Monday, October21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Balmville, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 6:07PM Monday October 21, 2019 3:32 AM EDT (07:32 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 2:32PM Illumination 48% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 325 Am Edt Mon Oct 21 2019
Today..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt late. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tonight..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue..E winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of light rain in the afternoon.
Tue night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Rain.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 325 Am Edt Mon Oct 21 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Low pressure moves offshore today as high pressure builds from southeast canada. A cold front approaches Tuesday and moves across the region Tuesday night. High pressure will follow for Wednesday and Thursday, then another cold front will pass through on Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Balmville, NY
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location: 41.54, -73.98     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 210603
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
203 am edt Mon oct 21 2019

Synopsis
Low pressure will pass to our south and east overnight. High
pressure on Monday will then give way to a cold front and wave
of low pressure Tuesday and Tuesday night. High pressure will
follow for Wednesday and Thursday, then another cold front will
pass through on Friday. High pressure on Saturday and early
Sunday should give way to another low pressure system later
Sunday.

Near term until 6 am this morning
Low pressure will continue to pass to the south and east of long
island overnight. Intermittent light rain will also continue to
dissipate from west to east with dry conditions anticipated
area wide after 09z.

Lingering low level moisture may produce patchy fog across the
interior. Will need to monitor for dense fog development, but at
this time do not think this will occur.

Overnight lows will range from around 40 far north and west to
around 50 across new york city and long island where clouds will
linger the longest.

Short term 6 am this morning through 6 pm Tuesday
Dry on Monday as high pressure builds across. Low clouds during
the morning should break allowing for a mostly sunny day. Winds
should be light with the high overhead. Temperatures on Monday
will be in the lower mid 60s. Overnight lows Mon night will be
in the lower mid 40s inland, and upper 40s lower 50s along the
coast.

Long term Tuesday night through Sunday
On Tuesday, expecting no more than light rain at most for ct and
long island, where low level ridging and mid level dry air (if
not low level as sfc winds will be off the atlantic) should hold
longer, and a steadier rain NW of there, mainly in the afternoon
as a frontal system approaches.

Better dynamics aloft with the approaching mid level trough
have trended far enough south for Tue night that a wave of low
pressure now looks likely to develop along the approaching front.

Resulting enhanced lift and destabilization, with fcst soundings
showing elevated CAPE and k tt indices near 30 50 respectively,
suggest elevated thunder across long island southern ct mainly
overnight.

High pressure should dominate through fri, with a cold frontal
approach daytime Fri and passage Fri night that could bring a
chance of showers mainly inland. Siding more with ECMWF longer
term, with sfc high pressure Sat into Sunday morning, then
increasing chances of rain through the day on Sunday.

Temps should be near normal with cloud cover and rain on tue,
then above normal by at least several degrees wed-fri. Slightly
cooler than normal temps likely after cold FROPA for next
weekend.

Aviation 06z Monday through Friday
High pressure builds into the region today.

Mostly MVFR to start, then improving toVFR across the
terminals as the morning push progresses. RemainingVFR into the
evening.

Ne-n winds averaging around 10kt. Some gusts 15-20kt will be
possible mainly for klga kjfk kisp kbdr kgon and mainly during
the morning hours. Winds veer more ene late aftn early eve.

Outlook for 06z Tuesday through Friday
Monday night MVFR towards daybreak.

Tuesday MVFR ifr. Sct -shra daytime then rain at night.

Wednesday-Thursday Vfr. Chc W gusts 20-25kt on weds.

Friday Chc MVFR and rain pm.

Marine
Sca conditions expected across ocean waters tonight as northeast
winds increase along with building seas. SCA conds continue into
Monday night as seas are expected to remain above SCA conditions. A
sca is in effect for the ocean for tonight and Monday. As for the
non-ocean waters, there could be occasional gusts to 25 kt late
tonight into early Monday morning for eastern LI sound and the
eastern bays.

Elevated ocean seas likely to persist into daytime Wed if not
wed evening. Should also see wind gusts over 25 kt on the ocean
daytime Wed after a cold front and wave of low pressure pass.

Minimal SCA conds may be possible very long term (fri night)
after another cold frontal passage.S

Hydrology
No hydrologic impacts are anticipated through Monday night.

Rainfall of 1 3 to 3 4 inch may be possible Tue into Tue night,
with the higher amts either inland NW of nyc, or with tstms
across long island ct.

Equipment
Nyc NOAA weather radio station kwo35 (162.55 mhz) remains off the
air.

Okx watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Nj... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 pm edt this evening for anz350-
353-355.

Aviation... Jc


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPXN6 20 mi62 min Calm 48°F 1018 hPa48°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 33 mi62 min Calm 47°F 1018 hPa47°F
TKPN6 33 mi50 min N 7 G 9.9 48°F 54°F1018 hPa48°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 46 mi47 min NNE 14 G 19 55°F 2 ft49°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 47 mi47 min NNE 14 G 19 54°F 32°F51°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 49 mi50 min NNE 7 G 9.9 60°F1014.6 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newburgh / Stewart, NY7 mi47 minNE 510.00 miPartly Cloudy46°F46°F100%1016.6 hPa
Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY9 mi2.7 hrsNW 33.00 miFog/Mist49°F46°F93%1016 hPa
Montgomery, Orange County Airport, NY15 mi38 minNNE 50.75 miLight Rain Fog/Mist45°F45°F100%1016.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSWF

Wind History from SWF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--CalmCalmE44444CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE4E4E4E4NE5NE5E5NE5NE5NE5
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW5SW5W5CalmCalmW55555CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
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Tide / Current Tables for Newburgh, Hudson River, New York
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Newburgh
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:33 AM EDT     0.58 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:02 AM EDT     2.52 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:41 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Mon -- 12:20 PM EDT     0.69 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:32 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:01 PM EDT     3.05 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.611.62.12.42.52.42.11.61.10.80.70.71.11.82.52.93.132.72.11.51.1

Tide / Current Tables for Haverstraw (Hudson River), New York Current
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Haverstraw (Hudson River)
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:24 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:09 AM EDT     0.58 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 06:43 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:41 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Mon -- 10:37 AM EDT     -0.96 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 02:20 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 02:31 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:31 PM EDT     0.81 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 06:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:26 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:24 PM EDT     -1.14 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.8-0.6-0.20.30.60.50.2-0.1-0.5-0.8-0.9-0.9-0.8-0.5-0.10.30.80.80.50.2-0.3-0.7-1-1.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.