Saturday, July4, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Lakewood, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:57AMSunset 9:05PM Saturday July 4, 2020 2:32 AM EDT (06:32 UTC) Moonrise 7:58PMMoonset 4:14AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ146 Expires:202007040215;;263721 Fzus51 Kcle 031932 Nshcle Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 332 Pm Edt Fri Jul 3 2020 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez145>148-040215- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- 332 Pm Edt Fri Jul 3 2020
Tonight..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north. Mostly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday night..Northeast winds less than 10 knots. Mostly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday..Light and variable winds becoming northeast 5 to 10 knots. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Monday through Wednesday. The water temperature off toledo is 75 degrees, off cleveland 67 degrees, and off erie 73 degrees.
LEZ146


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lakewood, OH
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location: 41.51, -81.76     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 040528 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 128 AM EDT Sat Jul 4 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak cold front will pass through the eastern Great Lakes region tonight. High pressure will rebuild over the region on Saturday and persist through early next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. Added slight chance PoPs for another hour or two, mainly to account for lingering showers in Wood and Hancock counties.

Original Discussion . A weak mid-level impulse is moving from north to south over the eastern Great Lakes region this afternoon and will push a very weak cold front through the area overnight. This front is expected to generate no precipitation as the low-levels remain fairly dry and the front is too weak to break the cap, as noted by the lack of cumulus clouds over the forecast area. Therefore, will maintain a dry forecast for this afternoon through tonight. Some better cloud development is possible overnight and could keep low temperatures a bit warmer than last night in the mid 60s to near 70 degrees.

High pressure builds back into the region as the upper ridge resurges back into the area for the Independence Day holiday. Temperatures will be very slightly cooler on Saturday, but perhaps only by a degree or two. Diurnal cumulus is expected to develop during the afternoon, but with north to northeast flow, a significant lake shadow is expected, so the near-lake counties may remain mostly clear on Saturday. Lows on Saturday night will remain fairly warm with the lower bound depending on how well the area mixes during the day on Saturday.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. The short term begins Sunday with an upper ridge continuing to dominate the weather pattern across the region. Quiet weather is expected throughout the short term period with above average temperatures expected. Highs on Sunday will range from the lower 90s to perhaps mid 90s with heat indices expected to mostly mirror air temperatures as dew points will be in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Slightly warmer and more humid weather is expected on Monday with more widespread mid 90s possible.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. The long term begins Tuesday and signals the end of mostly quiet weather as we look to return to our typical diurnally-driven afternoon thunderstorm pattern. Upper ridging will begin to break down on Tuesday, giving way to more zonal flow and increased moisture advection across the region. Scattered thunderstorms will be possible Thursday afternoon, with activity diminishing by the evening hours. Higher humidity will accompany this moisture advection, leading to heat indices in the upper 90s in some places, especially across NW OH. Increased moisture returns remain in place on Wednesday with a subtle shortwave trough expected to move east across the area. This upper level forcing will support a higher chance for scattered thunderstorms on Wednesday afternoon. Temperatures on Wednesday appear to be similar to Tuesday.

By Thursday, the heat and humidity begin to creep up ever so slightly that heat headlines may become a consideration in future updates. Heat indices will flirt around 100 degrees for a couple of hours in the afternoon on Thursday. Models are also starting to come into agreement that a surface low will develop in the vicinity of the Carolinas on Wednesday and Thursday, reaching the Mid-Atlantic by Friday, however it is unclear of the evolution of this system and how it would affect the weather our area. Recent model runs have also shown a weak surface trough/cold front moving east across the area on Friday. Have stayed with slight-chance PoPs on Thursday, increasing to chance by Friday as upper support becomes apparent.

AVIATION /06Z Saturday THROUGH Wednesday/. VFR conditions are expected during the TAF period as an upper level ridge brings hot and dry conditions across the area. Hi- Res model guidance is hinting at ceilings lowering to MVFR conditions between 7Z and 9Z at YNG with possible visibility reduction from localized fog. However, confidence is very low in this occurring so opted to keep it out of TAF. Winds will be light and variable to start the period and increase to 5 to 10 knots out of the northeast as temperatures increase in the afternoon. They are expected to calm again towards the end of the TAF period.

Outlook . Non-VFR possible within isolated thunderstorms on Tuesday and scattered showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday.

MARINE. Quiet conditions are expected across Lake Erie through the weekend and into early next week as upper level ridging and surface high pressure persist over the Great Lakes region. Winds will mostly be 10 knots or less over the lake though gusts of 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon hours cannot be ruled out. Much of the shower and thunderstorm activity on Tuesday will be confined over land. No headlines are expected through the period.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . Sefcovic NEAR TERM . Saunders/Sefcovic SHORT TERM . Kahn LONG TERM . Kahn AVIATION . Campbell MARINE . Kahn


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 7 mi44 min SSW 1.9 G 2.9 73°F 71°F1015.6 hPa68°F
45164 16 mi32 min 75°F1 ft
LORO1 23 mi62 min SW 2.9 G 2.9 78°F
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 31 mi44 min WSW 1.9 G 2.9 74°F 76°F1015.2 hPa72°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 41 mi47 min Calm 70°F 1015 hPa69°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 42 mi32 min WSW 2.9 G 2.9 76°F 1014.6 hPa (+0.7)
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 48 mi62 min W 5.1 G 6 94°F

Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cleveland, Burke Lakefront Airport, OH4 mi39 minWSW 410.00 miFair76°F70°F82%1014.7 hPa
Cleveland Hopkins International Airport, OH8 mi41 minWSW 310.00 miFair71°F66°F87%1015.6 hPa
Cleveland / Cuyahoga, OH16 mi57 minN 05.00 miFog/Mist68°F66°F96%1016.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBKL

Wind History from BKL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE4S4S5S3S5SW6W7W5W8W8W7W7W7W6W4W4W4W4SW3SW3CalmCalmCalmSW4
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmW3W3N4N5N7N6N5NW5NW5NW5W5W4W4SW3SW4SW4SW3SW3S3S3
2 days agoNE5E3NE4E5E5E7N5N6N6N9N10N11N10N8N9N8N9N6N8NE6NE4NE3CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.