Austinburg, OH Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Austinburg, OH

June 23, 2024 1:13 AM EDT (05:13 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:47 AM   Sunset 9:03 PM
Moonrise 10:03 PM   Moonset 5:59 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LEZ148 Expires:202406222015;;466919 Fzus51 Kcle 221344 Nshcle
nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 944 am edt Sat jun 22 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez147>149-222015- willowick to geneva-on-the lake oh-geneva-on-the- lake to conneaut oh-conneaut oh to ripley ny- 944 am edt Sat jun 22 2024

This afternoon - Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming west. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.

Tonight - Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Sunday - Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west. Showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then Thunderstorms with a chance of showers in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.

Sunday night - West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Monday through Wednesday.
the water temperature off toledo is 73 degrees, off cleveland 64 degrees, and off erie 70 degrees.

LEZ100
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Austinburg, OH
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Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 230132 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 932 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

SYNOPSIS
Low pressure glides across the Great Lakes on Sunday while dragging a cold front east through the region. High pressure builds overhead behind the front for Monday and Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
930 PM Update...
No changes needed with this update. Temperatures are currently in the 80s with heat indices still in the mid to upper 80s.
Expect one last night of very warm overnight temperatures in the 70s.

Previous Discussion...
The heat and humidity come to an end as low pressure centered over the Upper Midwest will glide east toward the Great Lakes region tonight. As the low moves into the region it will drag a cold front east across Northern Ohio and Northwest Pennsylvania tomorrow. Expect showers and storms to develop along the cold front to enter western zones early Sunday morning. Hi-res guidance continues to indicate increasing instability and shear, roughly 1500-2000 J/kg MUCAPE and 30-35 knots of 0-6 km shear, by Sunday afternoon and evening along and east of I-71. This moderately unstable and sheared environment has prompted a Marginal Risk (Level 1/5) from the Storm Prediction Center with a primary hazard of damaging wind gusts and large hail. Extreme eastern portions of our forecast area were clipped with a Slight Risk (Level 2/5) for severe weather where the best instability and shear exist. Best potential for strong to severe storms looks to be between 1 and 9 PM tomorrow afternoon and evening based on the current timing of the frontal passage. Lingering moisture and northwesterly flow will keep PoPs in the forecast along the lakeshore in NE OH and NW PA through Sunday night.

Strong southwesterly flow tonight and increased cloud cover will allow for one final night of warm overnight lows in the mid to upper 70s. Broad northwesterly flow behind the cold front will usher in cooler, more seasonable air. Near normal high temperatures tomorrow in the upper 70s to lower 80s with overnight lows settling in the low to mid 60s Sunday night.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
Monday will finally bring relief from the prolonged hot and humid pattern as the mid/upper trough axis digs through the eastern Great Lakes as the associated surface low tracks across New England. This will allow the cold front to sweep east of the area quickly Monday morning, but the surface low becoming vertically stacked beneath the mid-level low will lead to wraparound moisture during the morning.
The latest NAM suggests scattered showers associated with this in far NE Ohio and NW PA, so added slight chance to chance PoPs there.
Any showers will gradually exit Monday afternoon as surface ridging builds in from the west, before settling overhead Monday night.
Highs Monday will be much cooler with 75 to 80 expected in NE Ohio and NW PA and low to mid 80s in north central and NW Ohio. Lows Monday night will drop into the upper 50s to low 60s, so a good night to finally open the windows.

The heat will remain close by due to broad/flat mid/upper ridging across the Rockies and Plains, and this will allow hot/humid conditions to quickly surge back into the region ahead of another northern stream mid/upper shortwave diving from the Upper Midwest into the Great Lakes Tuesday and Tuesday night. An associated surface low tracking into the central Great Lakes Tuesday will pull a warm front through the region leading to strong warm air advection before the trailing cold front approaches Tuesday night. This will cause high temperatures Tuesday to warm into the upper 80s to low 90s with dew points once again rising through the 60s, followed by overnight lows in the 70s Tuesday night. In terms of convection, a few isolated thunderstorms cannot be ruled out Tuesday as the warm front lifts through on the nose of stronger theta e advection, but the better chance will come with the approaching cold front Tuesday night, so have PoPs gradually spreading east late Tuesday and especially Tuesday night. Due to overnight timing and the best forcing staying to the north until Wednesday, coverage of showers and storms will probably not be very widespread Tuesday night.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Deterministic and ensemble guidance is coming into better agreement on the cold front crossing the region Wednesday as the mid/upper trough axis deepens across the Great Lakes in response to the shortwave moving east. However, timing of when the front will cross on Wednesday remains uncertain. This makes it impossible to say at this point what degree of severe weather threat there will be, but given seasonably strong jet dynamics and the warm, humid, unstable airmass, at least somewhat organized strong to severe thunderstorms are possible Wednesday. Surface high pressure building in and mid/upper troughing overhead will bring dry and much cooler, less humid conditions Wednesday night and Thursday. This will not last long though as confidence is increasing that elongated mid/upper ridging will quickly flex back northward across the Midwest and southern Great Lakes Friday through Saturday in response to a strong mid/upper trough progressing from the northern Rockies through the northern Plains. This will pull heat and humidity back into the region for the end of the week into next weekend, along with increasing chances for thunderstorms as a baroclinic zone/theta e gradient will be nearby on the northern periphery of the thermal ridging (heat dome).

Highs in the mid/upper 80s Wednesday will cool into the upper 70s/low 80s Thursday before quickly warming back into the mid 80s to low 90s Friday and solid low 90s Saturday.

AVIATION /00Z Sunday THROUGH Thursday/
VFR conditions will continue through most of tonight before weakening showers and thunderstorms move into the area early Sunday morning. Have showers at KTOL/KFDY starting at 09-10Z, reaching KYNG/KERI by 14Z. There's still some uncertainty in how showers and thunderstorms shake out Sunday; the weakening morning convection may produce a few rumbles of thunder at KTOL/KFDY but they should weaken to light showers before possibly redeveloping into thunderstorms east of a line from KCLE to KCAK later in the morning. Additional scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible as a cold front moves east into the area Sunday afternoon, best chance from KCLE to KMFD east where there will be more time for diurnal destabilization. Any showers/thunderstorms that move directly over terminals could produce non-VFR visibilities, but generally expect VFR conditions outside of thunderstorms. With that being said, KTOL and KFDY will likely remain pretty cloudy with a period of MVFR ceilings likely Sunday morning into the afternoon.

Winds will be out of the southwest at 6 to 12 knots this evening, but expect winds to ramp up to 12 to 17 knots with gusts to 25 knots ahead of the cold front Sunday morning and afternoon. Isolated gustier winds are possible with any stronger storms that develop. Winds become west/northwesterly behind the cold front towards the end of the period.

Outlook...Non-VFR possible in scattered showers and thunderstorms across Northeast Ohio and Northwest Pennsylvania Sunday night into Monday. Additional non-VFR possible in showers and thunderstorms Tuesday evening through Wednesday.

MARINE
Southwest winds are expected to increase to 15-25 knots quickly Sunday morning ahead of a cold front. This will be a short duration of 4 hours or so Sunday morning into early afternoon in the western basin, but will last into Sunday evening in the central basin and especially the eastern basin. With this in mind, issued Small Craft Advisories for the western basin from 12 to 18Z, but ran the central and eastern basins from 17 to 00Z. The longer fetch will build 2 to 5 foot waves in the central and eastern basins in the afternoon and evening, so issued Beach Hazard Statements from the lakeshore of Cuyahoga County to Erie PA for a high risk of rip currents. Winds will quickly turn NW behind the front Sunday evening and decrease to 10-15 knots Sunday night and Monday. Light winds are then expected until Tuesday afternoon when SSW winds increase to 10-15 knots behind a warm front, becoming WSW at 10-20 knots Tuesday night and Wednesday as a cold front crosses the region. Winds then turn N and decrease Wednesday night and Thursday as high pressure returns.

CLIMATE
The records for Saturday, June 22 are listed below for our official climate sites.

Date Toledo Mansfield Cleveland Akron Youngstown Erie 06-22 99(1988) 95(1988) 98(1988) 97(1988) 97(1933) 94(1988)

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...Beach Hazards Statement from Sunday afternoon through Sunday evening for OHZ011-012-089.
PA...Beach Hazards Statement from Sunday afternoon through Sunday evening for PAZ001.
NY...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM to 2 PM EDT Sunday for LEZ143>145.
Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM to 8 PM EDT Sunday for LEZ146>149.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 9 mi103 minS 4.1G9.9
45208 11 mi43 minSW 12G16 82°F 77°F1 ft29.7571°F
ASBO1 11 mi73 minSSW 8G11
CBLO1 - Conneaut Breakwater Light, OH 22 mi73 minS 6G8.9
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 22 mi73 min 83°F 74°F29.7670°F
45207 27 mi43 minSW 9.7G14 83°F 77°F1 ft29.7671°F
WCRP1 39 mi73 minSSE 8.9G14
45206 40 mi43 minSSW 7.8G12 84°F 77°F1 ft29.7370°F
45164 44 mi73 minWSW 12G14 81°F 76°F1 ft
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 44 mi73 minSSW 2.9G6 85°F 70°F29.78
EREP1 49 mi73 minSSW 6G14


Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KHZY NORTHEAST OHIO RGNL,OH 9 sm20 minSSW 0810 smClear81°F66°F62%29.82
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Wind History graph: HZY
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Cleveland, OH,




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