Friday, January24, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Toledo, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:51AMSunset 5:40PM Friday January 24, 2020 10:10 PM EST (03:10 UTC) Moonrise 7:56AMMoonset 5:28PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ142 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- 349 Pm Est Fri Jan 24 2020
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south less than 10 knots. Patchy fog. Rain this evening, then a chance of rain and snow showers after midnight. Waves in ice free areas 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
Saturday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Patchy fog in the morning. A chance of snow and rain showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to 20 knots. A chance of snow showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers in the morning. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Wave heights are for ice free areas. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Monday through Wednesday. The water temperature off toledo is 33 degrees, off cleveland 35 degrees, and off erie 35 degrees.
LEZ142 Expires:202001250330;;458344 FZUS51 KCLE 242049 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 349 PM EST Fri Jan 24 2020 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ142>144-250330-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Toledo, OH
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location: 41.66, -83.58     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 250301 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1001 PM EST Fri Jan 24 2020

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure over Missouri will move northeast and reach northern Indiana by evening. The low will drift to southern Lake Michigan tonight forcing a weak cold front northeast across the area. Saturday the low will track east across the central Great Lakes and reach New England by Sunday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. The dry slot of the low pressure system has entered the western portion of the forecast area this evening. Rain has cleared out west of I-77 and in its place, a mixed bag of clouds and patchy fog remain. As of 10 PM, the fog was limited to central Ohio, northeast of Columbus, and NW Ohio, around the Toledo area. Fog is struggling to develop elsewhere, but there is enough residual surface moisture to allow for a patchy fog addition to the forecast. Otherwise, in NE OH and NW PA, rain continues with southeast flow as the occluded front lifts northeast.

Previous Discussion . Low pressure will track west of the forecast area overnight. Bands of rain will continue to push through the region overnight, however the models are indicating a dry slot may push northward into the forecast area 06Z-12Z time frame. This may limit the coverage and intensity of the precipitation overnight. I will a decrease in precipitation chances overnight but I will not drop them below the chance category. Precipitation may begin to mix with snow over the western sections of the forecast area towards daybreak. Overnight temperatures will only drop into the mid 30s.

Low pressure will linger in the Great Lakes region through the weekend. Colder air will advect from the southwest on Saturday. The air is not very cold as 850mb temperatures of -5C are observed. The complication will be the transition of rain to snow in this environment throughout the day Saturday. Moisture will wrap around the low pressure system and across the forecast area Saturday afternoon through Saturday night. Precipitation type is a challenge as marginally cold air is in place. We may likely see a mix of rain and snow showers throughout the day. By Saturday evening enough cold air should be in place to transition all of the precipitation to snow. QPF values remain light so I do not anticipate widespread accumulations. An inch or less with a few areas in NE OH picking up a few inches. Temperatures will hold in the upper 30s to near 40 on Saturday and slightly cooler on Sunday.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. A nearly vertically stacked low pressure will be centered northeast of the area. The pressure gradient increases over the area on the backside of the low which will shift the winds to westerly and increase the overall magnitude through Monday morning. Kept chance of rain/snow showers in the forecast as there is enough moisture and lift across the area. The best precipitation chances through the period will be in the traditional snowbelt areas as ideal low level flow, an open lake, low level moisture, and marginal instability will persist. As the low meanders into the New England area, a trough will continue to progress across the region, keeping conditions ideal for continued precipitation in the snowbelt areas of northeast Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania. Precipitation type will be dependent on diurnal temperature fluctuations and how far temperatures dip overnight. Higher elevations will likely receive larger amounts. Temperatures throughout the period will be near to slightly above normal.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. The uncertainty with this forecast period continues into this update. Models have consistently had a shortwave trough move through the area Tuesday night, however the placement and intensity has varied. Updated forecast reflects a bit stronger upper level trough and PoPs have been increased primarily for the southwestern counties. By Wednesday morning a ridge builds in and dry conditions are expected. A much stronger shortwave trough appears to enter Wednesday night into Thursday and will bring rain/snow into the area. With quite a bit of inconsistency across models at this time, chance PoPs was the highest chance of precipitation in the forecast for Thursday. Temperatures will continue to remain near to slightly above normal.

AVIATION /00Z Saturday THROUGH Wednesday/. Difficult set of TAFs with low pressure swirling to the west of the airspace and a mixed bag of conditions across the terminals this evening. The main concern for the next few hours will be a swath of rain extending from KPCW to KPHD and lifting north over NE OH and NW PA. This rain is bringing intermittent lower ceilings and unfavorable southeast flow to these terminals. Winds at KCLE are causing crosswind conditions at times and flow at KERI is downslope off the higher terrain southeast of the terminal and is allowing for stronger wind gusts. Winds will shift more southerly with the passage of this rain overnight and allow for slightly better conditions at these terminals. Behind this area of rain, conditions are deteriorating with low stratus and fog as dry air just above the ground enters the region, clearing out the rain but allowing for low clouds to form and linger in the area. With that, expect stratus to appear over all terminals (except perhaps KERI) overnight and allow for IFR/LIFR through Saturday morning. Rain and snow will return as the low moves closer by Saturday afternoon and have a rain/snow mention in several TAFs late in the period.

OUTLOOK. Widespread non-VFR likely with rain and snow Saturday through Saturday night. Lake effect snow will develop on Sunday and linger through Monday.

MARINE. A low pressure system southwest of Lake Erie will begin to move across the lake tonight and persist through Sunday. Gusty winds from the east at 10 to 15 knots will transition to southeasterly and diminish through the forecast period to 5 to 10 knots by Saturday morning. Waves during this time will build to 2 to 3 feet particularly in the central and western basins. The surface low will continue to meander northeast and allow a tighter pressure gradient to move over the area on Sunday. Winds will shift to southwesterly and increase to 15 to 20 knots. Waves will build to 4 to 6 feet from west to east. Sunday morning through Monday morning will be the next chance for a Small Craft Advisory. Winds will continue to diminish and shift to northwesterly and remain light for the beginning of the work week.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . Garnet NEAR TERM . Garnet/Sefcovic SHORT TERM . Campbell LONG TERM . Campbell AVIATION . Sefcovic MARINE . Campbell


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 6 mi58 min SSE 2.9 G 4.1 37°F 1009.6 hPa36°F
TWCO1 17 mi30 min S 8 G 8.9
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 23 mi70 min SSE 6 G 7 35°F
CMPO1 31 mi100 min S 4.1 G 5.1
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 39 mi70 min SSW 7 G 7 39°F 1010.1 hPa (+0.0)
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 46 mi58 min S 4.1 G 6 43°F 33°F1009.9 hPa42°F

Wind History for Toledo, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lambertville, Toledo Suburban Airport, MI7 mi15 minN 00.25 miFog36°F35°F97%1009.8 hPa
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH9 mi17 minSSE 30.25 miFog37°F37°F100%1010.4 hPa
Toledo - Toledo Express Airport, OH12 mi18 minS 33.00 miFog/Mist40°F37°F93%1009.9 hPa
Monroe, Custer Airport, MI21 mi15 minN 00.25 miFog35°F32°F88%1009.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDUH

Wind History from DUH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE3CalmCalmE3E5E3E4E5E6E4E5E5E7E6E5E5E3E4E5E4E3CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoS5S4S4S3SE3S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3SE5S4S5S4SE3S4SE4E3CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoS4S3SW4S4S3S3SW4S3SW3S4S4S8SW4S7S8S9
G14
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Detroit, MI
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.