Wednesday, November20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Beacon, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:48AMSunset 4:34PM Wednesday November 20, 2019 10:08 AM EST (15:08 UTC) Moonrise 12:27AMMoonset 2:33PM Illumination 40% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 934 Am Est Wed Nov 20 2019
Today..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of sprinkles late this morning, then slight chance of light rain early this afternoon.
Tonight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less, then 2 to 3 ft in the afternoon. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Fri night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain in the afternoon.
Sat night..SE winds around 5 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain.
Sun..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain.
Sun night..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 934 Am Est Wed Nov 20 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Deepening low pressure well east of the area today will pass just east of the canadian maritimes tonight into Thursday, while high pressure builds in from the west. The high moves offshore Thursday night. A cold front then crosses the area on Friday, followed briefly by high pressure Saturday. Low pressure may impact the region Saturday night into Sunday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Beacon city, NY
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 41.53, -73.98     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
ftp://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/fx/fxus61.kokx.afd.okx.txt <- there really should be an address herer AEFXUS61 KOKX 201438 AFDOKX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 938 AM EST Wed Nov 20 2019

SYNOPSIS Deepening low pressure well east of the area today will pass just east of the Canadian Maritimes tonight into Thursday, while high pressure builds in from the west. The high moves offshore Thursday night. A cold front then crosses the area on Friday, followed briefly by high pressure Saturday. Low pressure may impact the region Saturday night into Sunday, before high pressure returns early next week.

NEAR TERM UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING Light rain and drizzle primarily across the eastern zones this morning will continue through the day associated with an upper low. Otherwise the forecast remains on track, just made a few minor adjustments to the temperatures and dew points based on latest observations.

Upper trough and closed low across area this morning will lift north and east today, while offshore low pressure continues to deepen. Ridging over the mid section of the country and associated surface high pressure will also build east today.

This will result in a gradually strengthening northerly flow between the departing low and building high. Gusts to around 20 mph will be possible by afternoon, strongest along the coast.

There will also be plenty of clouds associated with the upper trough and wrap around moisture as it passes to the east. HiRes models continue to show weak reflectivity returns developing across eastern sections of the area this morning into the afternoon with sprinkles and or light rain, mainly across eastern LI and southeast CT. Any rainfall will be light and likely brief.

Some clearing develops late this afternoon across western sections of the forecast area.

Daytime highs will be held in check by the cloud cover and northerly flow with readings not getting out of the 40s. This is about 5 to 8 degrees below normal.

SHORT TERM 6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY Ridging both aloft and at the surface builds into the area tonight through Thursday. This will result in clearing skies and a brisk northerly flow that diminishes late tonight into Thursday.

Lows tonight will be around 30 well inland, to the lower and mid 30s along the coast. Highs on Thursday will be in the mid 40s to around 50. These values are a shade below normal.

LONG TERM THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY A fairly progressive flow pattern continues to be shown by the models for the long term. The main system of concern may occur Saturday night into Sunday with models and ensembles continuing to indicate large differences in track which will have significant implications on low pressure intensity, temperature profiles, and precipitation amounts.

Before the weekend system, ridging both at the surface and aloft Thursday night will give way to an amplifying northern stream shortwave on Friday. A cold front will move across on Friday as the shortwave swings through New England. The warmest temperatures of the long term period will occur ahead of the front as readings rise into the lower and middle 50s inland and upper 50s near the coast.

The overall trend in the models has been for less moisture as the front moves across and have lowered PoPs to follow this idea. It is entirely possible that the front moves across the region dry. A consensus of the models has the front moving offshore late afternoon and early evening. Winds will increase Friday night behind the front with NW wind gusts 25 to 30 mph.

Progressive ridging moves overhead on Saturday as a split flow pattern develops across the central States. The southern stream system of concern is currently located along the southwest coast.

This system will slowly move towards the Central States through Saturday. The northern stream shortwave energy of concern, currently located over the North Pacific, should near the northern Plains on Saturday. What happens thereafter is likely to be one key piece to the track and intensity of the low pressure Saturday night into Sunday. The ECMWF and GFS differ in where the northern stream energy moves, with the GFS diving south around the base of the mean upper trough. The ECMWF has the energy beginning to interact with the southern stream wave Sunday morning across the Great Lakes. Both models have the low pressure of concern tracking over or near the Long Island coast Saturday night into Sunday despite the differences in the northern and southern stream interactions, which may lend some credibility to further north solution. The CMC evolution is much different with the southern stream system interacting with a northern stream wave moving across southeast Canada, but the low pressure is weaker and much more progressive. The spread in the ensembles is large with several members in the more inland camp with several further offshore. While there is some agreement with the surface pattern on the GFS and ECMWF, run-to-run continuity is low.

Did not make large changes to the previous forecast due to the aforementioned uncertainties. Saturday will largely be dry with precipitation chances increasing quickly from south to north Saturday night. Have increased PoPs slightly across the southern half of the area late Saturday night into Sunday morning.

A track closer to the coast like the GFS and ECMWF indicate would largely be plain rain across the entire region. A track like the 12z Tuesday runs of the GFS and ECMWF, which was further off the coast of Long Island Sunday morning, could introduce some PTYPE issues inland, but also concern of how far north the precip reaches.

Temperature profiles are also marginal even with a further offshore track. The system is progressive which should help to limit the duration of any impacts with the low.

The system quickly lifts north and east towards the Canadian Maritimes late Sunday into Sunday night. High pressure returns early next week. Temperatures should be below normal this weekend and then approach normal early next week.

AVIATION 15Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY Overhead moisture slowly shifts east today as a high pressure system builds to the west. This will allow MVFR ceilings, mainly east of the NYC terminals, this morning to slowly improve throughout the day. Though uncertainty exists with the exact timing, expectVFR conditions to dominate the metro TAF sites late this afternoon and then throughout the area this evening.

Prior to this some light intermittent drizzle will be possible for eastern most TAFs sites in SE CT and eastern Long Island.

Winds today will remain out of the NW, to the right of 310 magnetic, and increase to 10-15kt with some gusts to around 20kt possible.

NY Metro Enhanced Aviation Weather Support...

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:
Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPXN6 21 mi158 min N 1 36°F 1014 hPa32°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 34 mi98 min Calm 37°F 1014 hPa31°F
TKPN6 34 mi68 min NNW 5.1 G 9.9 1015.4 hPa (+1.9)
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 45 mi78 min NNW 16 G 21 41°F 1 ft34°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 47 mi38 min NW 18 G 23 41°F 32°F35°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 49 mi74 min NNW 5.1 G 8.9 40°F 47°F1012.4 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
Last
24hr
NW5
NW4
G8
NW6
G9
N4
G8
N4
N4
G7
N4
NW6
N5
G8
NE4
NE2
N3
N3
NW3
N4
N4
G10
N5
G10
N5
N6
N5
G10
N7
G11
N5
G8
N8
G11
NW8
1 day
ago
N8
G13
N5
G11
N5
G11
N8
G15
N4
G9
N7
G11
N4
N4
G8
N3
G6
N3
G6
NW3
NW4
NW4
NW6
N3
N2
NW2
NW1
NW3
NW3
SW2
SW6
W3
G6
2 days
ago
N9
G14
NE13
G17
NE13
G17
NE12
G17
NE9
G14
NE10
G15
NE11
G15
NE11
G14
NE13
G17
N9
G13
NE9
G13
N10
NE9
NE8
G18
NE10
G16
NE11
G15
N10
G15
NE9
G19
N10
G14
NE9
G14
NE9
G13
NE8
G15
NE6
G11
NE8
G11

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newburgh / Stewart, NY7 mi83 minN 010.00 miOvercast36°F35°F100%1014.2 hPa
Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY9 mi75 minNNW 69.00 miOvercast37°F32°F82%1014.1 hPa
Montgomery, Orange County Airport, NY15 mi74 minN 310.00 miOvercast36°F33°F89%1014.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSWF

Wind History from SWF (wind in knots)
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
Last 24hrW8W8NW8NW10W12W10NW8NW4NW4--CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoNE8N8N6N12N7NE7NE6E5E6CalmE6CalmNE7SE6E6E54CalmCalmS4CalmNE5Calm4
2 days agoE7E6NE8NE10
G18
NE10NE8NE8NE8NE6--E8NE8N5NE6NE6N6N8N8N8NE6NE5NE5NE10NE8

Tide / Current Tables for Newburgh, Hudson River, New York
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Newburgh
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:17 AM EST     0.20 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:53 AM EST     2.68 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:50 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 12:30 PM EST     0.43 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:33 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 04:32 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 05:56 PM EST     2.96 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
0.20.30.91.62.22.62.72.52.11.510.70.50.511.72.42.832.82.41.81.20.7

Tide / Current Tables for Haverstraw (Hudson River), New York Current
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Haverstraw (Hudson River)
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:48 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:42 AM EST     0.71 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:34 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:49 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:24 AM EST     -1.08 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 01:32 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 02:00 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 04:04 PM EST     0.82 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 04:32 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:02 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 10:56 PM EST     -1.26 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
-0.8-0.40.10.60.70.50.2-0.2-0.6-0.9-1.1-1-0.8-0.500.60.80.70.40-0.5-0.9-1.1-1.3

Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (10,2,3,4)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Cookie Policy:
This webiste uses cookies to store settings on the weather pages so that you return to the same settings when you click the weather pages. This is necessary to save your setup information. There are also cookies used if you click the save location button.
Privacy Policy:
I do not sell or share any user data period. I do log page view information to monitor the health of the site and to block abusive actors. I also host ads from Google. They may or may not sell your data. Please adjust your account settings with them if you wich. This site does not fall under the terms of the CCPA or GDPR due to its size and target audiance.
Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.