Tuesday, October27, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
White Pigeon, MI

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 8:08AMSunset 6:45PM Tuesday October 27, 2020 11:43 AM EDT (15:43 UTC) Moonrise 4:28PMMoonset 3:05AM Illumination 83% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ844 St Joseph To South Haven Mi- 1105 Am Edt Tue Oct 27 2020
.small craft advisory in effect from 6 pm edt this evening through Wednesday evening...
Rest of today..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Becoming partly Sunny in the afternoon. Rain showers through early afternoon, then a chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tonight..Southwest winds 10 to 20 knots veering west 20 to 25 knots toward daybreak. Mostly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet after midnight.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots. Sunny. Waves 3 to 5 feet.
Wednesday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots veering northeast toward daybreak. Partly cloudy with a slight chance of rain showers. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet after midnight.
Thursday..Northeast winds 10 to 20 knots. Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Waves 2 to 3 feet.
Friday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Saturday..South winds 10 to 20 knots. Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
LMZ844 Expires:202010272100;;921190 FZUS53 KGRR 271505 NSHGRR Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 1105 AM EDT Tue Oct 27 2020 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ844-272100-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near White Pigeon, MI
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location: 41.8, -85.54     debug


Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
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FXUS63 KIWX 271031 AFDIWX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 631 AM EDT Tue Oct 27 2020

SYNOPSIS. Issued at 346 AM EDT Tue Oct 27 2020

There are chances for showers today, especially near Lake Michigan. Otherwise, highs will reach into the mid to upper 40s and lows tonight will fall into the upper 20s and low to mid 30s. Dry conditions will prevail tonight into Wednesday before the next chance for rain arrives late Wednesday night into Thursday.

SHORT TERM. (Today and Tonight) Issued at 346 AM EDT Tue Oct 27 2020

A lake enhanced shortwave will swing through the area today, bringing chances for rain showers . or maybe even mixing with a few snowflakes (GASP!). It could end up being more of a drizzle than rain, as that's whats been seen mostly this morning-other than near Lake Michigan where there is better forcing. Expect any lingering showers to quickly taper off by the late afternoon/evening as dry air and subsidence works its way in from west to east. Highs will reach into the mid to upper 40s. Tonight will be cold and dry, with low temperatures falling into the upper 20s and low to mid 30s (warmest in the southeast).

LONG TERM. (Wednesday through Monday) Issued at 346 AM EDT Tue Oct 27 2020

Zonal flow aloft and surface high pressure will keep us dry for Wednesday, with increasing cloud cover later in the day and into the overnight hours. Highs will be in the low to mid 50s, warmest south of US 30. Lows will be in the 30s and low 40s.

Models are once again disoriented as they absorb the present Hurricane Zeta into the cut off low over the desert southwest Wednesday night. The ECMWF has a deeper cut off low situated just a little further north than the GFS, and merges the remnants of Zeta northeast into a broader surface low that tracks into VA by Thu night. This brings a broad precipitation shield into our CWA for Thursday into Thursday night. The GFS/NAM however have the cut off low weaker and further south, and don't quite develop as broad of a surface low as the ECMWF-carrying it on more of an eastward trajectory. This mainly gives our southeastern CWA precipitation (and as mentioned in previous discussion, a sharp gradient in pcp chances). Kept in line with the consensus pops for now, with best chances in the southeast. High temperatures will be around 49F, and lows will fall into the 30s.

Friday into Saturday look to remain mostly dry with surface high pressure in place, though the ECWMF being slightly colder than the GFS does try to hint at a few lake effect showers early on Friday. On Sunday another trough swings through, though it appears we'll stay dry-again the ECMWF suggesting a chance at showers-but the better forcing remains to our north. Maintained a dry forecast through the period for now. Otherwise another ridge builds in for the start of next week. Highs will be in the low 50s. Lows will primarily be in the 30s.

AVIATION. (For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday Morning) Issued at 623 AM EDT Tue Oct 27 2020

VFR ceilings will lower to MVFR this morning given increasing low level moisture advection accompanied by a shortwave. This in turn will give rise to some light rain invof KSBN, compounded by lake enhancement, and at KFWA as well by early afternoon. Skies will scatter out this evening at SBN in the wake of the shortwave, but lower clouds may hold on at FWA until morning.

IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. IN . NONE. MI . NONE. OH . NONE. LM . NONE.

SYNOPSIS . MCD SHORT TERM . MCD LONG TERM . MCD AVIATION . Cobb

Visit us at www.weather.gov/iwx

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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SJOM4 - St. Joseph, MI 55 mi43 min S 1 G 5.1 40°F 1026.4 hPa (+0.3)
HLNM4 - 9087031 - Holland, MI 76 mi55 min E 2.9 G 5.1 37°F 51°F37°F

Wind History for Holland, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sturgis, Kirsch Municipal Airport, MI5 mi48 minN 05.00 miRain38°F35°F90%1025.7 hPa
Haines Memorial Airport, MI11 mi48 minSW 37.00 miLight Drizzle37°F35°F91%1026.1 hPa
Goshen, Goshen Municipal Airport, IN23 mi50 minN 010.00 miOvercast40°F33°F77%1026.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KIRS

Wind History from IRS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN6N7N9N6N7N7N4N4N4N3N3N3CalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoNE9E6E6NE4NE5NE5NE8NE6NE5NE8NE6NE6NE5NE5N3CalmNE4NE5NE3N4N9N7N6N6
2 days agoE6N5NE5N3NE6NE6NE3N3N4NE5NE5NE5E4E4N3NE4NE4NE4E5NE4E5NE6E6NE7

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Northern Indiana, IN
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.