Teaticket, MA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Teaticket, MA

June 20, 2024 1:45 PM EDT (17:45 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:05 AM   Sunset 8:20 PM
Moonrise 7:34 PM   Moonset 3:26 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ233 Vineyard Sound- 103 Pm Edt Thu Jun 20 2024

.small craft advisory in effect until 8 pm edt this evening - .

This afternoon - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 1 foot at 8 seconds.

Tonight - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt in the evening. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 1 foot at 8 seconds.

Fri - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 5 seconds and se 1 foot at 8 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.

Fri night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: sw 1 foot at 5 seconds and se 1 foot at 8 seconds. Patchy fog. A chance of showers after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm, decreasing to 1 nm or less after midnight.

Sat - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. Wave detail: S 1 foot at 6 seconds, becoming S 2 ft at 7 seconds. A chance of showers. Patchy fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.

Sat night - SW winds around 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 7 seconds. A chance of showers.

Sun - SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.

Sun night and Mon - SW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Showers likely.

Mon night - W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers.
seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.

ANZ200 103 Pm Edt Thu Jun 20 2024

Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters - High pres remains anchored over the far eastern outer waters today which will maintain ssw wind gusts 20-25 knots for most of the waters this afternoon. Back door cold front will shift winds to the ene for Friday and Saturday. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms possible each afternoon and evening through Sunday. Cold frontal passage Monday will usher in drier conditions next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Teaticket, MA
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Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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FXUS61 KBOX 201333 AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 933 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

SYNOPSIS

Dangerous heat and humidity on tap for today. Another round of thunderstorms is expected this afternoon/evening across northern MA including the Greater Boston area. Some of the storms could become strong to locally severe. A backdoor cold front moves in from northeast to southwest Friday, though there remains uncertainty how far inland the front tracks. Showers and thunderstorms are likely along the front Friday afternoon, especially across CT and western-central MA. Scattered thunderstorms possible each day this weekend as well as Monday ahead of cold frontal passage that ushers in drier airmass next week. Aside from Sunday, more seasonable temperatures can be expected for the majority of the long term forecast.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/

930 AM Update...

* Dangerous heat & humidity again today with near record highs away from the south coast. Low prob a few towns briefly hit 100

* A few severe t-storms likely this PM...mainly in northern MA capable of locally damaging wind gusts & torrential rainfall

Previous forecast is on track. Another day of dangerous heat and humidity with afternoon highs in the middle to upper 90s away from the south coast and a low risk a few towns hit 100 degrees.
Afternoon Heat Indices in the 95 to 105+ range and a few locations may briefing exceed 105 degrees. Heat Headlines continue away from the south coast. Southwest winds off the relatively cooler ocean will provide some relief once again and limit highs to the 80s across southern RI/MA, including Cape Cod and mid to upper 70s for the Islands.

The other big issue revolves around scattered t-storms this afternoon and evening with the focus in northern MA. Despite limited effective shear struggling to exceed 20 knots...robust instability for our part of the country with afternoon MLCapes exceeding 2000 J/KG and perhaps up to 3000 J/KG will develop.
Steep low level lapse rates will be in place as well. The Machine learning probs from the CSU to the Nadocast and HRRR Neurel network are showing a fairly robust signal for localized damaging wind gusts possible. This makes sense given the unusual amount of instability coupled with steep low level lapse rates.
In addition...SPC Meso- Analysis indicates DCape to exceed 1000 J/KG which is another solid signal. Main risk will be across northern MA...but may see a few storms migrate further south given the instability in place
In addition
Pwats of 2+ inches will support torrential rain with any of these t-storms and a very localized flooding threat.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/

350 AM update...

* Early evening storms dissipate after sunset * Another warm/humid night * Storms Fri likely focused across CT & western-central MA

Thursday night...

Any early evening storms across northern MA will come to an end by 10/11 pm, given lack of deep layer shear and poor mid level lapse rates to support nocturnal convection. Otherwise, dry weather prevails along with another very warm and humid night, with dew pts in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

Friday...

Northern stream short wave trough moves across eastern Quebec and in its wake, sends a backdoor cold front traversing our region from northeast to southwest. This front will break the heat but also serve as focus for possible convection, especially across CT and western-central MA, on the warm side of the boundary. First temps, warm sector airmass is confined to CT and western-central MA where 925 mb temps are still about +23C. If enough sunshine materializes, this could be a 4th consecutive day of 90+ temps for portions of CT into western-central MA. Heat indices of 95+ are possible, thus a heat advisory remains posted there for Friday. Not as hot elsewhere with highs in the 80s, except mid to upper 70s along the eastern MA coast, in response to NE flow behind the backdoor front, streaming across SSTs in the 60s. Humidity not as oppressive as previous days, but still elevated with dew pts in the 60s.

As for convective potential, modest height falls will be accompanied by modest deep layer shear and mid level moisture to support another round of storms. Storms likely most numerous across CT into western- central MA in the warm sector and also vicinity of the backdoor front where low level convergence will be maximized. Modest SB instability of 1000-1500 j/kg of CAPE and marginal deep layer shear will provide a low risk of storms with strong winds. Perhaps a somewhat higher risk is heavy rain/flood threat, with PWATs 2+ inches, slow moving frontal boundary and unidirectional flow aloft for potential back building storms. HRRR highlights this potential with a 30% of 3 inches of rain in 3 hours from 18z-21z Fri and again 21z-00z Saturday.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
350 AM update...

* Scattered thunderstorms possible Saturday through Monday with best chance for storms coming each afternoon/early evening

* Cold frontal passage on Monday will usher in a much drier period for the middle of next week

* Brief reprieve from oppressive heat Saturday before heat builds back Sunday. More seasonable airmass next week behind the frontal passage

Saturday...

Synoptic pattern changes very little for Saturday as we remain on the northern fringes of the retrograding ridge with a quasistationary cold front draped somewhere across southern Connecticut/southeastern New York. The location of this frontal boundary will again be key in evaluating the scattered thunderstorm threat for Saturday, as a rather stable airmass will continue to exist over at least the eastern half of our CWA given onshore surface flow, with southerly flow to the south and west of the boundary. It is along and west of this convergence zone, that could potentially exclude all of southern New England, that some scattered storms can be expected.

*If* the boundary shifts a bit more "northeast", putting portions of SNE in the warm sector, storm development will be delayed until after 15Z or so with a capping inversion in place, thus, we'll have to wait for surface instability to build to overcome the cap.
Compared to Friday, bulk shear is a bit more robust, around 30-35kt, in the area of greatest instability, which could support some longer lived cells. Lapse rates look, average, around 6C/km and with DCAPE values between 300-500J/kg and freezing levels at almost 15,000ft, the damaging wind and hail threats remain low in the absence of very intense updrafts. The greatest threat associated with any stronger cells would be pockets of heavy rain given another day of "tall skinny CAPE" and PWATs around 2". A quick inch or two of rain leading to isolated poor drainage or urban flooding is possible if longer lived cells develop.

If we do "warm sector" and see some storms develop, surface based instability will dissipate very quickly after sunset, which will mitigate any marginal severe threat beyond 01Z. There will remain some elevated CAPE, which may allow some showers and perhaps a rumble of thunder to linger past 03Z Saturday night. The NBM 3 hourly thunder probs give a reasonable estimate of where showers and storms will be possible, generally isolated to the Connecticut River Valley.

Sunday/Monday...

Sunday, and in particular Sunday evening, looks to be more active as low pressure/shortwave moves east from the Great Lakes. A few waves of energy will provide enhanced lift and with bulk shear values climbing north of 40kt, expecting to see some longer lived convection compared to Saturday. Will note, however, that the shortwave has become increasingly LESS amplified in models over the last 24 hours, which does introduce some uncertainty regarding storm coverage, as a weaker wave = less forcing = fewer storms.

MUCAPE values exceeding 2000J/kg will again wane quickly after sunset on Sunday with the actual frontal passage delayed until sometime mid-day Monday. Thus, expecting a lull in showers/storms overnight Sunday before a potential second round of convection during the daylight hours of Monday. A much more comfortable airmass develops behind the front late Monday with dewpoints dropping into the low 60s.

Next week...

Cold frontal passage early next work week looks to usher in a much more seasonable, albeit still warm, airmass for mix next week.
Precip chances look rather scarce with an apparent lack of forcing mechanisms.

AVIATION /13Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/

Forecast Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

12z TAF Update:

Thursday: High confidence in TAF/trends, lower to moderate on t- storm timing.

VFR and modest SW winds except MVFR in thunderstorms with cloud bases around 3000ft and vsby reductions to around 3SM. Greatest risk for thunderstorms is across northern MA into VT/NH/ME. A few strong to severe storms are possible 18z-00z. Storms would be capable of frequent lightning, heavy downpours and localized strong gusts. SW winds around 10-15 kt. Farther south across CT/RI and southeast MA, much lower probability of any storms.
Brief MVFR possible with any storm.

Thursday night: high confidence on trends, but lower on exact timing.

Any early evening thunderstorms across northern MA will dissipate with sunset. Easing SW winds early Thu night could shift to N/NE under 10 kt by daybreak.

Friday: high confidence on trends, lower on exact details.

Greatest risk for storms is across CT into western-central MA. A few strong to severe storms possible in this region during the afternoon. Elsewhere, risk of storms is much lower. Mainly VFR but lowering to MVFR in PM storms. NE winds around 10 kt except SW winds across CT, eventually becoming NE.

KBOS TAF...High confidence in TAF. Low probability of seabreeze 15z- 18z with direction of 160 degs, but higher probability winds remain SW. Chance of thunderstorms as early as 17z and possibly as late as 02z. Although, many hours of quiet/dry weather in between.

KBDL TAF...High confidence in TAF. TSRA Thu PM, although timing uncertain. Could begin as soon as 18z but more likely after 20z.

Outlook /Friday Night through Monday/...

Friday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Scattered SHRA, scattered TSRA.

Friday Night through Saturday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA, isolated TSRA.

Saturday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas IFR possible. Chance SHRA, isolated TSRA.

Sunday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Breezy. Chance SHRA, isolated TSRA.

Sunday Night through Monday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Breezy. SHRA likely, isolated TSRA.

MARINE
Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

930 AM Update...

Through Friday: High confidence.

High pressure just offshore provides fairly tranquil boating weather much of this period. Scattered thunderstorms this afternoon across the northern MA waters. A few strong storms possible into early Thu evening. SW winds 10 to 15 kt, then shifting to the NE Friday.
Thunderstorm probability shifts to the RI waters Fri. We did opt to hoist a short-fused small craft advisory for the nearshore waters towards the Cape/Islands and Buzzards Bay this afternoon and early evening. Good mixing over the land should yield some SW wind gusts of 25 knot nearshore resulting in some choppy seas.

Outlook /Friday Night through Monday/...

Friday: Winds less than 25 kt. Isolated rain showers.

Friday Night through Saturday Night: Winds less than 25 kt.
Chance of rain showers, isolated thunderstorms.

Sunday: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Slight chance of rain showers, isolated thunderstorms.

Sunday Night: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 30 kt. Areas of rough seas. Rain showers likely, isolated thunderstorms.

Monday: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Areas of rough seas. Rain showers likely, isolated thunderstorms.

CLIMATE
All Time June High Temperature Record (Daily)

BOS - 100 F (06/06/1925, 06/26/1952 and 06/30/2021)
BDL - 100 F (06/26/1952, 06/30/1964)
PVD - 98 F (06/25/1943, 06/15/1945 and 06/30/1945)
ORH - 98 F (06/26/1952)

Most recent day of 100 F (or greater)

BOS - 100 F (07/24/2022)
BDL - 100 F (07/21/2019)
PVD - 100 F (07/28/2020)
ORH - 102 F (07/04/1911)*

* For ORH this is the only 100+ degree day in its period of record.

Daily High Temperature Records...

June 20th

BOS - 98 F (1953)
BDL - 97 F (2012)
PVD - 95 F (1941)
ORH - 93 F (1953)

June 21st

BOS - 96 F (2012)
BDL - 96 F (1953 and 2012)
PVD - 96 F (1941)
ORH - 91 F (Multi-Years)

Daily Warmest Low Temperatures Records...

June 20th

BOS - 78 F (1931)
BDL - 74 F (1931)
PVD - 74 F (1931)
ORH - 72 F (1931)

June 21st

BOS - 80 F (2012)
BDL - 73 F (1923 and 2012)
PVD - 75 F (2012)
ORH - 74 F (1923 and 2012)

BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT Friday for CTZ002>004.
Air Quality Alert until 11 PM EDT this evening for CTZ002-003.
MA...Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT Friday for MAZ008>011.
Air Quality Alert until 11 PM EDT this evening for MAZ007- 010>021.
Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for MAZ002>007- 012>019-026.
RI...Air Quality Alert until 11 PM EDT this evening for RIZ001>005.
Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for RIZ001>005.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for ANZ231>234-254-255.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
BZBM3 - 8447930 - Woods Hole, MA 6 mi46 min 70°F 71°F30.29
44020 - NANTUCKET SOUND 16 mi36 minSW 18G21 72°F 70°F30.2669°F
NBGM3 19 mi46 minWSW 11G14 82°F 30.28
44090 24 mi46 min 65°F2 ft
44085 27 mi46 min 68°F 64°F4 ft
BUZM3 - Buzzards Bay, MA 27 mi46 minSW 23G25 68°F 30.29
NTKM3 - 8449130 - Nantucket Island, MA 31 mi46 minWSW 12G22 73°F 72°F30.29
FRVM3 - 8447386 - Fall River, MA 33 mi46 min 87°F 73°F30.28
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 34 mi46 minSW 8.9G12 81°F 30.26
CHTM3 34 mi46 min 87°F 30.26
FRXM3 34 mi46 min 85°F 71°F
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 40 mi46 minSSW 13G16 72°F 68°F30.28
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 41 mi61 minWNW 5.1 82°F 30.2771°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 41 mi46 minWSW 4.1G8 81°F 30.29
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 43 mi46 minSSE 16G17 77°F 75°F30.25
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 44 mi46 minWSW 13G14 81°F 30.27
PDVR1 45 mi46 minSSW 7G8.9 87°F 30.2571°F
PVDR1 46 mi46 minSSE 6G9.9 84°F 30.2673°F
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 47 mi46 minS 6G12 90°F 71°F30.26


Wind History for Nantucket Island, MA
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Airport Reports
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Wind History graph: FMH
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Tide / Current for Falmouth Heights, Nantucket Sound, Massachusetts
   
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Falmouth Heights
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Thu -- 03:26 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:34 AM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:08 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:40 AM EDT     1.21 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:37 PM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:34 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:43 PM EDT     1.43 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Falmouth Heights, Nantucket Sound, Massachusetts, Tide feet
12
am
1.1
1
am
0.9
2
am
0.6
3
am
0.3
4
am
0.1
5
am
0.1
6
am
0.2
7
am
0.5
8
am
0.7
9
am
1
10
am
1.2
11
am
1.2
12
pm
1.1
1
pm
0.9
2
pm
0.7
3
pm
0.4
4
pm
0.2
5
pm
0.2
6
pm
0.4
7
pm
0.6
8
pm
0.9
9
pm
1.2
10
pm
1.4
11
pm
1.4


Tide / Current for Woods Hole, Massachusetts Current (use with caution)
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Woods Hole
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Thu -- 12:17 AM EDT     -3.44 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 03:27 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:55 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:08 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:45 AM EDT     3.39 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 10:22 AM EDT     -0.05 knots Slack
Thu -- 12:44 PM EDT     -3.31 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 04:13 PM EDT     0.15 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:34 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:00 PM EDT     3.21 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:31 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Woods Hole, Massachusetts Current (use with caution), knots
12
am
-3.4
1
am
-3.3
2
am
-2.7
3
am
-1.8
4
am
0.6
5
am
2
6
am
2.8
7
am
3.3
8
am
3.4
9
am
3
10
am
1.7
11
am
-2.1
12
pm
-3.1
1
pm
-3.3
2
pm
-2.8
3
pm
-2
4
pm
-0.8
5
pm
1.6
6
pm
2.5
7
pm
3
8
pm
3.2
9
pm
3
10
pm
1.9
11
pm
-1.9


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of north east   
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Boston, MA,




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