Tuesday, September29, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Curtice, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:28AMSunset 7:19PM Tuesday September 29, 2020 9:01 AM EDT (13:01 UTC) Moonrise 5:50PMMoonset 4:01AM Illumination 92% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ142 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- 1016 Pm Edt Mon Sep 28 2020
Rest of tonight..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. A slight chance of showers late this evening. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Partly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Mostly cloudy in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of waterspouts in the afternoon. A chance of showers in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Thursday through Saturday. The water temperature off toledo is 67 degrees, off cleveland 68 degrees, and off erie 67 degrees.
LEZ142 Expires:202009290830;;522423 FZUS51 KCLE 290216 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1016 PM EDT Mon Sep 28 2020 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ142>145-290830-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Curtice, OH
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location: 41.68, -83.32     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 291054 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 654 AM EDT Tue Sep 29 2020

SYNOPSIS. A ridge of high pressure will build east across the area today, followed by a warm front tonight. Meanwhile, another cold front will move southeast across the area Wednesday night followed by a trough of low pressure that will linger into Saturday. High pressure will build east across the area Saturday night with a warm front moving north across the region Sunday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Latest satellite trends indicate lower clouds continue to stream northeast into the eastern portions of the forecast area in response to the upper level positive vorticity maximum. Expecting some expansion in areal coverage of this cloud deck through the day. Otherwise, to the west, generally fair weather expected through the day today. Made some minor hourly temperature and dewpoint temperature adjustments.

Previous Discussion .

Deep upper level trough will settle in over the eastern United States during this forecast period and then persist through much of the week. A cold front over the local area at this time will continue to move east of the area this morning. Rain ahead of the front is also pushing east and should be out of the area by later this morning. Clearing skies moved into the western half of the forecast area over the last few hours and will continue advancing east as well. As this transition takes place, a weak ridge of high pressure will build east into the region today. However, another weak trough will suppress the ridge and move into the area this afternoon. The combination of the trough and an upper level positive vorticity maximum will lift northeast through western Pennsylvania this evening. Ample moisture associated with the upper level feature will also move northeast through western Pennsylvania and extend a lobe of moisture into eastern Ohio. As this feature lifts north, can't rule out possibility for a shower or two this afternoon into the evening. Otherwise, flow across the area along with the cold air advection will set-up a favorable flow for lake effect rain showers over the lake and into the immediate lakeshore of Ashtabula and Erie counties. Lake induced CAPE is minimal at best with conditional instability expected; therefore supporting the shower threat. The rest of the forecast area should remain under fair weather tonight into Wednesday. After the passage of the cold front at this time, cold air advection will take place across the entire area and bring an end to the mild temperatures across the forecast area. Fairly sharp gradient from west to east in the 850 mb temperatures indicating a considerable drop in temperatures from around 14 C east of the front and around 6 C west of the front. This should result in temperatures in the lower to middle 60s for highs today and Wednesday and middle 40s for lows tonight.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. The short term period will continue to be dominated by the longwave trough which has been impacting the eastern U.S. throughout the period, shortwave troughs, embedded within the larger system, will progress across the area and bring possibilities of scattered showers to the area. Aside from the shortwaves, a predominately westerly flow across the area will usher cold air across Lake Erie, resulting in an increase in lake induced CAPE throughout the period. With the persistent flow, lake effect rain showers are anticipated throughout much of the period for the lake effect region of Northeast OH and Northwest PA. Some thunderstorms may mix in with these showers as the instability forecasted in models currently over the lake approaches 1100 J/kg over Lake Erie at times.

On Wednesday night, a few lingering showers may be in the eastern counties from a cold front that moved through the area during the daytime hours. Aside from that lake effect showers will be occurring with low temperature in the mid 40s across the area. On Thursday and Friday, chances of showers are highest for the northern counties as the surface trough begins to progress and lift northeastward. Lake effect showers will continue to impact NE OH and NW PA as westerly winds continue. High temperatures will be in the mid 50s with overnight lows dropping into the upper 30s to low 40s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. The short term period will continue to be dominated by the longwave trough which has been impacting the eastern U.S. Throughout the period, shortwave troughs, embedded within the larger system, will progress across the area and bring possibilities of scattered showers to the area. Aside from the shortwaves, a predominately westerly flow across the area will usher cold air across Lake Erie, resulting in an increase in lake induced CAPE throughout the period. With the persistent flow, lake effect rain showers are anticipated throughout much of the period for the lake effect region of Northeast OH and Northwest PA. Some thunderstorms may mix in with these showers as the instability forecasted in models currently over the lake approaches 1100 J/kg over Lake Erie at times.

On Wednesday night, a few lingering showers may be in the eastern counties from a cold front that moved through the area during the daytime hours. Aside from that lake effect showers will be occurring with low temperature in the mid 40s across the area. On Thursday and Friday, chances of showers are highest for the northern counties as the surface trough begins to progress and lift northeastward. Lake effect showers will continue to impact NE OH and NW PA as westerly winds continue. High temperatures will be in the mid 50s with overnight lows dropping into the upper 30s to low 40s.

AVIATION /12Z Tuesday THROUGH Saturday/. Last of the rain has moved east of the area with the cold front. Main issue now is the advancing cloud deck over the eastern portions of the area affecting Mansfield, Youngstown, Akron- Canton, and Erie. There is the possibility for some lower clouds in this area over Youngstown. Expect to see improving conditions later tonight. Erie will see some lake effect rain showers and clouds developing later this evening as flow becomes better aligned over that area.

Outlook . Non-VFR possible with showers Wednesday through Friday.

MARINE. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect from Avon Point, OH to Ripley, NY until 9 AM this morning. Westerly winds are expected to weaken to 5 to 10 knots in the nearshore zones once the cold front moves across the lake this morning. These winds will remain calm through late Tuesday night before cold air advection ramps up along the lingering trough over the area, resulting in increasing winds across the lake. By Wednesday morning, another Small Craft Advisory will likely be needed as southwest winds increase to 15 to 25 knots, gusting at times to 35 knots. Waves are expected to be 4 to 6 feet at times along the coast from Vermilion, OH to Ripley, NY.

In addition to strong winds being a concern for nearshore waters, beginning Wednesday morning, the cold air moving across the warm lake is going to produce an increase in lake induce CAPE across Lake Erie. With this, there is an increase in possibility for lake effect showers along with water spout potential. This persists through the beginning of the weekend.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . Beach Hazards Statement until 9 AM EDT this morning for OHZ012- 089. PA . Beach Hazards Statement until 11 AM EDT this morning for PAZ001. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for LEZ147- 148. Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for LEZ149.

SYNOPSIS . Lombardy NEAR TERM . Lombardy SHORT TERM . Campbell LONG TERM . Campbell AVIATION . Lombardy MARINE . Campbell


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45165 3 mi32 min W 12 G 16 51°F 65°F1 ft
TWCO1 3 mi32 min SW 15 G 17 50°F 65°F48°F
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 8 mi44 min WSW 6 G 9.9 51°F 1010.9 hPa47°F
CMPO1 19 mi92 min SW 5.1 G 8 49°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 33 mi44 min SSW 4.1 G 8 53°F 66°F1010.7 hPa48°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 45 mi62 min SSW 8.9 G 11 51°F 1010.5 hPa (+1.4)
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 48 mi77 min Calm 49°F 1012 hPa48°F
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 49 mi32 min WSW 12 G 14 56°F 1011.7 hPa53°F

Wind History for Toledo, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH12 mi69 minSW 49.00 miFair47°F46°F97%1012.1 hPa
Lambertville, Toledo Suburban Airport, MI18 mi67 minN 010.00 miFair48°F46°F97%1011.5 hPa
Monroe, Custer Airport, MI19 mi67 minN 05.00 miFog/Mist46°F44°F93%1011.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTDZ

Wind History from TDZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW3W3CalmSW4SW6W9NW11NW12W10NW10NW8W7W6SW6SW6SW7SW7SW8SW5SW6SW4SW4SW6SW4
1 day agoS12
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SW12S10S8NW7N4E5SE4SE7S6S6S5SW4S5SW4SW4SW4
2 days agoSW6S7S8S11
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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