Bliss Corner, MA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Bliss Corner, MA

June 21, 2024 10:48 PM EDT (02:48 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:08 AM   Sunset 8:23 PM
Moonrise 8:40 PM   Moonset 4:14 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ235 Rhode Island Sound- 1004 Pm Edt Fri Jun 21 2024

Overnight - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 5 seconds and S 2 ft at 8 seconds. A slight chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.

Sat - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 6 seconds. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.

Sat night - SW winds around 10 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 7 seconds. Patchy fog. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening. Some tstms may produce gusty winds, frequent lightning, and heavy rainfall in the evening. Vsby 1 nm or less.

Sun - SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Wave detail: sw 6 ft at 6 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.

Sun night - SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Wave detail: S 7 ft at 8 seconds and sw 1 foot at 4 seconds. Showers likely.

Mon - SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Wave detail: S 6 ft at 9 seconds and sw 1 foot at 3 seconds. Showers likely.

Mon night - W winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas 4 to 5 ft. A chance of showers in the evening.

Tue through Wed - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

Wed night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.

ANZ200 1003 Pm Edt Fri Jun 21 2024

Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters - A weak backdoor front will dissipate across southern new england overnight. High pressure to the south of new england will result in southwest winds across the waters over the weekend. A cold front moves across new england Monday. High pressure builds back in on Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bliss Corner, MA
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Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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FXUS61 KBOX 220215 AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 1015 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

SYNOPSIS
Showers and thunderstorms dissipate late this evening followed by mainly dry conditions overnight. Warm and muggy this weekend with more rounds of diurnal showers and thunderstorms. Some of those may again become severe and result in a localized flash flood threat. A cold front brings a short window of reprieve early next week, though increasing heat and shower chances by midweek.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/

10 PM Update...

Cloud tops continue to warm and lightning just about ending, except one single strike with storm over the Cape. Otherwise, a drying trend overnight with just some cloudiness. Given humid airmass with dew pts 65-70, patchy fog will form, especially where heavy downpours occurred today.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/

Key Points...

* Showers & T-Storms are expected to develop again Sat PM * Severe Weather & Localized Flash Flood Risk Again * Heat Advisories Continued for CT/SW MA

Details...

Saturday and Saturday night...

The backdoor front that washes out tonight...seems to want to setup across northeast MA on Saturday
Therefore
a quite warm and humid day is on tap with highs 85 to 90 in most locations with the hottest readings around 90 in the Lower CT River Valley. Given Heat Indices are expected to be in the mid to upper 90s...we have continued the Heat Advisory across southwest MA/northern CT through the weekend.
It will be cooler though in northeast MA especially by Cape Ann where highs will likely remain below 80.

The main concern Saturday afternoon and early evening will be for another round of showers & t-storms. A shortwave working across the region in west northwest flow will combined with diurnal heating and a remnant boundary. We expect Capes on the order of 1500 to 2500 J/KG to develop and not much of a mid-level Cap. This should trigger another round of showers & t-storms. While mid level lapse rates are poor...effective shear will be stronger than the past few days on the order of 30-40 knots. This should be enough for the potential of scattered severe thunderstorms...which is supported by much of the Machine Learning guidance as well as the HRRR Updraft Helicity Swaths.

Also...Pwats remain on the order of 2+ inches
Therefore
these storms will be capable of producing torrential rainfall and localized flash flooding. The CSU Machine Learning probs as well as the HRRR indicated low probs of 3"+ of rain inside 3 hours highlight this concern. It is tough to pinpoint the area of greatest risk given the mesoscale nature of these potential events. That being said...the guidance is tending to indicate a higher risk in areas from northern CT into western/central northeast MA closer to the low level convergent zone.

A few storms may linger a bit longer Sat night...but will have to wait and see how things unfold
Otherwise
more low clouds and fog are expected to develop Sat night with the cooling boundary layer.
Overnight lows should drop into the 60s to near 70.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Highlights:

* Hot, humid, and potential for strong to severe storms Sunday afternoon.

* Cold front moves across the region Monday, bringing brief relief from hot and humid conditions. But signal for a return of the summer heat and humidity by mid next week.

Sunday: Hot and humid conditions fuel storms during the afternoon, which could become locally strong to severe. A broad mid-level trough moves across the northeast with 850mb shortwave energy moving across the region with an associated warm front. WAA at 850mb continues to indicate temperatures 20C to 22C, thus expecting highs in the middle and upper 80s, 90F for Connecticut River Valley. With dew points expected to be in the low 70s the 'Heat Index' to reach the middle and upper 90s at northern Connecticut and the southern Pioneer Valley of Massachusetts. In collaboration with neighboring WFOs we've extended the 'Heat Advisory' through Sunday, for those areas mentioned. All this fuels the potential for convection during the afternoon as there's sufficient CAPE, modest effective shear between 30 and 40 knots, and helicity greater than 150 m2/s2. While the greatest threat appears to be north, a few stronger to severe thunderstorms remain possible, even a low risk of a brief tornado.
CSU machine learning show a chunk of southern New England between 15% and 30% probabilities for wind, and widespread 2% prob for a tornado across most of New England, with a 5% to 10% across southern Vermont to southern New Hampshire and along the northern Massachusetts border. Don't get hung up on the placement, more of less gives us greater confidence in severe weather occurring. Lastly, in addition to any severe weather there is the threat for heavy rainfall as well given PWATs are in the ballpark of two inches.

Next Week: Mid-level trough moves east with a cold front on Monday with another round of showers and storms, could be lingering diurnal showers on Tuesday with a mid-level low over the Gulf of Maine, though guidance is still split. Maintained 'slight chance' POPs across northern MA. Beyond, midweek it looks unsettled, forecast confidence is low due to model uncertainty with the timing of any showers and/or storms. Have greater confidence with temperatures, a warmer than normal week is likely as ensemble situational awareness tables indicate surface temperatures are between the 90th and 99th percentile. Highs returning to the middle and upper 80s with near 90F in northern Connecticut and southwest Massachusetts. And nightly lows in the 60s.

AVIATION /02Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Forecast Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

02z TAF Update...drying trend overnight with showers dissipating. Main concern tonight will be the formation of fog, especially where heavy rain was observed Friday afternoon & evening. Earlier discussion below.

=================================================================

Tonight...Moderate to Low Confidence.

Showers and lingering thunderstorms continue to wane and move east this evening. Much of the activity will be offshore by 02z-04z. Light onshore flow will bring IFR ceilings and possibly LIFR fog for much of the eastern terminals. Further west, MVFR with periods of IFR possible.

Saturday & Saturday night...Moderate to Low Confidence.

IFR-LIFR conditions should improve to VFR across the interior and mainly MVFR near the coastal plain by early afternoon.
Otherwise...the main concern will revolve around another round of showers & t-storms impacting the region Sat afternoon and early evening. A few of these will be capable of producing locally strong wind gusts and torrential rainfall.

The shower & t-storm activity should dissipate again not too long after sunset Saturday night. Low end MVFR-IFR conditions should re-develop with the cooling boundary layer with some LIFR thresholds being met as well.

KBOS TAF... Moderate to low Confidence in TAF.

Showers with embedded thunder will continue through about 02z.
After 02z, expecting CIGS to slowly drop to IFR/LIFR overnight.
Mainly IFR/MVFR tomorrow, but there may be pockets of clearing and VFR in the afternoon. Low chance for a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon between 18z and 00z, but confidence is low at this time.

KBDL TAF...Moderate Confidence in TAF.

MVFR/IFR tonight improving back to MVFR/VFR tomorrow. Chance for thunderstorms again tomorrow afternoon anytime between 18z-00z, but higher confidence between 20z-22z.

Outlook /Sunday through Wednesday/...

Sunday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Breezy. Chance SHRA, chance TSRA.

Sunday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Breezy.
SHRA likely, slight chance TSRA.

Monday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Breezy. Chance SHRA, slight chance TSRA.

Monday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA, isolated TSRA.

Tuesday through Tuesday Night: VFR.

Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy. Slight chance SHRA.

MARINE
Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Tonight through Saturday night...High Confidence.

The pressure gradient remains relatively weak as the backdoor cold front of today...gradually washes out and lifts northeastward through Sat night. Long continues southwest fetch may eventually build seas to 4-5 feet toward daybreak Sun across our southern most outer-waters...but otherwise winds/seas will remain below small craft advisory thresholds
Otherwise
the main concern will be areas of overnight and early morning fog
In addition
some afternoon and evening t-storms may impact some of our mainly nearshore waters at times.

Outlook /Sunday through Wednesday/...

Sunday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 30 kt. Local rough seas. Chance of rain showers, isolated thunderstorms.

Sunday Night: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 30 kt. Areas of rough seas. Rain showers likely, slight chance of thunderstorms.

Monday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of rough seas. Chance of rain showers, slight chance of thunderstorms.

Monday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Local rough seas. Chance of rain showers, isolated thunderstorms.

Tuesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.

Tuesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.

Wednesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.

BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT Sunday for CTZ002>004.
MA...Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT Sunday for MAZ010-011.
RI...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
BUZM3 - Buzzards Bay, MA 4 mi48 minENE 16G17 68°F 30.12
44085 5 mi48 min 67°F 67°F2 ft
NBGM3 13 mi48 minSE 5.1G7 69°F 30.13
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 17 mi48 minE 6G7 72°F 63°F30.11
FRXM3 18 mi48 min 70°F 69°F
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 19 mi48 minNE 5.1G7 71°F 30.12
BZBM3 - 8447930 - Woods Hole, MA 19 mi48 min 68°F 69°F30.13
FRVM3 - 8447386 - Fall River, MA 19 mi48 min 71°F 71°F30.14
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 21 mi63 minS 4.1 71°F 30.1271°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 21 mi48 minE 1.9G6 71°F 30.15
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 22 mi48 minNE 4.1G5.1 72°F 30.13
PDVR1 23 mi48 minNNE 4.1G4.1 72°F 30.1171°F
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 25 mi48 minNNE 6G9.9 69°F 76°F30.13
PVDR1 30 mi48 minNE 5.1G8 70°F 30.1469°F
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 31 mi48 minENE 2.9G5.1 70°F 67°F30.13
44097 - Block Island, RI (154) 35 mi52 min 70°F3 ft
44020 - NANTUCKET SOUND 39 mi38 minN 9.7G12 69°F 71°F30.1267°F
44090 45 mi48 min 67°F1 ft


Wind History for Newport, RI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KUUU NEWPORT STATE,RI 15 sm55 minE 0410 smMostly Cloudy70°F70°F100%30.12
KEWB NEW BEDFORD RGNL,MA 16 sm13 minNNE 047 smMostly Cloudy70°F70°F100%30.10
KMVY MARTHA'S VINEYARD,MA 22 sm35 minNNE 065 smMostly Cloudy Lt Rain Mist 70°F70°F100%30.13
KOQU QUONSET STATE,RI 23 sm58 minESE 0510 smOvercast72°F72°F100%30.13
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Wind History graph: UUU
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Tide / Current for Penikese Island, Buzzards Bay, Massachusetts
   
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Penikese Island
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Fri -- 01:16 AM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:13 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:10 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:43 AM EDT     3.25 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:01 PM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:01 PM EDT     4.27 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:39 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 09:10 PM EDT     Full Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Penikese Island, Buzzards Bay, Massachusetts, Tide feet
12
am
0.4
1
am
0.1
2
am
0.2
3
am
0.5
4
am
1.1
5
am
1.8
6
am
2.5
7
am
3.1
8
am
3.2
9
am
2.8
10
am
1.9
11
am
1
12
pm
0.3
1
pm
0.1
2
pm
0.3
3
pm
0.8
4
pm
1.5
5
pm
2.3
6
pm
3.2
7
pm
4
8
pm
4.3
9
pm
4
10
pm
3.1
11
pm
1.9


Tide / Current for Westport River Entrance, Massachusetts Current
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Westport River Entrance
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Fri -- 02:49 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:14 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:10 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:41 AM EDT     2.15 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 09:04 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 11:27 AM EDT     -2.28 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 03:23 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 07:00 PM EDT     1.68 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 08:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:40 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 09:09 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 09:10 PM EDT     Full Moon
Fri -- 11:42 PM EDT     -2.58 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Westport River Entrance, Massachusetts Current, knots
12
am
-2.1
1
am
-1.4
2
am
-0.6
3
am
0.1
4
am
0.8
5
am
1.5
6
am
2
7
am
2.1
8
am
1.5
9
am
0.1
10
am
-1.4
11
am
-2.2
12
pm
-2.2
1
pm
-1.6
2
pm
-0.9
3
pm
-0.3
4
pm
0.4
5
pm
1
6
pm
1.4
7
pm
1.7
8
pm
1.3
9
pm
0.2
10
pm
-1.3
11
pm
-2.3


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Boston, MA,




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