Tuesday, January21, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Put-in-Bay, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:54AMSunset 5:35PM Tuesday January 21, 2020 10:09 AM EST (15:09 UTC) Moonrise 5:09AMMoonset 2:42PM Illumination 13% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ163 Expires:202001212130;;292892 Fzus61 Kcle 211421 Glfle Open Lake Forecast For Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 921 Am Est Tue Jan 21 2020 For Waters Beyond Five Nautical Miles Of Shore On Lake Erie Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum.
Synopsis.. High pressure 30.60 inches will move across the ohio valley through Wednesday, reaching the east coast by Thursday morning. Low pressure 29.80 inches will develop across the central plains Thursday night and will reach the ohio valley by Saturday. Lez162>164-212130- lake erie open waters from maumee bay to reno beach oh- lake erie open waters from reno beach to the islands oh- lake erie open waters from the islands to vermilion oh- 921 am est Tue jan 21 2020
This afternoon..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Tonight..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Wednesday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday..East winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers during the day, then rain showers likely Friday night. Waves 1 foot or less building to 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..East winds around 10 knots becoming north. Rain showers likely with a chance of snow showers during the day, then a chance of rain and snow showers Saturday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
LEZ163


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Put-in-Bay, OH
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location: 41.71, -83.07     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 211418 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 918 AM EST Tue Jan 21 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure over the northern Plains will gradually shift eastward reaching central Ohio later today and evening. The high will shift to the east coast by Wednesday night. The next area of low pressure will attempt to develop near the Gulf Coast States on Thursday and may move to near the Ohio River Valley Friday night.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. 9 AM Update . Snow flurries continue to impact areas generally east of Lorain County to just west of the OH/PA State line in NE OH. These snow showers are expected to continue over the next 2 to 4 hours . with little snow accumulation expected. Skies will gradually clear from west to east . with clouds lingering along the lake shore and across the eastern half of the region. Otherwise . no significant updates to the forecast.

Previous Discussion. A light northwest surface flow from the surface to 850 mb continues to move over the eastern Great Lakes including Lake Erie. There has been a slight increase in moisture at 925 mb and that flow is currently moving across the lakeshore this morning with a little more cloud cover and an uptick of scattered lake effect snow showers and flurries. 850 mb temperatures remain between -10C to -13C.

The CLE radar has show a slight increase in radar of light snow showers moving in from Lake Erie. We think this will continue through early to mid morning before tapering off again as the flow shift to more westerly later this morning or midday. As the center of the high pressure system moves toward to Ohio River Valley later today, the surface flow will become more southwesterly and move any left over LES snow showers to the northeast. We could see an additional dusting o maybe a localize inch with the scattered snow showers this morning for the primary and secondary Snowbelts, especially the higher terrain. Otherwise lake effect clouds and cold temperatures will remain for most of today with some partial clearing from the southwest late.

Another cold night is on tap for tonight with temperatures falling into the middle and upper teens. The coldest temperatures will be in the lower teens where the deeper snowpack and any clearing occurs. Southerly winds return on Wednesday with a slow moderation in temperatures. We will see afternoon readings back in the middle to upper 30s with some sun and passing clouds.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. Upper level ridging will take place across the area and it will then shift east by Friday. The upper level ridge will force a surface high pressure to move east across the area and then east of the region by the end of the period. Deep upper level low pressure system will move into the Ohio Valley by Friday night. This low will become vertically stacked with a surface low as they move to Lake Erie by Saturday morning. Weak warm air advection will take place Thursday and Friday. Then, as surface low pressure wraps an occluded front around and into the forecast area, cold air advection will return to the region. As the whole low pressure system deepens, it will begin to tap moisture out of the southeast Atlantic states Friday night. This moisture will begin to stream north into the forecast area resulting in a threat for precipitation Thursday night through Friday night. Temperatures should be warm enough to support mostly rain but will then become mixed with snow by Friday night as colder air begins to push into the region.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Deep vertically stacked upper level low pressure system and resultant surface low pressure system will move east of the area to the New England coast by Sunday morning. Cold air advection will wrap around the back side of the storm system. An upper level ridge will move southeast into the area Sunday night into Monday followed by a shortwave trough. A surface ridge will build northeast across the area during the latter half of the period and begin to set up a return southwest flow and warm air advection into the area. Precipitation in the form of rain/snow will exit to the east and as cold air advection returns, the precipitation will return back to snow Saturday night. Eventually, residual lake effect is expected over the eastern portions of the area Sunday into Sunday night. Fair weather returns for Monday. Temperatures will start out in the lower 40s for highs cooling down into the 30s over the weekend with some slight warming Monday. The air mass does not appear to be as cold as the current air mass at this time.

AVIATION /12Z Tuesday THROUGH Saturday/. The only concern for this TAF update will be MVFR ceilings with lake effect clouds and lingering scattered light snow showers down wind of Lake Erie impacting CLE, CAK, YNG, and ERI through mid morning. Visibility may briefly come down to 6sm to 5sm at times. Most TAF locations will gradually improve to VFR this afternoon or evening as the MVFR clouds slowly clear out from southwest to northeast. Winds will have very minimum impact with light westerly to southwesterly through the period around 5 to 9 knots.

OUTLOOK. Non-VFR possible Thursday night into Friday in light snow.

MARINE. There is the possibility for strong enough winds to support a minimal small craft advisory this evening that will be short lived. Otherwise, generally light and variable winds are expected across the lake through Friday. As surface low pressure moves east across the area Saturday, winds will become easterly and could strengthen enough to support small craft advisories at that time.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . Griffin NEAR TERM . Riley SHORT TERM . Lombardy LONG TERM . Lombardy AVIATION . Griffin MARINE . Kahn


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TWCO1 10 mi30 min NW 11 G 14
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 10 mi140 min WNW 9.9 G 12 23°F
CMPO1 12 mi100 min W 8 G 9.9 24°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 13 mi70 min WNW 12 G 15 24°F 1036.5 hPa (+0.7)
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 21 mi58 min 24°F 32°F1035.3 hPa11°F
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 21 mi58 min 22°F 1035.9 hPa10°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 35 mi70 min WSW 6 G 8.9 22°F 1033.5 hPa
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 38 mi85 min SW 2.9 22°F 1035 hPa15°F
LORO1 49 mi40 min NW 12 G 14

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH24 mi17 minWNW 610.00 miOvercast24°F14°F65%1037.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTDZ

Wind History from TDZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW5NW5W3CalmNW46W7NW7NW6NW6NW5NW4CalmSW3W3CalmW4W3W4W3NW6NW7W7NW6
1 day agoW18
G24
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W11W16W12W11W12W7W7W7W8W7W7W4W5W5W6W5W4W4NW5NW8
2 days agoS18S18
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W15W18
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.