Sunday, January26, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Chardon, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:41AMSunset 5:34PM Sunday January 26, 2020 7:32 AM EST (12:32 UTC) Moonrise 9:01AMMoonset 7:21PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ147 Expires:202001260915;;521558 Fzus51 Kcle 260256 Nshcle Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 956 Pm Est Sat Jan 25 2020 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez145>149-260915- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 956 Pm Est Sat Jan 25 2020
.small craft advisory in effect from 1 am est Sunday through Monday morning...
Rest of tonight..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west. Rain and snow showers likely late this evening, then a chance of rain and snow showers after midnight. Rain showers likely with a chance of snow showers late. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Sunday..West winds 15 to 20 knots. A chance of snow and rain showers in the morning, then rain and snow showers likely in the afternoon. Waves 3 to 6 feet building to 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet.
Sunday night..West winds 15 to 20 knots. Snow and rain showers. Waves 5 to 8 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet.
Monday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of rain and snow showers. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Tuesday through Thursday. The water temperature off toledo is 33 degrees, off cleveland 35 degrees, and off erie 35 degrees.
LEZ147


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Chardon, OH
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location: 41.61, -81.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 261139 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 639 AM EST Sun Jan 26 2020

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure over the central Great Lakes will reach northern New England by evening. The low will leave a surface trough across the southern Great Lakes that will eventually drop south across the region on Monday.High pressure moving east across Ontario into Quebec will build into the area Tuesday and Wednesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/. Update . No changes.

Original . The forecast begins with low pressure over the central Great Lakes. Radar shows an area of weakly forced snow showers across mainly northeast OH into nwrn PA, and while nothing much is showing up on radar to our west, drizzle and freezing drizzle has been reported across northern Indiana during the first half of the night. For the day, models have another short wave dropping southeast across the area mainly during the afternoon. Anticipate most areas will see scattered snow showers with likely to categorical pops for north central and northeast OH as well as nwrn PA this afternoon through tonight. Another surface trough moves through on Monday causing snow showers to linger with best chances northeast. Although not strictly lake effect . the best snowfall should occur across the snowbelt counties with around 3 inches in Geauga county, 2-3 in Ashtabula county, and between 2 and 6 inches across nwrn PA today through Monday. At this point, no headlines are anticipated. Highs today and Monday should reach the mid 30s.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. Broad northwest flow will be present over the region Monday night. Ongoing lake effect precip will affect the snow belt Monday night into Tuesday before drying out. Have opted for a snow/freezing drizzle mention for Monday night into Tuesday, as model soundings indicate a very shallow moist layer, generally 4kft or less, with little/no ice in the cloud. Anticipating that precip will be light enough to be more of a nuisance than anything significant, but this will need to be watched over the next 24 hours. A pair of weak shortwave troughs will move southeast across the region during the period. The first/weaker trough moves through Tuesday, with a somewhat stronger wave in the Wednesday/Wednesday night timeframe, although models are favoring a track just southwest of the forecast area. Have maintained a dry forecast for Tuesday and Tuesday night, with slight chance pops across the south Wednesday afternoon ahead of the stronger wave. Temps will be seasonable through the period.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. A fair amount of uncertainty exists in the long term period as models try to resolve a somewhat active split flow regime. High pressure will be over the region Thursday into Friday with dry conditions expected. Models diverge Friday onward with the handling of northern stream energy tracking into the Great Lakes and its interaction with southern stream low pressure across the southeast CONUS. Have trended the forecast to more of a ECMWF/GEM compromise which increases pops Friday night into Saturday. Temps will warm from near normal Thursday to above normal, with highs in the upper 30s/low 40s, by Saturday.

AVIATION /12Z Sunday THROUGH Thursday/. Low level stratus across the region will remain in place as low pressure moves northeast out of the central Great Lakes to southeast Ontario and Quebec today through tonight. Widespread MVFR to IFR CIGS will remain across northern OH and nwrn PA through today. Light snow was occurring across mainly nwrn PA this morning dropping Visibilities into the IFR category. Patchy, very light snow was occurring elsewhere. Expect snow to develop/move in from the northwest again this afternoon as a trough drops into the area. Snow will likely continue across nern OH and nwrn PA through the day and into the night.

OUTLOOK. Widespread non-VFR likely Monday into Wednesday.

MARINE. Southwest winds will steadily increase through the day into tonight, maxing out around 25 kts this evening before subsiding into Monday morning. No changes with the ongoing Small Craft Advisory. Winds will become northwest Monday as a trough pushes across the lake. Winds will remain out of the northwest but generally 10 kts or less through Tuesday night before veering northerly then easterly by Thursday as high pressure moves over the lake.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Monday for LEZ145>149.

SYNOPSIS . TK NEAR TERM . TK SHORT TERM . Greenawalt LONG TERM . Greenawalt AVIATION . TK MARINE . Greenawalt


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 11 mi45 min 33°F 35°F1010.6 hPa33°F
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 22 mi63 min WSW 12 G 19 40°F
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 23 mi51 min WSW 12 G 16 34°F 37°F1011 hPa29°F

Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cleveland / Cuyahoga, OH14 mi48 minWSW 910.00 miOvercast32°F30°F93%1010.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCGF

Wind History from CGF (wind in knots)
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2 days agoS9S8S8S8S7S9S5SE4SE5S3CalmS6S7SE6SE6SE7E6SE6SE6SE8SE6SE8E7SE7

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.