Thursday, December5, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Fall River, MA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:54AMSunset 4:15PM Thursday December 5, 2019 6:06 PM EST (23:06 UTC) Moonrise 2:11PMMoonset 1:03AM Illumination 66% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ236 Narragansett Bay- 347 Pm Est Thu Dec 5 2019
.small craft advisory in effect until 2 am est Friday...
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft. Rain likely.
Fri night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sat night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, diminishing to around 5 kt after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sun..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft.
Sun night..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft, except 4 to 7 ft at the bay entrance. Showers likely.
Mon night and Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 3 to 5 ft, except 5 to 8 ft at the bay entrance. Showers likely.
Tue night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers. Seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 347 Pm Est Thu Dec 5 2019
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. A cold front will cross the waters this evening behind which stiff nw winds will blow. A fast moving low pres system will sweep across the waters Fri evening. Large high pres then builds in from the west Sat into Sat night. The high pres system moves off the coast Sun as a slow moving cold front approaches from the west Mon into Tue. For information on possible hazardous weather beyond the 24-36 hour forecast period, please visit www.weather.gov/boston and follow the current hazards link above the map on the left.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fall River, MA
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location: 41.73, -71.13     debug


Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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FXUS61 KBOX 052143 AAA AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 443 PM EST Thu Dec 5 2019

SYNOPSIS. Tonight, any snow showers in Western MA and far northwest CT will gradually diminish. Under clear skies, light winds and a deep snowpack (some parts of interior MA and CT still have snow depth over a foot), expect temperatures to drop into the teens in the interior and 20s elsewhere. Tomorrow, clouds will increase ahead of a fast-moving clipper system that will push through with periods of light snow in the afternoon and early evening. Best chance of seeing light accumulations would be along and north of the MA turnpike. The East Slopes of the Berkshires could see upwards of 2 inches. Colder, drier air moves in Friday night and Saturday as high pressure brings dry weather for the weekend. The high moves offshore Sunday, starting a return flow of milder air for the first half of the week. Parts of the area could even reach 60 degrees by Tuesday. However, this would be accompanied by a widespread rain event from Sunday night through Tuesday. A cold front moves through Tuesday night, followed by a return to cooler temperatures for Wednesday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Tonight .

Light snow was briefly reported in Pittsfield and radar has picked up on some reflectivity in northwest CT but in general, snow has not made it to the ground east of the Berkshires. Nonetheless, have introduced a slight chance for snow showers west and along the CT River valley. Otherwise, clouds will gradually clear out this evening. Helped by a fresh snowpack, radiational cooling will drop lows into the upper teens and low 20s for Western and Central MA. Mid 20s are expected for other locations with the exception of Cape and the Islands, which should bottom out in the upper 20s and low 30s.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. Friday . ***A CLIPPER SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING COATING TO AN INCH OF SNOW ESPECIALLY ALONG & NORTH OF THE MA TURNPIKE LATE FRI AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. LOCALLY 2-3 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE EAST SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES.***

Clouds overspread the entire area from west to east by mid morning. A progressive clipper system is expected to bring a period of light snow late afternoon into the early evening hours. There appear to be two areas of good 700-850mb jet dynamics, one near the Berkshires and the other along south coast. However, 925mb temperatures look to be above freezing south of the MA turnpike so not expecting accumulations except coating on grassy surfaces there. North of the turnpike, however, temperatures might be cold enough to support up to an inch of snow. Towards the Berkshires, where there is a combination of good dynamics and sub-freezing temperatures, up to 2 to 3 inches of snow are possible in the higher elevations. Confidence for 3 inches of snow is currently low, however, so have opted to issue a Special Weather Statement instead of a Winter Weather Advisory. Snow will quickly come to an end west to east by around 10pm so mid-level dry air moves in and shuts off the precipitation. In summary, most locations will likely see under an inch of snow but given that the snow would likely overlap with parts of evening commute, motorists should be aware of slippery travel.

After the snow exits, skies would gradually clear overnight. The extent of radiational cooling will depend on how quickly the winds decouple. There might be a short window before sunrise where temperatures can fall quickly. So right now, looking at mid to upper teens for much of interior MA and low to mid 20s elsewhere except for low 30s on the Cape.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Highlights .

Dry through the weekend with unseasonably cold temperatures on Saturday and Sunday AM. Temperatures rebounding on Sunday.

Rain spreading in early next week with temperatures trending upward. Potential for strong winds on Monday and Tuesday.

Cooler temperatures return on Wednesday.

Daily Concerns .

Saturday and Sunday .

Cyclonic flow on Saturday with a trough lifting northeast of the region. Good agreement between deterministic models with cold northwesterly flow aloft. Mid level ridge building into the eastern Great Lakes. The surface response will be high pressure building just to the west of New England. Am a bit skeptical on the current sky forecast given the upper level pattern. Typically with cyclonic flow, cold air advection and day time heating there is more in the way of diurnal cu, but opted to leaned on the consensus amongst guidance which keeps it sunny. Something to keep in mind for future updates to the forecast. High temperatures range from the upper 20s across the higher elevations in western and central MA to the mid 30s along the coast. Moderate to high confidence in the forecast.

High pressure builds in over New England Saturday evening into early Sunday. This will bring clear skies and light winds. Expect strong radiational cooling due to this setup. Bumped down temperatures toward the 10th percentile of guidance which brings low temperatures into the single digits above zero across the MA/CT/NH border. Low temperatures elsewhere will generally be in the teens, but it will be slightly warmer along the coast with lows in the low to mid 20s. High confidence in the forecast.

High pressure shifts to the east as the day progresses on Sunday. Winds aloft will shift to a southwesterly direction and advect warm air into the region. Skies will be partly to mostly sunny with highs rebounding into the mid 30s along the MA/NH/VT border and the low 40s across the coast and SE MA. High confidence in the forecast.

Sunday evening through Wednesday .

Pattern change beginning late on Sunday through the middle of next week. Shifting from a zonal pattern to a more amplified pattern. A positively tilted trough will dig from the Pacific Northwest Sunday evening into the Central Plains by Monday evening. There are still some differences between the GFS and ECMWF/GEM. The ECMWF/GEM feature a northern and southern stream trough where the weaker southern trough lags over the Southwestern US and the northern becomes nearly neutrally tilted over the Central US. The GFS quickly absorbs the southern stream trough. This does not have major implications on how things evolve other than the GFS developing a deeper low than than ECMWF/GEM over the central Great Lakes late on Monday into Tuesday. The overall progression of the system is in good agreement through Tuesday. The low lifts from the central Great Lakes into eastern Ontario and Quebec. This keeps New England in storm warm air advection and anticipate that precipitation will remain all rain. There could be some snow mixing in across western MA as colder air filters in as things wind down late on Tuesday into early Wednesday. Still concerned about winds and wind gusts on Monday and Tuesday with a 40 to 60 kt 925 hpa low level jet developing. Held off from bumping winds up due to some disagreement between the ECMWF and GFS where the jet sets up, but may need to do so in future updates. Not out of the question that there are a few rumbles of thunder Monday into Tuesday.

Temperatures will be warm on Monday and Tuesday due to the strong warm air advection. High temperatures will generally be in the 50s. Think there is a possibility for some 60 degree readings if strong winds develop and we tap into the mixed layer. Cooler temperatures return on Wednesday as the system lifts into Quebec. Flow will become northwesterly advecting cold air into the region. Highs on Wednesday drop into the low 30s across the Berkshires and the low 40s along the coast and SE MA. Low to medium confidence in the forecast.

AVIATION /22Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Forecaster Confidence Levels .

Low - less than 30 percent. Moderate - 30 to 60 percent. High - greater than 60 percent.

Short Term /through Friday Night/ . High confidence.

430pm Update .

Tonight . VFR with isolated snow showers/flurries, mainly over the far interior. Windy conditions through early evening with NW gusts up to 30 kts possible. Diminishing winds toward morning.

Friday . VFR to start the day but then cigs lowering to MVFR along with brief periods of light to moderate snow 18z-00z. A coating to an inch for most locations except up to 2 inches possible in interior higher elevations.

KBOS Terminal . High confidence in TAF.

KBDL Terminal . High confidence in TAF.

Outlook /Saturday through Tuesday/ .

Saturday through Sunday: VFR. Breezy.

Sunday Night: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Breezy. Chance SHRA.

Monday: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Windy with local gusts up to 30 kt. SHRA likely.

Monday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Breezy. SHRA likely.

Tuesday: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Windy with local gusts up to 30 kt. SHRA likely.

MARINE. Short Term /through Friday Night/ . High confidence.

Today . Increasing NW winds 25-35 kt as the day progresses. Mainly dry along with good vsby.

Tonight . NW winds 25-35 kt along with mainly dry weather and good vsby. Winds beginning to slacken late.

Friday . clipper low zips across CT/RI and southeast MA during the day and accompanied by a period of light winds until about 00z. Vsby will lower to 1 mile or less in snow.

Outlook /Saturday through Tuesday/ .

Saturday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.

Saturday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.

Sunday: Winds less than 25 kt.

Sunday Night: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 30 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Chance of rain showers.

Monday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 30 kt. Rough seas up to 11 ft. Rain showers likely.

Monday Night: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 30 kt. Rough seas up to 12 ft. Rain showers likely.

Tuesday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with local gusts up to 30 kt. Rough seas up to 13 ft. Rain showers likely.

BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. MA . None. RI . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Friday for ANZ232>235-237. Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EST Friday for ANZ230-236. Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM EST Friday for ANZ231-251. Gale Warning from 8 PM this evening to 5 AM EST Friday for ANZ250. Gale Warning until 5 AM EST Friday for ANZ254. Gale Warning until 5 AM EST Friday for ANZ255-256.

SYNOPSIS . BL/Chai NEAR TERM . Frank/Chai SHORT TERM . Frank/Chai LONG TERM . BL AVIATION . Frank/BL/Chai MARINE . Frank/BL/Chai


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FRVM3 - 8447386 - Fall River, MA 3 mi54 min 39°F 43°F1009.1 hPa
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 3 mi54 min W 13 G 16 40°F 1008.7 hPa
FRXM3 4 mi60 min 40°F 22°F
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 11 mi48 min W 17 G 21 39°F 44°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 13 mi48 min NW 8 G 16 38°F 1009.5 hPa
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 13 mi81 min NW 7 38°F 1008 hPa20°F
PRUR1 13 mi54 min 39°F 19°F
PVDR1 14 mi54 min WNW 11 G 17 39°F 1009 hPa19°F
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 15 mi60 min NW 11 G 16 38°F 44°F1008.7 hPa
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 18 mi60 min WNW 6 G 11 39°F 45°F1009.2 hPa
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 19 mi54 min WNW 9.9 G 16 40°F 40°F1009.1 hPa
BUZM3 - Buzzards Bay, MA 24 mi66 min WNW 27 G 30 40°F 1008.6 hPa (+4.4)
BZBM3 - 8447930 - Woods Hole, MA 28 mi54 min 41°F 43°F1008.1 hPa
WAXM3 - Waquoit Bay Reserve, MA 34 mi81 min W 5.1 43°F 1007 hPa27°F
44090 43 mi36 min 47°F3 ft
BHBM3 - 8443970 - Boston, MA 43 mi48 min 40°F 41°F1006.5 hPa
44020 - NANTUCKET SOUND 48 mi26 min 21 G 27 42°F 44°F26°F

Wind History for Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Bedford, New Bedford Regional Airport, MA9 mi73 minW 910.00 miOvercast39°F21°F48%1007.5 hPa
Taunton, Taunton Municipal Airport, MA12 mi74 minWNW 7 G 1810.00 miOvercast40°F21°F47%1007.5 hPa
Newport, Newport State Airport, RI15 mi73 minWNW 14 G 2010.00 miFair39°F19°F45%1008.2 hPa
Providence, Theodore Francis Green State Airport, RI16 mi75 minWNW 1310.00 miPartly Cloudy38°F19°F46%1008.5 hPa
N. Kingston / Quonset, RI17 mi76 minWNW 1110.00 miA Few Clouds37°F19°F48%1008.5 hPa
Pawtucket, North Central State Airport, RI19 mi70 minWNW 11 G 1610.00 miMostly Cloudy36°F19°F50%1002.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEWB

Wind History from EWB (wind in knots)
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1 day agoNW8NW7W6CalmW6W4W5W3S3W6W4SW3CalmSW3S4SW5W7W7W9W3CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoNE11
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Tide / Current Tables for Fall River, Massachusetts
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Fall River
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:03 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 02:42 AM EST     3.70 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:55 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:10 AM EST     1.15 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:11 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:02 PM EST     3.67 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:13 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 08:37 PM EST     0.84 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.233.63.73.32.51.81.31.21.21.31.62.12.73.43.73.42.71.81.20.90.911.2

Tide / Current Tables for Westport River Entrance, Massachusetts Current
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Westport River Entrance
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:03 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 12:46 AM EST     2.20 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 03:03 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:27 AM EST     -2.18 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:55 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:03 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 01:11 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 01:16 PM EST     1.97 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 03:25 PM EST     -0.01 knots Slack
Thu -- 04:14 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 05:47 PM EST     -2.13 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 10:06 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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22.21.50.1-1.3-2.1-2.1-1.7-1.2-0.7-00.71.41.91.70.6-0.8-1.9-2.1-1.8-1.2-0.7-0.10.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Boston, MA (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Boston, MA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.