Marine Forecasts

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lakeside, OH

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Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH

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FXUS61 KCLE 031754 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 154 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

SYNOPSIS. Weak high pressure this morning will drift east as a cold front approaches from the central Great Lakes. A weak low will move into southern Ontario this afternoon then reach western New York Tuesday morning. A cold front is expected to move across the region from west to east through Tuesday morning. High pressure will build across the region midweek into the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/. More minor adjustments to pops and temperatures with respect to the ongoing convection across the area.

Original discussion . Showers will gradually increase ahead of a cold front today as an upper level trough cools the atmosphere aloft. The cooling aloft may result in scattered thunderstorms but do not think the thunder will be widespread. Cloud cover will keep temperatures slightly below seasonal averages with highs ranging from the upper 70's to around 80.

Cold front continues its move across the region tonight with a continuation of showers and thunderstorms through the evening. Think the thunder will dissipate after sunset but expect scattered showers to persist through the night. Cold front will reach the eastern CWA by sunrise on Tuesday. Lows tonight in the 60's.

Upper level trough will trail the surface cold front that should be east of the region by Tuesday afternoon. Still enough cool air aloft in the wake of the front for some high based showers through sunset. These will mainly be across NE OH/NW PA. Cooler in the wake of the front on Tuesday with highs mostly in the mid to upper 70's.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/. Upper level trough will remain persistent across the Great Lakes region Tuesday night and then quickly shift off to the east Wednesday. Broad cyclonic flow will be present Wednesday followed by a shortwave trough that will shift east over the area Thursday. Surface high pressure will build northeast across the area through Thursday night and will bring a return to fair weather to the region. Large area of upper level negative vorticity advection and fairly dry air will also be a dominant feature across the area. As the surface high slides east into the region, some cold air advection will take place keeping temperatures relatively cool through the period. Highs Wednesday will be in the middle 70s and Thursday will see highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Otherwise, lows will be in the lower to middle 50s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. An upper level shortwave trough will race east across the area Friday with a vigorous positive vorticity advection taking place. Ridging will move east over the area Saturday resulting in the stalling of the surface high pressure over the northern Appalachians to New York state by Sunday morning. A series of fast moving shortwave troughs will move into the area Sunday and Sunday night with some associated moisture. Can't rule out a threat for showers and thunderstorms possibly late Saturday night or Sunday into Sunday night. As surface high pressure shifts east, a return to a warm air advection pattern will result in temperatures gradually warming from the lower 80s Friday to the middle and upper 80s by Sunday. Lows will be in the middle to upper 60s across the area through the period except upper 50s Friday night in the extreme east.

AVIATION /18Z Monday THROUGH Saturday/. Main focus of the period is SHRA/TSRA potential over the first 6-8 hours. Line of convection from just west of KMFD to KERI will will move east into the terminals early in the period, with IFR reductions possible. More scattered convection may impact KCAK and KYNG a few hours later. Outside of convection, VFR conditions expected through this evening. A cold front sinking south towards the area late tonight may bring some low MVFR to IFR ceilings to terminals around 12Z, with the highest confidence at KTOL and KFDY. Southwest winds early in the period become light/variable tonight, then northwest behind the front after 12Z.

Outlook . Non-VFR in scattered showers and thunderstorms that move west to east across the area on Tuesday.

MARINE. Winds on the lake will be gradually diminishing today through Tuesday morning as the low pressure system that affected the area yesterday continues to move northeast of the area. Another weak wave of low pressure will move through the region today. There is the possibility with the showers and thunderstorms today through Tuesday morning for waterspouts and cooler air over the lake increases instability. Winds will be diminishing to light and variable through the day Wednesday into Wednesday night. This overall trend will continue into Friday.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MM NEAR TERM . Greenawalt/MM SHORT TERM . Lombardy LONG TERM . Lombardy AVIATION . Greenawalt MARINE . Lombardy

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH	4 mi	42 min	WSW 4.1 G 7	80°F	77°F		1013.3 hPa	61°F
CMPO1	12 mi	60 min	W 9.9 G 14	78°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH	17 mi	30 min	WSW 8.9 G 11	75°F			1013.5 hPa (-1.4)
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH	20 mi	45 min	WSW 1.9	76°F			1015 hPa	69°F
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH	22 mi	20 min	WNW 3.9 G 5.8	73°F	75°F		1014 hPa	68°F
TWCO1	26 mi	20 min	WSW 12 G 15	77°F	77°F			66°F
45165	27 mi	10 min	W 9.7 G 14	78°F	78°F	1 ft		64°F
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH	28 mi	90 min	SSW 9.9 G 11	76°F
LORO1	32 mi	60 min	WSW 11 G 13	78°F
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH	37 mi	42 min	SW 5.1 G 8.9	80°F			1013.4 hPa	63°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Lorain / Elyria, Lorain County Regional Airport, OH	36 mi	37 min	S 11 G 19	10.00 mi	Light Rain	73°F	62°F	69%	1014.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLPR

Wind History from LPR (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for

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Tide / Current Tables for

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (14,3,4,5)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH

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