Chardon, OH Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Chardon, OH

April 16, 2024 5:19 PM EDT (21:19 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:41 AM   Sunset 8:08 PM
Moonrise 12:00 PM   Moonset 2:44 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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LEZ147 Willowick To Geneva-on-the Lake Oh-geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh-conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 944 Am Edt Tue Apr 16 2024

This afternoon - Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Tonight - Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming east 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.

Wednesday - East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast. Showers in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.

Wednesday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then showers overnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Thursday through Saturday.
the water temperature off toledo is 50 degrees, off cleveland 46 degrees, and off erie 47 degrees.

LEZ100
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Chardon, OH
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Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 161938 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 338 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

SYNOPSIS
Low pressure over the Central Plains will lift a warm front north across the region tonight into Wednesday. This system will then extend a cold front east through the area by Wednesday evening. Another cold front will cross the region towards the end of the week. High pressure will return for the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
An active near term period is in store across the region with confidence in strong to severe thunderstorms increasing for Wednesday afternoon and evening. All hazard types are possible, including large hail, a couple of tornadoes, and damaging wind gusts.

For this evening and overnight, surface observations indicate a warm front trying to lift north across the OH Valley, although it is encountering a stubborn lake breeze which has already made it to roughly the US-30 corridor, enhanced by exiting high pressure across New England. A few isolated showers/storms could scrape the far southwest tier of the area through this evening.
Otherwise, a pre-frontal trough is expected to arrive overnight which will eventually force the warm front north across the area and result in scattered to widespread showers with perhaps a few rumbles of thunder resulting from marginal elevated instability.

Behind the morning convection, anticipate rapid recovery to occur in the vicinity of Indiana and Ohio, indicated by a 40 to 50-knot SWerly 700 mb jet punching into the region. The dry air associated with the 700 mb jet is likely a result of large scale subsidence on the back side of the occluded low across the Upper Midwest. The latest HRRR is suggesting mean MLCAPE values around 1000 J/kg with 35 to 40 knots of bulk shear, most of which is contained within the 0-3km layer. Hodographs are fairly impressive, especially below 700 mb with clockwise- curved profiles. Mean-layer shear vectors oriented SWerly should aid in sustaining bowing segments with embedded circulations and/or semi- discrete cells as they move west to east across the area.
In terms of timing, anticipate a 2-6 PM window generally along and west of the I-71 corridor and a 6-10 PM window east of the I-71 corridor.

A small concern will be the heavy rain threat, although given PWATS of 1 inch or less and the fairly progressive easterly- moving storms, believe the flash flooding threat remains low.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
Thursday night cold front will be a significant airmass change for the region with showers and storms as it passes west to east through the CWA Expecting a low level jet and modest deep layer shear, but somewhat lacking in the instability above the boundary layer. Still should see storms, but there does not appear to be much of a severe threat at this point which could change with any appreciable increases in instability. 850mb temperatures in the mid teens will plummet behind the front through the remainder of the short term forecast period. Likely to get a secondary reinforcement to the colder air late Friday night into early Saturday and those low level temperatures dropping below 0C. Northwest winds prevail through the period at 15-25mph gusting to 30mph behind the initial cold front.
Mid 60s to lower 70s Thursday become upper 50s to lower 60s Friday.



LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
In the wake of the second cold front, temperatures continue to fall, and looking at a not so favorable weekend with the coolest air of the 7 day forecast. Temperatures Saturday and Sunday in the upper 40s to lower 50s, and mainly dry through Monday. Concerns arise Saturday night and Sunday night with the overnight low temperatures in the frost/freeze range. With the growing season started across northern Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania, may need headlines for these overnight periods.



AVIATION /18Z Tuesday THROUGH Sunday/
VFR across the TAF sites early this afternoon with primarily VFR to persist through the TAF period. A few isolated showers may impact TOL/FDY/MFD later this afternoon/evening, but not anticipating any widespread or persistent impacts. A warm front will lift north across the area overnight, ushering in more widespread showers and perhaps a rumble of thunder or two.
Confidence remains low on the extent of any vsby impacts or thunder persistence, so have just added vcts for now into Wednesday morning. Brief areas of MVFR ceilings are possible Wednesday morning, particularly out west. At CLE, did add a prob30 group for Wednesday afternoon/evening as severe thunderstorms are possible. The next update will likely need additional prob30/tempo thunderstorm inclusions at all other TAF sites.

Winds are generally out of the east to northeast early this afternoon, around 10 knots. Winds will generally remain out of the east overnight as a 35-knot southwest low-level jet at 2kft develops, especially across NW OH. Added a brief period of marginal LLWS at TOL/FDY/MFD overnight to account for this.
Otherwise, winds will shift towards the south behind the warm front by late Wednesday morning, 15 to 20 knots with periodic gusts of 25 and perhaps close to 30 knots possible.

Outlook...Non-VFR possible for Friday into Saturday in rain.

MARINE
Easterly flow this evening and tonight 15-20kts becomes offshore later tonight into Wednesday 15-20kts after a warm front pushes through the region. Nearshore zone wave heights in these areas will decrease to less than 2ft, increasing away from shore. Winds southwesterly Wednesday night into Thursday, briefly becoming southerly 10-15kts late Thursday ahead of a sharp cold front. Winds then become northwesterly 15-25kts late Thursday night into Friday behind the cold front with wave heights increasing to 3-5ft in the central basin.



CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
NY...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Wednesday for LEZ142>146.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 11 mi49 min ENE 24G26 52°F 57°F30.0644°F
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 22 mi109 min E 15G17
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 23 mi49 min ENE 14G16 54°F 51°F30.04
ASBO1 31 mi29 min E 8.9G11
CBLO1 - Conneaut Breakwater Light, OH 44 mi79 min NE 8G9.9


Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KLNN LAKE COUNTY EXECUTIVE,OH 10 sm24 minNE 1210 smClear66°F32°F28%30.08
KCGF CUYAHOGA COUNTY,OH 15 sm34 minNNE 1010 smClear68°F43°F40%30.07
Link to 5 minute data for KCGF


Wind History from CGF
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Tide / Current for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of great lakes   
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Cleveland, OH,



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