Sunday, April18, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Curtice, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:46AMSunset 8:19PM Sunday April 18, 2021 4:11 PM EDT (20:11 UTC) Moonrise 9:49AMMoonset 12:49AM Illumination 43% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ142 Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh-reno Beach To The Islands Oh- 924 Am Edt Sun Apr 18 2021
This afternoon..Southwest winds less than 10 knots becoming east. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..South winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Mostly cloudy in the evening, then clearing. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday night..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Tuesday through Thursday. The water temperature off toledo is 50 degrees, off cleveland 46 degrees, and off erie 45 degrees.
LEZ142 Expires:202104182015;;741814 FZUS51 KCLE 181324 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 924 AM EDT Sun Apr 18 2021 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ142-143-182015-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Curtice, OH
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location: 41.68, -83.32     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 181751 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 151 PM EDT Sun Apr 18 2021

SYNOPSIS. A weak trough will move across the area today bringing a chance of showers to Central and Northeast Ohio. Monday will be slightly above average with milder weather. An unsettled and colder than normal weather pattern will develop by middle of the week with rain and possible wet snow chances late Tuesday into Wednesday followed by some lake effect rain and snow showers into Thursday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/. Showers have been expanding early this afternoon from Mount Vernon to Ashland to Cleveland and points east. We have even gotten a few reports of pea size hail out of a stronger shower near Lakewood. Not too surprising with freezing levels near 4500 feet but not expecting anything stronger given limited instability. Scattered showers will continue to move across Northeast Ohio, trending inland with time this afternoon. Most of the activity will depart to the east by 8 PM.

Previous discussion . The weather pattern in the near term is fairly quiet with not much fanfare. We have mostly clear skies across northeast Ohio this morning with some clouds skirting by northwest Pennsylvania. Mid level cloudiness is slowly increasing in coverage across northwest Ohio this morning in response to a weak mid level disturbance moving through the Great Lakes region this morning. This weak feature will help increase cloud cover across much of the area today and will try to develop a few spotty showers across central and northeast Ohio later today. These spotty light showers will be mainly diurnal should quickly diminish closer to sunset this evening. Rain chances will be 20 to 30 percent at best.

Where clouds hang on the longest today, temperatures will be held down in the 50s. Any additional peaks of sunshine will help temperatures climb into the lower 60s across portion of northwest Ohio. Quiet and fair weather is expected tonight. We will see a southwest wind return tomorrow ahead of the next cold front. The cold front will arrive into northwest Ohio and western Lake Erie mid to late in the afternoon. Partly cloudy to increasing cloudiness will be the general expectations on Monday. Temperatures area wide should manage to get into the lower to middle 60s before the frontal passage. Any shower chances with the cold front will be post frontal and mainly into Monday evening.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. An active short term period is in store with the potential for a late-season snow event, with perhaps some accumulating snow along and west of I-75 late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.

On Monday night, a cold front will weaken and stall as it reaches the vicinity of Lake Erie, bringing the chance for some light rain showers across the northern half of the area into Tuesday morning. The cold front should slowly meander south across the area on Tuesday, limiting highs in the 40s to lower 50s across the northern half of the area, with perhaps some lower 60s across the extreme southern half of the area, depending on how far south the front reaches.

Simultaneously, an upper trough will deepen across the Upper Midwest Tuesday evening., In response, a surface low will develop across the Ohio Valley, and quickly move northeast along the tight isothermal gradient. Anomalously strong mid-level frontogenesis will be in place which could lead to periods of heavy snow in excess of 1 inch per hour wherever the deformation band axis develops. There remains some uncertainty on the track of the surface low pressure system at this time, with decreasing chances for any accumulating snow east of I-75. The highest chance for any significant accumulating snow at this point appears to be along and west of the I-75 corridor. Either way, air aloft should be sufficiently cold to support at least a rain/snow mix, if not all snow for much of the area Tuesday night into Wednesday.

The surface low will quickly exit east of the area by late Wednesday morning, though as flow becomes oriented northwest, then west across the lake, lake-enhanced snow will be possible throughout much of Wednesday across the primary and secondary snowbelts. Periods of rain and/or snow showers may continue into Wednesday night. Have hedged towards raw model guidance for highs on Wednesday in the low 40s given the anticipated ongoing precipitation across the area.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. By Thursday, the cold airmass remains in place with northwesterly flow aloft, though not as cold as Wednesday with much drier low- level air in place across the area. Mid-level moisture could allow for more periods of lake enhanced rain and/or light snow showers throughout the day, though not looking as widespread as on Wednesday. By Thursday night into Friday, upper ridging and surface high pressure arrive from the southwest, ushering in more pleasant and seasonable weather with highs in the lower 60s. Clouds will increase by late Friday afternoon and evening from the southwest as the next low pressure system approaches on Saturday with highs once again reaching the lower 60s.

AVIATION /18Z Sunday THROUGH Friday/. Scattered showers are expanding on the TLVE radar across Northeast Ohio this afternoon as a trough moves through. These showers will tend to push inland from Lake Erie with time and largely depart to the east by 8 PM. We have had a few reports of small hail with a stronger shower near Lake Erie but generally expecting intermittent showers through 21Z at CAK/YNG. Can not rule out visibility briefly dropping to MVFR but not expecting a long enough window to include in a TEMPO. Lower clouds will scatter out this evening with a sct-bkn mid level cloud deck remaining tonight. Winds will shift to northwest behind the showers/trough then become 5 knots or less tonight. Southwest winds will increase on Tuesday and be breezy with gusts to 20-25 knots at TOL/FDY/MFD/CLE.

Outlook . Non-VFR possible with spotty rain showers through early Tuesday. MVFR to IFR prevailing conditions are possible along and behind the frontal passage Tuesday night into Wednesday with Non-VFR lingering in the east through Thursday.

MARINE. Quiet first half of the marine period with mainly light flow anticipated across the lake through Tuesday. Southwesterly winds will pick up near 15 knots on Monday, though given the offshore flow, waves shouldn't be any higher than 3 feet. Small Craft headlines will likely be needed beginning Tuesday night, lingering through much of Thursday as prolonged west to northwesterly flow, 20 to 25 knots, persists across the lake behind a low pressure system.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . Griffin NEAR TERM . KEC/Griffin SHORT TERM . Kahn LONG TERM . Kahn AVIATION . KEC MARINE . Kahn


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TWCO1 3 mi31 min SE 8.9 G 12
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 8 mi53 min NW 7 G 11 60°F 1010.3 hPa27°F
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 12 mi71 min SSE 7 G 7 52°F
CMPO1 19 mi101 min N 7 G 8.9
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 33 mi53 min WNW 4.1 G 5.1 52°F 54°F1010.7 hPa41°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 45 mi71 min N 7 G 8.9 52°F 1010.5 hPa

Wind History for Toledo, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH12 mi78 minWNW 910.00 miA Few Clouds60°F37°F42%1011.7 hPa
Lambertville, Toledo Suburban Airport, MI18 mi76 minN 010.00 miFair61°F29°F30%1011.5 hPa
Monroe, Custer Airport, MI19 mi76 minW 810.00 miFair61°F20°F20%1011.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTDZ

Wind History from TDZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr5SE7SE6SE5SE5SE5CalmSW4S5CalmCalmSW5SW4SW3CalmSW6W6W6SW55N7CalmNW9S11
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1 day agoN5NW63NE5E5S5CalmW6NE3E8CalmCalmNE4CalmCalmE3E5E7N4NE4E6NE5E3Calm
2 days agoNW12NW15NW14W15NW12W10NW12W10W13W9W10NW10W6NW8NW11NW11
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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