Wednesday, April8, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Put-in-Bay, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:01AMSunset 8:08PM Wednesday April 8, 2020 2:51 PM EDT (18:51 UTC) Moonrise 8:01PMMoonset 6:42AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ163 Expires:202004082015;;771143 Fzus61 Kcle 081545 Aaa Glfle Open Lake Forecast For Lake Erie...updated National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 1145 Am Edt Wed Apr 8 2020 For Waters Beyond Five Nautical Miles Of Shore On Lake Erie Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum.
Synopsis.. Weak low pressure 29.50 inches over ontario will strengthen and drop southeast this afternoon and into the central lakes tonight. The low will drag a strong cold front east across lake erie tonight. A trough averaging 29.70 inches should linger over lake erie Thursday through Friday. A ridge averaging 30.10 inches will extend north across the lake Saturday. A warm front will lift north to lake erie Sunday. Lez162>164-082015- lake erie open waters from maumee bay to reno beach oh- lake erie open waters from reno beach to the islands oh- lake erie open waters from the islands to vermilion oh- 1145 am edt Wed apr 8 2020
This afternoon..Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Widespread fog. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to 20 knots. Showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then showers with a chance of Thunderstorms after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less building to 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday..Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. A chance of showers in the morning. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet.
Thursday night..West winds 20 to 25 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet.
Friday..Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west and diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. A chance of rain showers Saturday night. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming east. Showers likely. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LEZ163


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Put-in-Bay, OH
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location: 41.71, -83.07     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 081756 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 156 PM EDT Wed Apr 8 2020

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure over northern Ontario today will extend a cold front across the area tonight. As this low moves east to the New England states and deepens, a residual trough of low pressure will linger over the area through Friday. High pressure inches in from the west on Saturday. Low pressure develops over the central Plains on Sunday and will move northeast towards the Great Lakes region for next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/. Quick update as fog is moving inland from Lake Erie. Visibilities are between 1/2 and 1 mile in the fog.

Previous Discussion . Shower and thunderstorm activity from early this morning has all but cleared the area to the south as weak high pressure enters the region. Some lingering showers may be possible along a residual boundary along the lakeshore through the morning hours. The convective activity from the overnight has not cooled down the area with temperatures in the mid to upper 50s across much of the area and warm air still lingering above the surface. The clearing trend should continue through the day today and temperatures should actually recover well over the area with a drier air mass in place. Temperatures will not be as warm as Tuesday but into the 60s to lower 70s.

Low pressure over Ontario will move east tonight into Thursday and extend a cold front across the forecast area. This front will generate another round of showers and thunderstorms overnight Wednesday into Thursday. Storms should be less exciting with a drier air mass in place and an inversion near the surface may keep storms mostly elevated. Cold air aloft wraps in fairly quickly behind the cold front on Thursday and temperatures at 850 mb will settle into the -4 to -6C range over Lake Erie. Some lake effect rain showers may be plausible. High temperatures will struggle on Thursday, remaining in the 40s.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. The short term begins Thursday night with models showing deep low pressure over northern New England. High pressure will be centered over the Northern Plains. Between the two, northerly flow of unseasonably cold air will move south across the lakes and into the Ohio Valley. The NAM and GFS show 850mb temps around -5 to -6C at 00Z Fri with temps dropping to -9C by 12Z Friday. Would expect lake effect rain and snow to develop Thursday night and continue into Friday with conditional instability from the lake to 850mb. Shear is low and mixed layer is deep and dendritic growth zone is moist so this could be interesting depending on surface temps. For now will keep any accum low. Friday night and Saturday look dry with building high pressure. Highs Friday mid 30s nwrn PA to mid 40s far west. Highs Saturday 45 to 50.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Saturday night into Sunday models have low pressure developing in the Southern/Central Plains with southerly flow ahead of the low out of the glfmx and into the Ohio Valley. Will have chance pops west after midnight increasing to likely by Sunday afternoon across much of the area as the low moves ene. The GFS takes the low to IL while the ECMWF moves it to AR. Time doesnt improve model agreement Monday through Tuesday with the GFS taking the low across the western lakes into Ontario deepening it significantly while the ECMWF moves it through nwrn OH Monday morning and into southern Quebec by Tuesday. The GFS is also significantly colder vs the ECMWF. Will, for now, follow a model blend until better agreement can be had. So for Monday into Tuesday expect more clouds than sun and chance pops for mainly rain.

AVIATION /18Z Wednesday THROUGH Monday/. An area of fog and stratus developed over Lake Erie and moved inland from just west of downtown Cleveland to Erie, PA. The stratus is beginning to shift to the east and erode along the southern perimeter and this trend should continue through the rest of the afternoon. Otherwise, clear skies prevail across the rest of the area this afternoon. This will be short lived as next storm system moves east toward the area. This system is associated with an upper level disturbance will be potent enough to support a mention of thunder later tonight embedded in the showers. Will mention VCTS to account for the thunder. Ceilings lower to IFR/LIFR with the system and improve pretty much back to VFR again tomorrow morning. Winds will be increasing behind the system with gusts to 30 knots possible.

OUTLOOK. Non-VFR again possible late Thursday into Friday and again Saturday night into Sunday night.

MARINE. Quick update as fog is moving south and inland from Lake Erie. Visibilities are between 1/2 and 1 mile in the fog.

Previous Discussion . Main feature for Lake Erie will be a strong cold front moving west to east across the lake tonight. Expect light winds through midnight with winds reaching 15 to 20 knots from the nw by 12Z Thursday. Winds back to west and increase during the afternoon and increase to 20 to 25 knots Thursday afternoon through Friday afternoon before diminishing Friday night. A small craft advisory can be anticipated for the period. No other headlines are expected Saturday through Sunday with winds expected under 15 knots.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . Sefcovic NEAR TERM . Lombardy/Sefcovic SHORT TERM . TK LONG TERM . TK AVIATION . Lombardy MARINE . TK/Lombardy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TWCO1 10 mi21 min ESE 5.1 G 7
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 10 mi51 min S 8 G 8 57°F
CMPO1 12 mi81 min E 2.9 G 6
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 13 mi51 min SSW 5.1 G 5.1 56°F 1007.1 hPa (-0.7)
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 21 mi51 min NE 5.1 G 5.1 1007 hPa (-0.5)
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 21 mi51 min W 2.9 G 7 68°F 1006.5 hPa (-1.0)46°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 35 mi51 min ENE 2.9 G 4.1 53°F 1006.4 hPa
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 38 mi66 min N 2.9 55°F 1007 hPa50°F
LORO1 49 mi61 min NW 4.1 G 5.1 53°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH24 mi58 minVar 610.00 miFair68°F46°F45%1006.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTDZ

Wind History from TDZ (wind in knots)
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SW9SW9SW8SW5SE5N15
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CalmN5SW3SW8SW6NW5NW6N6N4N7N5W3W6SW46
1 day agoE7E3E8E6E7E4E4E5E4E3E4E3SE3S4SE3CalmSE3E4SE7E33CalmSW7SW14
2 days agoN6E6E7E7E5E6SE4SE3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE34E7E5SE5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.