. The cold front moves across Tuesday night. Weak high pressure builds in Wednesday. A cold front approaches on Thursday and passes through Thursday night into Friday. High pressure then builds in through Saturday before another frontal system approaches late on Sunday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/. Mostly clear skies with some residual haze causing a reduction in visibility for northern areas through the early evening.

Otherwise, with high pressure at the surface building in from the west, expecting mostly clear sky conditions tonight. Along with decreasing winds, radiational cooling will be optimized. Mid and upper level westerly flow will keep a dry airmass in place. Dewpoints that have lowered well into 60s and even upper 50s previously during the day will stay in the low to mid 60s for tonight. A MAV/MET MOS blend was used for low temperatures to convey a more vast range of temperatures between the urban heat island and outlying rural sections. Lows range from the upper 50s to near 60 for outlying rural sections to low to mid 70s within NYC.

SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. High pressure at the surface will gradually weaken on Tuesday. A cold front will approach from the north and move across Tuesday night. Drier air at the surface will still be present with lowering dewpoints going into the morning and early afternoon. Forecast 850mb temperatures are expected to reach 17 to 18 degrees C. Highs were a blend of NBM and MOS consensus in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Dewpoints staying mostly in the lower 60s will keep heat indices close to actual temperatures.

Showers and thunderstorms will become probable for interior areas late in the afternoon, but across the whole region Tuesday night as the cold front moves closer to the region. Thunder chances highest for the first half of the night between 8PM Tuesday and 2AM Wednesday. Instability will be limited and will decrease more late at night so after 2AM, thunder chances become slight with a continued chance of showers.

Vertical forcing increases most Tuesday night with positive vorticity advection in the mid levels. Bulk shear will be increasing 0-6km to 30-40 kt so some thunderstorms could be strong with gusty winds. Highest instability at the surface will be in the southern half of the region with around 1000 to 1500 J/kg of CAPE and less to the north. Most of the upper level energy seems to be focused to the north of the region where the height falls will be more and omega will be higher. There is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms across parts of the Lower Hudson Valley and Southern Connecticut.

Lows Tuesday night were taken from a consensus of all guidance with temperatures ranging from the lower 60s across the interior to upper 60s and lower 70s along and near the coast as well as NYC.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. The long term continues to be dominated by a large mid-level trough that is reinforced by shortwaves in the flow through the weekend and into next week.

Weak high pressure over the area on Wednesday may result in a few showers or thunderstorms though coverage should be rather isolated if they occur at all. The weak high shifts offshore into Wednesday night providing for an increasing southerly flow advecting moisture back into the area. An intensifying low pressure system to the north tightens the pressure gradient over the area ahead of the approaching cold front. Showers become likely much of the day Thursday with an isolated thunderstorm possible late in the day. Though there is some uncertainty in the timing of the frontal passage, showers looks to continue into Thursday night and early Friday.

A brisk NW flow behind the front on Friday gradually weakens into Saturday as a high pressure tries to build in from the southwest, but Friday and Saturday will be mostly, if not entirely, dry. High pressure quickly gets pushed offshore by Sunday as another frontal system brings another cold front into the area for late on Sunday. The strongest forcing appears to be toward the north of the area, but the GFS brings in a surge of moisture just ahead of the front resulting a significant difference in precipitation and rainfall amounts. Capped the PoPs at a chance for now. Thereafter, models diverge in the pattern but look to show a generally dry Monday and Tuesday.

AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Weak high pressure remains over the region into Tuesday. A cold front approaches from the north late in the day, and crosses in the evening.

MVFR in haze with reduced slant range for northern terminals through the evening.

Light NW to N winds outside of sea breezes, become light and variable this evening, and then W/NW less than 10 kt Tuesday morning. S/SE Afternoon seabreeze development expected at most terminals. Potential for scattered shra/tsra after 00z.

. NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty .

Light W/NW winds (less than 5 kt) for Tue morning push. S/SE seabreeze 8-12 kt for evening push. Potential for scattered shra/tsra btwn 01z and 05z.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. Tuesday night. Chance of brief MVFR/local IFR cond with any showers/isolated tstms. Wednesday and Wednesday night. VFR. Slight chance of a shower or tstm. Thursday and Thursday night. Chance of MVFR, local IFR, with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Friday-Saturday. VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE. A weak pressure gradient will be in place across the waters. Ocean seas have subsided to below 5 ft. SCA was cancelled. Conditions on all waters are expected to remain below SCA thresholds through Tuesday night with a weak pressure gradient remaining in place.

Winds and waves are expected to remain below SCA criteria Wednesday through Wednesday night.

A strengthening southerly flow ahead of an approaching cold front will likely bring SCA conditions to the ocean waters late Thursday into Thursday night. Waves will slowly subside on Friday in a post-frontal NW flow, which may bring marginal SCA gusts during the afternoon. Elsewhere, conditions are forecast to remain below SCA criteria. Conditions drop below SCA conditions by Friday night.

HYDROLOGY. Layer PWATS reach almost 1.7 inches Tuesday night. Aside from the possibility of minor flooding with thunderstorms in low lying and poor drainage areas with locally higher amounts of rainfall Tuesday night, no hydrologic issues are expected through Tuesday night.

Looking ahead, no hydrologic impacts are expected Wednesday through early next week.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. A high risk of rip currents is expected into this evening for the ocean beaches with residual S swells.

A moderate risk of rip current development is forecast for the ocean beaches for Tuesday, with a mix of 2 ft S and SE swells.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . High Rip Current Risk until 9 PM EDT this evening for NYZ075- 080-081-178-179. NJ . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . JM/MW NEAR TERM . JM/NV/MW SHORT TERM . JM LONG TERM . MW AVIATION . NV MARINE . JM/MW HYDROLOGY . JM/MW TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . JC/JM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPXN6 37 mi70 min Calm 83°F 1012 hPa70°F
TKPN6 47 mi52 min Calm G 1 76°F 76°F1011.9 hPa63°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 48 mi70 min Calm 78°F 1011 hPa69°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 54 mi55 min WNW 5.8 G 9.7 80°F 65°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 56 mi52 min 86°F 75°F1012.2 hPa

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Montgomery, Orange County Airport, NY10 mi46 minN 08.00 miFair74°F69°F85%1012.2 hPa
Newburgh / Stewart, NY18 mi55 minVar 510.00 miA Few Clouds81°F63°F54%1012.5 hPa
Sussex, Sussex Airport, NJ19 mi47 minW 36.00 miFair with Haze77°F68°F74%1012.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMGJ

Wind History from MGJ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmNW3E3CalmCalmCalmSE3CalmCalmSW3SW3SW3W4W6W6NW4W6NW6W7W6W3CalmCalm
1 day agoS5S3S4SW3S5S5CalmCalmS4S4S4SW6S6S6S6S10SW6SW9S8S7SW7W11
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3CalmCalmSW3CalmCalmCalm3CalmCalmCalmSW5SE4SE3S3S5S4S6

Tide / Current Tables for Newburgh, Hudson River, New York
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Newburgh
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:05 AM EDT     3.62 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:20 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:52 AM EDT     -0.31 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:42 PM EDT     3.09 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:03 PM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:22 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.83.43.63.52.92.11.30.5-0.1-0.30.111.92.633.12.82.21.50.80.30.10.41.2

Tide / Current Tables for West Point, Hudson River, New York
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West Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:39 AM EDT     2.92 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:20 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:29 AM EDT     -0.29 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:16 PM EDT     2.49 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:40 PM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:22 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.52.92.92.62.11.40.70.2-0.2-0.20.31.11.82.22.52.42.11.510.50.20.10.51.3

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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