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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 337 Pm Est Thu Dec 7 2023
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw late. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..N winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..SE winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..SE winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..S winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Chance of rain in the morning, then rain in the afternoon.
Sun night..S winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Chance of rain.
Mon night..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Tue..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Tue night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.

ANZ300 337 Pm Est Thu Dec 7 2023
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters.. High pressure moves across the area tonight and then moves offshore Friday, remaining in control through Saturday. A strong cold front approaches on Sunday and passes through during Sunday night. High pressure then builds in on Monday and remains in control through the middle of next week.

FXUS61 KALY 072044 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 344 PM EST Thu Dec 7 2023

SYNOPSIS
Areas of light snow will taper off overnight, as a slow moving warm front approaches from the southwest. The warm front will slowly lift northward Friday into Saturday, bringing milder temperatures despite occasional clouds. A strong cold front will bring a period of heavy rain and gusty winds late Sunday into Sunday night, with rain possibly ending as snow Monday morning as colder air surges into the region.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/
As of 345 PM EST, areas of light snow and flurries continue across much of the region outside portions of southeast VT.
Steadiest snow occurring across portions of the Mohawk Valley and Schoharie County, some of which may expand into the Capital Region and central Taconics over the next 1-2 hours. Overall accumulations should remain light, generally a coating to less than an inch, although some locations across the Mohawk Valley could receive around an inch.

Areas of light snow should decrease in coverage between 6 and 8 PM, especially across the mid Hudson Valley and NW CT, and after 8 PM farther north across the Capital Region and Taconics. Some spotty very light precipitation may linger across the Mohawk Valley, SW Adirondacks and northern portions of the Capital Region (Saratoga/Glens Falls) and SW VT through midnight. As cloud depth decreases and cloud tops warm into the -5 to -8 C range, overall ice nuclei will decrease, and some patchy freezing drizzle and snow grains will be possible, particularly within the Mohawk Valley/SW Adirondacks. Will have to watch trends through this evening in case freezing drizzle potential becomes slightly greater/widespread, as some SPS's may be needed.

Elsewhere, mainly cloudy skies are expected overnight, although some breaks could develop across portions of the mid Hudson Valley, SE VT, and perhaps upper Hudson Valley after midnight.
Temperatures should only fall slightly from current levels in most areas, generally into the lower/mid 20s, although some upper teens could occur across some northern areas if any breaks in the clouds develop.

SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
Warm front will slowly lift northward across the region during Friday, with areas of lower clouds to its north. These clouds may persist for areas north of I-90 into the afternoon, with some clearing possible to the south. Max temps should reach 40-45 for lower elevations south of I-90, and 35-40 to the north and across higher terrain.

Another shortwave and surge of mid level warm advection will move across the region Friday night, with some mid level clouds.
A few sprinkles/flurries can not be ruled out across the southern Adirondacks, especially after midnight. Low temps in the mid 20s to lower 30s.

Milder air should spread northward on Saturday, although there is a slight chance that low clouds may linger across portions of the region, especially north of I-90, which could limit warming potential. Currently forecasting 45-50 for valley areas near and south of I-90, and 40-45 to the north, however some northern areas (especially upper Hudson Valley and eastern Mohawk Valley)
could remain cooler.

Saturday night should start partly cloudy, with clouds becoming more widespread through the night. Some showers may develop across the SW Adirondacks and western Mohawk Valley toward daybreak. Low temps mainly in the 30s, although should some enough breaks in the clouds occur early, some 20s could occur early at night across portions of the southern Adirondacks and upper Hudson Valley.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Coming soon.

AVIATION /21Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
A cold front will become stationary near the NY-PA border early tonight. Some light snow or light snow showers will impact the eastern NY and western New England terminals late this afternoon into tonight.

Expect cigs/vsbys to be MVFR with brief periods of IFR in light snow between 18Z-22Z/THU. The cigs will be in the 1.5-3.0 kft AGL range in the light snow especially from KALB-KPSF northward to KGFL. Mainly VFR conditions are expected at KPOU with cigs 4-7 kft AGL. The snow will taper tonight prior to 02Z/FRI with low-level MVFR stratus continuing at KALB/KPSF/KGFL with cigs 2-3 kft AGL. KPOU will be mainly VFR.

Expect a return to VFR conditions at all the TAF sites between 14Z-17Z/FRI. Some mid and high clouds will linger.

The winds will be variable in direction at 5 KT or less this afternoon into early tonight. They will be calm overnight with some light southeast winds 5 KT or less late tomorrow morning.

HYDROLOGY
Strong storm system is expected to bring locally heavy rain to the region Sunday and Sunday night. There is increasing confidence for a widespread inch or more of rain. Some rivers could approach bank full or even minor flood stage, depending on how much rain falls, how much snow can melt out of higher elevations and frozen versus non frozen ground, all factors affecting the magnitude of runoff. There could be some nuisance urban and small stream flooding in low lying areas as well.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.

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New Hamburg
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Thu -- 01:25 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:08 AM EST     0.43 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:51 AM EST     2.58 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:24 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 02:33 PM EST     0.61 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:25 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:55 PM EST     2.41 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

New Hamburg, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet

Newburgh
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Thu -- 01:26 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 01:43 AM EST     0.43 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:33 AM EST     2.50 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:24 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 02:08 PM EST     0.61 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:25 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:37 PM EST     2.33 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Newburgh, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet

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