Thursday, August22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Michigan City, IN

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:01AMSunset 7:39PM Thursday August 22, 2019 3:49 AM CDT (08:49 UTC) Moonrise 11:22PMMoonset 12:43PM Illumination 58% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ046 Michigan City In To New Buffalo Mi- 338 Am Edt Thu Aug 22 2019
Today..Northeast wind 5 to 15 knots backing north 10 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet in the afternoon.
Tonight..Northeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Clear. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Friday..Northeast wind 10 to 15 knots backing north in the afternoon. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday night..Northeast wind 10 to 15 knots veering east 5 to 10 knots. Clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet. The water temperature off michigan city is 57 degrees...and 74 degrees off st. Joseph.
LMZ046 Expires:201908221615;;021830 FZUS53 KIWX 220738 NSHIWX Nearshore Marine Forecast for Indiana National Weather Service Northern Indiana 338 AM EDT Thu Aug 22 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ046-221615-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Michigan City, IN
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location: 41.72, -86.89     debug


Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
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Fxus63 kiwx 220807
afdiwx
area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
407 am edt Thu aug 22 2019

Synopsis
Issued at 150 am edt Thu aug 22 2019
a cold front will drop south through the region overnight with
chances for showers and a few thunderstorms along it. A chance of
thunderstorms will continue into Thursday, along and south of a
monticello to wabash to lima ohio line. It will be cooler and less
humid Friday and Saturday with mostly clear skies providing
comfortable conditions for late august.

Short term (today and tonight)
issued at 316 am edt Thu aug 22 2019
a cold front was moving south across northern indiana early this
morning and was accompanied by showers and a few thunderstorms.

Overnight convection in rich theta E air with precipitable water
values between 1.6 and 1.8 inches per SPC analysis was able to
generate some rather substantial rainfall amounts in northwest
ohio of over 3 inches in 2 hours given adjusted radar estimates.

Any local flooding in the area will diminish early this morning as
a large storm complex over southern indiana limits moisture flux
into the area today. The NAM has had very poor run to run
consistency with the latest run 00z finally appearing to be on
track and keeping heavier rain close to the ohio river. Have kept
chances for showers and storms along and ahead of the front
today, with all showers and storms moving south out of the
forecast area early tonight. Temperatures will be well below
normal today with highs around 75. Lows tonight will drop well
down into the 50s over most areas as the intrusion of canadian air
increases.

Long term (Friday through Wednesday)
issued at 316 am edt Thu aug 22 2019
the well advertised cool, less humid and dry period is just ahead
as the center of a high pressure area settles near james bay early
this weekend. Highs will be in the 70s through Sunday with lows
falling into the 50s each night. A more active period is taking
shape Monday as moisture surges back north across the ohio river
in response to a positively tilted upper trof digging into the
upper great lakes region. Ample moisture will be available for
showers and storms with precipitable water values topping 2 inches
Monday night. Have trended up rain and storm chances during this
period.

Aviation (for the 06z tafs through 06z Thursday night)
issued at 152 am edt Thu aug 22 2019
weak west to east tracking impulses ahead of southward sagging
frontal boundary providing impetus for isolated to scattered
convection across northern indiana overnight. With better, albeit
modest instability pool, 500 j kg mlcape, and collocated
effective shear on order of 30-35 kts near and east of kfwa, could
not rule out an early morning tsra event, though chances of
occurrence quite low too low for inclusion at this time. Suspect
a brief period of higher end MVFR with mid late morning cumulus
field formation, otherwiseVFR conditions prior and after.

Another chance of mid late afternoon convection exists, though
best area of concern lies just south of kfwa and will forgo any
mention in terminal forecast at this time.

Iwx watches warnings advisories
In... None.

Mi... None.

Oh... None.

Lm... None.

Synopsis... Fisher
short term... Skipper
long term... Skipper
aviation... Murphy
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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN 1 mi29 min ENE 8.9 G 9.9 74°F 66°F
45170 5 mi29 min NE 7.8 G 9.7 74°F 76°F2 ft66°F
BHRI3 - Burns Harbor, IN 15 mi43 min NE 5.1 G 6 74°F 1014.9 hPa
45026 - St. Joseph, MI 23 mi29 min NE 7.8 G 9.7 73°F 75°F1 ft1014.4 hPa60°F
CMTI2 - 9087044 - Calumet, IL 34 mi55 min N 4.1 G 5.1 73°F 1014.3 hPa68°F
SJOM4 - St. Joseph, MI 34 mi49 min ENE 1.9 G 4.1 70°F 1015.6 hPa (-0.3)
JAKI2 36 mi109 min NNW 2.9 G 4.1 74°F
CHII2 - Chicago, IL 39 mi29 min NNE 6 G 7 74°F 66°F
CNII2 39 mi34 min NE 5.1 G 6 72°F 64°F
45177 40 mi169 min 76°F1 ft
OKSI2 41 mi109 min ENE 4.1 G 5.1 76°F
FSTI2 44 mi109 min N 5.1 72°F

Wind History for Calumet Harbor, IL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Michigan City Municipal Airport, IN4 mi1.9 hrsN 010.00 miFair70°F66°F88%1015.2 hPa
Valparaiso Porter County Municipal Airport, IN20 mi1.9 hrsN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy72°F68°F87%1014.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMGC

Wind History from MGC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--CalmCalm--SW5W5SW5W3W6NW6NW4W10
G19
W6NW7NW6NW3NW5N8N3----CalmCalmCalm
1 day ago--CalmCalmS3--SW8SW5S4S4S6W6E6--SE3SW6SW3Calm----------Calm--
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3E4CalmE4SE5CalmS3CalmCalmCalm------Calm--S3S3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Northern Indiana, IN (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northern Indiana, IN
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.