West Yarmouth, MA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for West Yarmouth, MA


December 10, 2023 5:36 AM EST (10:36 UTC)
Sunrise 6:55AM   Sunset 4:12PM   Moonrise  5:27AM   Moonset 3:19PM 

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION. Privacy and Cookie policy

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ232 Nantucket Sound- 401 Am Est Sun Dec 10 2023
.storm warning in effect from this evening through Monday afternoon...
Today..S winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt this afternoon. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Patchy fog. A chance of rain. Vsby 1 nm or less.
Tonight..S winds 25 to 30 kt, increasing to 30 to 35 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 45 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Patchy fog. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon..S winds 30 to 40 kt with gusts up to 55 kt, becoming W 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Patchy fog. Rain. Vsby 1 nm or less.
Mon night..W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
Tue and Tue night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Wed through Thu night..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.

ANZ200 401 Am Est Sun Dec 10 2023
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. A powerful low pres will move across the waters tonight and Mon bringing a period of storm force gusts and very rough seas. Conditions gradually improve on Tues as another high pres builds S of the waters. A cold front will cross the waters on Wednesday. High pressure builds south of the waters Thursday into Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near West Yarmouth, MA
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Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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FXUS61 KBOX 100854 AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 354 AM EST Sun Dec 10 2023

SYNOPSIS
Multifaceted storm to impact southern New England today into Monday with heavy rain, strong to damaging winds, and perhaps a touch of snow across western MA. Otherwise, turning drier Monday afternoon and trending colder into the middle of next week. Temperatures likely moderating towards the end of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
Latest guidance suite has slightly sped up the arrival time of rainfall across southern New England slightly. Still favoring rainfall to arrive from west to east during this afternoon.
Latest guidance suite has also raised concerns about how much rainfall is possible. That will be further discussed in the Hydrology section below.

Not much chance for sunshine today. Areas of fog across RI and southeast MA likely to stick around most of the day. Fog across the CT River Valley and interior MA should briefly dissipate later this morning, just before the rainfall moves back in.
Expecting the brunt of the strongest winds to hold off during this portion of the forecast.

Despite the clouds, increasing southerly winds should boost temperatures above normal. Should temperatures rise even higher, that would pose a greater risk for stronger winds due to deeper mixing within the boundary layer. Consensus winds of 50-60 kt at 925 mb expected to be in place over RI and SE MA by late afternoon/early evening.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/
Tonight is likely going to be messy as a multifaceted storm reaches its peak. Periods of heavy rainfall at times and increasing southerly winds.

Operational HRRR LPMM rainfall forecasts have increased the magnitude of maximum rainfall potential to as much as 5-7 inches. Many of the other members of the 10/00Z guidance suite have also increased rainfall totals. The EMC HRRR showed a 70-80 percent chance for 5+ inches somewhere across northern CT into western and central MA, and even a 10-20 percent chance for totals over 8 inches. The threat for freshwater flooding is concerning, so the Flood Watch continues.

Winds rapidly increase this evening, and especially late tonight, as a low pressure passes by. A strong cold front then marches east after midnight, likely reaching the coast towards noon. Expecting a sharp shift to winds from the west.

Operational HRRR showed a 70-80 percent chance of wind gusts of 60+ mph across far SE MA, including the Cape and islands. Thus, issued a High Wind Warning for these areas. Surrounded this warning with a Wind Advisory for areas slightly farther inland.
The strongest winds look to be during a window from after midnight into mid morning Monday.

Colder air arrives quickly behind this cold front, which should lead to a period of sleet or snowfall across the east slopes of the Berkshires late tonight into Monday. By then, drier air should also be moving into southern New England. Thus limiting the time for appreciable snowfall. Still thinking 1-3 inches possible at most across the highest elevation of the Berkshires.

Above normal low temperatures tonight, with falling temperatures during the day Monday. There should be a tale of two seasons Monday morning, with areas east of this cold front still in the 50s, with readings in the 30s and 40s to west of this front.
Expecting temperatures in the 30s region-wide by evening.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
Key Points...

* Quiet, mainly dry weather into next weekend * Temps below normal with coldest day on Thu, then moderating to above normal levels Fri and Sat

After mid level trough exits Mon night, a broad trough sets up across the Gt Lakes then amplifies somewhat as it moves east into New Eng late Wed/Wed night. This will push a cold front through SNE Wed which will bring coldest temps of the week Wed night into Thu, well below normal. Then a moderating trend Fri into Sat as a deamplifying ridge across south central Canada slides ESE into the Gt Lakes and New Eng leading to temps recovering to above normal levels. Overall, much of the entire extended period will feature dry weather as PWATs will remain well below normal. The only risk for a few snow showers will be on Wed across interior high terrain with cold frontal passage.

AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Forecast Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Today into Monday...High confidence in trends. Moderate confidence in timing.

Mix of conditions from VFR ceilings all the way down to IFR in areas of fog and stratus. Fog will be slow to dissipate this morning due to lack of sunshine and increasing humidity over a relatively colder ground. Expecting most of today to feature MVFR/IFR conditions with rainfall arriving from W to E between 16-20Z. Increasing southerly winds through today.

Mainly IFR tonight into Monday morning. Improvement to VFR as a cold front cross our region. Biggest improvement should occur between 16-20Z Monday. The Monday morning push expected to be impacted by strong to damaging winds.

Southerly LLWS this evening towards the south coast of New England of 50-60 kt at 2 kft. This could increase to as much as 70-85 kt towards mid morning Monday. The main area to be impacted should be from KBVY-KSFZ-KWST to the south and east.

KBOS Terminal...High confidence in trends. Moderate confidence in timing. LLWS around 35+ kt not out of the question after 20Z today into Monday morning, but not enough confidence to put it in the TAF just yet.

KBDL Terminal...High confidence in trends. Moderate confidence in timing.

Outlook /Monday Night through Thursday/...

Monday Night: VFR. Windy with gusts up to 35 kt.

Tuesday through Wednesday: VFR. Breezy.

Wednesday Night: VFR. Windy with gusts up to 30 kt.

Thursday: VFR. Windy with local gusts up to 30 kt.

MARINE
Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Dangerous storm for mariners expected to impact the waters mainly tonight into Monday. Storm Watches converted to Storm Warnings for most waters. The exception being Boston Harbor, where a Gale Warning has been posted. Rainfall overspreads the waters this afternoon and evening, leading to poor visibility.
There is even a low risk (10-20%) for thunderstorms, especially across the southern coastal waters.

An abrupt and significant shift in winds is expected mid to late day Monday as a cold front crosses the waters. Seas gradually diminish through the day Monday, but will still be rough on the waters.

Outlook /Monday Night through Thursday/...

Monday Night: Low risk for gale force winds with gusts up to 40 kt. Rough seas up to 14 ft.

Tuesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft.

Tuesday Night: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with local gusts up to 30 kt. Seas up to 5 ft.

Wednesday through Wednesday Night: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas up to 5 ft.

Thursday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 30 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.

HYDROLOGY
The risk for rapid brook and stream rises, as well as poor drainage and urban flooding, is elevated from tonight into Monday. Most locations within interior southern New England should see 2-4 inches of rainfall. Farther SE, rainfall totals should be 2 inches or less, mainly due to the duration of rainfall. Some signals in the latest guidance for a risk of 5+ inches somewhere across northern CT and central and western MA.
Will be monitoring this threat closely over the next 24 hours or so.

Rainfall of this magnitude during this time of year, where the ground may be partially frozen or debris may be clogging storm drains, only magnifies the runoff and lesses the time before rises on smaller stream and creeks.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
* Coastal Flood Advisory for Narragansett Bay and south coast

Latest guidance suggests the peak surge for Providence will be near the time of high tide. There is still some uncertainty with exact timing and it could end up a few hours earlier or later depending on the timing of the cold front and wind shift.
However, our confidence is high that peak surge will reach up to 3 ft at Providence and 1.5 to 2.5 ft elsewhere along the RI and MA south coast. We think the ETSS and ESTOFS surge guidance is underdone and we leaned toward PETSS 90th percentile given the strong southerly LLJ and 24 hr pressure falls of 24-26 mb, which will enhance the surge. The highest confidence for minor flooding will be along Narragansett Bay due to funneling/channeling up the Bay with southerly flow. The risk for moderate flooding is rather low so we converted the coastal flood watch to an advisory. We would need a 4+ ft surge to reach moderate flooding and this appears unlikely at this time.

The flood threat is lower outside of Narragansett Bay where surge will be less. Worst case scenario would be very minor flooding or splashover along the RI south coast west of Narragansett Bay as well as Buzzards Bay and the south coast of Cape Cod.

BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Flood Watch from this afternoon through Monday evening for CTZ002>004.
MA...Flood Watch from this afternoon through Monday evening for MAZ002>021-026.
Wind Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Monday for MAZ007-013-015>018.
High Wind Warning from 10 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Monday for MAZ019>021.
Coastal Flood Advisory from 4 AM to 8 AM EST Monday for MAZ020.
High Wind Warning from 10 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Monday for MAZ022>024.
RI...Flood Watch from this afternoon through Monday evening for RIZ001>007.
Wind Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Monday for RIZ001>004.
High Wind Warning from 10 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Monday for RIZ006-007.
Coastal Flood Advisory from 4 AM to 8 AM EST Monday for RIZ002- 004>007.
High Wind Warning from 10 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Monday for RIZ008.
MARINE...Gale Warning from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Monday for ANZ230.
Storm Warning from 1 AM to 1 PM EST Monday for ANZ231-250-251- 254.
Storm Warning from 10 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Monday for ANZ232>235-237-255-256.
Storm Warning from 10 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Monday for ANZ236.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
44020 - NANTUCKET SOUND 7 mi37 min SSE 9.7G9.7 48°F 45°F30.0848°F
WAXM3 - Waquoit Bay Reserve, MA 14 mi112 min 0 46°F 30.1246°F
44090 17 mi67 min 47°F 48°F
CHTM3 18 mi49 min SSW 6G9.9 48°F 43°F
BZBM3 - 8447930 - Woods Hole, MA 22 mi49 min 49°F 46°F30.08
NTKM3 - 8449130 - Nantucket Island, MA 24 mi49 min S 2.9G5.1 49°F 42°F30.10
NBGM3 34 mi49 min SSW 7G8 48°F 30.06
44018 - SE Cape Cod 30NM East of Nantucket, MA 42 mi37 min SSE 9.7G12 48°F 49°F30.07
44085 43 mi41 min 49°F2 ft
BUZM3 - Buzzards Bay, MA 43 mi37 min SSE 9.9G9.9 51°F 30.09
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 48 mi49 min S 4.1G6 50°F 30.07
FRVM3 - 8447386 - Fall River, MA 48 mi49 min 50°F 48°F30.08
FRXM3 49 mi49 min 50°F 49°F

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Wind History for Nantucket Island, MA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KHYA BARNSTABLE MUNIBOARDMAN/POLANDO FIELD,MA 5 sm41 minS 046 smClear Mist 45°F45°F100%30.07
KFMH CAPE COD COAST GUARD AIR STATION,MA 14 sm41 mincalm1/4 sm-- Fog 46°F46°F100%30.08
KCQX CHATHAM MUNI,MA 16 sm45 minvar 0510 smPartly Cloudy48°F46°F93%30.10
KMVY MARTHA'S VINEYARD,MA 23 sm21 minS 064 smPartly Cloudy Mist 48°F48°F100%30.09

Wind History from HYA
(wind in knots)


Tide / Current for Hyannis Port, Nantucket Sound, Massachusetts
   
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Hyannis Port
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Sun -- 03:10 AM EST     0.28 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:26 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:56 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:51 AM EST     3.22 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:19 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 03:47 PM EST     0.01 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:10 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 10:26 PM EST     2.87 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Hyannis Port, Nantucket Sound, Massachusetts, Tide feet
12
am
1.9
1
am
1.2
2
am
0.6
3
am
0.3
4
am
0.4
5
am
0.9
6
am
1.5
7
am
2
8
am
2.6
9
am
3.1
10
am
3.2
11
am
3
12
pm
2.4
1
pm
1.6
2
pm
0.8
3
pm
0.2
4
pm
0
5
pm
0.3
6
pm
0.8
7
pm
1.4
8
pm
1.9
9
pm
2.5
10
pm
2.8
11
pm
2.8



Tide / Current for Pollock Rip Channel, Massachusetts Current
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Pollock Rip Channel
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Sun -- 12:37 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:02 AM EST     1.82 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 04:25 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:55 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:07 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 09:52 AM EST     -1.72 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 01:01 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 02:17 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 04:09 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 04:29 PM EST     1.96 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 07:40 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 10:18 PM EST     -1.59 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Pollock Rip Channel, Massachusetts Current, knots
12
am
-0.5
1
am
0.3
2
am
1.1
3
am
1.6
4
am
1.8
5
am
1.7
6
am
1.1
7
am
0.1
8
am
-0.9
9
am
-1.5
10
am
-1.7
11
am
-1.5
12
pm
-0.9
1
pm
-0
2
pm
0.9
3
pm
1.6
4
pm
1.9
5
pm
1.9
6
pm
1.5
7
pm
0.7
8
pm
-0.3
9
pm
-1.2
10
pm
-1.6
11
pm
-1.5




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Boston, MA,



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