Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Bratenahl, OH
March 29, 2024 10:43 AM EDT (14:43 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:11 AM Sunset 7:50 PM Moonrise 11:40 PM Moonset 8:02 AM |
LEZ146 Expires:202403291415;;802710 Fzus51 Kcle 290744 Nshcle
nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 344 am edt Fri mar 29 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez145>147-291415- vermilion to avon point oh-avon point to willowick oh- willowick to geneva-on-the lake oh- 344 am edt Fri mar 29 2024
Today - Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tonight - Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast 10 knots or less. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday - Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Rain showers in the morning, then a chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday night - West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest. A chance of rain showers in the evening. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Sunday through Tuesday.
the water temperature off toledo is 44 degrees, off cleveland 41 degrees, and off erie 41 degrees.
nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 344 am edt Fri mar 29 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez145>147-291415- vermilion to avon point oh-avon point to willowick oh- willowick to geneva-on-the lake oh- 344 am edt Fri mar 29 2024
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Sunday through Tuesday.
the water temperature off toledo is 44 degrees, off cleveland 41 degrees, and off erie 41 degrees.
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Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 291036 AFDCLE
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 636 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure remains in control through the afternoon. A warm front moves into the region overnight with a weakening ripple of low pressure moving eastward along it through Saturday evening. A cold front crosses the region from west to east Saturday afternoon into the evening, High pressure briefly wedges overhead from the north on Sunday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
Skies should clear through mid morning with sunshine expected into the afternoon. The sun will gradually become filtered by late afternoon through sunset as clouds increase from the southwest. These clouds continue to thicken and gradually lower into the overnight hours as a warm front lifts into northern Ohio by sunrise Saturday. Isentropic lift should spread rain across the region from southwest to northeast through sunrise.
There may be just enough elevated instability to allow for the mention of some thunder. Seems like it could be isolated to scattered in coverage.
Highs today will range from the lower 40's across NW PA to the upper 50's across the southwestern CWA Lows tonight may dip to the upper 20's early across NW PA. The remainder of the region should remain in the 30's to lower 40's.
Warm front will become the path that weakening low pressure tracks along on Saturday. Current thinking is that the boundary remain south of the lake with the main area of lift/rainfall moving across the region from west to east through early afternoon. There could be some elevated instability over the region so will mention thunderstorms, but coverage of thunder likely remains isolated to scattered. The steadier rain may then linger across NE OH into NW PA into the late afternoon with precipitation ending across the west as a weakening cold front sags southward toward southern Ohio where it will stall. Cloud cover and the rain will assist with tempering the increase in warmth. However highs will still range from the lower 50's across NW PA to the mid 60s in the vicinity of Findlay.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
A shortwave will exit to the east Saturday night into early Sunday, allowing most precip to exit the area as the frontal boundary sags south into the Ohio Valley and high pressure briefly builds over the region. Most of the area should experience dry weather Sunday morning and perhaps into Sunday afternoon before the boundary begins to lift north as a warm front Sunday night and another shortwave ejects east into the region as a surface low begins to take shape over the Plains. Likely to categorical PoPs return to most of the CWA during this time and continue into Monday as a series of disturbances ripple across the warm front, although there is still a bit of uncertainty in the northward propagation of the warm front and the resulting northward extent of the highest PoPs. There may be a few periods of dry weather in the northern half of the CWA especially Monday afternoon and early afternoon, but the next round of rain will likely arrive from the west by Monday night as a trough advances east towards the CWA
There's still concern for heavy rainfall/training precipitation leading to flooding Sunday night through Monday; PW values will be unseasonably high and forecast soundings indicate deep moisture in addition to the potential of flow being nearly parallel to the warm front. Any precip prior to Sunday night will only help prime rivers/soils and soil moisture is already relatively high (30 to 60% as of writing) across the area.
As of now, the severe weather threat is low since the warm front might only nose into the southern portion of the CWA before the trough approaches Monday evening into Monday night. However, as stated above, there's still uncertainty in the northward propagation of the warm front; the severe weather threat may increase if the warm sector shifts farther north. Regardless, there may be sufficient instability for thunderstorms.
Temperatures warm during the short term period with highs reaching the upper 50s to lower 60s in the southern half of the area Sunday and especially Monday. Temperatures will generally be in the low to mid 50s closer to Lake Erie with the coolest temps downwind from Lake Erie. Expect lows in the upper 30s to lower 40s Sunday night and slightly warmer lows Monday night.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Active weather continues into the long term period. The aforementioned trough will continue to dig into the Upper Midwest before developing into a vertically stacked low somewhere over the Midwest Tuesday and possibly lifting near or over the CWA Tuesday night. Despite uncertainty in the track of the low, most deterministic guidance has the low phasing into a coastal low off the Mid-Atlantic coast at some point Wednesday or Wednesday night.
To make a long story short, it appears that the soggy (and breezy)
weather could continue through the majority of the long term period with periodic synoptic rain showers likely through Wednesday and lake-enhanced rain/snow showers potentially developing as cold air advection settles in on the backside of the low Wednesday night into Thursday morning.
Tuesday will be the warmest day of the period with highs in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Cooler temps arrive for mid to late week with highs in the mid to upper 40s to lower 50s anticipated Wednesday and Thursday. Overnight lows will most likely dip into the lower 30s Wednesday night.
AVIATION /12Z Friday THROUGH Tuesday/
Ceilings down to around 5000 feet will occur near and south of a KMNN to K4I3 line through 13Z. These clouds then decrease and move east of the region with an upper level jet. VFR conditions are expected areawide into the evening. Ceilings increase and gradually lower from the southwest to northeast through the overnight hours as a warm front approaches northern OH. Showers may reach KFDY and KTOL by 06Z then spread eastward through sunrise. Cant rule out some thunder but believe the coverage will be isolated to scattered at best. Changes look to be good enough to mention for the western TAF sites.
Winds should be light and variable through mid morning. Speeds increase from the west by afternoon at around 10 knots. Winds once again become light and variable after sunset but increase from a southerly direction after midnight. Speed may reach 10 to 15 knots across the west by 12Z.
Outlook...Non-VFR likely in showers and/or lower ceilings on Saturday, then lingering across NE OH into NW PA into Sunday morning. Additional non-VFR likely Monday into Tuesday.
Thunderstorms possible Saturday afternoon/evening and on Monday.
MARINE
Northwest winds 6 to 12 knots continue through this afternoon before shifting to the southwest this afternoon into this evening. Winds will likely briefly increase to 15 to 20 knots in the far eastern basin of the lake late this afternoon, but the highest waves will likely be focused northeast into the NY waters of Lake Erie so opted to not issue a Small Craft Advisory with this update. Winds become southeasterly and diminish below 15 knots tonight into Saturday before shifting to the northwest and increasing to 10 to 20 knots Saturday night, which could result in a brief/marginal Small Craft Advisory before winds and waves decrease by early Sunday morning.
Light and variable winds continue through Sunday, but northeast flow develops over the lake Sunday night through Tuesday morning. Winds may briefly approach 20 knots in the open waters, however as of now the highest waves will be primarily confined to the Canadian waters.
The next Small Craft Advisory may be needed as early as Tuesday afternoon as winds shift to the northwest, but currently have sub- advisory winds and waves until Wednesday.
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
NY...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 636 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure remains in control through the afternoon. A warm front moves into the region overnight with a weakening ripple of low pressure moving eastward along it through Saturday evening. A cold front crosses the region from west to east Saturday afternoon into the evening, High pressure briefly wedges overhead from the north on Sunday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
Skies should clear through mid morning with sunshine expected into the afternoon. The sun will gradually become filtered by late afternoon through sunset as clouds increase from the southwest. These clouds continue to thicken and gradually lower into the overnight hours as a warm front lifts into northern Ohio by sunrise Saturday. Isentropic lift should spread rain across the region from southwest to northeast through sunrise.
There may be just enough elevated instability to allow for the mention of some thunder. Seems like it could be isolated to scattered in coverage.
Highs today will range from the lower 40's across NW PA to the upper 50's across the southwestern CWA Lows tonight may dip to the upper 20's early across NW PA. The remainder of the region should remain in the 30's to lower 40's.
Warm front will become the path that weakening low pressure tracks along on Saturday. Current thinking is that the boundary remain south of the lake with the main area of lift/rainfall moving across the region from west to east through early afternoon. There could be some elevated instability over the region so will mention thunderstorms, but coverage of thunder likely remains isolated to scattered. The steadier rain may then linger across NE OH into NW PA into the late afternoon with precipitation ending across the west as a weakening cold front sags southward toward southern Ohio where it will stall. Cloud cover and the rain will assist with tempering the increase in warmth. However highs will still range from the lower 50's across NW PA to the mid 60s in the vicinity of Findlay.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
A shortwave will exit to the east Saturday night into early Sunday, allowing most precip to exit the area as the frontal boundary sags south into the Ohio Valley and high pressure briefly builds over the region. Most of the area should experience dry weather Sunday morning and perhaps into Sunday afternoon before the boundary begins to lift north as a warm front Sunday night and another shortwave ejects east into the region as a surface low begins to take shape over the Plains. Likely to categorical PoPs return to most of the CWA during this time and continue into Monday as a series of disturbances ripple across the warm front, although there is still a bit of uncertainty in the northward propagation of the warm front and the resulting northward extent of the highest PoPs. There may be a few periods of dry weather in the northern half of the CWA especially Monday afternoon and early afternoon, but the next round of rain will likely arrive from the west by Monday night as a trough advances east towards the CWA
There's still concern for heavy rainfall/training precipitation leading to flooding Sunday night through Monday; PW values will be unseasonably high and forecast soundings indicate deep moisture in addition to the potential of flow being nearly parallel to the warm front. Any precip prior to Sunday night will only help prime rivers/soils and soil moisture is already relatively high (30 to 60% as of writing) across the area.
As of now, the severe weather threat is low since the warm front might only nose into the southern portion of the CWA before the trough approaches Monday evening into Monday night. However, as stated above, there's still uncertainty in the northward propagation of the warm front; the severe weather threat may increase if the warm sector shifts farther north. Regardless, there may be sufficient instability for thunderstorms.
Temperatures warm during the short term period with highs reaching the upper 50s to lower 60s in the southern half of the area Sunday and especially Monday. Temperatures will generally be in the low to mid 50s closer to Lake Erie with the coolest temps downwind from Lake Erie. Expect lows in the upper 30s to lower 40s Sunday night and slightly warmer lows Monday night.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Active weather continues into the long term period. The aforementioned trough will continue to dig into the Upper Midwest before developing into a vertically stacked low somewhere over the Midwest Tuesday and possibly lifting near or over the CWA Tuesday night. Despite uncertainty in the track of the low, most deterministic guidance has the low phasing into a coastal low off the Mid-Atlantic coast at some point Wednesday or Wednesday night.
To make a long story short, it appears that the soggy (and breezy)
weather could continue through the majority of the long term period with periodic synoptic rain showers likely through Wednesday and lake-enhanced rain/snow showers potentially developing as cold air advection settles in on the backside of the low Wednesday night into Thursday morning.
Tuesday will be the warmest day of the period with highs in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Cooler temps arrive for mid to late week with highs in the mid to upper 40s to lower 50s anticipated Wednesday and Thursday. Overnight lows will most likely dip into the lower 30s Wednesday night.
AVIATION /12Z Friday THROUGH Tuesday/
Ceilings down to around 5000 feet will occur near and south of a KMNN to K4I3 line through 13Z. These clouds then decrease and move east of the region with an upper level jet. VFR conditions are expected areawide into the evening. Ceilings increase and gradually lower from the southwest to northeast through the overnight hours as a warm front approaches northern OH. Showers may reach KFDY and KTOL by 06Z then spread eastward through sunrise. Cant rule out some thunder but believe the coverage will be isolated to scattered at best. Changes look to be good enough to mention for the western TAF sites.
Winds should be light and variable through mid morning. Speeds increase from the west by afternoon at around 10 knots. Winds once again become light and variable after sunset but increase from a southerly direction after midnight. Speed may reach 10 to 15 knots across the west by 12Z.
Outlook...Non-VFR likely in showers and/or lower ceilings on Saturday, then lingering across NE OH into NW PA into Sunday morning. Additional non-VFR likely Monday into Tuesday.
Thunderstorms possible Saturday afternoon/evening and on Monday.
MARINE
Northwest winds 6 to 12 knots continue through this afternoon before shifting to the southwest this afternoon into this evening. Winds will likely briefly increase to 15 to 20 knots in the far eastern basin of the lake late this afternoon, but the highest waves will likely be focused northeast into the NY waters of Lake Erie so opted to not issue a Small Craft Advisory with this update. Winds become southeasterly and diminish below 15 knots tonight into Saturday before shifting to the northwest and increasing to 10 to 20 knots Saturday night, which could result in a brief/marginal Small Craft Advisory before winds and waves decrease by early Sunday morning.
Light and variable winds continue through Sunday, but northeast flow develops over the lake Sunday night through Tuesday morning. Winds may briefly approach 20 knots in the open waters, however as of now the highest waves will be primarily confined to the Canadian waters.
The next Small Craft Advisory may be needed as early as Tuesday afternoon as winds shift to the northwest, but currently have sub- advisory winds and waves until Wednesday.
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
NY...None.
MARINE...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH | 2 mi | 56 min | N 8G | 37°F | 46°F | 30.03 | ||
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH | 22 mi | 56 min | N 11G | 37°F | 46°F | 30.02 | 27°F | |
LORO1 | 31 mi | 74 min | NW 2.9G | 37°F | ||||
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH | 39 mi | 74 min | N 13G | |||||
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH | 49 mi | 74 min | N 2.9 | 39°F | 30.06 | 23°F |
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Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KBKL BURKE LAKEFRONT,OH | 5 sm | 50 min | N 07 | 10 sm | Clear | 41°F | 27°F | 56% | 30.06 | |
KCGF CUYAHOGA COUNTY,OH | 6 sm | 58 min | N 07 | 10 sm | Clear | 36°F | 27°F | 69% | 30.06 | |
KLNN LAKE COUNTY EXECUTIVE,OH | 14 sm | 28 min | NNW 07 | 10 sm | Clear | 37°F | 23°F | 56% | 30.07 | |
KCLE CLEVELANDHOPKINS INTL,OH | 16 sm | 52 min | N 05 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 39°F | 25°F | 56% | 30.05 |
Cleveland, OH,
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