Tuesday, October22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fairport Harbor, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:43AMSunset 6:35PM Tuesday October 22, 2019 8:03 PM EDT (00:03 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 2:48PM Illumination 31% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ147 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 342 Pm Edt Tue Oct 22 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through late Wednesday night...
Tonight..Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots. A chance of showers through the early overnight, then a slight chance of showers late. Waves 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots increasing to 30 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 5 to 8 feet building to 6 to 9 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 5 to 8 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet.
Thursday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots. Partly Sunny. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Friday through Sunday. The water temperature off toledo is 56 degrees, off cleveland 61 degrees, and off erie 59 degrees.
LEZ147 Expires:201910230215;;112306 FZUS51 KCLE 221942 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 342 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ147>149-230215-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairport Harbor, OH
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location: 41.83, -81.28     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 222344
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
744 pm edt Tue oct 22 2019

Synopsis
Occluding low pressure north of lake superior will extend a
trough of low pressure across the central great lakes tonight.

High pressure will enter the ohio valley on Wednesday.

Meanwhile, the occluding low will move north to james bay and
extend another trough of low pressure across the area on
Wednesday night, shifting high pressure south. High pressure
returns north on Thursday. A cold front enters the area on
Friday.

Near term through Wednesday night
No major changes to the forecast with the early evening update.

The previous forecast and discussion are on track given the
latest obs and model trends.

Original discussion...

a cold front will continue east of the area as low pressure
continues to occlude over lake superior tonight. Southwest flow
will persist over the region with the strong pressure gradient
in place. The deepening low will extend a trough over low
pressure over the central great lakes tonight and bring
increasing clouds from the west. Believe that all of the rain
with this feature will stay well off to the northwest tonight.

High pressure enters from the south for Wednesday, allowing for
a dry forecast for the area. The increasing pressure gradient
between the surface high and the occluding low up north will
allow for another breezy day. Another trough of low pressure
will ripple through the region on Wednesday night and bring more
clouds and rain, but much like tonight, most of the convection
will be to the north into lower michigan. Temperatures through
the period will be near normal.

Short term Thursday through Friday night
Mainly upper level southwest flow will be present over the area
on Thursday. An upper level trough is slated to move east
toward western oh on Friday. This will bring the potential for
rain on Friday. Forecast confidence is low... As the medium range
models are not in agreement with the upper flow on Friday.

Leaning toward the ECMWF canadian solution... As the GFS seems to
be the outlier.

Dry conditions exist for much of Friday night into Saturday as an
upper level ridge builds over the region.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday
Little model consistency with the extended... As the
ecmwf canadian indicate a deep upper low moving quickly
northeast from mo Saturday toward northern in by Sunday morning.

This solution would bring widespread rain to the area... With
thunderstorms possible over the lake. The GFS keeps much of the
action to the southeast of the region. We will continue to
monitor closely... But as of now... Just broad brushed the area
with a chance of rain.

Aviation 00z Wednesday through Sunday
Strong low pressure over lake superior will move northeast
through the period, as high pressure builds northeast into the
local area. Lingering moisture swinging east through the region
will result in a period ofVFR ceilings, however clearing skies
expected through the remainder of the period. A few shra will be
near keri early in the period, but chances of impacting terminal
are low. Winds will remain westerly through the period, with
some 20-25 kt gusts returning after 12z at the terminals.

Outlook Scattered showers may result in non-vfr Thursday
through Saturday morning.

Marine
Strong southwest winds will persist across the lake through at least
Wednesday evening. A small craft advisory is in effect through
Wednesday evening and may need to be extended. Winds still look to
top out at around 30 kts late Wednesday morning into the
afternoon hours. A cold front from the upper midwest will cross lake
erie on Thursday. This will bring winds around to the northwest for
Friday and Saturday high pressure in the vicinity of the lake
Saturday.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 4 am edt Thursday for lez147>149.

Small craft advisory until 10 pm edt Wednesday for lez142>146.

Synopsis... Sefcovic
near term... Greenawalt sefcovic
short term... Riley
long term... Riley
aviation... Greenawalt
marine... Riley


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 5 mi45 min SW 20 G 23 58°F 60°F1008.2 hPa39°F
45164 23 mi63 min 61°F5 ft
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 27 mi51 min SW 9.9 G 18 58°F 62°F1008.6 hPa35°F
45169 32 mi53 min SW 18 G 23 59°F 60°F4 ft
45176 32 mi23 min WSW 16 G 21 59°F 63°F3 ft
45132 - Port Stanley 44 mi63 min WSW 23 G 31 57°F 60°F8 ft1007.1 hPa (+1.7)

Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cleveland / Cuyahoga, OH20 mi78 minWSW 13 G 1910.00 miMostly Cloudy55°F37°F51%1008.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCGF

Wind History from CGF (wind in knots)
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE4SE7SE6SE6SE7SE9SE11
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2 days agoSE5S7S6SE6SE6SE5SE4CalmS7CalmCalmS5S5S6SW5W4CalmNW4NW4NW5NW4NE3NW3--

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.