Friday, August14, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Toledo, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:41AMSunset 8:36PM Friday August 14, 2020 10:48 AM EDT (14:48 UTC) Moonrise 12:56AMMoonset 4:24PM Illumination 19% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ142 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- 954 Pm Edt Thu Aug 13 2020
Overnight..Northeast wind 5 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy late in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..East wind 10 to 20 knots. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less building to 2 to 4 feet.
Friday night..East wind 5 to 20 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 to 2 feet early in the morning.
Saturday..Southeast wind 10 knots. Chance of showers through the day. Waves 1 foot or less.
LEZ142 Expires:202008140930;;413923 FZUS51 KCLE 140154 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH Issued by National Weather Service Buffalo NY 954 PM EDT Thu Aug 13 2020 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake (name) LEZ142-143-140930-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Toledo, OH
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location: 41.66, -83.58     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 141426 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1026 AM EDT Fri Aug 14 2020

SYNOPSIS. An upper level low slowly passing across the Ohio Valley will trigger a few showers and thunderstorms this afternoon, tonight and Saturday. A cold front will advance through the area Sunday, ushering in much more comfortable levels of humidity for the start of the work week. An area of high pressure will dominate through mid week with much of the time rain-free.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. Upped PoPs to likely for later this afternoon, mainly along and west of the I-75 corridor. Also increased high temperatures by a few degrees today to the upper 80s.

Main concern today will be the thunderstorms that develop along an instability gradient, characterized by around 1500-2000 SBCAPE, with a shortwave providing additional lift support along and west of the I-75 corridor. Activity will mainly be diurnally-driven with thunderstorm initiation early this afternoon, between 1 and 3 pm. Threat begins to diminish later this evening with the loss of diurnal heating. Following initiation, new storms will develop on existing outflow boundaries through the afternoon hours. Main threats for storms that develop are strong downburst winds and heavy rainfall.

With the upper level low still in close proximity to our south and lingering instability, a few showers or isolated thunderstorms will remain possible across southern zones tonight. Temperatures tonight will be very similar to this early morning, with lows in the mid to upper 60s.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. Upper level trough will shift east across the area Saturday with an associated area of positive vorticity advection. Moisture associated with this upper level feature is expected to move east across the area as well by Saturday evening. A weak wave of low pressure at the surface will move east across the Ohio Valley with an inverted surface trough extending north across the local area Saturday night. Due to the upper level support and wave of low pressure along with the aid of day time heating, expecting showers and a few thunderstorms to develop Saturday and then lingering into Saturday night. A cold front is expected to move east across the area Sunday afternoon with a bit of a surge of moisture associated with the front and convergence along the boundary. This should bring a line of showers and thunderstorms east across the local area during the afternoon. Once front shifts east Sunday night, threat for showers and thunderstorms will diminish Sunday night into Monday morning. Then, by Monday afternoon, a surface trough and deep digging negatively tilted upper level trough will move over the local area. Cold air advection and upper level support will likely cause some lake induced showers over the northeast. Temperatures through the period will be in the middle to upper 70s most areas; except lower 80s extreme west Saturday. Lows Saturday night will be in the lower to middle 60s and highs Sunday in the middle to upper 70s east and upper 70s to lower 80s elsewhere. Lows Sunday night will be in the lower to middle 60s followed by highs in the middle to upper 70s Monday.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Large upper level trough will shift east of the area Monday night into Tuesday. Another upper level positively tilted trough will linger behind into Wednesday as an upper level high pressure over the Plains States continues to amplify and remain nearly stationary. This whole upper level pattern remains somewhat unchanged through Thursday but there are some signs the trough in thee east will make an attempt to break down slightly over southern Canada and cut-off the trough by the end of the week. Weak surface high pressure will build southeast over the eastern Great Lakes during this forecast period and will for the most part keep the forecast area dry. Temperatures will be in the middle to upper 50s each night and highs will be in the middle to upper 70s Tuesday and Wednesday and warming a bit for Thursday in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

AVIATION /12Z Friday THROUGH Tuesday/. VFR flight conditions expected through today. Increasing high clouds will gradually lower into a mid cloud layer by this afternoon. Some afternoon convection is expected to develop, but should remain south and west of the TAF sites, with chances too low to mention at KTOL and KFDY at this point.

Outlook . Non-VFR with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms tonight through Sunday night.

MARINE. Winds trend northeasterly on Lake Erie today with a large area of high pressure over western Quebec. These winds will be as strong as 15 to 20 knots late this morning through about midnight tonight and generate waves as large as 3 to 5 feet, especially west of Presque Isle and east of The Islands. Accordingly, a Small Craft Advisory has been issued for nearshore waters from The Islands to Conneaut. This advisory is in effect from 2 PM this afternoon until 2 AM EDT Saturday. Winds diminish and waves lower during the predawn hours of Saturday morning.

Otherwise, light southeast flow develops into the weekend. A cold front is expected to move east across the area Sunday afternoon and this will result in some cold air advection to the area. There is the possibility for some waterspout activity Monday with the cold air advection. Winds will become light out of the north to northwest by Tuesday.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . Beach Hazards Statement from 2 PM EDT this afternoon through late tonight for OHZ007-009>012-089. PA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 2 AM EDT Saturday for LEZ143>148.

SYNOPSIS . Thomas NEAR TERM . Thomas/Kahn SHORT TERM . Lombardy LONG TERM . Lombardy AVIATION . TMA MARINE . Thomas/Lombardy/Jaszka


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45165 17 mi18 min ENE 9.7 G 12 78°F 78°F2 ft71°F
TWCO1 17 mi18 min E 13 G 15 78°F 77°F71°F
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 23 mi108 min NE 11 G 12 77°F
CMPO1 31 mi78 min ESE 8.9 G 9.9 80°F

Wind History for Toledo, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lambertville, Toledo Suburban Airport, MI7 mi53 minNE 510.00 miPartly Cloudy78°F70°F76%1015.9 hPa
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH9 mi55 minE 610.00 miA Few Clouds81°F71°F72%1015.5 hPa
Toledo - Toledo Express Airport, OH12 mi56 minENE 710.00 miFair80°F69°F69%1015.4 hPa
Monroe, Custer Airport, MI21 mi53 minENE 310.00 miFair78°F71°F80%1016.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDUH

Wind History from DUH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE4NE4
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E9E9E8E8E8E6E5E3CalmCalmCalmNE3NE4N3NE4N4NE4NE3NE4CalmNE3E5
1 day agoE4E6E5E3E7E5E5E6E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE4N4
2 days agoW6W5W7W5W6NW8NW6W5NW5NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Detroit, MI
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.