Providence, RI Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Providence, RI

June 18, 2024 2:45 PM EDT (18:45 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:08 AM   Sunset 8:25 PM
Moonrise 5:21 PM   Moonset 2:25 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ236 Narragansett Bay- 104 Pm Edt Tue Jun 18 2024

This afternoon - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.

Tonight - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft.

Wed - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft.

Wed night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Patchy fog after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.

Thu and Thu night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.

Fri and Fri night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.

Sat - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft.

Sat night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.

ANZ200 104 Pm Edt Tue Jun 18 2024

Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters - High pres remains anchored over the far eastern outer waters through the rest of the workweek. This will maintain ssw wind gusts 20-25 knots on most waters through the workweek. Dry weather is expected until later Fri.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Providence, RI
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Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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FXUS61 KBOX 181649 AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 1249 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

SYNOPSIS
Dangerous heat and humidity arrive Tuesday away from the south coast and then peaks in the Wednesday through Friday time frame. Near to record breaking high temperatures are possible.
Heat peaks on Thursday before more seasonable temperatures return for the weekend. Showers and thunderstorms possible each afternoon and evening Friday thru Sunday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
Update: 10 AM - No whole sale adjustments as the forecast remains in good standings. As mentioned, hazy, hot, and humid conditions on tap for today, as temperatures are already cresting into the low 80s across many locations, including a muggy 81F at WFO in Norton. As mentioned by the previous forecaster, isolated showers are possible this afternoon but will likely be constrained to the high terrain given lack of forcing and rising heights.

345 AM update...

* Dangerous heat and humidity ramps up away from the south coast * Low risk for an isolated t-storm in the interior

Subtropical ridge continues to build across the region today with 500 mb heights rising to 594+ dam. This will be accompanied by a warm sector airmass with lots of sunshine across the area, along with dew pts rising to 65-70 and a anomalous warm airmass, with 925 mb temps of +23C to +25C and +18C at 850 mb. This supports highs of 90-95 across much of northern MA, including the city of Boston and into northern CT and northern RI. These air temps combined with high dew pts will yield heat indices in the mid to upper 90s this afternoon. Hence, day 1 of our expected heat wave this week. Heat advisories remain posted.

Not as hot along the south coast with highs in in the 80s, except mid to upper 70s across the Cape and Islands, with S-SW winds 10-15 mph, gusting up to 20 mph at times, streaming across SSTs only in the 60s. Hence, some relief along the south coast. The east coast of MA may have a brief seabreeze develop from approximately 15z-19z, when winds briefly turn to the SE, but should veer back to the SW after 19z, yielding highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s.

Weak short wave currently across northern NY state is triggering some isolated to scattered showers in that region. Given height rises across SNE today, forcing for ascent will be weak and the atmosphere will likely be capped. Thus, only than an isolated shower/t-storm across western-central MA this afternoon, dry weather prevails elsewhere.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/
345 AM update...

* Not much relief tonight with lows 65-70 * Dangerous heat and humidity continue Wed away from the south coast * Other than a spot shower/T-storm northwest MA, dry weather prevails

Tuesday night...

Mainly clear to partly cloudy conditions along with dry weather prevail beneath building ridge across New England. Lows will be mostly in the mid-upper 60s.

Wednesday...

595 dam ridge remains over SNE, providing mainly dry and hot weather. Airmass warms slightly and combined with mostly sunny conditions, this will support highs in the low to mid 90s from northern portions of CT/RI and into northern MA. These air temps will combine with dew pts of 65-70 to yield heat indices from 95- 100. Some relief south coast and islands, as SSW winds 10-15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph at times, will provide somewhat of refreezing breeze off the cooler ocean with SSTs in the low to mid 60s. As for precip, high amplitude anticyclone over SNE should provide a mid level cap and keep our region mainly dry. Only area for a low risk of an isolated shower/t-storm is across northwest MA

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
345 AM update...

* Heat peaks on Thursday with high temperatures in the upper 90s likely for the interior

* Temperatures on Friday remain uncertain with cold front nearby

* Cooler, but still muggy, conditions Saturday and Sunday with chances for afternoon showers and thunderstorms

Very persistent and anomolously strong ridge peaks in intensity on Thursday with 500mb heights making a run at 600mb associated with 850mb temperatures around 20C by afternoon. Given a more NW/W wind component as ridge axis crests, will have some downslope enhancement driving temperatures a few degrees warmer compared to Wednesday. Will note that the overnight guidance trended a bit cooler compared to previous model runs, with highs now projected to remain just below 100F, though still cant rule out a run at the triple digits in the southern CT and Merrimack River Valleys. A Excessive Heat Watch remains in place for Thursday with a determination on an advisory vs warning to be made during later shifts. Shower activity "riding the ridge" looks to remain to our north Thursday afternoon/evening, though it is possible a stray shower develops along the MA/NH border.

Ridge begins to collapse south on Friday as a cold front drops south from NH/ME into our region, increasing shower and t-storm chances during the afternoon. There remains uncertainty in how fast the front will drop south from northern New England, which leads to a wide range in guidance regarding high temps, with an earlier frontal passage yielding cooler daytime highs especially across the eastern half of the CWA For now, elected to follow the NBM for highs on Friday, noting that future updates may need to blend in cooler guidance.

More seasonable airmass remains in place through the weekend though humidity remains high, which will introduce the chance for afternoon and early evening t-storms each day through Sunday. While surface instability wanes with sunset each evening, some storms could continue into the early overnight hours. Cold frontal passage sometime late Sunday-late Monday brings our next chance for more widespread, stratiform precip before another prolonged period of dry conditions.

AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Forecast Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

18z TAF Update...

Today... High confidence.

VFR, SSW winds 10-15 kt, gusts up to 20 kt at times along the south coast and Islands. Weak SE sea breeze at the coast, which includes KBOS, should only last through 20z. Low risk for an isolated shower or T-storm this afternoon across western- central MA.

Tonight... High confidence.

VFR, S-SW winds 5-10 kt along with dry weather.

Wednesday... High confidence.

Almost a rinse and repeat forecast, VFR, mainly dry weather along with SW winds 10-15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt at times.

KBOS TAF... High confidence in TAF. VFR for TAF period. SE sea breeze less than 10 knots through 20z, then becoming SSW/SW through Wednesday with winds around 10 knots tonight, becoming 12-14 knots Wednesday with a few gusts to 20 knots possible.

KBDL TAF...High confidence in TAF.

Outlook /Wednesday Night through Saturday/...

Juneteenth through Wednesday Night: VFR. Breezy.

Thursday through Thursday Night: Breezy. Slight chance SHRA.

Friday through Friday Night: Chance SHRA, isolated TSRA.

Saturday: Slight chance SHRA.

MARINE
Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

345 AM update...

* Fairly tranquil boating weather

Tuesday...

Clear conditions with increasing southerly winds gusting up to 20 knots at times. Seas 2-4 ft

Tonight and Wed...SSW winds and dry weather.

Outlook /Wednesday Night through Saturday/...

Juneteenth: Winds less than 25 kt.

Wednesday Night through Thursday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.

Thursday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft. Slight chance of rain showers.

Friday through Friday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Chance of rain showers.

Saturday: Winds less than 25 kt. Slight chance of rain showers.

CLIMATE
All Time June High Temperature Record (Daily)

BOS - 100 F (06/06/1925, 06/26/1952 and 06/30/2021)
BDL - 100 F (06/26/1952, 06/30/1964)
PVD - 98 F (06/25/1943, 06/15/1945 and 06/30/1945)
ORH - 98 F (06/26/1952)

Most recent day of 100 F (or greater)

BOS - 100 F (07/24/2022)
BDL - 100 F (07/21/2019)
PVD - 100 F (07/28/2020)
ORH - 102 F (07/04/1911)*

* For ORH this is the only 100+ degree day in its period of record.

Daily High Temperature Records...

June 18th

BOS - 94 F (1907 and 1929)
BDL - 95 F (1957 and 1994)
PVD - 94 F (1929)
ORH - 93 F (1907 and 1929)

June 19th

BOS - 96 F (1923)
BDL - 95 F (1995)
PVD - 94 F (1923)
ORH - 93 F (1923)

June 20th

BOS - 98 F (1953)
BDL - 97 F (2012)
PVD - 95 F (1941)
ORH - 93 F (1953)

June 21st

BOS - 96 F (2012)
BDL - 96 F (1953 and 2012)
PVD - 96 F (1941)
ORH - 91 F (Multi-Years)

Daily Warmest Low Temperatures Records...

June 18th

BOS - 72 F (1929)
BDL - 70 F (1905)
PVD - 72 F (1929)
ORH - 69 F (1905 and 1994)

June 19th

BOS - 73 F (1995)
BDL - 72 F (1929)
PVD - 70 F (1995)
ORH - 72 F (1929)

June 20th

BOS - 78 F (1931)
BDL - 74 F (1931)
PVD - 74 F (1931)
ORH - 72 F (1931)

June 21st

BOS - 80 F (2012)
BDL - 73 F (1923 and 2012)
PVD - 75 F (2012)
ORH - 74 F (1923 and 2012)

BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Air Quality Alert until 11 PM EDT this evening for CTZ002.
Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for CTZ002-003.
Excessive Heat Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Friday evening for CTZ002-003.
Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT Friday for CTZ004.
MA...Air Quality Alert until 11 PM EDT this evening for MAZ005>007- 010>012.
Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for MAZ003-005-006- 010-011-013-014.
Excessive Heat Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Friday evening for MAZ003-005-006-010-011-013-014.
Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT Friday for MAZ002-004-007>009-012- 015-016-026.
Heat Advisory from noon Wednesday to 7 PM EDT Friday for MAZ017>019.
RI...Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT Friday for RIZ001.
Heat Advisory from noon Wednesday to 7 PM EDT Friday for RIZ002>005.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 0 mi51 minSSE 14G17 80°F 67°F30.22
PVDR1 2 mi51 minSSE 13G17 78°F 30.2271°F
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 7 mi51 minSE 14G16 74°F 72°F30.22
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 12 mi60 minW 7 80°F 30.2470°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 12 mi51 minSW 6G12 79°F 30.25
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 14 mi51 minSSW 6G8 81°F 30.23
FRVM3 - 8447386 - Fall River, MA 14 mi51 min 86°F 70°F30.24
FRXM3 14 mi51 min 84°F 70°F
PDVR1 14 mi51 minSSW 4.1G9.9 86°F 30.2271°F
PRUR1 15 mi51 min 72°F 68°F
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 15 mi51 minS 9.9G12 76°F 30.23
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 22 mi51 minSSW 13G16 70°F 67°F30.24
NBGM3 29 mi51 minSW 11G13 79°F 30.25
44085 35 mi45 min 68°F 64°F3 ft
BUZM3 - Buzzards Bay, MA 35 mi45 minSW 20G22 67°F 30.26
BHBM3 - 8443970 - Boston, MA 42 mi51 min 85°F 30.17
BZBM3 - 8447930 - Woods Hole, MA 43 mi51 min 70°F 68°F30.27
NLHC3 48 mi51 min 79°F 30.25


Wind History for Providence, RI
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Airport Reports
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Wind History graph: PVD
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Tide / Current for Providence, State Pier no.1, Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island
   
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Providence, State Pier no.1, Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island, Tide feet


Tide / Current for Nayatt Point, Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island
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Nayatt Point
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Tue -- 02:25 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:10 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 05:50 AM EDT     3.94 feet High Tide
Tue -- 10:54 AM EDT     0.62 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:14 PM EDT     5.13 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Nayatt Point, Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island, Tide feet
12
am
1
1
am
1.2
2
am
1.7
3
am
2.3
4
am
3.1
5
am
3.7
6
am
3.9
7
am
3.5
8
am
2.5
9
am
1.5
10
am
0.8
11
am
0.6
12
pm
0.8
1
pm
1.3
2
pm
1.9
3
pm
2.8
4
pm
3.8
5
pm
4.6
6
pm
5.1
7
pm
4.9
8
pm
4
9
pm
2.7
10
pm
1.6
11
pm
0.9


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Northeast   
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Boston, MA,




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