Monday, August26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Toledo, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:52AMSunset 8:19PM Monday August 26, 2019 6:09 AM EDT (10:09 UTC) Moonrise 1:16AMMoonset 4:42PM Illumination 18% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ142 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- 918 Pm Edt Sun Aug 25 2019
Overnight..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Monday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Light rain likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Monday night..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south. Light rain likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of light rain overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Wednesday through Friday. The water temperature off toledo is 74 degrees, off cleveland 75 degrees, and off erie 76 degrees.
LEZ142 Expires:201908260815;;211129 FZUS51 KCLE 260118 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 918 PM EDT Sun Aug 25 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ142-143-260815-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Toledo, OH
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location: 41.66, -83.58     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 260803
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
403 am edt Mon aug 26 2019

Synopsis
As low pressure moves across south-central canada, a warm front
will lift north across the local area tonight. As the low
reaches ontario a cold front will cross northern ohio NW pa
Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. High pressure will then
move across the ohio valley for Thursday.

Near term through Tuesday
The stretch of fair weather will be broken this afternoon across
the i-75 corridor with scattered showers reaching across western
ohio. Across north-central oh to western pa, drying southeast
flow will make it a struggle for the showers to make much
eastward progress until tonight. Warm front lifts north
overnight. Will continue to see some showers and have worded
them as isolated scattered amidst increasing low level jet. The
upper low closes off across ontario tomorrow slowing the
surface cold fronts progress. It is expected to reach northwest
oh mid afternoon Tuesday and slowly move east through the
remainder of the day. Can expect some thunderstorms with peak
heating along the front.

Temperatures will be seasonable today and Tuesday with highs
generally in the upper 70s. Breezy southwest winds will give
the possibility of reaching 80 across the downslope area of
cleveland and erie pa. Mild tonight in the low mid 60s and a
breeze continuing.

Short term Tuesday night through Thursday night
Short term period begins with a large upper level trough
situated over the upper midwest and a line of showers and
thunderstorms propagating east through ohio. Weak thermodynamics
and kinematics will keep the threat for severe weather and
flooding very low with this. Precipitation expected to exit the
cwa by Wednesday morning will the cold front following. As the
upper level trough exits the region, weak high pressure builds
in from the southwest, bringing in an airmass characterized by
temperatures in the 70s and dew points in the 50s. Aside from
some light lake effect precipitation and cloudiness in NE oh and
nw pa, pops and cloud coverage will be low on Wednesday and
Thursday.

Long term Friday through Sunday
Weak high pressure will dissipate as it propagates east towards
the mid-atlantic. Friday should be very similar to Thursday as
weak southerly winds develop, allowing temperatures to be a few
degrees warmer than Thursday and dew points to creep back into
the 60s. There is still quite a bit of uncertainty regarding
precipitation this weekend. Models bring in weakly forced
systems with various timing this weekend with, scattered showers
and thunderstorms showing up as early as Friday night.

Currently have low pops Friday night through Sunday night until
model guidance can converge onto a better solution.

Aviation 06z Monday through Friday
With high pressure east of the region now, southeast flow will
increase today and bring deeper moisture to the western
terminals along with showers for later this afternoon. There
will be sharp cutoff to the MVFR conditions and those further
east that will hang on to theVFR conditions (especially with
the southeast downslope flow). It will not be until after 00z
tue that the non-vfr conditions will begin to spread eastward
but struggle to make it all the way east until after 06z tue.

Showers will be most widespread for tol fdy late this
afternoon early evening, but become more scattered as they shift
eastward Monday night. Very limited thunder threat. Southeast
winds will gust 20 to 25 knots today and likely carry on like
that into Monday night. Stronger winds to 30 knots for eri
Monday night.

Outlook... Areas of non-vfr Monday night through Tuesday night,
lingering across far eastern oh NW pa into Wednesday.

Marine
Current observations are showing southeast winds of 10 to 20
knots, with strongest winds in the western basin of lake erie.

Deciding not to issue small craft advisory as the
alongshore offshore wind component is less favorable for wave
development. Upper level shortwave trough will move northeast
from southern plains this morning to il in area by this evening.

This will weaken the surface high pressure currently centered
over southern quebec as it slowly drifts east. Moisture from the
southern plains and souther mississippi valley will be advected
into our region, allowing widespread precipitation to develop
and overcome the area this afternoon and spread eastward. A very
strong 40 knot low level jet at 925mb will allow strong
southerly winds to develop over the lake late tonight. Currently
have up to 25 knots of southerly flow over the lake between 00z
and 18z Tuesday but this could certainly be higher depending on
how deep the marine boundary layer becomes. If the boundary
layer can tap into that 40 knot jet, could possibly have
sustained winds of 30 knots with MAX gusts of 40 knots late
tonight. A large upper level trough over the upper great plains
digs down into the midwest and moves east through the region on
Tuesday and Wednesday. This will force a line of showers and
thunderstorms to move east through the area Tuesday evening into
early Wednesday morning ahead of eastward propagating cold
front. West to southwest flow of up to 15 to 20 knots is
expected to develop Wednesday afternoon night. Small craft
advisory may be needed, especially for nearshore zones east of
willowick.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Oudeman
near term... Oudeman
short term... Saunders
long term... Saunders
aviation... Oudeman
marine... Saunders


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 6 mi51 min SSE 12 G 18 64°F 1017.1 hPa53°F
45165 17 mi29 min ESE 14 G 19 66°F 73°F2 ft56°F
TWCO1 17 mi29 min SSE 20 G 25 73°F
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 23 mi49 min SE 21 G 24 69°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 39 mi69 min SE 19 G 24 67°F 1017.3 hPa (-0.9)
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 46 mi57 min ESE 6 G 8.9 64°F 74°F1017.3 hPa53°F

Wind History for Toledo, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lambertville, Toledo Suburban Airport, MI7 mi14 minSE 410.00 miFair64°F53°F69%1016.9 hPa
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH9 mi16 minESE 710.00 miFair59°F53°F81%1016.9 hPa
Toledo - Toledo Express Airport, OH12 mi17 minE 410.00 miFair61°F53°F75%1016.4 hPa
Monroe, Custer Airport, MI21 mi13 minSSE 510.00 miFair65°F56°F73%1017.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDUH

Wind History from DUH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmE6
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E6CalmCalmCalmSE3SE5SE6SE4SE4SE4
1 day agoCalmCalmN4NE7E6NE6NE8NE5E6E10
G14
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G14
NE5NE7E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3N6NE5N4NE6N6E4CalmCalmCalmNE3NE5E3N4NE4N3CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Detroit, MI
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.