Wednesday, July15, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
New Milford, CT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:31AMSunset 8:26PM Wednesday July 15, 2020 7:59 AM EDT (11:59 UTC) Moonrise 1:36AMMoonset 3:51PM Illumination 24% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 548 Am Edt Wed Jul 15 2020
Today..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tonight..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers. Chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms.
Sat..SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 548 Am Edt Wed Jul 15 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds in from the northeast today and begins to shift east on Thursday. The next frontal system will affect the region Thursday night through Friday night. Weak high pressure will then be in place for the upcoming weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near New Milford, CT
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location: 41.58, -73.41     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 151046 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 646 AM EDT Wed Jul 15 2020

SYNOPSIS. Mainly dry conditions are expected today into Thursday morning, as a ridge of high pressure builds in. Just an isolated shower is possible over the higher terrain of western New England, mainly this afternoon. Chances for showers and thunderstorms will increase again Thursday afternoon into Friday, as a frontal system approaches from the west. Hot and humid conditions return for the upcoming weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 615 AM EDT, a mix of low clouds and ground fog has developed across portions of the region, with areas of dense fog within the Mohawk Valley, and patchy fog within portions of the upper Hudson Valley extending south into the Capital Region, especially adjacent to the Hudson River. Low clouds were also currently expanding slightly westward into the Berkshires, southern Greens and Litchfield Hills. Temps have cooled into the mid/upper 50s across portions of the southwest Adirondacks, with generally lower/mid 60s elsewhere.

For today, a mix of clouds and sun is expected, with clouds more prevalent across higher terrain of western New England, and perhaps across the SW Adirondacks. There could be isolated showers developing this afternoon across mainly higher elevations of western New England, and perhaps briefly across the SW Adirondacks and SE Catskills.

High temperatures should reach 80-85 in most valley areas, with generally 75-80 across higher elevations. Dewpoints should fall into the upper 50s to lower/mid 60s this afternoon, so it may feel just bit less humid compared to recent days.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. Tonight, areas of low clouds may redevelop across the mid Hudson Valley, as well as the southern Greens south into the Berkshires and Litchfield County. There is a possibility that some low clouds may also develop toward daybreak within the Hudson River Valley between Albany and Glens Falls. Also, where skies remain clear, patchy ground fog may develop as well. Lows ranging from the mid/upper 50s across the southwest Adirondacks, eastern Catskills and higher terrain of western New England, to the lower/mid 60s elsewhere.

Thursday, should start out dry other than some early morning patchy fog. There likely will be areas of lower clouds as well. Then, increasing chances for showers during the mid to late afternoon hours, especially west of the Hudson River, as mid level warm advection increases, and a mid level shortwave ejects northeast across the region. Instability looks meager, although there could be a little elevated instability across the western Adirondacks, so will only mention slight chance for thunderstorms toward sunset in far northwest areas. Highs may be a bit cooler compared to recent days, due to more clouds, and also a slight marine-modified airmass spreading across the region with a low level southeast flow. Highs mainly in the upper 70s to lower 80s. South/southeast winds may become gusty in the afternoon within north/south valleys, especially close to the Capital Region where some gusts up to 25 mph could occur.

Thursday night-Friday, weakening frontal system moves across the region from west to east during Friday. This should bring a round of showers, especially late Thursday night into Friday morning. Some embedded rumbles of thunder will also be possible, particularly for areas west of the Hudson River, where some elevated instability will be present. It will also be breezy at times through Friday morning, with south to southeast winds possibly gusting up to 30 mph within north/south valleys. Main forcing mechanism looks to be mid level isentropic lift and CVA, which looks to weaken and shift east of the region by afternoon. Friday afternoon could have additional isolated/scattered convection as a weak surface trough moves eastward. However, degree of instability remains in question due to possibility for abundant low clouds ahead of trough. For now, have included isolated to scattered showers/thunderstorms for the afternoon hours, with some stronger storms possible if more sunshine breaks out in the afternoon. Temperatures will also be highly dependent on how much clearing occurs; for now, have generally indicated mid 70s to lower 80s for max temps. However, if sunshine breaks through in the afternoon, temps should be considerably warmer (perhaps by 5-8 degrees).

Friday night, isolated/scattered showers/thunderstorms possible in the evening, especially southeast areas, otherwise becoming partly cloudy with patchy fog developing. Lows mainly in the 60s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Heat and humidity return with anomalously high 500 mb heights forecast for much of the CONUS. 500 mb heights in the upper 580s are expected with 850 mb temperatures in the 15 to 20C range across the local area. The heat and humid begin their return Saturday and are really expected to take hold Sunday through Tuesday when dangerously hot conditions are expected as dew points are forecast to rise into the mid 60s to lower 70s. Heat advisories are likely going to needed. Looking at highs in the 90s up the Hudson River Valley with heat indices around 100 degrees Sunday and Monday.

The flow is expected to be nearly zonal along the United States/ Canadian border. Guidance remains in good agreement with the longwave pattern however there are timing and amplitude differences regarding the individual short waves moving through the fast flow which impacts the timing of boundaries and convection. Have favored guidance from the Weather Prediction Center to maintain forecast consistency with fair weather for much the weekend and unsettled weather early next week as a front approaches.

AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Ridging will build in across the region at the surface and aloft through the TAF period. Fog will burn off and stratus will lift this morning with VFR then expected today with scattered to broken cumulus developing with diurnal heating. Stratus and fog are expected to develop again tonight. Winds will be light and variable.

Outlook .

Thursday Night: Moderate Operational Impact Breezy. Chance of SHRA. TSRA. Friday: High Operational Impact Breezy. Likely SHRA. TSRA. Friday Night: Low Operational Impact Isolated SHRA. TSRA. Saturday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Saturday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Sunday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.

FIRE WEATHER. Mainly dry conditions are expected today into Thursday morning, as a ridge of high pressure builds in. Just an isolated shower is possible over the higher terrain of western New England, mainly this afternoon. Chances for showers and thunderstorms will increase again Thursday afternoon into Friday, as a frontal system approaches from the west. Hot and humid conditions return for the upcoming weekend.

Relative humidity values will decrease to around 40 to 60 percent this afternoon. RH values will increase to between 85 and 100 percent tonight.

Winds will be variable less than 5 mph today. Winds will be southeast around 5-10 mph tonight.

HYDROLOGY. Dry conditions are expected Wednesday into Thursday morning. The next chance of showers and thunderstorms arrives Thursday afternoon into Friday, as a frontal system approaches and moves across the region. Some locally heavy downpours will be possible, depending on available moisture/instability.

Hot and humid conditions and dry weather are expected during the upcoming weekend.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. MA . None. VT . None.

SYNOPSIS . KL/JPV NEAR TERM . KL SHORT TERM . KL LONG TERM . IAA AVIATION . IAA FIRE WEATHER . KL/JPV HYDROLOGY . KL/JPV


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 31 mi66 min 70°F
NPXN6 33 mi90 min NE 1.9 64°F 1021 hPa63°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 34 mi66 min 73°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 40 mi90 min Calm 65°F 1020 hPa63°F
TKPN6 41 mi66 min 81°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 44 mi75 min ENE 14 G 18 71°F 67°F

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Danbury, Danbury Municipal Airport, CT15 mi67 minE 510.00 miOvercast65°F63°F93%1021.8 hPa
Oxford, Waterbury-Oxford Airport, CT16 mi2.1 hrsNE 310.00 miOvercast64°F63°F96%1022 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDXR

Wind History from DXR (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Shelton, Housatonic River, Connecticut
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Shelton
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:34 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:28 AM EDT     0.81 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:19 AM EDT     4.42 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:48 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 04:37 PM EDT     0.94 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:41 PM EDT     5.11 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.42.61.91.20.90.91.72.83.84.44.33.93.32.621.4111.72.94.14.95.14.7

Tide / Current Tables for New Hamburg, Hudson River, New York
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New Hamburg
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:37 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:32 AM EDT     0.80 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:50 AM EDT     2.47 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:29 PM EDT     0.61 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:52 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:14 PM EDT     2.95 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.71.41.10.80.91.31.82.22.42.52.321.51.10.80.60.71.21.92.52.82.92.92.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.