Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Staatsburg, NY

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/

UPDATE
As of 140 AM EDT...Few chances were made during this latest update outside of some minor adjustments to temperatures and sky cover to reflect latest obs and satellite scans. Some high clouds have protruded into the region well ahead of a mid- level cutoff low in the Plains, but cold air advection in the wake of today's cold front and decreasing wind speeds have allowed temperatures to radiate down to the upper 40s to mid 60s. Additional details follow in the previous discussion below.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
Clear and cool tonight as a moisture starved cold front continue to press to our south. Somewhat breezy winds will weaken as we lose daytime heating with gusts diminishing by 00 - 03 UTC tonight. Another cool night tonight and a good night to open up the windows as humidity levels remain low and overnight temperatures drop into the upper 40s to mid 50s. A cirrus canopy moves in after 06 UTC which should keep temperatures a few degrees above from last night but still comfortable nonetheless.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
Tranquil weather persists through Friday. Cooler nighttime temperatures with the dryer air behind the front. Low temperatures tonight will fall to the 40s and 50s before highs Friday rise to upper 60s to upper 70s. Additionally, with the surface high spreading into the area, Friday will be less breezy than today. Attention then turns to Friday night through Saturday where chances for rain increase once again.

Another shortwave develops aloft and begins to dig south and east from southeast Ontario/southwest Quebec while a front is stalled just to the south of our area. Enhanced low level convergence associated with the nearby boundary will interact with the lift from the incoming shortwave to promote scattered showers Friday night into Saturday. During this period, Some elevated instability is present across the southern part of our forecast area and some isolated thunder showers are possible south.

The shortwave is progged to move southeast of the forecast area Saturday night, and while clouds and some fog/drizzle may linger, moisture and lift decrease and precipitation should be very light.

Low temperatures Friday night will be in the upper 40s to upper 50s. Highs Saturday will fall below normal once again with values primarily in the 60s. Lows Saturday night will be similar to those of Friday night.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
A slow moving frontal boundary will be draped just south of the region across the northern mid Atlantic States on Sunday. This front will be drifting southward to end the weekend into early next week, while a weak upper level disturbance moves across the Ohio Valley and towards the Appalachians and mid Atlantic. While the best chance for widespread precip will mainly be south of the region, a few showers may still occur across our area for Sunday into Monday, mainly during the afternoon and evening hours. However, coverage won't be too high and surface high pressure off the coast of New England may help advect some low level drier and more stable air into the region from the east-northeast as well. Will continue slight chance to chance POPs Still, skies will feature more clouds than sun and temps will be a little below normal, with daytime highs in the 60s to mid 70s.

Little change in the pattern is expected through Wednesday so scattered showers are possible through Wednesday, especially during daytime heating. Heights and temps aloft will be slowing rising through the week, which should allow for temps to warm each day. Highs may return into the 80s for valley areas by the middle of the week.

AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Flying conditions are currently VFR across the region. IR satellite imagery shows widespread thin cirrus clouds over the area. Through the rest of the overnight, it will remain dry with bkn high clouds around 25 kft with light to calm winds.

During the day on Friday, it will continue to stay VFR with no precip. There will be sct mid level clouds around 10-15 kft along with some additional cirrus clouds, but no aviation impacts are expected and surface winds will remain light, mainly about 5 kts or so, from a northerly direction.

Clouds may start to increase for Friday evening into Friday night as a frontal system starts getting closer to the area from the south and west. Ceilings will lower, with bkn cigs around 5kft, along with additional mid level clouds. A few showers are possible on Friday night, so brief MVFR conditions can't be ruled out, mainly by later in the overnight hours. Winds will be light to calm for all sites.

Outlook...

Friday Night: Moderate Operational Impact
Likely SHRA
TSRA.
Saturday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Saturday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
Sunday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Sunday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Monday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Monday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Tuesday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.